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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 16, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Knicks38%99118
21Kings62%103123
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 24.6
49.9
23.9
24
73%
16
1
2
1
0
2
5
11
8-10
80%
8-12
3-6
67%
57%
0-0
-
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 27.7
48.1
38.9
24
42%
6
5
1
1
1
2
2
4
4-4
100%
7-18
4-9
39%
45%
2-9
22%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 24.9
34.3
31.7
27
59%
9
0
0
0
1
2
6
3
7-9
78%
10-19
7-12
53%
56%
0-0
-
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 27.6
26.0
23.0
4
23%
10
2
1
1
0
2
2
8
2-2
100%
1-7
1-3
14%
43%
0-1
0%
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.3
18.7
9.6
4
33%
1
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
43%
0-1
0%
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 30.7
43.7
35.3
15
54%
0
4
1
1
0
2
0
0
7-9
78%
4-9
4-9
44%
46%
0-1
0%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 23.5
35.3
18.0
17
64%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
4-5
80%
2-7
2-4
29%
44%
3-4
75%
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 28.7
14.3
21.0
0
0%
3
1
2
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 26.0
10.9
10.3
3
80%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
1-1
1-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 33.0
8.9
7.3
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
40%
0-0
-
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 20.5
8.7
0
1-2
47%
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 21.9
3.4
0
0-1
48%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 32.0
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.3
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 28.0
53.1
21.5
28
67%
8
2
2
1
1
3
2
6
4-11
36%
9-13
3-6
69%
46%
2-3
67%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 24.8
49.2
37.1
43
73%
10
2
0
1
0
3
2
8
16-19
84%
6-14
5-10
43%
51%
5-7
71%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.4
43.8
28.6
10
42%
1
5
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
5-10
3-7
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 31.6
39.1
30.2
12
56%
11
3
1
1
2
4
3
8
4-4
100%
4-8
4-8
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 32.0
22.0
27.0
4
40%
4
0
0
1
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
56%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 27.9
39.6
31.1
16
55%
7
4
0
1
1
4
1
6
6-8
75%
5-10
4-8
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25.9
21.2
25.3
4
29%
3
1
1
1
0
2
2
1
2-2
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
51%
0-2
0%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 19.6
14.8
10.6
6
51%
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
2-5
2-3
40%
52%
0-0
-
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.5
6.8
13.5
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Justin Williams
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 23.5
0.3
5.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Darryl Watkins
C · 6'11" 258 · 23.0
3.6
0
0-1
50%
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.9
3.6
0
1-1
50%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 29.5
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 30.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.