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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 8, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Celtics59%9392
13Bulls41%9081
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 32.4
43.9
30.9
21
58%
3
3
1
1
0
4
2
1
5-5
100%
2-6
4-7
33%
48%
4-10
40%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 21.8
42.5
27.1
18
69%
7
5
0
2
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
9-13
3-6
69%
47%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 30.2
38.1
33.2
10
43%
6
7
2
1
0
6
0
6
8-8
100%
1-4
4-9
25%
48%
0-4
0%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 31.6
37.1
28.4
16
73%
9
3
0
1
7
2
0
9
0-0
-
8-11
6-11
73%
50%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 23.1
11.5
19.4
4
69%
3
1
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-2
0%
2-2
2-4
100%
53%
0-0
-
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 21.9
26.3
15.7
8
103%
12
0
1
1
0
1
3
9
2-2
100%
3-3
2-4
100%
47%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 30.9
21.1
24.9
11
59%
4
1
0
1
1
0
0
4
3-3
100%
1-1
1-3
100%
48%
2-7
29%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 29.6
12.5
20.6
3
75%
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
43%
1-2
50%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 25.9
7.0
20.9
1
27%
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
0-1
3-5
0%
51%
0-0
-
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.7
11.0
0
0-1
40%
Leon Powe
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.9
5.5
0
1-2
46%
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 32.8
2.6
0
0-1
44%
Gabe Pruitt
G · 6'4" 170 · 21.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.9
43.2
32.6
16
63%
3
6
3
1
0
1
0
3
4-4
100%
3-7
4-8
43%
43%
2-4
50%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.6
41.0
37.3
15
39%
7
4
1
1
0
2
4
3
3-5
60%
6-17
8-16
35%
49%
0-0
-
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 33.2
40.5
33.5
8
48%
14
3
0
1
2
1
4
10
2-3
67%
3-7
3-6
43%
44%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.7
39.0
30.2
13
29%
3
2
1
1
1
2
1
2
3-5
60%
5-16
4-9
31%
43%
0-4
0%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 32.4
21.3
19.6
10
46%
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
2
2-2
100%
4-10
3-7
40%
44%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 28.0
24.3
27.6
18
46%
3
1
2
0
0
3
1
2
1-1
100%
7-12
3-7
58%
48%
1-7
14%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 25.3
13.8
28.6
1
27%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
2-4
-
42%
0-1
0%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 22.8
12.1
15.9
0
0%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
45%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.6
4.7
5.1
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.3
7.5
0
1-2
44%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 33.4
2.4
0
0-1
44%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.0
1.6
0
0-0
45%
Demetris Nichols
F · 6'8" 216 · 23.3
JamesOn Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.9
Viktor Khryapa
· 6'9" 210 · 25.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.