Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Saturday, December 8, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 24 | Bobcats | 57% | 97 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 28 | Knicks | 55% | 96 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 30 | Timberwolves | 23% | 101 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Celtics | 58% | 92 | 92 |
 | 13 | Bulls | 42% | 90 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 4 | Mavericks | 68% | 106 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Friday, December 7, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Knicks | 36% | 94 | 90 |
| 20 | 76ers | 64% | 98 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Suns | 63% | 111 | 122 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 8 | Magic | 76% | 109 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bulls | 29% | 89 | 98 |
 | 6 | Pistons | 71% | 96 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Raptors | 19% | 88 | 84 |
| 1 | Celtics | 81% | 100 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 18 | Nets | 35% | 89 | 89 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Grizzlies | 27% | 98 | 116 |
| 11 | Hornets | 73% | 106 | 118 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jazz | 35% | 97 | 98 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 15 | Kings | 63% | 101 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16 | Heat | 28% | 98 | 113 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Bucks | 49% | 103 | 98 |
| 29 | SuperSonics | 51% | 104 | 104 | |
Thursday, December 6, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Timberwolves | 30% | 90 | 89 |
| 25 | Hawks | 70% | 97 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nuggets | 29% | 100 | 122 |
| 4 | Mavericks | 71% | 107 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Heat | 53% | 94 | 106 |
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Wednesday, December 5, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Suns | 54% | 104 | 136 |
| 14 | Raptors | 46% | 102 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 72% | 96 | 113 |
| 22 | 76ers | 28% | 88 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Cavaliers | 35% | 96 | 86 |
| 18 | Wizards | 65% | 102 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bulls | 57% | 95 | 91 |
| 25 | Bobcats | 43% | 93 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Knicks | 34% | 90 | 100 |
| 17 | Nets | 66% | 96 | 93 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pistons | 39% | 94 | 91 |
| 10 | Hornets | 61% | 98 | 76 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Grizzlies | 22% | 96 | 92 |
| 5 | Rockets | 78% | 106 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mavericks | 37% | 95 | 95 |
| 2 | Spurs | 63% | 99 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Lakers | 36% | 104 | 111 |
| 11 | Nuggets | 64% | 109 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bucks | 21% | 100 | 90 |
| 9 | Warriors | 79% | 110 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Clippers | 48% | 101 | 88 |
| 29 | SuperSonics | 52% | 102 | 95 | |
Tuesday, December 4, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pistons | 65% | 95 | 106 |
| 24 | Hawks | 35% | 90 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Nets | 44% | 92 | 100 | |
| 21 | Cavaliers | 56% | 94 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Suns | 65% | 110 | 121 |
| 20 | Pacers | 35% | 105 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Lakers | 73% | 106 | 116 |
| 30 | Timberwolves | 27% | 98 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Jazz | 54% | 104 | 107 |
| 15 | Kings | 46% | 103 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bucks | 41% | 98 | 87 |
| 23 | Clippers | 59% | 101 | 78 |
Monday, December 3, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bobcats | 29% | 92 | 79 |
| 14 | Raptors | 71% | 99 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hawks | 39% | 91 | 88 |
| 19 | 76ers | 61% | 95 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Trail Blazers | 32% | 97 | 106 |
| 22 | Grizzlies | 68% | 103 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | 55% | 96 | 103 |
| 13 | Bulls | 45% | 94 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Heat | 21% | 93 | 101 |
| 7 | Jazz | 79% | 103 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Magic | 44% | 106 | 123 |
| 9 | Warriors | 56% | 108 | 117 |
Sunday, December 2, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Cavaliers | 18% | 90 | 70 |
| 2 | Celtics | 82% | 102 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Trail Blazers | 13% | 87 | 79 |
| 1 | Spurs | 87% | 101 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pacers | 45% | 101 | 101 |
| 22 | Clippers | 55% | 102 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Suns | 74% | 110 | 115 |
| 28 | Knicks | 26% | 101 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Nets | 28% | 88 | 95 | |
| 8 | Pistons | 72% | 96 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Heat | 37% | 97 | 89 |
| 12 | Nuggets | 63% | 102 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Warriors | 65% | 110 | 109 |
| 29 | SuperSonics | 35% | 106 | 96 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Magic | 48% | 105 | 104 |
| 11 | Lakers | 52% | 106 | 97 |
Saturday, December 1, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Raptors | 45% | 99 | 97 |
| 17 | Wizards | 55% | 100 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 76ers | 33% | 89 | 92 |
| 16 | Nets | 67% | 95 | 94 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Timberwolves | 26% | 98 | 80 |
| 24 | Grizzlies | 74% | 106 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mavericks | 49% | 99 | 108 |
| 11 | Hornets | 51% | 100 | 112 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bobcats | 31% | 90 | 95 |
| 13 | Bulls | 69% | 96 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pistons | 63% | 99 | 117 |
| 20 | Bucks | 37% | 95 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rockets | 63% | 99 | 99 |
| 19 | Kings | 37% | 94 | 107 |
Friday, November 30, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Cavaliers | 42% | 95 | 82 |
| 16 | Raptors | 58% | 98 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Wizards | 47% | 99 | 84 |
| 23 | 76ers | 53% | 100 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bucks | 55% | 101 | 88 |
| 28 | Knicks | 45% | 99 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hornets | 57% | 98 | 92 | |
| 25 | Hawks | 43% | 95 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 56% | 94 | 95 |
| 14 | Heat | 44% | 92 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | 80% | 99 | 106 |
| 30 | Timberwolves | 20% | 88 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Trail Blazers | 17% | 92 | 80 |
| 4 | Mavericks | 83% | 105 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Lakers | 35% | 100 | 96 |
| 9 | Jazz | 65% | 105 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Magic | 35% | 106 | 106 |
| 3 | Suns | 65% | 111 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Clippers | 34% | 99 | 107 |
| 12 | Nuggets | 66% | 105 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pacers | 54% | 106 | 93 |
| 29 | SuperSonics | 46% | 105 | 95 | |
Thursday, November 29, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Knicks | 12% | 92 | 59 |
| 1 | Celtics | 88% | 107 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nuggets | 41% | 104 | 99 |
| 10 | Lakers | 59% | 107 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rockets | 49% | 101 | 94 |
| 8 | Warriors | 51% | 102 | 113 |
Wednesday, November 28, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Grizzlies | 25% | 98 | 91 |
| 14 | Raptors | 75% | 107 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jazz | 66% | 101 | 106 |
| 24 | 76ers | 34% | 96 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bucks | 43% | 97 | 80 |
| 25 | Hawks | 57% | 100 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Cavaliers | 33% | 94 | 74 |
| 8 | Pistons | 67% | 100 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Timberwolves | 13% | 90 | 103 |
| 5 | Mavericks | 87% | 105 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Wizards | 19% | 95 | 94 |
| 2 | Spurs | 81% | 106 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 40% | 101 | 100 |
| 3 | Suns | 60% | 104 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Warriors | 52% | 106 | 103 |
| 19 | Kings | 48% | 105 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pacers | 41% | 99 | 95 |
| 26 | Trail Blazers | 59% | 102 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Magic | 75% | 109 | 110 |
| 29 | SuperSonics | 25% | 101 | 94 | |
Tuesday, November 27, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 61% | 100 | 104 |
| 14 | Cavaliers | 39% | 97 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Grizzlies | 36% | 97 | 110 |
| 17 | Nets | 64% | 102 | 103 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bobcats | 32% | 92 | 90 |
| 15 | Heat | 68% | 98 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 76ers | 35% | 94 | 114 |
| 18 | Bucks | 65% | 99 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hawks | 34% | 91 | 78 |
| 16 | Bulls | 66% | 96 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pacers | 30% | 102 | 112 |
| 12 | Nuggets | 70% | 109 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | SuperSonics | 20% | 101 | 99 | |
| 9 | Lakers | 80% | 112 | 106 |
Monday, November 26, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jazz | 63% | 105 | 109 |
| 28 | Knicks | 37% | 101 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Timberwolves | 17% | 90 | 103 |
| 10 | Hornets | 83% | 102 | 94 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wizards | 20% | 98 | 110 |
| 3 | Mavericks | 80% | 109 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 67% | 100 | 99 |
| 21 | Kings | 33% | 94 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Magic | 66% | 104 | 85 |
| 26 | Trail Blazers | 34% | 98 | 74 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rockets | 64% | 99 | 88 |
| 19 | Clippers | 36% | 95 | 71 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Suns | 56% | 111 | 114 |
| 12 | Warriors | 44% | 109 | 129 |
Sunday, November 25, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bulls | 38% | 92 | 78 |
| 15 | Raptors | 62% | 96 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Cavaliers | 49% | 103 | 111 |
| 22 | Pacers | 51% | 104 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jazz | 46% | 99 | 103 |
| 10 | Pistons | 54% | 100 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 80% | 106 | 116 |
| 29 | SuperSonics | 20% | 95 | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Nets | 30% | 94 | 102 | |
| 8 | Lakers | 70% | 101 | 100 |