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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 6, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Mavericks82%104101
30Timberwolves18%9278
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 29.5
32.2
36.9
30
68%
4
1
1
1
2
3
1
3
5-5
100%
11-15
7-14
73%
52%
1-5
20%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 27.7
31.8
37.8
22
47%
8
1
1
1
1
2
2
6
4-5
80%
9-20
7-14
45%
51%
0-1
0%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 25.9
25.8
19.2
1
17%
6
2
2
1
2
0
1
5
1-2
50%
0-2
1-3
0%
53%
0-0
-
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 36.2
23.8
20.7
6
100%
2
5
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
2-3
67%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.9
23.1
28.8
12
72%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
3-3
100%
3-5
4-8
60%
52%
1-2
50%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 22.7
24.6
17.0
4
29%
8
2
0
0
1
1
5
3
0-0
-
2-7
2-5
29%
49%
0-0
-
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.4
23.0
6.8
4
40%
2
1
3
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-1
50%
42%
0-1
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.3
22.8
26.8
14
53%
4
4
1
1
0
0
3
1
2-3
67%
3-4
3-6
75%
53%
2-8
25%
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 28.8
11.7
5.1
0
0%
1
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 34.9
9.7
4.4
4
69%
7
0
0
0
0
0
1
6
2-2
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
46%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.5
7.8
5.0
4
72%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-4
50%
1-1
1-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 23.9
3.7
2.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Nick Fazekas
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.6
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.5
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 33.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 23.0
34.9
36.5
16
46%
11
0
0
1
1
1
3
8
6-8
75%
5-14
9-17
36%
51%
0-0
-
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 22.6
33.7
27.3
6
43%
3
5
0
1
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-6
3-7
50%
42%
0-1
0%
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 29.1
33.4
26.4
14
50%
1
3
3
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
4-12
2-6
33%
44%
2-2
100%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 25.3
27.5
33.5
5
40%
4
0
0
1
0
1
0
4
3-3
100%
1-3
4-8
33%
47%
0-2
0%
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 24.2
14.1
25.2
8
59%
4
0
2
1
0
0
2
2
2-4
50%
3-5
4-8
60%
53%
0-0
-
Rashad McCants
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.3
23.6
25.4
21
73%
4
1
0
1
0
4
0
4
7-10
70%
4-7
3-6
57%
46%
2-3
67%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 31.4
19.7
19.3
3
30%
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
46%
1-2
50%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 21.8
16.6
19.9
1
27%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
2-5
0%
43%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 21.9
15.3
7.6
4
40%
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
43%
0-0
-
Chris Richard
F · 6'9" 256 · 23.0
10.6
6.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 31.9
10.5
2.8
0
0%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-0
-
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 31.3
5.3
0
0-1
49%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 24.3
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 34.7
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 30.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.