Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Sunday, January 6, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 10 | Lakers | 74% | 107 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Bucks | 37% | 95 | 93 |
 | 20 | Bobcats | 63% | 99 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Heat | 39% | 97 | 94 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2 | Mavericks | 82% | 104 | 101 |
 | 30 | Timberwolves | 18% | 92 | 78 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | SuperSonics | 30% | 98 | 86 | |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 14 | Raptors | 57% | 95 | 90 |
Saturday, January 5, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hornets | 27% | 100 | 118 | |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Nets | 48% | 92 | 113 | |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Celtics | 46% | 90 | 92 |
 | 3 | Pistons | 54% | 92 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 17 | Bulls | 68% | 97 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Knicks | 17% | 88 | 91 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Friday, January 4, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Grizzlies | 9% | 87 | 96 |
| 1 | Celtics | 91% | 105 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pistons | 58% | 95 | 101 |
| 14 | Raptors | 42% | 92 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Rockets | 43% | 95 | 96 |
 | 12 | Magic | 57% | 97 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hawks | 51% | 99 | 91 |
| 27 | Pacers | 49% | 98 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bobcats | 36% | 92 | 96 |
| 16 | Nets | 64% | 97 | 102 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Kings | 31% | 91 | 93 |
| 13 | Cavaliers | 69% | 98 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Wizards | 52% | 102 | 101 |
| 23 | Bucks | 48% | 101 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Knicks | 16% | 90 | 93 |
| 5 | Spurs | 84% | 102 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Heat | 17% | 92 | 89 |
| 3 | Mavericks | 83% | 104 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 76ers | 26% | 93 | 93 |
| 7 | Lakers | 74% | 101 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Hornets | 42% | 100 | 116 | |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nuggets | 71% | 105 | 118 |
| 30 | Timberwolves | 29% | 98 | 107 |
Thursday, January 3, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | SuperSonics | 14% | 100 | 96 | |
| 3 | Suns | 86% | 114 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Spurs | 46% | 99 | 77 |
| 12 | Nuggets | 54% | 100 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Trail Blazers | 36% | 91 | 115 |
| 15 | Bulls | 64% | 96 | 109 |
Wednesday, January 2, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Trail Blazers | 64% | 99 | 90 |
| 30 | Timberwolves | 36% | 94 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pistons | 64% | 99 | 106 |
| 18 | Wizards | 36% | 94 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bulls | 52% | 95 | 109 |
| 20 | Bobcats | 48% | 94 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Nets | 29% | 96 | 96 | |
| 9 | Magic | 71% | 103 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hawks | 34% | 90 | 94 |
| 13 | Cavaliers | 66% | 95 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Grizzlies | 39% | 103 | 90 |
| 25 | Pacers | 61% | 106 | 72 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Rockets | 21% | 83 | 93 |
| 1 | Celtics | 79% | 94 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Kings | 51% | 100 | 107 |
| 29 | Knicks | 49% | 99 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bucks | 38% | 96 | 103 |
| 22 | Heat | 62% | 100 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Warriors | 33% | 101 | 99 |
| 2 | Mavericks | 67% | 106 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 76ers | 26% | 93 | 107 |
| 10 | Jazz | 74% | 101 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Hornets | 64% | 97 | 95 | |
| 24 | Clippers | 36% | 93 | 81 |
Monday, December 31, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bucks | 17% | 91 | 69 |
| 4 | Pistons | 83% | 103 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 76ers | 46% | 96 | 98 |
| 28 | SuperSonics | 54% | 98 | 90 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Timberwolves | 30% | 93 | 82 |
| 25 | Clippers | 70% | 100 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Trail Blazers | 27% | 96 | 101 |
| 12 | Jazz | 73% | 104 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Raptors | 31% | 92 | 97 |
| 6 | Hornets | 69% | 99 | 92 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Warriors | 36% | 95 | 112 |
| 9 | Rockets | 64% | 100 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Magic | 54% | 99 | 112 |
| 14 | Bulls | 46% | 97 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pacers | 42% | 99 | 103 |
| 21 | Bobcats | 58% | 101 | 107 |
Sunday, December 30, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 53% | 99 | 110 |
| 5 | Lakers | 47% | 98 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Suns | 66% | 107 | 117 |
| 23 | Kings | 34% | 101 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Grizzlies | 23% | 94 | 87 |
| 8 | Spurs | 77% | 103 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Warriors | 45% | 109 | 105 |
| 9 | Nuggets | 55% | 111 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 76ers | 44% | 92 | 72 |
| 18 | Trail Blazers | 56% | 94 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bulls | 65% | 97 | 100 |
| 29 | Knicks | 35% | 92 | 83 |
Saturday, December 29, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Nets | 45% | 97 | 97 | |
| 22 | Bucks | 55% | 99 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hawks | 22% | 91 | 84 |
| 3 | Mavericks | 78% | 101 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Heat | 40% | 97 | 74 |
| 19 | Wizards | 60% | 101 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bobcats | 24% | 95 | 95 |
| 8 | Magic | 76% | 104 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pistons | 67% | 102 | 98 |
| 27 | Pacers | 33% | 96 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Cavaliers | 39% | 92 | 76 |
| 11 | Hornets | 61% | 96 | 86 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Raptors | 31% | 88 | 79 |
| 10 | Rockets | 69% | 95 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 65% | 99 | 104 |
| 12 | Jazz | 35% | 94 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Timberwolves | 31% | 98 | 90 |
| 28 | SuperSonics | 69% | 105 | 109 | |
Friday, December 28, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Raptors | 33% | 91 | 83 |
| 8 | Spurs | 67% | 97 | 73 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hornets | 58% | 97 | 99 | |
| 20 | Bobcats | 42% | 94 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Wizards | 41% | 96 | 106 |
| 16 | Nets | 59% | 99 | 109 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Magic | 56% | 100 | 121 |
| 19 | Heat | 44% | 98 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pacers | 21% | 93 | 101 |
| 3 | Pistons | 79% | 104 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Rockets | 61% | 99 | 103 |
| 26 | Grizzlies | 39% | 95 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bucks | 33% | 93 | 99 |
| 15 | Bulls | 67% | 99 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Clippers | 19% | 98 | 88 |
| 4 | Suns | 81% | 110 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 76ers | 42% | 93 | 92 |
| 17 | Kings | 58% | 95 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Timberwolves | 27% | 92 | 98 |
| 18 | Trail Blazers | 73% | 100 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jazz | 40% | 102 | 109 |
| 5 | Lakers | 60% | 105 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nuggets | 38% | 106 | 124 |
| 6 | Warriors | 62% | 110 | 120 |
Thursday, December 27, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 80% | 103 | 104 |
| 28 | SuperSonics | 20% | 92 | 96 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Suns | 69% | 107 | 108 |
| 27 | Clippers | 31% | 100 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Cavaliers | 33% | 92 | 88 |
| 4 | Mavericks | 67% | 98 | 81 |
Wednesday, December 26, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mavericks | 49% | 100 | 90 |
| 8 | Jazz | 51% | 101 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Heat | 39% | 92 | 85 |
| 21 | 76ers | 61% | 96 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Wizards | 43% | 96 | 108 |
| 23 | Bobcats | 57% | 98 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pacers | 45% | 98 | 95 |
| 24 | Hawks | 55% | 100 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Knicks | 18% | 95 | 96 |
| 9 | Magic | 82% | 107 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pistons | 60% | 94 | 101 |
| 15 | Nets | 40% | 91 | 83 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hornets | 57% | 101 | 116 | |
| 25 | Grizzlies | 43% | 98 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bulls | 30% | 89 | 79 |
| 7 | Spurs | 70% | 96 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bucks | 30% | 101 | 105 |
| 11 | Nuggets | 70% | 107 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 73% | 98 | 89 |
| 17 | Kings | 27% | 91 | 69 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Timberwolves | 15% | 96 | 101 |
| 6 | Warriors | 85% | 110 | 105 |
Tuesday, December 25, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Heat | 38% | 93 | 82 |
| 12 | Cavaliers | 62% | 97 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | SuperSonics | 32% | 98 | 79 | |
| 19 | Trail Blazers | 68% | 104 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Suns | 44% | 108 | 115 |
| 5 | Lakers | 56% | 110 | 122 |