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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 6, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Spurs72%9688
25Clippers28%8982
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 36.6
38.0
37.6
6
28%
4
2
0
1
0
2
1
3
4-6
67%
1-6
1-3
17%
43%
0-2
0%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.6
36.2
36.3
26
65%
2
2
0
1
0
2
1
1
5-7
71%
9-15
8-16
60%
52%
1-2
50%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 34.8
36.0
32.9
3
14%
11
1
1
1
1
0
2
9
1-2
50%
1-4
3-6
25%
44%
0-6
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 31.7
35.0
36.0
17
48%
17
3
2
1
0
4
4
13
1-4
25%
8-16
9-16
50%
52%
0-0
-
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 37.4
21.4
16.4
4
52%
2
1
2
1
1
0
2
0
1-2
50%
0-2
0-1
0%
41%
1-1
100%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 30.4
29.1
17.6
23
65%
5
2
1
1
1
2
1
4
12-13
92%
4-7
3-5
57%
49%
1-5
20%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 27.8
19.0
23.0
4
40%
4
1
0
1
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
50%
0-2
0%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 32.8
13.1
14.4
2
100%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
57%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.9
11.8
14.6
3
52%
1
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
0-0
-
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.4
0.4
14.8
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 27.7
4.5
0
0-1
52%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 31.9
3.8
0
0-1
49%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 36.0
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 21.2
Keith Langford
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Thornton
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.1
39.6
24.4
17
42%
8
2
0
1
0
3
2
6
1-3
33%
8-17
4-8
47%
44%
0-2
0%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.7
34.4
42.4
20
69%
14
3
0
1
3
1
2
12
6-8
75%
7-11
7-14
64%
48%
0-0
-
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 28.2
32.0
34.6
14
54%
2
1
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
7-13
5-12
54%
46%
0-0
-
Sam Cassell
G · 6'3" 185 · 38.1
24.0
22.6
2
25%
4
4
0
1
0
4
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
3-7
33%
45%
0-1
0%
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 26.7
23.9
22.1
4
29%
2
2
0
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-7
2-5
29%
45%
0-0
-
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 32.3
28.1
32.1
9
50%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-8
3-8
38%
44%
1-1
100%
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 32.2
24.0
22.9
3
34%
2
6
2
1
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
42%
0-0
-
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 30.9
15.2
6.6
7
50%
0
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-1
50%
44%
1-3
33%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.9
13.6
15.1
4
67%
6
2
0
0
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
44%
0-0
-
Richie Frahm
G · 6'5" 202 · 30.4
5.3
12.2
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Dan Dickau
G · 6'0" 180 · 29.3
6.8
0
0-1
41%
Aaron Williams
C-F · 6'9" 235 · 36.3
1.0
0
0-0
50%
Paul Davis
C · 6'11" 270 · 23.5
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 22.3
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 28.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.