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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 6, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Pacers26%9896
10Lakers74%107112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 27.3
31.3
33.2
17
55%
5
1
4
1
1
4
0
5
3-3
100%
1-7
4-8
14%
49%
4-7
57%
Andre Owens
G · 6'4" 200 · 27.2
30.8
24.6
9
57%
2
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
1-4
2-5
25%
40%
2-3
67%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 29.2
30.6
32.7
13
44%
4
0
0
1
2
2
1
3
1-2
50%
6-14
6-14
43%
44%
0-0
-
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 27.7
29.7
24.1
7
39%
14
4
1
1
1
3
2
12
2-2
100%
1-5
2-5
20%
45%
1-3
33%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 24.7
23.8
30.7
14
47%
6
0
2
1
0
1
1
5
1-2
50%
5-10
4-7
50%
48%
1-4
25%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 27.0
24.3
23.7
7
44%
2
2
2
1
0
3
1
1
1-2
50%
3-7
4-8
43%
48%
0-0
-
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 27.2
21.6
23.8
12
50%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-8
2-5
38%
42%
2-4
50%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 31.0
17.8
15.3
6
75%
9
4
0
0
0
1
5
4
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
50%
0-0
-
David Harrison
C · 7'0" 280 · 25.4
11.2
8.7
2
36%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
2-4
50%
0-1
1-3
0%
51%
0-0
-
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.9
10.9
5.1
5
42%
4
4
0
0
0
4
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
45%
1-4
25%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 21.9
5.2
7.8
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
0-0
-
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.3
2.9
9.3
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
46%
0-0
-
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 29.9
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 28.2
39.2
17.8
13
82%
13
3
1
0
1
1
1
12
2-2
100%
4-5
3-5
80%
53%
1-2
50%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 29.4
35.7
31.4
26
53%
2
6
3
1
0
4
0
2
8-8
100%
6-18
6-13
33%
50%
2-3
67%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 20.2
34.1
28.6
23
77%
13
2
0
0
4
3
3
10
7-9
78%
8-11
5-8
73%
59%
0-0
-
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.8
30.3
19.7
10
57%
4
7
1
1
0
2
0
4
2-4
50%
1-5
2-4
20%
49%
2-2
100%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 33.4
28.5
25.1
22
67%
4
5
1
1
0
1
0
4
7-8
88%
3-8
3-6
38%
45%
3-5
60%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 21.1
19.5
22.6
4
21%
2
1
3
1
0
1
0
2
2-3
67%
1-5
2-4
20%
54%
0-3
0%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 22.5
17.7
27.2
6
75%
5
2
0
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
0-2
4-7
0%
53%
2-2
100%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 25.8
13.5
18.1
8
59%
2
1
0
1
1
4
0
2
2-4
50%
3-5
2-4
60%
53%
0-0
-
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 20.0
10.5
17.9
0
0%
0
0
2
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
49%
0-0
-
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 25.0
9.2
22.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
3-6
-
53%
0-0
-
Coby Karl
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.6
1.8
6.3
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-1
0%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 23.8
6.1
0
1-1
46%
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 28.5
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.