Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, January 21, 2008

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	2	Spurs	70%	98	95
	21	Bobcats	30%	91	86

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
Spurs	110.5	86	80.5
Bobcats	101.2	85	92.7

Scoring Opportunities

SAS

+12

-11

CHA

+13

-12

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.08 54.0%

CHA

0.98 48.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	CHA
Q4 - 0:00.0	SAS		95	86
Q4 - 0:19.0	SAS	Finley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	95	86
Q4 - 0:20.0	CHA	MISS Richardson 27' 3PT Jump Shot	95	86
Q4 - 0:33.0	CHA	Dudley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	95	86
Q4 - 0:35.0	SAS	MISS Finley 19' Jump Shot	95	86
Q4 - 1:00	CHA	Okafor Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)	95	86
Q4 - 1:00	SAS	Richardson S.FOUL (P2.T3)	95	85
Q4 - 1:00	CHA	Okafor Layup (20 PTS)	95	85
Q4 - 1:12	SAS	Bonner Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)	95	83
Q4 - 1:12	SAS	Spurs Rebound	94	83
Q4 - 1:12	SAS	MISS Bonner Free Throw 1 of 2	94	83
Q4 - 1:12	CHA	Okafor S.FOUL (P4.T4)	94	83
Q4 - 1:31	CHA	Okafor Dunk (18 PTS) (Felton 6 AST)	94	83
Q4 - 1:38	CHA	Okafor REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)	94	81
Q4 - 1:39	SAS	MISS Finley 17' Jump Shot	94	81
Q4 - 2:05	CHA	Dudley 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Felton 5 AST)	94	81
Q4 - 2:17	SAS	Elson P.FOUL (P1.T2)	94	79
Q4 - 2:25	CHA	Dudley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	94	79
Q4 - 2:27	SAS	MISS Finley 16' Jump Shot	94	79
Q4 - 2:30	SAS	SUB: Richardson FOR Ginobili	94	79
Q4 - 2:30	SAS	SUB: Bonner FOR Duncan	94	79
Q4 - 2:30	SAS	SUB: Vaughn FOR Parker	94	79
Q4 - 2:30	SAS	SUB: Elson FOR Barry	94	79
Q4 - 2:30	CHA	SUB: Dudley FOR Wallace	94	79
Q4 - 2:41	SAS	Finley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	94	79
Q4 - 2:42	CHA	MISS Richardson 19' Jump Shot	94	79
Q4 - 3:01	SAS	Parker 11' Floating Jump Shot (16 PTS)	94	79
Q4 - 3:14	CHA	Felton Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)	92	79
Q4 - 3:25	SAS	SUB: Ginobili FOR Udoka	92	79
Q4 - 3:25	CHA	BOBCATS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)	92	79
Q4 - 3:26	SAS	Parker 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS)	92	79
Q4 - 3:43	SAS	Barry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	90	79
Q4 - 3:44	SAS	MISS Finley Layup	90	79
Q4 - 3:54	CHA	Wallace Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)	90	79
Q4 - 3:56	SAS	Duncan Layup (19 PTS)	90	79
Q4 - 4:18	CHA	Felton Layup (10 PTS)	88	79
Q4 - 4:26	CHA	Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)	88	77
Q4 - 4:27	SAS	MISS Duncan 11' Hook Shot	88	77
Q4 - 4:43	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)	88	77
Q4 - 4:44	CHA	MISS Wallace 20' Jump Shot	88	77
Q4 - 4:59	SAS	Wallace STEAL (1 STL)	88	77
Q4 - 5:08	SAS	Parker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	88	77
Q4 - 5:09	CHA	MISS Felton 26' 3PT Jump Shot	88	77
Q4 - 5:35	SAS	Duncan Running Dunk (17 PTS) (Barry 2 AST)	88	77
Q4 - 5:49	CHA	Okafor P.FOUL (P3.T3)	86	77
Q4 - 5:49			86	77
Q4 - 6:09	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)	86	77
Q4 - 6:10	CHA	MISS Richardson 14' Jump Shot	86	77
Q4 - 6:29	SAS	Barry Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)	86	77
Q4 - 6:29	CHA	SUB: Okafor FOR Mohammed	85	77
Q4 - 6:29	SAS	Barry Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)	85	77
Q4 - 6:29	CHA	Carroll S.FOUL (P1.T2)	84	77
Q4 - 6:43	SAS	Finley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	84	77
Q4 - 6:45	CHA	Mohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	84	77
Q4 - 6:45	CHA	MISS Mohammed Tip Shot	84	77
Q4 - 6:48	CHA	MISS Carroll Layup	84	77
Q4 - 6:57	SAS	SUB: Finley FOR Vaughn	84	77
Q4 - 6:57	SAS	SUB: Duncan FOR Oberto	84	77
Q4 - 6:57	SAS	SUB: Parker FOR Ginobili	84	77
Q4 - 6:57	SAS	Vaughn P.FOUL (P1.T1)	84	77
Q4 - 7:11	CHA	Mohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	84	77
Q4 - 7:12	SAS	MISS Barry 26' 3PT Jump Shot	84	77
Q4 - 7:18	CHA	Richardson Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10)	84	77
Q4 - 7:28	SAS	Mohammed STEAL (2 STL)	84	77
Q4 - 7:39	CHA	Carroll 22' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Richardson 3 AST)	84	77
Q4 - 8:00	SAS	Udoka 11' Jump Shot (11 PTS)	84	75
Q4 - 8:20	CHA	Mohammed 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Felton 4 AST)	82	75
Q4 - 8:44	SAS	Udoka 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ginobili 6 AST)	82	73
Q4 - 9:02	CHA	SUB: Felton FOR McInnis	80	73
Q4 - 9:02	SAS	Spurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)	80	73
Q4 - 9:02	CHA	Carroll 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wallace 4 AST)	80	73
Q4 - 9:12	CHA	Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)	80	71
Q4 - 9:14	SAS	MISS Ginobili 16' Jump Shot	80	71
Q4 - 9:22	SAS	Udoka REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	80	71
Q4 - 9:24	CHA	MISS Wallace 9' Jump Shot	80	71
Q4 - 9:43	SAS	Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)	80	71
Q4 - 9:58	CHA	McInnis Driving Layup (4 PTS)	77	71
Q4 - 10:18	SAS	Vaughn 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)	77	69
Q4 - 10:19	SAS	Ginobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	75	69
Q4 - 10:20	SAS	Carroll BLOCK (1 BLK)	75	69
Q4 - 10:29	SAS	Oberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	75	69
Q4 - 10:31	CHA	MISS Wallace 19' Jump Shot	75	69
Q4 - 10:42	CHA	Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)	75	69
Q4 - 10:43	SAS	MISS Vaughn 21' Jump Shot	75	69
Q4 - 11:01	CHA	Mohammed P.FOUL (P2.T1)	75	69
Q4 - 11:08	CHA	Mohammed 12' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (McInnis 9 AST)	75	69
Q4 - 11:30	SAS	Oberto Layup (4 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)	75	67
Q4 - 11:43	SAS	Vaughn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	73	67
Q4 - 11:44	SAS	MISS Barry 26' 3PT Jump Shot	73	67
Q4 - 12:00			73	67
Q3 - 0:00.0	SAS		73	67
Q3 - 0:02.0	CHA	Wallace Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)	73	67
Q3 - 0:08.0	SAS	Ginobili 7' Running Bank Shot (13 PTS)	73	67
Q3 - 0:30.0	SAS	Oberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	71	67
Q3 - 0:31.0	CHA	MISS Carroll Free Throw 2 of 2	71	67
Q3 - 0:31.0	CHA	Carroll Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	71	67
Q3 - 0:31.0	SAS	Barry P.FOUL (P2.PN)	71	66
Q3 - 0:34.0	SAS	Carroll STEAL (1 STL)	71	66
Q3 - 0:47.0	CHA	Mohammed 8' Turnaround Fadeaway (8 PTS)	71	66
Q3 - 1:10	SAS	Spurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)	71	64
Q3 - 1:10	SAS	Oberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	71	64
Q3 - 1:10	SAS	MISS Ginobili 9' Running Jump Shot	71	64
Q3 - 1:33	SAS	Udoka REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	71	64
Q3 - 1:34	CHA	MISS Mohammed 10' Jump Shot	71	64
Q3 - 1:51	SAS	Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)	71	64
Q3 - 1:51	SAS	Spurs Rebound	70	64
Q3 - 1:51	SAS	MISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 2	70	64
Q3 - 1:51	CHA	Mohammed S.FOUL (P1.PN)	70	64
Q3 - 2:05	CHA	Wallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)	70	64
Q3 - 2:05	SAS	SUB: Oberto FOR Duncan	70	63
Q3 - 2:05	SAS	SUB: Ginobili FOR Bowen	70	63
Q3 - 2:05	CHA	BOBCATS Rebound	70	63
Q3 - 2:05	CHA	MISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 2	70	63
Q3 - 2:05	SAS	Udoka S.FOUL (P1.PN)	70	63
Q3 - 2:20	SAS	Mohammed STEAL (1 STL)	70	63
Q3 - 2:32	CHA	Wallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)	70	63
Q3 - 2:32	CHA	Wallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)	70	62
Q3 - 2:32	SAS	SUB: Vaughn FOR Parker	70	61
Q3 - 2:32	SAS	Spurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)	70	61
Q3 - 2:32	SAS	Duncan S.FOUL (P2.T4)	70	61
Q3 - 2:55	SAS	Parker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	70	61
Q3 - 2:55	SAS	Parker Finger Roll Layup (12 PTS)	70	61
Q3 - 2:58	SAS	MISS Parker Layup	68	61
Q3 - 3:03	CHA	Richardson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)	68	61
Q3 - 3:17	CHA	McInnis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	68	61
Q3 - 3:19	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)	68	61
Q3 - 3:19	SAS	MISS Duncan Tip Shot	68	61
Q3 - 3:20	SAS	MISS Udoka 7' Floating Jump Shot	68	61
Q3 - 3:35	CHA	Wallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)	68	61
Q3 - 3:35	SAS	SUB: Barry FOR Finley	68	60
Q3 - 3:35	CHA	Wallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)	68	60
Q3 - 3:35	SAS	SUB: Udoka FOR Ginobili	68	59
Q3 - 3:35	CHA	SUB: McInnis FOR Felton	68	59
Q3 - 3:35	CHA	SUB: Mohammed FOR Okafor	68	59
Q3 - 3:35	SAS	Finley S.FOUL (P1.T3)	68	59
Q3 - 3:39	CHA	Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	68	59
Q3 - 3:40	SAS	MISS Duncan Layup	68	59
Q3 - 4:00	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	68	59
Q3 - 4:01	CHA	MISS Wallace 27' 3PT Jump Shot	68	59
Q3 - 4:13	CHA	Okafor REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)	68	59
Q3 - 4:14	SAS	MISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot	68	59
Q3 - 4:20	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	68	59
Q3 - 4:22	CHA	MISS Richardson Layup	68	59
Q3 - 4:38	SAS	Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)	68	59
Q3 - 4:45	SAS	Parker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	65	59
Q3 - 4:46	CHA	MISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot	65	59
Q3 - 4:55	SAS	Duncan 14' Jump Bank Shot (15 PTS)	65	59
Q3 - 5:17	CHA	Wallace Driving Dunk (10 PTS)	63	59
Q3 - 5:31	CHA	BOBCATS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)	63	57
Q3 - 5:31	SAS	Finley 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)	63	57
Q3 - 5:37	SAS	Bowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	60	57
Q3 - 5:38	CHA	MISS Felton 25' 3PT Jump Shot	60	57
Q3 - 6:00	CHA	Richardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	60	57
Q3 - 6:01	SAS	MISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot	60	57
Q3 - 6:12	CHA	SUB: Carroll FOR McInnis	60	57
Q3 - 6:12	CHA	Okafor P.FOUL (P2.T4)	60	57
Q3 - 6:28	CHA	Okafor REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)	60	57
Q3 - 6:28	CHA	Okafor Tip Shot (16 PTS)	60	57
Q3 - 6:29	CHA	MISS Wallace Layup	60	55
Q3 - 6:40	CHA	Felton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	60	55
Q3 - 6:42	CHA	MISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot	60	55
Q3 - 6:48	SAS	Okafor STEAL (1 STL)	60	55
Q3 - 7:02	CHA	Okafor Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)	60	55
Q3 - 7:21	SAS	Duncan Foul Turnover (P2.T7)	60	55
Q3 - 7:21	SAS	Duncan OFF.Foul (P1)	60	55
Q3 - 7:21	SAS	Spurs Rebound	60	55
Q3 - 7:21	SAS	MISS Finley Free Throw Technical	60	55
Q3 - 7:21	CHA	Wallace T.FOUL (P3.T3)	60	55
Q3 - 7:21	CHA	Wallace P.FOUL (P3.T3)	60	55
Q3 - 7:29	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	60	55
Q3 - 7:30	CHA	MISS Wallace 8' Jump Shot	60	55
Q3 - 7:34	CHA	BOBCATS Rebound	60	55
Q3 - 7:34	CHA	MISS Wallace Dunk	60	55
Q3 - 7:48	CHA	Jump Ball Wallace vs. Ginobili: Tip to Felton	60	55
Q3 - 7:51	SAS	Richardson STEAL (2 STL)	60	55
Q3 - 8:08	CHA	Okafor 7' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS)	60	55
Q3 - 8:24	SAS	Duncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)	60	53
Q3 - 8:24	SAS	Spurs Rebound	59	53
Q3 - 8:24	SAS	MISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 2	59	53
Q3 - 8:24	CHA	Wallace S.FOUL (P2.T2)	59	53
Q3 - 8:32	SAS	Spurs Rebound	59	53
Q3 - 8:32	SAS	MISS Ginobili Free Throw Technical	59	53
Q3 - 8:32	CHA	McInnis T.FOUL (P3.T1)	59	53
Q3 - 8:32	CHA	McInnis P.FOUL (P3.T1)	59	53
Q3 - 8:39	CHA	Okafor REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)	59	53
Q3 - 8:39	CHA	Okafor Putback Dunk (12 PTS)	59	53
Q3 - 8:40	CHA	MISS Felton Layup	59	51
Q3 - 8:54	SAS	Finley 27' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bowen 3 AST)	59	51
Q3 - 9:09	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	56	51
Q3 - 9:10	CHA	MISS Felton 21' Jump Shot	56	51
Q3 - 9:16	CHA	BOBCATS Rebound	56	51
Q3 - 9:16	CHA	MISS Okafor Layup	56	51
Q3 - 9:31	CHA	Okafor REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)	56	51
Q3 - 9:33	CHA	MISS Richardson 18' Jump Shot	56	51
Q3 - 9:37	SAS	SUB: Ginobili FOR Richardson	56	51
Q3 - 9:39	CHA	Richardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	56	51
Q3 - 9:40	SAS	MISS Duncan 10' Hook Shot	56	51
Q3 - 10:01	CHA	Okafor Dunk (10 PTS) (McInnis 8 AST)	56	51
Q3 - 10:20	CHA	Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	56	49
Q3 - 10:21	SAS	MISS Parker 18' Jump Shot	56	49
Q3 - 10:43	CHA	Felton 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS)	56	49
Q3 - 10:49	SAS	Parker P.FOUL (P1.T2)	56	47
Q3 - 10:53	SAS	Richardson P.FOUL (P1.T1)	56	47
Q3 - 11:07	CHA	Okafor REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)	56	47
Q3 - 11:08	CHA	MISS McInnis 16' Jump Shot	56	47
Q3 - 11:27	SAS	Finley 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)	56	47
Q3 - 11:44	SAS	Bowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	54	47
Q3 - 11:45	CHA	MISS Felton Layup	54	47
Q3 - 12:00			54	47
Q2 - 0:00.0	CHA		54	47
Q2 - 0:00.0	CHA	BOBCATS Rebound	54	47
Q2 - 0:00.0	CHA	MISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot	54	47
Q2 - 0:05.0	SAS	Duncan Layup (12 PTS)	54	47
Q2 - 0:05.0	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	52	47
Q2 - 0:05.0	SAS	MISS Ginobili Layup	52	47
Q2 - 0:27.0	SAS	Ginobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	52	47
Q2 - 0:28.0	CHA	MISS Felton 20' Jump Shot	52	47
Q2 - 0:43.0	SAS	SUB: Finley FOR Bowen	52	47
Q2 - 0:43.0	SAS	Ginobili P.FOUL (P1.T1)	52	47
Q2 - 0:58.0	CHA	Carroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	52	47
Q2 - 0:59.0	SAS	MISS Ginobili 18' Jump Shot	52	47
Q2 - 1:09	CHA	Wallace Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)	52	47
Q2 - 1:18	CHA	Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	52	47
Q2 - 1:19	SAS	MISS Parker 20' Jump Shot	52	47
Q2 - 1:37	CHA	Richardson Layup (13 PTS) (Wallace 3 AST)	52	47
Q2 - 1:44	CHA	Felton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	52	45
Q2 - 1:46	SAS	MISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot	52	45
Q2 - 2:04	CHA	Felton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)	52	45
Q2 - 2:14	SAS	Barry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)	52	45
Q2 - 2:26	CHA	Richardson Foul Turnover (P2.T4)	49	45
Q2 - 2:26	CHA	Richardson OFF.Foul (P1)	49	45
Q2 - 2:43	SAS	Parker 10' Jump Shot (10 PTS)	49	45
Q2 - 3:00	CHA	Richardson Reverse Layup (11 PTS)	47	45
Q2 - 3:03	SAS	Richardson STEAL (1 STL)	47	43
Q2 - 3:05	SAS	Bowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	47	43
Q2 - 3:06	CHA	Okafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	47	43
Q2 - 3:06	CHA	MISS Okafor Layup	47	43
Q2 - 3:09	CHA	MISS Okafor 5' Jump Shot	47	43
Q2 - 3:27	SAS	Ginobili Driving Layup (10 PTS)	47	43
Q2 - 3:39	SAS	SUB: Ginobili FOR Udoka	45	43
Q2 - 3:39	CHA	SUB: Carroll FOR McInnis	45	43
Q2 - 3:39	SAS	Spurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)	45	43
Q2 - 3:45	CHA	Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (McInnis 7 AST)	45	43
Q2 - 3:51	CHA	McInnis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	45	40
Q2 - 3:53	SAS	Okafor BLOCK (1 BLK)	45	40
Q2 - 4:17	CHA	Wallace 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (McInnis 6 AST)	45	40
Q2 - 4:29	SAS	Duncan Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)	45	38
Q2 - 4:49	CHA	Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (McInnis 5 AST)	43	38
Q2 - 4:53	CHA	Okafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	43	35
Q2 - 4:54	CHA	MISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot	43	35
Q2 - 5:13	SAS	Parker Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T4)	43	35
Q2 - 5:28	SAS	Barry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	43	35
Q2 - 5:30	CHA	MISS Richardson Layup	43	35
Q2 - 5:50	SAS	Barry Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	43	35
Q2 - 5:50	SAS	Barry Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	42	35
Q2 - 5:50	SAS	SUB: Parker FOR Vaughn	41	35
Q2 - 5:50			41	35
Q2 - 5:50	CHA	McInnis S.FOUL (P2.T2)	41	35
Q2 - 5:50	SAS	Barry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	41	35
Q2 - 5:50	SAS	Udoka REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	41	35
Q2 - 5:50	SAS	MISS Udoka Tip Shot	41	35
Q2 - 5:51	SAS	MISS Duncan 21' Jump Shot	41	35
Q2 - 6:07	SAS	Udoka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	41	35
Q2 - 6:09	SAS	MISS Barry 24' 3PT Jump Shot	41	35
Q2 - 6:16	CHA	Wallace Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)	41	35
Q2 - 6:35	SAS	Duncan 10' Turnaround Hook Shot (8 PTS)	41	35
Q2 - 6:53	CHA	McInnis 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Okafor 1 AST)	39	35
Q2 - 7:07	CHA	SUB: Okafor FOR Dudley	39	33
Q2 - 7:07	SAS	SUB: Bowen FOR Bonner	39	33
Q2 - 7:07	CHA	SUB: Felton FOR Carroll	39	33
Q2 - 7:07	CHA	SUB: Wallace FOR Mohammed	39	33
Q2 - 7:07	SAS	SUB: Duncan FOR Oberto	39	33
Q2 - 7:07	SAS	SUB: Barry FOR Ginobili	39	33
Q2 - 7:16	SAS	Udoka 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)	39	33
Q2 - 7:28	CHA	Mohammed 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)	37	33
Q2 - 7:49	SAS	Oberto 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)	37	31
Q2 - 8:12	SAS	Bonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	35	31
Q2 - 8:13	CHA	MISS Carroll 20' Jump Shot	35	31
Q2 - 8:19	CHA	Mohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	35	31
Q2 - 8:21	SAS	MISS Ginobili 18' Jump Shot	35	31
Q2 - 8:40	CHA	Dudley 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (McInnis 4 AST)	35	31
Q2 - 8:53	CHA	McInnis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	35	29
Q2 - 8:55	SAS	MISS Udoka 3PT Jump Shot	35	29
Q2 - 9:19	SAS	Ginobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	35	29
Q2 - 9:20	CHA	MISS Richardson 19' Jump Shot	35	29
Q2 - 9:32	SAS	SUB: Bonner FOR Barry	35	29
Q2 - 9:32	CHA	BOBCATS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 1)	35	29
Q2 - 9:39	SAS	Ginobili Layup (8 PTS)	35	29
Q2 - 9:43	CHA	Richardson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)	33	29
Q2 - 9:58	SAS	Udoka Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)	33	29
Q2 - 9:58	CHA	SUB: Richardson FOR Wallace	32	29
Q2 - 9:58	SAS	Udoka Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)	32	29
Q2 - 9:58	CHA	Wallace S.FOUL (P1.T1)	31	29
Q2 - 10:01	CHA	McInnis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)	31	29
Q2 - 10:10	CHA	Mohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	31	29
Q2 - 10:11	SAS	Wallace BLOCK (1 BLK)	31	29
Q2 - 10:19	SAS	Udoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	31	29
Q2 - 10:20	CHA	MISS Carroll 26' 3PT Jump Shot	31	29
Q2 - 10:38	SAS	Ginobili 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)	31	29
Q2 - 10:57	CHA	Carroll 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	29	29
Q2 - 11:21	SAS	Udoka 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)	29	27
Q2 - 11:35	SAS	Ginobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	26	27
Q2 - 11:36	CHA	MISS McInnis 13' Jump Shot	26	27
Q2 - 11:44	CHA	BOBCATS Rebound	26	27
Q2 - 11:44	CHA	MISS Wallace Layup	26	27
Q2 - 12:00			26	27
Q1 - 0:00.0	CHA		26	27
Q1 - 0:00.0	CHA	BOBCATS Rebound	26	27
Q1 - 0:00.0	CHA	MISS Richardson 27' 3PT Jump Shot	26	27
Q1 - 0:03.0	SAS	SUB: Vaughn FOR Parker	26	27
Q1 - 0:03.0	CHA	BOBCATS Timeout: Short (Full 1 Short 1)	26	27
Q1 - 0:03.0	SAS	Barry P.FOUL (P1.T2)	26	27
Q1 - 0:05.0	SAS	Parker Reverse Layup (8 PTS)	26	27
Q1 - 0:27.0	CHA	Richardson Layup (3 PTS) (Carroll 1 AST)	24	27
Q1 - 0:45.0	SAS	Ginobili 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	24	25
Q1 - 0:56.0	SAS	Oberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	22	25
Q1 - 0:59.0	SAS	MISS Parker 20' Jump Shot	22	25
Q1 - 1:14	CHA	Mohammed 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	22	25
Q1 - 1:32	CHA	Richardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	22	23
Q1 - 1:33	SAS	MISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot	22	23
Q1 - 1:42	SAS	Ginobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	22	23
Q1 - 1:43	CHA	MISS Wallace 24' 3PT Jump Shot	22	23
Q1 - 2:06	SAS	Parker Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	22	23
Q1 - 2:06	SAS	SUB: Udoka FOR Finley	21	23
Q1 - 2:06	SAS	SUB: Barry FOR Duncan	21	23
Q1 - 2:06	SAS	SUB: Oberto FOR Bowen	21	23
Q1 - 2:06	SAS	Parker Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	21	23
Q1 - 2:06	CHA	SUB: Carroll FOR McInnis	20	23
Q1 - 2:06	CHA	BOBCATS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)	20	23
Q1 - 2:06	CHA	Felton S.FOUL (P1.T3)	20	23
Q1 - 2:19	CHA	Felton Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)	20	23
Q1 - 2:40	SAS	Finley 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)	20	21
Q1 - 3:00	CHA	Mohammed 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	18	21
Q1 - 3:18	SAS	Parker 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)	18	19
Q1 - 3:27	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	16	19
Q1 - 3:28	CHA	MISS Richardson 13' Jump Shot	16	19
Q1 - 3:35	SAS	Felton STEAL (1 STL)	16	19
Q1 - 3:40	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	16	19
Q1 - 3:41	CHA	MISS Wallace 20' Jump Shot	16	19
Q1 - 4:01	CHA	Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	16	19
Q1 - 4:02	SAS	MISS Parker 21' Jump Shot	16	19
Q1 - 4:08	CHA	SUB: Mohammed FOR Okafor	16	19
Q1 - 4:23	SAS	Spurs Rebound	16	19
Q1 - 4:23	CHA	MISS Wallace Layup	16	19
Q1 - 4:40	SAS	Spurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)	16	19
Q1 - 4:56	CHA	McInnis P.FOUL (P1.T2)	16	19
Q1 - 5:07	CHA	Wallace 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Felton 3 AST)	16	19
Q1 - 5:29	SAS	Ginobili 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	16	17
Q1 - 5:35	SAS	SUB: Ginobili FOR Richardson	14	17
Q1 - 5:35	SAS	Spurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)	14	17
Q1 - 5:42	SAS	Finley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	14	17
Q1 - 5:44	CHA	MISS Okafor 7' Jump Shot	14	17
Q1 - 6:05	SAS	Duncan 8' Hook Bank Shot (6 PTS)	14	17
Q1 - 6:19	SAS	Finley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	12	17
Q1 - 6:20	CHA	MISS Richardson 28' 3PT Jump Shot	12	17
Q1 - 6:31	SAS	Bowen 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)	12	17
Q1 - 6:57	CHA	Okafor 11' Jump Shot (8 PTS)	9	17
Q1 - 7:08	CHA	Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	9	15
Q1 - 7:10	SAS	MISS Duncan 14' Jump Bank Shot	9	15
Q1 - 7:28	CHA	Felton 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)	9	15
Q1 - 7:51	SAS	Duncan 9' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)	9	13
Q1 - 8:07	CHA	Richardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)	7	13
Q1 - 8:07	CHA	BOBCATS Rebound	7	12
Q1 - 8:07	CHA	MISS Richardson Free Throw 1 of 2	7	12
Q1 - 8:07	SAS	Bowen S.FOUL (P1.T1)	7	12
Q1 - 8:17	CHA	Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	7	12
Q1 - 8:18	SAS	MISS Parker 21' Jump Shot	7	12
Q1 - 8:29	CHA	Okafor Dunk (6 PTS) (Felton 2 AST)	7	12
Q1 - 8:44	SAS	Parker Driving Layup (2 PTS)	7	10
Q1 - 9:00	CHA	Wallace 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Felton 1 AST)	5	10
Q1 - 9:16	SAS	Duncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	5	8
Q1 - 9:16	SAS	Duncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	4	8
Q1 - 9:16	CHA	Okafor S.FOUL (P1.T1)	3	8
Q1 - 9:31	CHA	Wallace Layup (2 PTS) (McInnis 3 AST)	3	8
Q1 - 9:50	SAS	Parker Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)	3	6
Q1 - 9:50	SAS	Parker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	3	6
Q1 - 9:51	SAS	MISS Parker Layup	3	6
Q1 - 10:07	CHA	Felton 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)	3	6
Q1 - 10:16	SAS	Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)	3	4
Q1 - 10:30	CHA	Okafor 8' Hook Bank Shot (4 PTS) (McInnis 2 AST)	0	4
Q1 - 10:46	CHA	Richardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0	2
Q1 - 10:47	SAS	MISS Duncan 14' Jump Shot	0	2
Q1 - 11:05	CHA	Okafor Layup (2 PTS) (McInnis 1 AST)	0	2
Q1 - 11:19	CHA	Okafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	0	0
Q1 - 11:21	SAS	Richardson BLOCK (1 BLK)	0	0
Q1 - 11:25	SAS	Bowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0	0
Q1 - 11:27	CHA	MISS Wallace Layup	0	0
Q1 - 11:44	CHA	Okafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0	0
Q1 - 11:45	SAS	MISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot	0	0
Q1 - 12:00	CHA	Jump Ball Okafor vs. Duncan: Tip to Parker	0	0
Q1 - 12:00			0	0
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	CHA
			Score / WinProb

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.08 54.0%

CHA

0.98 48.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

56%

CHA

52%

Midrange

SAS

45%

CHA

55%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

12.0

50%

75%

CHA

3.0

14%

21%

Free Throws

SAS

72%

CHA

73%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Duncan	19	50%	9.5 / 19
T. Parker	16	53%	8.0 / 15
M. Ginobili	16	50%	8.0 / 16
M. Finley	13	72%	6.5 / 9
I. Udoka	11	69%	5.5 / 8
B. Barry	7	50%	3.5 / 7
F. Oberto	4	100%	2.0 / 2
B. Bowen	3	75%	1.5 / 2
J. Richardson	3	50%	1.5 / 3
J. Vaughn	2	50%	1.0 / 2
M. Bonner	1	50%	0.5 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Bobcats

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
E. Okafor	21	75%	10.5 / 14
G. Wallace	15	36%	7.5 / 21
J. Richardson	13	34%	6.5 / 19
N. Mohammed	12	75%	6.0 / 8
R. Felton	10	45%	5.0 / 11
M. Carroll	7	50%	3.5 / 7
J. McInnis	4	50%	2.0 / 4
J. Dudley	4	100%	2.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS

+12

-11

CHA

+13

-12

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.08 54.0%

CHA

0.98 48.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	106.5 104.7	SAS 110.5 +9.3 CHA 101.2
Pace	89.5 91.9	SAS 80.5 CHA 92.7 +12.2
Avg. Poss. Time	16.5 15.7	SAS 17.9 CHA 15.5 −2.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	50.4% 49.2%	SAS 53.9% +5.8% CHA 48.1%
TO %	13.4% 14.9%	SAS 13.4% CHA 12.3% −1.1%
ORB %	23.4% 25.7%	SAS 30.8% +9.7% CHA 21.1%
FTrt	27.6 32.3	SAS 23.7 +10.1 CHA 13.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	58.5% 59.1%	SAS 48.6% CHA 63.2% +14.6%
STL %	7.1% 8.1%	SAS 12.8% +3.4% CHA 9.4%
BLK %	6.5% 7.7%	SAS 14.9% +8.2% CHA 6.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	52.8% 51.6%	SAS 54.0% +5.1% CHA 48.9%
Rim FG%	60.6% 57.1%	SAS 55.6% +3.9% CHA 51.7%
Mid FG%	40.4% 39.2%	SAS 45.2% CHA 55.3% +10.1%
3P %	36.9% 36.7%	SAS 50.0% +35.7% CHA 14.3%
FT %	76.1% 71.4%	SAS 72.2% CHA 72.7% +0.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	30.8% 36.3%	SAS 23.7% CHA 35.8% +12.1%
Mid Att. %	44.1% 41.7%	SAS 55.3% CHA 46.9% −8.3%
3P Att. %	25.1% 22.0%	SAS 21.1% +3.8% CHA 17.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAS	CHA
Possessions	86	85
Possession Minutes	25.6	22.0
Points	95	86
Rebounds	42	35
Assists	18	24
Steals	11	8
Blocks	10	4
Turnovers (Team)	11 (2)	12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (0)	8 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (1)	27 (0)
Field Goals	37-76	38-81
At-the-Rim FG	10-18	15-29
Midrange FG	19-42	21-38
2-Point FG	29-60	36-67
3-Point FG	8-16	2-14
Free Throws	13-18	8-11
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

2 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 26	31.7	16	53%	4	3	2	0	3	1	2	2	2-2	100%	7-14	50%	0-0	-
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 32	31.4	19	50%	10	3	0	5	4	2	2	8	3-4	75%	8-17	47%	0-0	-
Bruce Bowen F · 6'7" 200 · 37	26.2	3	75%	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Michael Finley G · 6'7" 225 · 35	26.0	13	72%	5	1	0	2	0	1	0	5	0-1	0%	2-6	33%	3-3	100%
Jeremy Richardson C · 6'7" 195 · 24	11.3	3	50%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%

Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 30	28.2	16	50%	5	6	4	1	1	1	1	4	1-3	33%	6-12	50%	1-3	33%
Brent Barry G · 6'7" 210 · 36	24.8	7	50%	3	2	1	0	1	2	2	1	4-4	100%	0-1	0%	1-4	25%
Ime Udoka G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30	22.6	11	69%	5	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	1-2	50%
Jacque Vaughn G · 6'1" 190 · 33	16.3	2	50%	1	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Fabricio Oberto C · 6'10" 245 · 33	14.1	4	100%	4	0	2	1	0	0	2	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Matt Bonner C-F · 6'10" 235 · 28	4.9	1	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Francisco Elson C-F · 7'0" 240 · 32	2.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Ian Mahinmi #28 · C · 6'11" 262 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Robert Horry #25 · F-C · 6'10" 240 · 37	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	95	54%	42	18	11	10	11	0	12	30	13-18	72%	29-60	48%	8-16	50%

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2 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 26	31.7	16	53%	4	3	2	0	3	1	2	2	2-2	100%	7-14	50%	0-0	-
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 32	31.4	19	50%	10	3	0	5	4	2	2	8	3-4	75%	8-17	47%	0-0	-
Bruce Bowen F · 6'7" 200 · 37	26.2	3	75%	4	3	1	1	1	1	0	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Michael Finley G · 6'7" 225 · 35	26.0	13	72%	5	1	0	2	0	1	0	5	0-1	0%	2-6	33%	3-3	100%
Jeremy Richardson C · 6'7" 195 · 24	11.3	3	50%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%

Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 30	28.2	16	50%	5	6	4	1	1	1	1	4	1-3	33%	6-12	50%	1-3	33%
Brent Barry G · 6'7" 210 · 36	24.8	7	50%	3	2	1	0	1	2	2	1	4-4	100%	0-1	0%	1-4	25%
Ime Udoka G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30	22.6	11	69%	5	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	1-2	50%
Jacque Vaughn G · 6'1" 190 · 33	16.3	2	50%	1	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Fabricio Oberto C · 6'10" 245 · 33	14.1	4	100%	4	0	2	1	0	0	2	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Matt Bonner C-F · 6'10" 235 · 28	4.9	1	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Francisco Elson C-F · 7'0" 240 · 32	2.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Ian Mahinmi #28 · C · 6'11" 262 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Robert Horry #25 · F-C · 6'10" 240 · 37	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	95	54%	42	18	11	10	11	0	12	30	13-18	72%	29-60	48%	8-16	50%

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21 Charlotte Bobcats

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jason Richardson F · 6'6" 225 · 27	46.0	13	34%	4	3	2	1	4	1	0	4	1-2	50%	3-10	30%	2-8	25%
Gerald Wallace F · 6'7" 220 · 25	42.6	15	36%	9	4	1	1	4	3	0	9	5-6	83%	5-15	33%	0-3	0%
Raymond Felton G · 6'1" 205 · 24	36.6	10	45%	2	6	1	0	2	1	1	1	0-0	-	5-9	56%	0-2	0%
Jeff McInnis G · 6'4" 190 · 33	30.6	4	50%	3	9	0	0	1	3	0	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Emeka Okafor C · 6'10" 255 · 25	29.9	21	75%	10	1	1	1	1	4	6	4	1-1	100%	10-14	71%	0-0	-

Matt Carroll G · 6'6" 212 · 27	28.8	7	50%	1	1	1	1	0	1	0	1	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Nazr Mohammed C · 6'10" 250 · 30	18.1	12	75%	4	0	2	0	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	6-8	75%	0-0	-
Jared Dudley F · 6'7" 240 · 23	7.4	4	100%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Ryan Hollins C · 7'0" 240 · 23
Derek Anderson G · 6'5" 195 · 34
Jermareo Davidson F · 6'10" 230 · 23
Othella Harrington F-C · 6'9" 235 · 34
Sean May #42 · C-F · 6'9" 266 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Adam Morrison #35 · F · 6'8" 205 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	86	49%	35	24	8	4	12	0	8	27	8-11	73%	36-67	54%	2-14	14%

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indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE