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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 21, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs70%9795
21Bobcats30%9186
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.7
31.7
35.3
16
54%
4
3
2
1
0
3
2
2
2-2
100%
7-14
8-15
50%
53%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 31.7
31.4
37.5
19
51%
10
3
0
1
5
4
2
8
3-4
75%
8-17
9-16
47%
53%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 36.6
26.2
30.1
3
75%
4
3
1
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
1-2
50%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 34.9
26.0
21.1
13
69%
5
1
0
0
2
0
0
5
0-1
0%
2-6
2-4
33%
45%
3-3
100%
Jeremy Richardson
G-F · 6'7" 195 · 23.9
11.3
2.9
3
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
1-2
50%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 30.5
28.2
31.6
16
49%
5
6
4
2
1
1
1
4
1-3
33%
6-12
4-8
50%
50%
1-3
33%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 36.1
24.8
9.2
7
52%
3
2
1
0
0
1
2
1
4-4
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
55%
1-4
25%
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.5
22.6
13.4
11
70%
5
0
0
0
0
1
2
3
2-2
100%
3-5
1-2
60%
50%
1-2
50%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.9
16.3
12.3
2
50%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
45%
0-0
-
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 32.8
14.1
23.0
4
100%
4
0
2
1
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
58%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 27.8
4.9
9.8
1
57%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 31.9
2.5
7.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 21.2
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 37.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 27.0
46.0
36.2
13
34%
4
3
2
1
1
4
0
4
1-2
50%
3-10
5-11
30%
46%
2-8
25%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.5
42.6
40.0
15
36%
9
4
1
2
1
4
0
9
5-6
83%
5-15
6-12
33%
51%
0-3
0%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 23.6
36.6
34.3
10
45%
2
6
1
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
5-9
3-7
56%
43%
0-2
0%
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.2
30.6
27.2
4
50%
3
9
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
43%
0-0
-
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 25.3
29.9
28.0
21
73%
10
1
1
1
1
1
6
4
1-1
100%
10-14
4-8
71%
50%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 27.4
28.8
25.5
7
51%
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
1
1-2
50%
3-5
2-4
60%
44%
0-1
0%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 30.4
18.1
21.2
12
75%
4
0
2
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
6-8
3-7
75%
50%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.5
7.4
10.0
4
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
47%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 23.3
6.1
0
0-1
48%
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 33.5
4.6
0
0-1
42%
Jermareo Davidson
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.2
4.4
0
1-2
46%
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 34.0
1.7
0
0-0
46%
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 23.8
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 23.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.