Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Monday, January 21, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Celtics | 82% | 101 | 109 |
 | 28 | Knicks | 18% | 89 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 4 | Mavericks | 55% | 100 | 84 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 21 | Bobcats | 30% | 91 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | SuperSonics | 16% | 90 | 89 | |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Bucks | 24% | 92 | 92 |
| 11 | Hornets | 76% | 101 | 106 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30 | Timberwolves | 17% | 98 | 109 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18 | Bulls | 52% | 99 | 90 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 3 | Pistons | 54% | 99 | 100 |
 | 12 | Magic | 46% | 97 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 23 | Heat | 43% | 93 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 9 | Lakers | 59% | 107 | 116 |
Sunday, January 20, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nets | 19% | 98 | 92 | |
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Saturday, January 19, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 10 | Raptors | 59% | 95 | 95 |
| 27 | 76ers | 41% | 92 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Grizzlies | 38% | 98 | 87 |
| 23 | Bobcats | 62% | 102 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Trail Blazers | 30% | 96 | 94 |
| 12 | Magic | 70% | 103 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 21 | Pacers | 59% | 106 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Knicks | 34% | 95 | 88 |
| 22 | Heat | 66% | 101 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Pistons | 65% | 94 | 81 |
| 20 | Bulls | 35% | 89 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Warriors | 55% | 105 | 119 |
| 24 | Bucks | 45% | 104 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 49% | 91 | 81 |
| 6 | Rockets | 51% | 92 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | SuperSonics | 10% | 92 | 96 | |
| 4 | Mavericks | 90% | 108 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Timberwolves | 12% | 95 | 108 |
| 7 | Nuggets | 88% | 110 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Nets | 51% | 95 | 107 | |
| 25 | Clippers | 49% | 94 | 120 |
Friday, January 18, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hawks | 32% | 91 | 78 |
| 14 | Raptors | 68% | 97 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Knicks | 25% | 96 | 98 |
| 15 | Wizards | 75% | 104 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Trail Blazers | 54% | 96 | 98 |
| 26 | Heat | 46% | 95 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 76ers | 12% | 83 | 89 |
| 1 | Celtics | 88% | 99 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Kings | 21% | 91 | 100 |
| 4 | Pistons | 79% | 101 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | SuperSonics | 34% | 101 | 100 | |
| 24 | Grizzlies | 66% | 106 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bobcats | 29% | 92 | 84 |
| 11 | Hornets | 71% | 99 | 112 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Clippers | 30% | 96 | 88 |
| 9 | Jazz | 70% | 102 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Timberwolves | 13% | 97 | 95 |
| 5 | Suns | 87% | 112 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Warriors | 53% | 100 | 119 |
| 21 | Bulls | 47% | 99 | 111 |
Thursday, January 17, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Cavaliers | 29% | 89 | 90 |
| 2 | Spurs | 71% | 96 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Jazz | 42% | 104 | 109 |
| 8 | Nuggets | 58% | 106 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Suns | 47% | 107 | 106 |
| 7 | Lakers | 53% | 108 | 98 |
Wednesday, January 16, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Kings | 36% | 95 | 91 |
| 14 | Raptors | 64% | 100 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Magic | 49% | 100 | 93 |
| 19 | Bobcats | 51% | 101 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bulls | 41% | 91 | 126 |
| 26 | Heat | 59% | 94 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Warriors | 52% | 107 | 117 |
| 24 | Pacers | 48% | 106 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Trail Blazers | 16% | 86 | 90 |
| 1 | Celtics | 84% | 99 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Knicks | 28% | 92 | 111 |
| 17 | Nets | 72% | 100 | 105 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hawks | 49% | 94 | 80 |
| 27 | Bucks | 51% | 95 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | SuperSonics | 19% | 92 | 92 | |
| 10 | Hornets | 81% | 103 | 123 | |
Tuesday, January 15, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | 51% | 100 | 93 |
| 20 | Hawks | 49% | 99 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bulls | 30% | 95 | 88 |
| 12 | Magic | 70% | 101 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wizards | 59% | 101 | 93 |
| 28 | Knicks | 41% | 98 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Raptors | 31% | 90 | 89 |
| 4 | Pistons | 69% | 97 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Cavaliers | 57% | 100 | 132 |
| 23 | Grizzlies | 43% | 98 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Warriors | 71% | 107 | 105 |
| 30 | Timberwolves | 29% | 100 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 76ers | 19% | 84 | 111 |
| 9 | Rockets | 81% | 95 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Suns | 62% | 105 | 90 |
| 22 | Clippers | 38% | 100 | 97 |
Monday, January 14, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | 60% | 101 | 116 |
| 18 | Bobcats | 40% | 98 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wizards | 19% | 89 | 88 |
| 1 | Celtics | 81% | 101 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Trail Blazers | 39% | 92 | 99 |
| 17 | Nets | 61% | 96 | 73 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 76ers | 17% | 85 | 82 |
| 3 | Spurs | 83% | 98 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bucks | 22% | 96 | 87 |
| 8 | Jazz | 78% | 106 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mavericks | 69% | 100 | 120 |
| 21 | Kings | 31% | 94 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lakers | 70% | 105 | 123 |
| 29 | SuperSonics | 30% | 98 | 121 | |
Sunday, January 13, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Trail Blazers | 34% | 92 | 109 |
| 12 | Raptors | 66% | 98 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bulls | 48% | 92 | 84 |
| 19 | Hawks | 52% | 93 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hornets | 40% | 90 | 87 | |
| 9 | Rockets | 60% | 93 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Pistons | 76% | 101 | 65 |
| 28 | Knicks | 24% | 92 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pacers | 26% | 102 | 101 |
| 14 | Warriors | 74% | 111 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Grizzlies | 20% | 99 | 99 |
| 5 | Lakers | 80% | 109 | 100 |
Saturday, January 12, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 68% | 99 | 78 |
| 15 | Wizards | 32% | 93 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Pistons | 74% | 98 | 103 |
| 20 | Bobcats | 26% | 90 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Timberwolves | 7% | 85 | 88 |
| 2 | Spurs | 93% | 105 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Magic | 36% | 101 | 115 |
| 12 | Jazz | 64% | 106 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bucks | 17% | 98 | 114 |
| 7 | Suns | 83% | 110 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pacers | 44% | 100 | 111 |
| 21 | Kings | 56% | 102 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mavericks | 61% | 96 | 95 |
| 24 | Clippers | 39% | 92 | 94 |
Friday, January 11, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bulls | 51% | 93 | 100 |
| 25 | 76ers | 49% | 92 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 72% | 95 | 86 |
| 16 | Nets | 28% | 88 | 77 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Raptors | 65% | 101 | 99 |
| 28 | Knicks | 35% | 97 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wizards | 47% | 96 | 102 |
| 19 | Hawks | 53% | 97 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bobcats | 31% | 91 | 106 |
| 12 | Cavaliers | 69% | 98 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Heat | 22% | 91 | 88 |
| 8 | Hornets | 78% | 101 | 114 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Timberwolves | 14% | 86 | 82 |
| 6 | Rockets | 86% | 100 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Magic | 40% | 102 | 103 |
| 9 | Nuggets | 60% | 106 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bucks | 18% | 94 | 105 |
| 5 | Lakers | 82% | 105 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Grizzlies | 26% | 102 | 104 |
| 14 | Warriors | 74% | 110 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mavericks | 78% | 103 | 90 |
| 29 | SuperSonics | 22% | 93 | 70 | |
Thursday, January 10, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pistons | 31% | 89 | 90 |
| 2 | Spurs | 69% | 96 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Grizzlies | 42% | 99 | 113 |
| 21 | Kings | 58% | 102 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Suns | 45% | 106 | 86 |
| 12 | Jazz | 55% | 108 | 108 |
Wednesday, January 9, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 76ers | 23% | 89 | 96 |
| 13 | Raptors | 77% | 98 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Cavaliers | 49% | 93 | 81 |
| 19 | Hawks | 51% | 94 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bobcats | 9% | 82 | 95 |
| 1 | Celtics | 91% | 100 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | SuperSonics | 26% | 93 | 88 | |
| 15 | Nets | 74% | 102 | 99 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rockets | 69% | 98 | 101 |
| 28 | Knicks | 31% | 91 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Heat | 45% | 95 | 92 |
| 27 | Bucks | 55% | 97 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Lakers | 35% | 97 | 109 |
| 6 | Hornets | 65% | 102 | 80 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Pistons | 48% | 94 | 86 |
| 5 | Mavericks | 52% | 95 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pacers | 15% | 102 | 122 |
| 4 | Suns | 85% | 115 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Warriors | 53% | 102 | 91 |
| 16 | Trail Blazers | 47% | 101 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Magic | 56% | 99 | 113 |
| 26 | Clippers | 44% | 97 | 106 |
Tuesday, January 8, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bucks | 36% | 92 | 87 |
| 24 | 76ers | 64% | 96 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Rockets | 53% | 95 | 92 |
| 15 | Wizards | 47% | 94 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Nets | 51% | 96 | 99 | |
| 22 | Bobcats | 49% | 95 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | SuperSonics | 23% | 92 | 79 | |
| 12 | Cavaliers | 77% | 102 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lakers | 60% | 104 | 117 |
| 19 | Grizzlies | 40% | 101 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Heat | 56% | 97 | 91 |
| 30 | Timberwolves | 44% | 95 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Knicks | 28% | 92 | 105 |
| 18 | Bulls | 72% | 100 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pacers | 30% | 101 | 89 |
| 14 | Jazz | 70% | 107 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Magic | 59% | 101 | 100 |
| 21 | Kings | 41% | 98 | 104 |