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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 21, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Nuggets41%10499
9Lakers59%107116
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 32.6
41.3
41.7
24
43%
3
7
1
2
0
2
1
2
8-11
73%
8-21
7-16
38%
46%
0-2
0%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 33.8
36.8
39.2
18
56%
12
4
3
1
3
0
3
9
0-0
-
9-16
4-10
56%
45%
0-0
-
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 30.1
35.9
12.5
16
73%
11
0
2
0
1
2
2
9
0-0
-
8-11
2-4
73%
49%
0-0
-
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.6
31.9
29.2
0
0%
1
14
0
1
2
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-5
3-6
0%
46%
0-0
-
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.6
14.4
37.7
13
51%
4
1
0
1
0
3
3
1
3-4
75%
5-11
9-19
45%
48%
0-0
-
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 23.0
34.7
32.3
21
63%
7
0
0
1
0
2
1
6
3-4
75%
3-7
4-7
43%
51%
4-8
50%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 22.4
16.4
19.7
0
0%
3
0
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
48%
0-0
-
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 25.4
15.6
6.6
3
75%
2
1
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
1-2
50%
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 22.5
8.0
1.2
4
69%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
0-0
50%
42%
0-0
-
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 26.2
5.0
2.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-1
0%
0-1
0-1
0%
56%
0-0
-
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.5
19.5
1
2-3
50%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 25.4
6.8
0
1-2
52%
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 33.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 28.2
39.0
39.3
15
47%
11
7
0
1
0
1
2
9
7-9
78%
4-9
6-11
44%
52%
0-3
0%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 29.4
38.5
37.0
17
81%
5
11
2
2
0
6
1
4
6-8
75%
4-5
8-17
80%
49%
1-2
50%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 33.5
31.4
26.2
28
83%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
4-9
3-6
44%
45%
6-7
86%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.8
25.8
26.2
4
31%
5
3
0
1
1
1
1
4
0-1
0%
2-6
3-6
33%
48%
0-0
-
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 25.9
23.6
24.5
7
44%
11
2
1
1
0
2
3
8
1-2
50%
3-7
3-5
43%
53%
0-0
-
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 25.0
25.5
18.9
11
59%
5
2
1
0
3
0
1
4
3-3
100%
4-8
3-5
50%
53%
0-0
-
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 21.1
23.1
21.0
19
63%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
5-7
2-4
71%
54%
3-8
38%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 23.9
16.0
8.6
9
48%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-3
67%
2-4
1-2
50%
45%
1-4
25%
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 20.1
8.7
6.3
5
60%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
3-5
60%
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.1
5.0
3.2
0
0%
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Coby Karl
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.6
3.3
1.9
1
35%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-1
0%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.2
6.2
0
0-1
46%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 22.6
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 20.2
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 28.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.