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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 21, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Bulls52%9990
26Grizzlies48%98104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 27.1
31.8
29.5
12
43%
2
6
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-9
3-7
33%
46%
2-5
40%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 33.4
31.2
26.0
2
25%
13
1
2
1
1
1
6
7
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
46%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.7
30.4
27.8
6
30%
2
3
3
1
0
2
0
2
0-2
0%
3-7
3-7
43%
44%
0-2
0%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.8
26.3
33.3
13
44%
2
1
1
1
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
6-14
7-14
43%
51%
0-0
-
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 32.5
18.1
26.0
7
37%
6
0
0
1
0
0
3
3
1-1
100%
3-9
5-11
33%
48%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.8
32.9
31.7
25
55%
3
5
0
1
0
1
2
1
6-6
100%
5-14
5-11
36%
46%
3-6
50%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 28.1
26.6
29.1
16
47%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-7
4-8
14%
50%
4-9
44%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 22.9
23.0
18.1
4
67%
4
2
1
1
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
50%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.4
17.6
7.4
5
34%
7
0
1
0
1
0
3
4
1-1
100%
2-7
1-2
29%
46%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.1
2.1
5.0
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
0-0
-
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 33.5
3.9
0
0-1
46%
Viktor Khryapa
· 6'9" 210 · 25.5
3.7
0
0-1
46%
Demetris Nichols
F · 6'8" 216 · 23.4
JamesOn Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.0
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 25.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.4
41.5
37.9
24
58%
10
0
4
1
1
3
4
6
7-8
88%
4-11
6-12
36%
48%
3-6
50%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 27.9
41.1
34.2
24
72%
10
2
0
1
0
2
1
9
6-6
100%
6-10
3-6
60%
53%
2-4
50%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 27.5
40.5
36.1
12
47%
10
5
0
1
3
4
1
9
2-4
50%
5-11
8-15
45%
52%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 20.3
32.7
31.1
10
85%
2
10
1
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
4-4
3-7
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 22.6
15.5
14.3
5
43%
3
0
0
0
1
2
0
3
1-2
50%
2-5
2-4
40%
46%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 25.5
21.2
12.1
12
61%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
5-7
2-4
71%
52%
0-2
0%
Juan Carlos Navarro
· 6'3" 170 · 27.6
16.2
33.1
9
75%
2
1
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
3-5
0%
48%
3-3
100%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 21.8
15.3
17.5
2
36%
2
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-4
50%
0-0
1-3
-
45%
0-1
0%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 28.2
8.2
10.0
6
100%
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-3
2-3
100%
49%
0-0
-
Bobby Jones
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.0
7.8
26.3
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
47%
0-0
-
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 34.4
6.2
0
0-1
42%
Andre Brown
F · 6'9" 245 · 26.7
3.5
0
0-1
51%
Casey Jacobsen
G · 6'6" 215 · 26.8
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.