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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 21, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Timberwolves17%98109
8Warriors83%110108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 29.1
46.6
33.9
16
45%
8
10
3
2
0
5
2
6
3-4
75%
2-9
3-7
22%
44%
3-7
43%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 25.4
41.2
29.0
35
86%
11
3
0
1
0
3
0
11
11-12
92%
9-13
4-8
69%
48%
2-2
100%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 23.0
37.6
33.8
21
56%
12
0
0
1
0
1
3
9
1-2
50%
10-18
8-16
56%
50%
0-0
-
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 22.6
37.1
32.6
15
57%
1
7
1
1
0
1
0
1
4-7
57%
4-7
3-8
57%
43%
1-3
33%
Rashad McCants
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.3
31.6
31.2
15
58%
5
4
2
1
0
4
1
4
1-2
50%
4-9
4-9
44%
46%
2-3
67%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 31.4
21.2
20.0
5
43%
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-2
0%
1-1
2-5
100%
45%
1-4
25%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 21.9
14.3
14.4
0
0%
3
2
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
43%
0-1
0%
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 24.2
10.4
18.9
2
50%
4
0
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
4-7
50%
53%
0-0
-
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 31.3
9.5
0
1-1
48%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 22.0
6.7
0
1-2
42%
Chris Richard
F · 6'9" 256 · 23.1
4.0
0
0-0
48%
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 32.0
2.7
0
0-0
44%
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 34.8
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 24.3
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 30.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 28.8
39.6
38.0
15
43%
3
6
0
2
0
2
1
2
3-8
38%
3-6
5-10
50%
50%
2-8
25%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 29.8
39.1
33.9
18
58%
5
3
2
1
0
2
0
5
4-6
67%
1-4
4-9
25%
49%
4-9
44%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.2
35.6
34.3
28
61%
3
2
1
1
0
1
1
2
10-11
91%
9-17
6-12
53%
54%
0-1
0%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 27.9
34.5
33.1
9
38%
8
2
2
1
0
3
3
5
0-0
-
0-5
3-7
0%
51%
3-7
43%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 21.8
21.0
27.0
5
64%
12
2
0
1
0
0
3
9
1-2
50%
2-3
5-7
67%
63%
0-0
-
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 27.9
31.9
19.1
20
73%
7
4
2
1
1
1
2
5
4-4
100%
8-9
2-3
89%
53%
0-3
0%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.8
16.6
15.3
4
69%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
0-0
-
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.1
14.7
14.9
7
44%
4
0
2
0
2
1
2
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-3
40%
50%
1-3
33%
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 21.6
3.5
3.5
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
54%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 26.0
3.4
14.1
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
54%
0-1
0%
Kosta Perovic
C · 7'2" 240 · 22.9
3.9
0
1-1
57%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 20.3
3.0
0
1-1
54%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 21.8
Troy Hudson
G · 6'1" 178 · 31.9
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 32.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.