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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 4, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Mavericks39%98107
10Magic61%10298
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 29.6
39.3
35.6
20
41%
9
5
1
1
0
0
2
7
4-6
67%
8-20
7-14
40%
50%
0-2
0%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 27.8
37.7
38.5
28
62%
7
3
0
1
0
1
2
5
5-6
83%
7-17
7-14
41%
48%
3-3
100%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.6
32.0
26.2
6
75%
6
2
0
0
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
56%
0-0
-
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 36.3
27.6
20.9
4
67%
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
46%
0-1
0%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.6
19.5
11.8
3
32%
4
4
1
0
0
1
1
3
3-4
75%
0-2
1-3
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.4
29.6
35.8
20
63%
5
3
1
1
0
2
2
3
4-4
100%
8-14
4-9
57%
49%
0-0
-
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.4
24.7
7.9
8
100%
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
40%
2-3
67%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 22.8
20.8
24.2
16
78%
6
0
2
0
1
3
2
4
4-5
80%
6-8
4-7
75%
47%
0-0
-
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 28.9
5.3
16.5
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
48%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.0
3.4
3.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 26.0
9.7
0
1-1
50%
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 24.0
3.3
0
0-1
43%
Nick Fazekas
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.6
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 33.2
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 22.2
43.1
40.0
28
64%
7
3
2
1
1
1
5
2
6-13
46%
11-15
6-11
73%
59%
0-1
0%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 28.9
41.8
36.2
13
41%
12
13
0
1
0
2
0
12
4-4
100%
3-12
5-10
25%
48%
1-2
50%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 28.5
38.7
34.3
13
39%
4
2
0
1
2
1
2
2
1-2
50%
3-9
3-7
33%
50%
2-7
29%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 29.2
33.0
30.0
16
90%
5
0
0
1
0
0
2
3
2-2
100%
4-6
3-5
67%
49%
2-2
100%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 28.5
28.8
27.8
12
61%
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-6
3-6
33%
46%
2-3
67%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 27.7
20.1
18.8
14
75%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
3-3
100%
4-7
2-5
57%
48%
1-1
100%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 27.7
15.8
25.2
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-2
0%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 27.2
13.9
8.1
2
25%
3
0
0
0
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
0-2
0%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 32.9
4.9
5.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 26.0
10.9
0
1-2
48%
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 31.4
4.1
0
0-1
43%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 23.6
2.0
0
0-0
47%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.0
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 24.0
James Augustine
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.