Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Monday, February 4, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20 | Bulls | 56% | 96 | 118 |
| 27 | SuperSonics | 44% | 94 | 108 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Bobcats | 17% | 97 | 104 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Hornets | 44% | 100 | 88 | |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 29 | Timberwolves | 24% | 90 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Raptors | 68% | 98 | 114 |
 | 26 | Heat | 32% | 92 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 24 | Knicks | 55% | 96 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 7 | Mavericks | 39% | 99 | 107 |
 | 10 | Magic | 61% | 102 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Sunday, February 3, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mavericks | 37% | 91 | 67 |
 | 2 | Pistons | 63% | 95 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 7 | Lakers | 60% | 104 | 103 |
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Saturday, February 2, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Knicks | 43% | 98 | 85 |
| 28 | SuperSonics | 57% | 100 | 86 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Nets | 36% | 92 | 92 | |
| 19 | Hawks | 64% | 97 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Magic | 53% | 106 | 121 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Clippers | 22% | 90 | 84 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Jazz | 67% | 105 | 110 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Rockets | 72% | 97 | 91 |
 | 30 | Bucks | 28% | 89 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bobcats | 23% | 95 | 101 |
| 12 | Nuggets | 77% | 105 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bulls | 35% | 92 | 101 |
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Friday, February 1, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Rockets | 59% | 101 | 106 |
| 18 | Pacers | 41% | 98 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lakers | 45% | 99 | 121 |
| 14 | Raptors | 55% | 101 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Magic | 58% | 99 | 108 |
| 22 | 76ers | 42% | 96 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Jazz | 59% | 103 | 96 |
| 17 | Wizards | 41% | 100 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Nets | 53% | 95 | 94 | |
| 28 | Heat | 47% | 94 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Clippers | 53% | 97 | 83 |
| 29 | Timberwolves | 47% | 96 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Hornets | 52% | 100 | 103 | |
| 13 | Kings | 48% | 99 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bobcats | 26% | 99 | 96 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Knicks | 30% | 92 | 88 |
| 16 | Trail Blazers | 70% | 99 | 94 |
Thursday, January 31, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 2 | Suns | 60% | 102 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Cavaliers | 45% | 96 | 95 |
| 27 | SuperSonics | 55% | 97 | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | 39% | 91 | 90 |
 | 5 | Celtics | 61% | 94 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lakers | 32% | 95 | 89 |
| 1 | Pistons | 68% | 101 | 90 |
Wednesday, January 30, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Cavaliers | 45% | 94 | 84 |
| 17 | Trail Blazers | 55% | 96 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wizards | 31% | 94 | 83 |
| 12 | Raptors | 69% | 100 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bucks | 34% | 92 | 69 |
| 23 | 76ers | 66% | 97 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Heat | 17% | 93 | 91 |
| 11 | Magic | 83% | 105 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nuggets | 63% | 106 | 106 |
| 26 | Grizzlies | 37% | 101 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Warriors | 29% | 98 | 116 |
| 6 | Hornets | 71% | 106 | 103 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bulls | 59% | 93 | 67 |
| 30 | Timberwolves | 41% | 91 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Knicks | 15% | 95 | 89 |
| 7 | Jazz | 85% | 108 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bobcats | 34% | 97 | 91 |
| 14 | Kings | 66% | 102 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Hawks | 41% | 93 | 88 |
| 24 | Clippers | 59% | 96 | 95 |
Tuesday, January 29, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bucks | 40% | 95 | 80 |
| 21 | Nets | 60% | 98 | 87 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Celtics | 75% | 96 | 117 |
| 25 | Heat | 25% | 88 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Timberwolves | 27% | 89 | 85 |
| 18 | Bulls | 73% | 97 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Warriors | 43% | 98 | 107 |
| 12 | Rockets | 57% | 100 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hawks | 22% | 97 | 92 |
| 2 | Suns | 78% | 107 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Spurs | 72% | 98 | 85 |
| 29 | SuperSonics | 28% | 91 | 88 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Knicks | 19% | 95 | 109 |
| 9 | Lakers | 81% | 106 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pistons | 72% | 102 | 110 |
| 23 | Pacers | 28% | 95 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Raptors | 46% | 97 | 104 |
| 16 | Wizards | 54% | 98 | 108 |
Monday, January 28, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bobcats | 44% | 94 | 107 |
| 22 | Clippers | 56% | 96 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 49% | 97 | 91 |
| 7 | Jazz | 51% | 98 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nuggets | 31% | 96 | 93 |
| 6 | Hornets | 69% | 102 | 117 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mavericks | 67% | 103 | 103 |
| 27 | Grizzlies | 33% | 97 | 84 |
Sunday, January 27, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 56% | 98 | 93 |
| 11 | Magic | 44% | 96 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Suns | 65% | 103 | 88 |
| 19 | Bulls | 35% | 98 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Cavaliers | 37% | 97 | 98 |
| 9 | Lakers | 63% | 101 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wizards | 56% | 100 | 102 |
| 24 | Bucks | 44% | 99 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hawks | 39% | 92 | 93 |
| 17 | Trail Blazers | 61% | 95 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nuggets | 28% | 97 | 85 |
| 1 | Mavericks | 72% | 105 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Nets | 55% | 99 | 95 | |
| 29 | Timberwolves | 45% | 97 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jazz | 46% | 98 | 97 |
| 14 | Rockets | 54% | 99 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Knicks | 20% | 99 | 104 |
| 8 | Warriors | 80% | 110 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Kings | 63% | 105 | 103 |
| 30 | SuperSonics | 37% | 101 | 101 | |
Saturday, January 26, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Hornets | 27% | 89 | 102 | |
| 3 | Spurs | 73% | 97 | 78 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Clippers | 47% | 98 | 120 |
| 27 | Grizzlies | 53% | 99 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 76ers | 37% | 91 | 103 |
| 20 | Bobcats | 63% | 95 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pacers | 46% | 100 | 96 |
| 24 | Heat | 54% | 102 | 98 |
Friday, January 25, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lakers | 30% | 97 | 105 |
| 2 | Mavericks | 70% | 104 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bucks | 22% | 93 | 75 |
| 12 | Raptors | 78% | 103 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Grizzlies | 30% | 98 | 93 |
| 17 | Wizards | 70% | 105 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Suns | 53% | 103 | 110 |
| 14 | Cavaliers | 47% | 102 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Timberwolves | 7% | 84 | 86 |
| 1 | Celtics | 93% | 103 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 76ers | 51% | 97 | 81 |
| 28 | Knicks | 49% | 96 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Magic | 28% | 93 | 93 |
| 4 | Pistons | 72% | 101 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bobcats | 40% | 90 | 90 |
| 18 | Bulls | 60% | 93 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Nets | 24% | 96 | 85 | |
| 11 | Nuggets | 76% | 105 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Kings | 34% | 100 | 113 |
| 10 | Jazz | 66% | 105 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rockets | 54% | 93 | 89 |
| 16 | Trail Blazers | 46% | 92 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hawks | 59% | 100 | 99 |
| 29 | SuperSonics | 41% | 97 | 90 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Clippers | 24% | 90 | 92 |
| 7 | Hornets | 76% | 99 | 111 | |
Thursday, January 24, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nets | 26% | 98 | 119 | |
| 10 | Warriors | 74% | 106 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pacers | 40% | 101 | 92 |
| 24 | Bucks | 60% | 104 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 69% | 97 | 90 |
| 23 | Heat | 31% | 91 | 89 |
Wednesday, January 23, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rockets | 73% | 99 | 109 |
| 29 | SuperSonics | 27% | 91 | 107 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pistons | 71% | 96 | 86 |
| 25 | 76ers | 29% | 88 | 78 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mavericks | 69% | 100 | 102 |
| 20 | Bobcats | 31% | 94 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wizards | 41% | 95 | 85 |
| 13 | Cavaliers | 59% | 98 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Raptors | 23% | 87 | 114 |
| 1 | Celtics | 77% | 97 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Magic | 59% | 106 | 112 |
| 22 | Grizzlies | 41% | 103 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Trail Blazers | 32% | 91 | 81 |
| 7 | Hornets | 68% | 98 | 96 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Suns | 74% | 110 | 107 |
| 30 | Timberwolves | 26% | 101 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pacers | 41% | 96 | 95 |
| 18 | Bulls | 59% | 99 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lakers | 31% | 94 | 91 |
| 3 | Spurs | 69% | 101 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hawks | 31% | 96 | 100 |
| 11 | Nuggets | 69% | 103 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Kings | 49% | 97 | 85 |
| 23 | Clippers | 51% | 98 | 111 |
Tuesday, January 22, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Suns | 70% | 108 | 114 |
| 25 | Bucks | 30% | 102 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nets | 35% | 96 | 94 | |
| 16 | Kings | 65% | 101 | 128 |