Final Win Prob. pScore
1268%98
114
2632%92
82
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo Raptors
126.79098.2
MIA logo Heat
91.19083.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA114
82
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)114
82
Q4 - 0:01.0TORMISS Ford 22' Jump Shot114
82
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAQuinn Driving Layup (11 PTS)114
82
Q4 - 0:38.0TORFord Driving Dunk (4 PTS)114
80
Q4 - 0:57.0MIAWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)112
80
Q4 - 0:57.0MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)112
79
Q4 - 0:57.0TORKapono S.FOUL (P2.T3)112
78
Q4 - 1:07MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)112
78
Q4 - 1:08TORMISS Dixon 20' Jump Shot112
78
Q4 - 1:24MIAAl. Johnson Driving Dunk (10 PTS) (Cook 3 AST)112
78
Q4 - 1:32MIAHEAT Rebound112
76
Q4 - 1:33MIAMISS Barron Driving Layup112
76
Q4 - 1:34TORBarron STEAL (1 STL)112
76
Q4 - 1:36TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)112
76
Q4 - 1:37MIAMISS Al. Johnson 15' Jump Shot112
76
Q4 - 1:50MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)112
76
Q4 - 1:51TORMISS Ford 25' 3PT Jump Shot112
76
Q4 - 1:59MIAWright Reverse Layup (15 PTS)112
76
Q4 - 2:15MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)112
74
Q4 - 2:16TORMISS Graham 19' Jump Shot112
74
Q4 - 2:31TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)112
74
Q4 - 2:31MIABarron Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T21)112
74
Q4 - 2:36MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)112
74
Q4 - 2:38TORMISS Dixon Driving Layup112
74
Q4 - 2:52TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)112
74
Q4 - 2:53MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot112
74
Q4 - 3:12TORGraham 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Kapono 2 AST)112
74
Q4 - 3:35TORGraham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)110
74
Q4 - 3:36MIAMISS Quinn 22' Jump Shot110
74
Q4 - 3:59TORDixon 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nesterovic 1 AST)110
74
Q4 - 4:10TORFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)107
74
Q4 - 4:11TORMISS Dixon 25' 3PT Jump Shot107
74
Q4 - 4:30MIABarron Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)107
74
Q4 - 4:30MIABarron Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)107
73
Q4 - 4:30TORNesterovic S.FOUL (P1.T2)107
72
Q4 - 4:38MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)107
72
Q4 - 4:39TORMISS Kapono 12' Jump Shot107
72
Q4 - 4:54MIAQuinn 22' Jump Shot (9 PTS)107
72
Q4 - 5:02MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)107
70
Q4 - 5:03TORMISS Dixon 24' 3PT Jump Shot107
70
Q4 - 5:20MIAWright 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Cook 2 AST)107
70
Q4 - 5:31MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)107
68
Q4 - 5:32TORMISS Dixon 16' Jump Shot107
68
Q4 - 5:42MIACook Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P4.T20)107
68
Q4 - 5:55107
68
Q4 - 5:55TORDixon Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)107
68
Q4 - 6:02TORSUB: Nesterovic FOR Humphries107
68
Q4 - 6:02TORSUB: Dixon FOR Delfino107
68
Q4 - 6:02MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#19)107
68
Q4 - 6:04MIABarron REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)107
68
Q4 - 6:06MIAMISS Al. Johnson 20' Jump Shot107
68
Q4 - 6:29TORFord 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS)107
68
Q4 - 6:34MIAQuinn Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T18)105
68
Q4 - 6:48TORHumphries Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)105
68
Q4 - 6:48MIASUB: Barron FOR Blount104
68
Q4 - 6:48TORHumphries Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)104
68
Q4 - 6:48TORSUB: Graham FOR Bargnani103
68
Q4 - 6:48MIACook S.FOUL (P2.T2)103
68
Q4 - 6:51MIAWright Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T17)103
68
Q4 - 7:08MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)103
68
Q4 - 7:09TORMISS Ford 14' Jump Shot103
68
Q4 - 7:19TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)103
68
Q4 - 7:20MIAMISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot103
68
Q4 - 7:29MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)103
68
Q4 - 7:31TORMISS Kapono 19' Jump Shot103
68
Q4 - 7:47MIACook 22' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Quinn 4 AST)103
68
Q4 - 8:05TORKapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Delfino 3 AST)103
66
Q4 - 8:15MIAAl. Johnson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)100
66
Q4 - 8:32MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)100
66
Q4 - 8:34TORBlount BLOCK (1 BLK)100
66
Q4 - 8:44TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)100
66
Q4 - 8:46MIAMISS Blount 20' Jump Shot100
66
Q4 - 9:06MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)100
66
Q4 - 9:13TORHumphries 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Ford 4 AST)100
66
Q4 - 9:21MIACook Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)98
66
Q4 - 9:38TORDelfino Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)98
66
Q4 - 9:38TORDelfino Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)97
66
Q4 - 9:38MIACook S.FOUL (P1.T1)96
66
Q4 - 9:41MIAQuinn Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)96
66
Q4 - 9:47MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)96
66
Q4 - 9:48MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot96
66
Q4 - 10:04TORHumphries Foul Turnover (P1.T10)96
66
Q4 - 10:04TORHumphries OFF.Foul (P3)96
66
Q4 - 10:13MIACook 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Quinn 3 AST)96
66
Q4 - 10:30TORDelfino 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ford 3 AST)96
64
Q4 - 10:49MIABlount Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)93
64
Q4 - 10:49MIABlount Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)93
63
Q4 - 10:49TORBargnani S.FOUL (P4.T1)93
62
Q4 - 11:14TORBargnani 17' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Delfino 2 AST)93
62
Q4 - 11:24TORDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)91
62
Q4 - 11:26MIAMISS Al. Johnson 5' Jump Shot91
62
Q4 - 11:28MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)91
62
Q4 - 11:29MIAMISS Al. Johnson 5' Jump Shot91
62
Q4 - 11:49TORKapono 12' Hook Shot (10 PTS)91
62
Q4 - 12:0089
62
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA89
62
Q3 - 0:04.0TORBargnani Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)89
62
Q3 - 0:04.0TORSUB: Humphries FOR Bosh88
62
Q3 - 0:04.0TORSUB: Ford FOR Calderon88
62
Q3 - 0:04.0TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)88
62
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAWright S.FOUL (P2.T4)87
62
Q3 - 0:23.0TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)87
62
Q3 - 0:24.0MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
62
Q3 - 0:44.0TORParker 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Bosh 4 AST)87
62
Q3 - 0:54.0TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
62
Q3 - 0:55.0MIAMISS Al. Johnson 17' Jump Shot84
62
Q3 - 1:16TORSUB: Delfino FOR Moon84
62
Q3 - 1:16MIASUB: Quinn FOR Wade84
62
Q3 - 1:16TORCalderon P.FOUL (P1.T3)84
62
Q3 - 1:16MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)84
62
Q3 - 1:17TORMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot84
62
Q3 - 1:35TORParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
62
Q3 - 1:36MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
62
Q3 - 1:44MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)84
62
Q3 - 1:46TORMISS Moon 20' Jump Shot84
62
Q3 - 2:09TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)84
62
Q3 - 2:10MIAMISS Wade 3PT Jump Shot84
62
Q3 - 2:15MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)84
62
Q3 - 2:16MIAMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
62
Q3 - 2:22TORDavis STEAL (1 STL)84
62
Q3 - 2:31TORRaptors Rebound84
62
Q3 - 2:32TORMISS Bosh 17' Turnaround Jump Shot84
62
Q3 - 2:52MIAWade 15' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS)84
62
Q3 - 3:03MIAWade Violation:Defensive Goaltending84
60
Q3 - 3:03TORBargnani 7' Hook Shot (18 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)84
60
Q3 - 3:18MIAWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)82
60
Q3 - 3:18MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)82
59
Q3 - 3:18MIASUB: Al. Johnson FOR Barron82
58
Q3 - 3:18TORBargnani S.FOUL (P3.T2)82
58
Q3 - 3:30MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
58
Q3 - 3:32TORMISS Moon 6' Hook Shot82
58
Q3 - 3:46TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
58
Q3 - 3:48MIAMISS Barron 14' Turnaround Jump Shot82
58
Q3 - 4:15TORBargnani 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)82
58
Q3 - 4:31TORParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
58
Q3 - 4:32MIAMISS Davis 6' Jump Shot79
58
Q3 - 4:43MIASUB: Cook FOR Williams79
58
Q3 - 4:43MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)79
58
Q3 - 4:50TORMoon Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Calderon 10 AST)79
58
Q3 - 4:58TORMoon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)77
58
Q3 - 5:00MIAMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot77
58
Q3 - 5:19TORParker 6' Jump Shot (15 PTS)77
58
Q3 - 5:37MIAWright 6' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Davis 5 AST)75
58
Q3 - 5:55TORCalderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Moon 1 AST)75
56
Q3 - 6:15MIABarron 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)72
56
Q3 - 6:41MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
54
Q3 - 6:42TORMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 272
54
Q3 - 6:42TORRaptors Rebound72
54
Q3 - 6:42TORMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 272
54
Q3 - 6:42MIAWade P.FOUL (P2.T3)72
54
Q3 - 6:44MIAWright Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)72
54
Q3 - 6:54TORBosh Dunk (24 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)72
54
Q3 - 7:04TORMoon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)70
54
Q3 - 7:05TORMISS Bargnani 22' Jump Shot70
54
Q3 - 7:21MIAWright L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)70
54
Q3 - 7:21TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
54
Q3 - 7:22MIAMISS Wade 5' Running Hook Shot70
54
Q3 - 7:36MIAHEAT Rebound70
54
Q3 - 7:37MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot70
54
Q3 - 7:56TORMoon 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Calderon 9 AST)70
54
Q3 - 8:12TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)68
54
Q3 - 8:20MIAWade 7' Hook Shot (10 PTS)68
54
Q3 - 8:29TORMoon Foul Turnover (P1.T8)68
52
Q3 - 8:29TORMoon OFF.Foul (P2)68
52
Q3 - 8:39MIADavis 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)68
52
Q3 - 8:53TORParker 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Calderon 8 AST)68
50
Q3 - 9:11MIAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)65
50
Q3 - 9:29TORCalderon 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)65
47
Q3 - 9:46MIAWade 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS)63
47
Q3 - 10:05TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)63
45
Q3 - 10:05MIASUB: Wright FOR Blount62
45
Q3 - 10:05TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)62
45
Q3 - 10:05MIABlount P.FOUL (P4.T1)61
45
Q3 - 10:20MIABarron Foul Turnover (P1.T12)61
45
Q3 - 10:20MIABarron OFF.Foul (P3)61
45
Q3 - 10:35TORBargnani 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS)61
45
Q3 - 10:54MIABlount Running Dunk (10 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)59
45
Q3 - 10:59TORWade STEAL (2 STL)59
43
Q3 - 11:11MIABlount Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)59
43
Q3 - 11:11MIABlount Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)59
42
Q3 - 11:11TORMoon S.FOUL (P1.T1)59
41
Q3 - 11:19MIABarron REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)59
41
Q3 - 11:20MIAMISS Davis 15' Jump Shot59
41
Q3 - 11:27MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
41
Q3 - 11:28TORMISS Bargnani 22' Jump Shot59
41
Q3 - 11:39TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
41
Q3 - 11:41MIAMISS Barron 17' Jump Shot59
41
Q3 - 12:0059
41
Q2 - 0:00.0TOR59
41
Q2 - 0:01.0MIASUB: Wright FOR Barron59
41
Q2 - 0:01.0TORRaptors Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)59
41
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)59
41
Q2 - 0:13.0MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)59
41
Q2 - 0:14.0TORMISS Parker 22' Jump Shot59
41
Q2 - 0:34.0TORMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)59
41
Q2 - 0:36.0MIAMISS Barron Tip Shot59
41
Q2 - 0:37.0MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)59
41
Q2 - 0:38.0MIAMISS Wade 10' Hook Shot59
41
Q2 - 0:52.0TORParker 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)59
41
Q2 - 1:07TORMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)57
41
Q2 - 1:08MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
41
Q2 - 1:18TORSUB: Delfino FOR Bosh57
41
Q2 - 1:18MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)57
41
Q2 - 1:18MIAHEAT Rebound57
41
Q2 - 1:19MIAMISS Barron Layup57
41
Q2 - 1:34TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)57
41
Q2 - 1:34TORSUB: Humphries FOR Bargnani56
41
Q2 - 1:34TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)56
41
Q2 - 1:34MIAAl. Johnson S.FOUL (P2.T4)55
41
Q2 - 1:48MIADavis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)55
41
Q2 - 2:03TORCalderon 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)55
41
Q2 - 2:08MIAWade P.FOUL (P1.T3)53
41
Q2 - 2:26MIADavis Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)53
41
Q2 - 2:48TORBosh Foul Turnover (P2.T6)53
39
Q2 - 2:48TORBosh OFF.Foul (P2)53
39
Q2 - 3:03MIAAl. Johnson 5' Jump Shot (8 PTS)53
39
Q2 - 3:22TORBosh 17' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Calderon 7 AST)53
37
Q2 - 3:31TORSUB: Moon FOR Humphries51
37
Q2 - 3:31TORSUB: Parker FOR Kapono51
37
Q2 - 3:31TORSUB: Bargnani FOR Delfino51
37
Q2 - 3:31TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)51
37
Q2 - 3:38MIAWade Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Davis 4 AST)51
37
Q2 - 3:43MIABarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
35
Q2 - 3:45TORMISS Kapono 12' Floating Jump Shot51
35
Q2 - 4:04MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)51
35
Q2 - 4:04MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)51
34
Q2 - 4:04TORKapono S.FOUL (P1.PN)51
33
Q2 - 4:07MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
33
Q2 - 4:08TORMISS Kapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
33
Q2 - 4:24TORKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
33
Q2 - 4:26MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot51
33
Q2 - 4:36MIASUB: Al. Johnson FOR Blount51
33
Q2 - 4:36TORHumphries P.FOUL (P2.T4)51
33
Q2 - 4:55TORKapono 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)51
33
Q2 - 5:05MIABlount L.B.FOUL (P3.T2)49
33
Q2 - 5:05TORHumphries REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)49
33
Q2 - 5:06TORMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot49
33
Q2 - 5:15MIASUB: Barron FOR Wright49
33
Q2 - 5:15TORSUB: Calderon FOR Ford49
33
Q2 - 5:15MIASUB: Wade FOR Cook49
33
Q2 - 5:15MIASUB: Williams FOR Quinn49
33
Q2 - 5:15MIADavis Foul Turnover (P1.T9)49
33
Q2 - 5:15MIADavis OFF.Foul (P1)49
33
Q2 - 5:17TORBlount STEAL (1 STL)49
33
Q2 - 5:31MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)49
33
Q2 - 5:55TORDelfino Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)49
33
Q2 - 6:05MIABlount Layup (6 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)49
33
Q2 - 6:11MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)49
31
Q2 - 6:18TORDelfino 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)49
31
Q2 - 6:27MIAWright Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)47
31
Q2 - 6:49TORFord Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)47
31
Q2 - 6:56MIABlount 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)47
31
Q2 - 7:21TORKapono 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ford 2 AST)47
29
Q2 - 7:31MIAQuinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)45
29
Q2 - 7:31MIAQuinn Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)45
28
Q2 - 7:31TORHumphries S.FOUL (P1.T3)45
27
Q2 - 7:45TORKapono 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Delfino 1 AST)45
27
Q2 - 7:54MIACook Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)43
27
Q2 - 8:08TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)43
27
Q2 - 8:08TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)42
27
Q2 - 8:0841
27
Q2 - 8:08MIABlount S.FOUL (P2.T1)41
27
Q2 - 8:22MIAQuinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)41
27
Q2 - 8:39MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
24
Q2 - 8:40TORMISS Humphries 17' Jump Shot41
24
Q2 - 9:01MIAWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)41
24
Q2 - 9:01TORSUB: Bosh FOR Bargnani41
23
Q2 - 9:01MIASUB: Blount FOR Al. Johnson41
23
Q2 - 9:01MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)41
23
Q2 - 9:01TORBargnani S.FOUL (P2.T2)41
22
Q2 - 9:06MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
22
Q2 - 9:08TORMISS Delfino 3PT Jump Shot41
22
Q2 - 9:19MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Al. Johnson 1 AST)41
22
Q2 - 9:40TORKapono Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)41
19
Q2 - 9:55MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)39
19
Q2 - 9:55TORSUB: Humphries FOR Bosh39
18
Q2 - 9:55TORSUB: Ford FOR Calderon39
18
Q2 - 9:55TORBosh S.FOUL (P1.T1)39
18
Q2 - 9:55MIAWright Driving Layup (4 PTS)39
18
Q2 - 9:59MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)39
16
Q2 - 10:00MIAMISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
16
Q2 - 10:20TORCalderon Layup (4 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)39
16
Q2 - 10:24MIACook Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)37
16
Q2 - 10:37TORBosh Dunk (14 PTS) (Bargnani 3 AST)37
16
Q2 - 10:57MIAAl. Johnson 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST)35
16
Q2 - 11:17TORBargnani 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)35
14
Q2 - 11:39MIAQuinn 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)33
14
Q2 - 12:0033
12
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA33
12
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
12
Q1 - 0:00.0TORMISS Calderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
12
Q1 - 0:14.0MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)33
12
Q1 - 0:35.0TORSUB: Delfino FOR Moon33
12
Q1 - 0:35.0TORRaptors Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)33
12
Q1 - 0:35.0TORRaptors Rebound33
12
Q1 - 0:36.0TORMISS Bosh 14' Jump Shot33
12
Q1 - 0:59.0MIAWright Driving Layup (2 PTS)33
12
Q1 - 1:23TORBargnani 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Calderon 6 AST)33
10
Q1 - 1:30TORMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)30
10
Q1 - 1:32MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup30
10
Q1 - 1:38MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
10
Q1 - 1:39MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
10
Q1 - 1:48MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
10
Q1 - 1:49TORMISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
10
Q1 - 2:03TORBosh Violation:Defensive Goaltending30
10
Q1 - 2:03MIAWade Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)30
10
Q1 - 2:30TORBosh 2' Jump Shot (12 PTS)30
8
Q1 - 2:44MIASUB: Quinn FOR Williams28
8
Q1 - 2:44TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)28
8
Q1 - 2:52MIAAl. Johnson Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)28
8
Q1 - 2:58TORWade STEAL (1 STL)28
6
Q1 - 3:11TORMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)28
6
Q1 - 3:12MIAMISS Cook 18' Jump Shot28
6
Q1 - 3:31MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)28
6
Q1 - 3:32MIAMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot28
6
Q1 - 3:41TORBosh Layup (10 PTS) (Calderon 5 AST)28
6
Q1 - 3:49TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
6
Q1 - 3:50MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
6
Q1 - 4:00MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
6
Q1 - 4:02TORWright BLOCK (1 BLK)26
6
Q1 - 4:15TORMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
6
Q1 - 4:17MIAMISS Al. Johnson 12' Turnaround Jump Shot26
6
Q1 - 4:44TORMoon Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)26
6
Q1 - 4:44MIASUB: Wright FOR Blount25
6
Q1 - 4:44MIASUB: Cook FOR Davis25
6
Q1 - 4:44TORMoon Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
6
Q1 - 4:44MIABlount S.FOUL (P1.T4)24
6
Q1 - 5:00TORParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
6
Q1 - 5:01MIAMISS Davis 22' Jump Shot24
6
Q1 - 5:09TORParker 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bargnani 2 AST)24
6
Q1 - 5:27TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
6
Q1 - 5:28MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot21
6
Q1 - 5:42TORBosh Dunk (8 PTS) (Calderon 4 AST)21
6
Q1 - 5:53MIAAl. Johnson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)19
6
Q1 - 6:06TORBargnani 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)19
6
Q1 - 6:20TORMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
6
Q1 - 6:22MIAMISS Al. Johnson 19' Jump Shot17
6
Q1 - 6:44MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
6
Q1 - 6:45TORMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 217
6
Q1 - 6:45TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)17
6
Q1 - 6:45MIAAl. Johnson S.FOUL (P1.T3)16
6
Q1 - 6:58MIAAl. Johnson Layup (2 PTS)16
6
Q1 - 6:59MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
4
Q1 - 7:00MIAMISS Al. Johnson Layup16
4
Q1 - 7:11TORBargnani P.FOUL (P1.T1)16
4
Q1 - 7:18MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)16
4
Q1 - 7:23TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)16
4
Q1 - 7:23MIASUB: Al. Johnson FOR Barron15
4
Q1 - 7:23MIABarron S.FOUL (P2.T2)15
4
Q1 - 7:23TORBosh Layup (4 PTS) (Bargnani 1 AST)15
4
Q1 - 7:38MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)13
4
Q1 - 7:44MIAHEAT Rebound13
4
Q1 - 7:45MIAMISS Davis 14' Fadeaway Jumper13
4
Q1 - 7:59TORCalderon 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)13
4
Q1 - 8:12MIABlount Layup (2 PTS)11
4
Q1 - 8:14MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
2
Q1 - 8:15MIAMISS Barron 20' Jump Shot11
2
Q1 - 8:26TORParker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Calderon 3 AST)11
2
Q1 - 8:43TORMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
2
Q1 - 8:44MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
2
Q1 - 9:02MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
2
Q1 - 9:03TORMISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
2
Q1 - 9:28MIABarron 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)8
2
Q1 - 9:44TORBargnani Driving Dunk (4 PTS)8
0
Q1 - 9:50TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
0
Q1 - 9:52MIAMISS Barron 18' Jump Shot6
0
Q1 - 10:11TORBosh 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST)6
0
Q1 - 10:26MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)4
0
Q1 - 10:26MIAHEAT Rebound4
0
Q1 - 10:27MIAMISS Williams Driving Layup4
0
Q1 - 10:53TORBargnani 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)4
0
Q1 - 11:04TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
0
Q1 - 11:06MIAMISS Blount 6' Hook Shot2
0
Q1 - 11:32TORParker 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST)2
0
Q1 - 11:37MIABarron L.B.FOUL (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 11:37TORRaptors Rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:38TORMISS Moon 19' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Blount vs. Bosh: Tip to Calderon0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventTORMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.34 67.1%
MIA
0.92 46.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
11
13
85%
MIA
14
23
61%
Midrange
TOR
23
42
55%
MIA
14
36
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
10
15.0
19
53%
79%
MIA
3
4.5
16
19%
28%
Free Throws
TOR
16
19
84%
MIA
17
17
100%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Bosh2480%12.0 / 15
A. Bargnani2273%11.0 / 15
A. Parker1890%9.0 / 10
J. Kapono1365%6.5 / 10
J. Calderon1192%5.5 / 6
C. Delfino788%3.5 / 4
J. Moon650%3.0 / 6
T. Ford440%2.0 / 5
K. Humphries450%2.0 / 4
J. Dixon325%1.5 / 6
J. Graham250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wright17106%8.5 / 8
D. Wade1246%6.0 / 13
M. Blount1275%6.0 / 8
C. Quinn1169%5.5 / 8
A. Johnson1038%5.0 / 13
D. Cook739%3.5 / 9
E. Barron630%3.0 / 10
R. Davis429%2.0 / 7
J. Williams321%1.5 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
79
+6
-11
85
MIA
72
+16
-18
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.34 67.1%
MIA
0.92 46.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.7
100.2
TOR 126.7 +35.6
MIA 91.1
Pace
90.7
90.5
TOR 98.2 +15.1
MIA 83.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
16.3
TOR 14.7 −2.7
MIA 17.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.1%
48.2%
TOR 66.2% +22.9%
MIA 43.3%
TO %
12.3%
15.4%
TOR 12.7% −7.6%
MIA 20.3%
ORB %
23.5%
22.2%
TOR 10.3%
MIA 28.2% +17.9%
FTrt
24.7
30.0
TOR 25.7 +3.0
MIA 22.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.0%
58.5%
TOR 70.5% +9.2%
MIA 61.3%
STL %
7.6%
7.9%
TOR 12.2% +6.6%
MIA 5.6%
BLK %
6.9%
7.1%
TOR 3.4%
MIA 3.6% +0.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.16 and 2.16.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.7%
50.6%
TOR 67.1% +21.0%
MIA 46.1%
Rim FG%
58.5%
59.2%
TOR 84.6% +23.7%
MIA 60.9%
Mid FG%
43.3%
38.8%
TOR 54.8% +15.9%
MIA 38.9%
3P %
39.2%
35.8%
TOR 52.6% +33.8%
MIA 18.8%
FT %
81.2%
72.7%
TOR 84.2%
MIA 100.0% +15.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.9%
30.2%
TOR 17.6%
MIA 30.7% +13.1%
Mid Att. %
49.4%
48.1%
TOR 56.8%
MIA 48.0% −8.8%
3P Att. %
21.7%
21.7%
TOR 25.7% +4.3%
MIA 21.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsTORMIA
Possessions9090
Possession Minutes22.026.0
Points11482
Rebounds3137
Assists3119
Steals115
Blocks22
Turnovers (Team)11 (1)18 (3)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)3 (3)11 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (0)26 (0)
Field Goals44-7431-75
At-the-Rim FG11-1314-23
Midrange FG23-4214-36
2-Point FG34-5528-59
3-Point FG10-193-16
Free Throws16-1917-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 7'0" 245 · 22
34.1
22
73%
5
3
0
0
0
4
0
5
2-2
100%
7-10
70%
2-4
50%
F · 6'11" 235 · 24
33.7
24
80%
4
4
0
0
4
2
0
4
8-9
89%
8-11
73%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 26
31.3
11
92%
3
10
1
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
4-4
100%
1-2
50%
G · 6'6" 210 · 33
27.5
18
90%
3
3
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-2
0%
3-4
75%
4-5
80%
F · 6'8" 205 · 28
25.7
6
50%
9
1
1
0
1
2
1
8
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 215 · 27
20.5
13
65%
1
2
4
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
5-8
63%
1-2
50%
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 25
17.6
7
88%
1
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
G · 6'0" 165 · 25
16.8
4
40%
1
4
2
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 235 · 23
14.0
4
50%
1
0
1
1
1
3
1
0
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 230 · 26
6.8
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 165 · 29
6.0
3
25%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
0%
1-3
33%
C · 7'0" 255 · 32
6.0
0
0%
2
1
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#9 · F · 6'10" 230 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#15 · F · 6'9" 245 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#2 · G · 5'11" 170 · 37
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
114
67%
31
31
11
2
11
0
3
28
16-19
84%
34-55
62%
10-19
53%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.