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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 4, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Raptors68%98114
26Heat32%9282
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 22.3
34.1
30.5
22
74%
5
3
0
1
0
0
0
5
2-2
100%
7-10
3-8
70%
45%
2-4
50%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 23.9
33.7
36.0
24
80%
4
4
0
1
0
4
0
4
8-9
89%
8-11
8-16
73%
51%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.4
31.3
34.6
11
92%
3
10
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
4-4
4-6
100%
55%
1-2
50%
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 32.6
27.5
31.1
18
91%
3
3
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-2
0%
3-4
3-6
75%
49%
4-5
80%
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 27.6
25.7
19.7
6
51%
9
1
1
1
0
1
1
8
2-2
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
50%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 27.0
20.5
20.0
13
65%
1
2
4
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
5-8
2-5
63%
48%
1-2
50%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 25.4
17.6
21.4
7
90%
1
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
2-3
100%
45%
1-2
50%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 24.9
16.8
24.3
4
40%
1
4
2
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-4
5-10
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.0
14.0
9.9
4
52%
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0
2-2
100%
1-3
2-3
33%
49%
0-0
-
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.7
6.8
5.2
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
49%
0-0
-
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 29.3
6.0
13.0
3
25%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-3
0%
44%
1-3
33%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 31.7
6.0
12.0
0
0%
2
1
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
52%
0-0
-
Maceo Baston
F · 6'10" 230 · 31.7
Jorge Garbajosa
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.1
Darrick Martin
G · 5'11" 170 · 36.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 28.4
31.3
33.0
4
29%
2
5
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
3-7
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 26.0
28.0
29.2
12
47%
2
4
2
1
0
3
1
1
2-2
100%
5-11
6-13
45%
50%
0-1
0%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26.5
25.4
16.2
6
30%
4
0
1
0
0
2
3
1
2-2
100%
2-9
2-5
22%
45%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 32.2
21.8
31.2
3
21%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
47%
1-5
20%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 32.2
18.8
26.5
12
77%
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
4-4
100%
4-6
4-8
67%
51%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 22.2
33.6
28.7
17
105%
8
1
0
1
1
3
1
7
7-7
100%
5-5
4-8
100%
48%
0-0
-
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.0
30.2
15.3
10
38%
10
1
0
0
0
2
4
6
0-0
-
5-13
2-3
38%
50%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 20.8
28.2
12.1
7
39%
4
3
0
0
0
4
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
45%
1-6
17%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.4
22.8
12.8
11
70%
3
4
0
0
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
3-4
1-1
75%
45%
1-3
33%
Luke Jackson
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 26.2
21.4
1
2-4
42%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.7
15.0
0
2-3
49%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 25.5
2.0
0
0-0
45%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 38.0
Smush Parker
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.7
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 35.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.