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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 4, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Bulls56%96118
27SuperSonics44%94108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.8
36.4
24.1
10
43%
9
3
0
1
0
1
1
8
4-6
67%
3-6
3-6
50%
45%
0-3
0%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 33.4
30.6
32.7
7
40%
10
7
3
1
1
0
8
2
1-4
25%
3-7
2-5
43%
46%
0-0
-
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 32.5
29.5
17.4
25
56%
10
2
0
0
2
1
4
6
7-10
70%
9-18
4-8
50%
47%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 27.1
26.3
35.3
15
58%
1
5
2
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
5-11
5-10
45%
46%
1-1
100%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 28.2
25.4
28.9
14
64%
4
1
0
1
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
1-5
4-8
20%
49%
4-6
67%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.8
30.3
23.3
20
52%
2
2
0
1
0
3
1
1
6-7
86%
7-16
4-8
44%
46%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 25.4
23.9
19.0
6
60%
4
3
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
43%
2-3
67%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.2
18.1
6.3
14
60%
4
1
2
0
0
1
3
1
2-4
50%
6-10
1-2
60%
51%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 22.9
16.3
26.3
7
39%
6
1
1
1
0
2
5
1
1-2
50%
3-7
3-7
43%
49%
0-1
0%
Viktor Khryapa
· 6'9" 210 · 25.5
3.2
14.7
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
46%
0-0
-
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 33.6
6.7
0
1-2
45%
Demetris Nichols
F · 6'8" 216 · 23.4
1.7
0
0-0
47%
JamesOn Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.1
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.8
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 19.3
31.0
33.0
20
57%
4
3
3
1
1
0
1
3
6-6
100%
7-15
7-15
47%
46%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 28.6
24.6
27.8
10
83%
1
8
0
1
0
5
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
44%
2-3
67%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.4
22.9
30.1
13
50%
4
1
1
1
0
1
2
2
1-2
50%
6-11
6-10
55%
53%
0-1
0%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 28.1
17.4
19.3
2
25%
2
0
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 35.3
16.9
25.7
2
33%
3
3
0
1
1
1
3
0
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
49%
0-0
-
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 30.9
32.0
11.6
21
68%
4
4
1
0
1
2
1
3
6-8
75%
3-8
2-3
38%
50%
3-4
75%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 27.3
27.1
22.1
4
33%
9
0
1
0
0
3
2
7
0-0
-
2-6
3-7
33%
51%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.0
23.5
19.2
11
81%
0
4
0
1
0
1
0
0
4-4
100%
2-2
2-5
100%
45%
1-3
33%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 22.0
21.9
14.4
10
51%
4
0
0
0
2
0
0
4
2-2
100%
4-9
2-5
44%
48%
0-0
-
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 24.5
17.0
19.8
11
71%
3
2
1
1
1
0
2
1
4-4
100%
2-3
2-5
67%
47%
1-3
33%
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 22.2
5.7
6.5
4
100%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
50%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.4
17.3
0
2-5
47%
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.7
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 21.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.