Final Win Prob. pScore
976%99
92
2924%90
86
ORTG#PossPace
HOU logo Rockets
100.09293.9
MIN logo Timberwolves
93.59291.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

TimberwolvesRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

TimberwolvesRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventHOUMIN
Q4 - 0:00.0HOU92
100%
86
0%
Q4 - 0:09.0HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)92
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 0:10.0MINMISS Gomes 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 0:19.0HOUBrooks Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)92
99.8%
86
0.2%
Q4 - 0:19.0HOUSUB: Hayes FOR Yao91
86
Q4 - 0:19.0HOUBrooks Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)91
99.8%
86
0.2%
Q4 - 0:19.0MINMcCants P.FOUL (P4.PN)90
86
Q4 - 0:26.0MINSUB: Foye FOR Smith90
86
Q4 - 0:26.0HOUSUB: Brooks FOR Landry90
86
Q4 - 0:26.0HOUSUB: Yao FOR Hayes90
86
Q4 - 0:26.0MINSmith P.FOUL (P3.T4)90
86
Q4 - 0:26.0HOULandry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)90
99.0%
86
1.0%
Q4 - 0:28.0MINMISS McCants 27' 3PT Jump Shot90
98.6%
86
1.4%
Q4 - 0:30.0HOUSUB: Hayes FOR Yao90
86
Q4 - 0:30.0MINTIMBERWOLVES Timeout: Short (Full 5 Short 1)90
86
Q4 - 0:30.0HOUMcGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS)90
97.0%
86
3.0%
Q4 - 0:50.0HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)87
84.1%
86
15.9%
Q4 - 0:51.0MINMISS Telfair 21' Jump Shot87
80.8%
86
19.2%
Q4 - 1:10MINTIMBERWOLVES Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 0)87
86
Q4 - 1:10HOUMcGrady 17' Jump Shot (23 PTS)87
71.7%
86
28.3%
Q4 - 1:22MINGomes Traveling Turnover (P1.T18)85
60.1%
86
39.9%
Q4 - 1:24MINGomes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)85
44.6%
86
55.4%
Q4 - 1:25HOUJefferson BLOCK (3 BLK)85
49.5%
86
50.5%
Q4 - 1:38MINJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:13)85
60.3%
86
39.7%
Q4 - 1:38MINJefferson Tip Shot (33 PTS)85
60.3%
86
39.7%
Q4 - 1:39MINMISS Telfair Layup85
78.2%
84
21.8%
Q4 - 1:46HOULandry L.B.FOUL (P3.T4)85
84
Q4 - 1:46MINTIMBERWOLVES Rebound85
70.2%
84
29.8%
Q4 - 1:47HOUMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
73.5%
84
26.5%
Q4 - 2:12MINJefferson 16' Jump Shot (31 PTS) (McCants 2 AST)85
80.8%
84
19.2%
Q4 - 2:18MINTIMBERWOLVES Rebound85
85.0%
82
15.0%
Q4 - 2:18MINJump Ball Jefferson vs. Battier: Tip to McCants85
82
Q4 - 2:18MINMISS Jefferson 8' Jump Shot85
90.3%
82
9.7%
Q4 - 2:39HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)85
84.9%
82
15.1%
Q4 - 2:39MINJefferson S.FOUL (P3.T3)84
82
Q4 - 2:39HOUYao Layup (15 PTS)84
82
Q4 - 2:41HOUYao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)82
72.1%
82
27.9%
Q4 - 2:42HOUMISS McGrady 21' Jump Shot82
60.8%
82
39.2%
Q4 - 2:52HOURockets Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)82
82
Q4 - 2:52MINSmith P.FOUL (P2.T2)82
82
Q4 - 3:13MINGomes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)82
72.8%
82
27.2%
Q4 - 3:13MINGomes Tip Shot (12 PTS)82
72.8%
82
27.2%
Q4 - 3:15MINMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 182
86.1%
80
13.9%
Q4 - 3:15HOUBattier S.FOUL (P3.T3)82
80
Q4 - 3:15MINSmith Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Telfair 12 AST)82
80
Q4 - 3:31HOULandry Slam Dunk (13 PTS) (Alston 8 AST)82
88.4%
78
11.6%
Q4 - 3:54MINGomes 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Telfair 11 AST)80
84.8%
78
15.2%
Q4 - 4:01HOUSmith STEAL (2 STL)80
92.1%
75
7.9%
Q4 - 4:20MINJefferson 6' Jump Shot (29 PTS) (McCants 1 AST)80
94.8%
75
5.2%
Q4 - 4:28MINSmith Timeout:Short80
73
Q4 - 4:36MINSUB: Jefferson FOR Walker80
73
Q4 - 4:36HOUSUB: Yao FOR Hayes80
73
Q4 - 4:36HOUSUB: Battier FOR Wells80
73
Q4 - 4:36MINTIMBERWOLVES Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)80
73
Q4 - 4:36HOUWells P.FOUL (P3.T2)80
73
Q4 - 4:39HOUWalker STEAL (1 STL)80
96.3%
73
3.7%
Q4 - 5:02MINMcCants 15' Fadeaway Jumper (15 PTS)80
96.3%
73
3.7%
Q4 - 5:22MINGomes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)80
97.3%
71
2.7%
Q4 - 5:23HOUMISS McGrady 22' Jump Shot80
97.6%
71
2.4%
Q4 - 5:40HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)80
98.1%
71
1.9%
Q4 - 5:41MINMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
97.9%
71
2.1%
Q4 - 5:59HOUWells 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (McGrady 7 AST)80
97.4%
71
2.6%
Q4 - 6:15MINSmith Driving Reverse Layup (5 PTS) (Telfair 10 AST)77
94.2%
71
5.8%
Q4 - 6:26HOUMcGrady 23' Jump Shot (21 PTS)77
95.6%
69
4.4%
Q4 - 6:46MINMcCants 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Telfair 9 AST)75
94.2%
69
5.8%
Q4 - 6:56HOUHayes Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T16)75
96.7%
66
3.3%
Q4 - 7:09HOULandry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)75
97.1%
66
2.9%
Q4 - 7:10MINMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 275
97.0%
66
3.0%
Q4 - 7:10MINSUB: Gomes FOR Jaric75
66
Q4 - 7:10MINSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)75
96.5%
66
3.5%
Q4 - 7:10HOULandry S.FOUL (P2.T1)75
65
Q4 - 7:25HOUWells Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)75
97.1%
65
2.9%
Q4 - 7:25MINMcCants S.FOUL (P3.T1)74
65
Q4 - 7:25HOUWells Driving Layup (3 PTS) (Alston 7 AST)74
65
Q4 - 7:29MINSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T17)72
95.2%
65
4.8%
Q4 - 7:48HOUWells Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15)72
93.6%
65
6.4%
Q4 - 8:01HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)72
94.5%
65
5.5%
Q4 - 8:02MINMISS McCants Driving Reverse Layup72
94.1%
65
5.9%
Q4 - 8:22HOULandry Reverse Layup (11 PTS) (McGrady 6 AST)72
93.1%
65
6.9%
Q4 - 8:40HOUSUB: Hayes FOR Yao70
65
Q4 - 8:40MINSUB: Telfair FOR Foye70
65
Q4 - 8:40MINSUB: Walker FOR Jefferson70
65
Q4 - 8:4070
65
Q4 - 8:40MINTIMBERWOLVES Turnover: Shot Clock (T#16)70
91.2%
65
8.8%
Q4 - 8:40MINTIMBERWOLVES Rebound70
89.0%
65
11.0%
Q4 - 8:41MINMISS Jefferson 14' Jump Shot70
90.6%
65
9.4%
Q4 - 9:08HOULandry 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (McGrady 5 AST)70
88.4%
65
11.6%
Q4 - 9:29MINJefferson 14' Jump Shot (27 PTS)68
85.5%
65
14.5%
Q4 - 9:48HOUAlston Driving Layup (12 PTS)68
88.4%
63
11.6%
Q4 - 10:01HOUWells REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
85.2%
63
14.8%
Q4 - 10:02MINMISS Foye 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
84.4%
63
15.6%
Q4 - 10:08MINJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:13)66
82.2%
63
17.8%
Q4 - 10:10HOUJefferson BLOCK (2 BLK)66
83.2%
63
16.8%
Q4 - 10:23HOULandry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)66
85.2%
63
14.8%
Q4 - 10:24HOUMISS Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
83.2%
63
16.8%
Q4 - 10:37MINTIMBERWOLVES Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)66
85.2%
63
14.8%
Q4 - 11:01MINSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)66
82.0%
63
18.0%
Q4 - 11:02HOUMISS Yao 21' Jump Shot66
82.9%
63
17.1%
Q4 - 11:17HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)66
84.8%
63
15.2%
Q4 - 11:18MINMISS McCants 20' Jump Shot66
84.0%
63
16.0%
Q4 - 11:33MINSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)66
82.0%
63
18.0%
Q4 - 11:34MINMISS McCants 18' Jump Shot66
84.0%
63
16.0%
Q4 - 11:45HOUWells Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14)66
82.0%
63
18.0%
Q4 - 12:0066
63
Q3 - 0:00.0MIN66
84.8%
63
15.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MINSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
82.0%
63
18.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0HOUMISS McGrady 6' Jump Shot66
82.5%
63
17.5%
Q3 - 0:03.0HOURockets Rebound66
84.2%
63
15.8%
Q3 - 0:03.0HOUSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)66
82.5%
63
17.5%
Q3 - 0:24.0MINFoye Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)66
84.3%
63
15.7%
Q3 - 0:31.0MINJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)66
81.7%
63
18.3%
Q3 - 0:31.0HOUMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
82.5%
63
17.5%
Q3 - 0:40.0HOULandry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)66
84.3%
63
15.7%
Q3 - 0:41.0MINMISS McCants 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
83.5%
63
16.5%
Q3 - 1:07HOUMcGrady 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Landry 2 AST)66
81.3%
63
18.7%
Q3 - 1:22MINFoye 19' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)63
74.3%
63
25.7%
Q3 - 1:36HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)63
78.2%
61
21.8%
Q3 - 1:36HOURockets Rebound62
61
Q3 - 1:36HOUMISS Yao Free Throw 1 of 262
77.7%
61
22.3%
Q3 - 1:36MINJefferson P.FOUL (P2.PN)62
61
Q3 - 1:45HOUWells REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
77.9%
61
22.1%
Q3 - 1:46MINMISS Foye Layup62
76.9%
61
23.1%
Q3 - 1:50HOUJaric STEAL (1 STL)62
74.6%
61
25.4%
Q3 - 2:02HOUWells REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
78.2%
61
21.8%
Q3 - 2:03MINMISS Foye 20' Jump Shot62
77.2%
61
22.8%
Q3 - 2:08HOUWells Violation:Kicked Ball62
61
Q3 - 2:20HOUYao 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS)62
74.8%
61
25.2%
Q3 - 2:34MINJump Ball Jaric vs. Wells: Tip to McGrady60
61
Q3 - 2:34MINSUB: McCants FOR Gomes60
61
Q3 - 2:37MINJefferson Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T13)60
71.0%
61
29.0%
Q3 - 2:59HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)60
67.0%
61
33.0%
Q3 - 2:59HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)59
66.1%
61
33.9%
Q3 - 2:59HOURockets Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)58
61
Q3 - 2:59MINJaric S.FOUL (P2.PN)58
61
Q3 - 3:13MINJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)58
64.8%
61
35.2%
Q3 - 3:13MINJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)58
65.8%
60
34.2%
Q3 - 3:13HOULandry S.FOUL (P1.PN)58
59
Q3 - 3:17HOUSUB: Wells FOR Battier58
59
Q3 - 3:17MINSUB: Smith FOR Doleac58
59
Q3 - 3:17MINSUB: Foye FOR Telfair58
59
Q3 - 3:17HOUMcGrady P.FOUL (P2.T4)58
59
Q3 - 3:39HOUYao Layup (10 PTS) (McGrady 4 AST)58
68.4%
59
31.6%
Q3 - 3:48HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)56
64.6%
59
35.4%
Q3 - 3:49MINMISS Jefferson 12' Jump Shot56
63.3%
59
36.7%
Q3 - 4:02MINDoleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)56
60.5%
59
39.5%
Q3 - 4:03HOUMISS Landry Layup56
62.0%
59
38.0%
Q3 - 4:20HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
65.3%
59
34.7%
Q3 - 4:21MINMISS Doleac 15' Jump Shot56
63.8%
59
36.2%
Q3 - 4:32HOUDoleac STEAL (2 STL)56
60.5%
59
39.5%
Q3 - 4:42HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)56
65.3%
59
34.7%
Q3 - 4:43MINMISS Jefferson 8' Turnaround Jump Shot56
63.9%
59
36.1%
Q3 - 5:03MINGomes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
61.4%
59
38.6%
Q3 - 5:05HOUMISS McGrady 10' Turnaround Jump Shot56
62.7%
59
37.3%
Q3 - 5:11MINJaric P.FOUL (P1.T4)56
59
Q3 - 5:28HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)56
65.7%
59
34.3%
Q3 - 5:31HOUMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
62.6%
59
37.4%
Q3 - 5:49MINJefferson Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS)56
65.6%
59
34.4%
Q3 - 5:49HOUSUB: Landry FOR Scola56
58
Q3 - 5:49MINTIMBERWOLVES Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)56
58
Q3 - 5:49HOUBattier S.FOUL (P2.T3)56
58
Q3 - 5:49MINJefferson Layup (22 PTS) (Telfair 8 AST)56
58
Q3 - 6:08HOUAlston 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Yao 2 AST)56
73.2%
56
26.8%
Q3 - 6:12MINJaric Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)53
66.6%
56
33.4%
Q3 - 6:13MINJaric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
62.7%
56
37.3%
Q3 - 6:15HOUMISS Scola 18' Jump Shot53
63.9%
56
36.1%
Q3 - 6:26MINJaric Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)53
66.6%
56
33.4%
Q3 - 6:26MINTIMBERWOLVES Rebound53
55
Q3 - 6:26MINMISS Jaric Free Throw 1 of 253
67.5%
55
32.5%
Q3 - 6:26HOUMcGrady S.FOUL (P1.T2)53
55
Q3 - 6:38HOUYao 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T11)53
66.3%
55
33.7%
Q3 - 6:41HOUScola REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)53
70.1%
55
29.9%
Q3 - 6:42HOUMISS Scola Layup53
67.5%
55
32.5%
Q3 - 6:44HOUScola REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)53
70.1%
55
29.9%
Q3 - 6:45HOUMISS McGrady 20' Jump Shot53
67.5%
55
32.5%
Q3 - 7:03MINJefferson 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (20 PTS)53
70.3%
55
29.7%
Q3 - 7:24MINDoleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)53
73.3%
53
26.7%
Q3 - 7:25MINMISS Gomes Free Throw 2 of 253
75.9%
53
24.1%
Q3 - 7:25MINTIMBERWOLVES Rebound53
53
Q3 - 7:25MINMISS Gomes Free Throw 1 of 253
73.9%
53
26.1%
Q3 - 7:25HOUBattier S.FOUL (P1.T1)53
53
Q3 - 7:48HOUScola Layup (11 PTS) (Alston 6 AST)53
73.3%
53
26.7%
Q3 - 7:55HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
70.3%
53
29.7%
Q3 - 7:56MINMISS Jefferson 10' Jump Shot51
69.3%
53
30.7%
Q3 - 8:04MINJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)51
67.0%
53
33.0%
Q3 - 8:06HOUMISS Scola 7' Jump Shot51
68.1%
53
31.9%
Q3 - 8:14MINDoleac P.FOUL (P4.T3)51
53
Q3 - 8:28MINJaric 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Telfair 7 AST)51
70.5%
53
29.5%
Q3 - 8:40MINJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)51
73.3%
51
26.7%
Q3 - 8:41HOUMISS Alston 22' Jump Shot51
74.3%
51
25.7%
Q3 - 8:58MINJefferson 16' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Telfair 6 AST)51
76.4%
51
23.6%
Q3 - 9:08MINTelfair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
79.1%
49
20.9%
Q3 - 9:09HOUMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot51
79.9%
49
20.1%
Q3 - 9:19HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
81.5%
49
18.5%
Q3 - 9:20MINMISS Telfair 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
80.8%
49
19.2%
Q3 - 9:31MINTelfair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
79.1%
49
20.9%
Q3 - 9:32HOUMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
79.9%
49
20.1%
Q3 - 9:50MINTelfair 15' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)51
81.5%
49
18.5%
Q3 - 10:02MINJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)51
83.6%
47
16.4%
Q3 - 10:02HOUMISS Scola Free Throw 1 of 151
83.9%
47
16.1%
Q3 - 10:02MINDoleac S.FOUL (P3.T2)51
47
Q3 - 10:02HOUScola Layup (9 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)51
47
Q3 - 10:14MINDoleac P.FOUL (P2.T1)49
47
Q3 - 10:29MINJefferson Traveling Turnover (P3.T11)49
81.6%
47
18.4%
Q3 - 10:49HOUMcGrady 9' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Alston 5 AST)49
79.3%
47
20.7%
Q3 - 11:13MINGomes 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Telfair 5 AST)47
77.6%
47
22.4%
Q3 - 11:23MINGomes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
81.9%
44
18.1%
Q3 - 11:24HOUMISS McGrady 20' Jump Shot47
82.5%
44
17.5%
Q3 - 11:41MINGomes 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)47
84.0%
44
16.0%
Q3 - 12:0047
42
Q2 - 0:00.0HOU47
85.6%
42
14.4%
Q2 - 0:18.0MINJefferson Layup (16 PTS) (Telfair 4 AST)47
87.1%
42
12.9%
Q2 - 0:26.0HOUJefferson STEAL (3 STL)47
88.9%
40
11.1%
Q2 - 0:35.0HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
89.8%
40
10.2%
Q2 - 0:37.0MINMISS Jefferson 9' Jump Hook Shot47
89.6%
40
10.4%
Q2 - 0:52.0MINJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)47
88.9%
40
11.1%
Q2 - 0:52.0HOUMISS Yao Free Throw 2 of 247
89.0%
40
11.0%
Q2 - 0:52.0HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)47
90.0%
40
10.0%
Q2 - 0:52.0MINSUB: McCants FOR Gomes46
40
Q2 - 0:52.0MINJefferson P.FOUL (P1.PN)46
40
Q2 - 0:52.0HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
88.6%
40
11.4%
Q2 - 0:53.0MINMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot46
88.2%
40
11.8%
Q2 - 1:10HOUYao Layup (7 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)46
87.5%
40
12.5%
Q2 - 1:25MINJefferson 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS)44
85.5%
40
14.5%
Q2 - 1:41HOUTelfair STEAL (3 STL)44
87.5%
38
12.5%
Q2 - 1:56MINTelfair 12' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)44
88.5%
38
11.5%
Q2 - 2:08HOUBattier Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)44
89.9%
36
10.1%
Q2 - 2:08HOUBattier Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)43
89.6%
36
10.4%
Q2 - 2:08MINGomes P.FOUL (P2.PN)42
36
Q2 - 2:26MINJefferson Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Telfair 3 AST)42
88.7%
36
11.3%
Q2 - 2:36MINJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)42
89.9%
34
10.1%
Q2 - 2:37HOUJefferson BLOCK (1 BLK)42
90.2%
34
9.8%
Q2 - 2:42MINWalker P.FOUL (P2.T4)42
34
Q2 - 2:54HOUSUB: Battier FOR Wells42
34
Q2 - 2:54HOUSUB: Yao FOR Hayes42
34
Q2 - 2:54HOUSUB: Scola FOR Landry42
34
Q2 - 2:54MINSUB: Gomes FOR Brewer42
34
Q2 - 2:54MINSUB: Jaric FOR McCants42
34
Q2 - 2:54HOURockets Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)42
34
Q2 - 3:01MINBrewer 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jefferson 2 AST)42
91.1%
34
8.9%
Q2 - 3:16HOUBrewer STEAL (1 STL)42
91.9%
32
8.1%
Q2 - 3:23MINMcCants Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)42
92.9%
32
7.1%
Q2 - 3:41HOUAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Landry 1 AST)42
91.9%
32
8.1%
Q2 - 3:45HOULandry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)39
90.0%
32
10.0%
Q2 - 3:46HOUMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
89.1%
32
10.9%
Q2 - 4:05MINMcCants 17' Step Back Jump Shot (10 PTS)39
89.9%
32
10.1%
Q2 - 4:22HOUMcGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)39
90.9%
30
9.1%
Q2 - 4:37HOUSUB: Alston FOR Brooks36
30
Q2 - 4:37MINTIMBERWOLVES Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)36
30
Q2 - 4:37MINMcCants Foul Turnover (P2.T9)36
88.8%
30
11.2%
Q2 - 4:37MINMcCants OFF.Foul (P2)36
30
Q2 - 4:50HOULandry 13' Jump Shot (7 PTS)36
87.4%
30
12.6%
Q2 - 5:09MINMcCants 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Telfair 2 AST)34
86.1%
30
13.9%
Q2 - 5:16MINJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)34
88.8%
27
11.2%
Q2 - 5:17HOUMISS Brooks 21' Jump Shot34
89.1%
27
10.9%
Q2 - 5:25MINJefferson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)34
89.9%
27
10.1%
Q2 - 5:42HOUMcGrady 6' Jump Shot (9 PTS)34
88.8%
27
11.2%
Q2 - 6:04HOURockets Rebound32
87.3%
27
12.7%
Q2 - 6:05MINMISS McCants 26' 3PT Jump Shot32
86.8%
27
13.2%
Q2 - 6:20HOUWells P.FOUL (P2.T3)32
27
Q2 - 6:30HOULandry Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)32
85.8%
27
14.2%
Q2 - 6:30MINSUB: Jefferson FOR Smith31
27
Q2 - 6:30MINSUB: Telfair FOR Foye31
27
Q2 - 6:30HOUSUB: McGrady FOR Battier31
27
Q2 - 6:30MINSmith S.FOUL (P1.T3)31
27
Q2 - 6:30HOULandry Layup (4 PTS)31
27
Q2 - 6:31HOULandry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
83.0%
27
17.0%
Q2 - 6:32HOUMISS Wells 15' Jump Shot29
81.6%
27
18.4%
Q2 - 6:49MINMcCants Driving Layup (5 PTS)29
83.0%
27
17.0%
Q2 - 7:06MINWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)29
84.7%
25
15.3%
Q2 - 7:07HOUMISS Brooks 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
85.1%
25
14.9%
Q2 - 7:19MINWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)29
86.1%
25
13.9%
Q2 - 7:23MINWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
84.6%
25
15.4%
Q2 - 7:24HOUMISS Brooks 3PT Jump Shot29
85.1%
25
14.9%
Q2 - 7:29MINFoye Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)29
86.1%
25
13.9%
Q2 - 7:32HOUSmith STEAL (1 STL)29
84.6%
25
15.4%
Q2 - 7:56HOULandry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
86.1%
25
13.9%
Q2 - 7:56MINMISS Foye Free Throw 1 of 129
85.9%
25
14.1%
Q2 - 7:56HOUBrooks S.FOUL (P1.T2)29
25
Q2 - 7:56MINFoye 13' Running Bank Shot (2 PTS)29
25
Q2 - 8:08MINWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
87.2%
23
12.8%
Q2 - 8:09HOUMISS Brooks 22' Jump Shot29
87.6%
23
12.4%
Q2 - 8:23MINSmith Layup (2 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)29
88.4%
23
11.6%
Q2 - 8:44MINWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
89.5%
21
10.5%
Q2 - 8:45HOUMISS Wells 19' Jump Shot29
89.8%
21
10.2%
Q2 - 8:5229
21
Q2 - 9:08HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
90.3%
21
9.7%
Q2 - 9:09MINMISS Brewer 16' Jump Shot29
90.0%
21
10.0%
Q2 - 9:13MINFoye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
89.3%
21
10.7%
Q2 - 9:15HOUMISS Landry 15' Jump Shot29
89.6%
21
10.4%
Q2 - 9:37MINMcCants Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)29
90.3%
21
9.7%
Q2 - 9:50HOUWells Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)29
89.3%
21
10.7%
Q2 - 9:50HOUSUB: Brooks FOR Alston28
21
Q2 - 9:50HOURockets Rebound28
21
Q2 - 9:50HOUMISS Wells Free Throw 1 of 228
89.0%
21
11.0%
Q2 - 9:50MINWalker S.FOUL (P1.T2)28
21
Q2 - 9:56HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
89.3%
21
10.7%
Q2 - 9:57MINMISS McCants 7' Jump Shot28
89.0%
21
11.0%
Q2 - 10:04HOUSUB: Hayes FOR Yao28
21
Q2 - 10:04HOUWells P.FOUL (P1.T1)28
21
Q2 - 10:19MINSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
88.0%
21
12.0%
Q2 - 10:20MINMISS Foye 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
88.8%
21
11.2%
Q2 - 10:42HOULandry 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wells 1 AST)28
88.0%
21
12.0%
Q2 - 10:58MINSUB: Walker FOR Jefferson26
21
Q2 - 10:58MINSUB: Brewer FOR Gomes26
21
Q2 - 10:58MINMcCants P.FOUL (P1.T1)26
21
Q2 - 11:17MINMcCants 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)26
86.6%
21
13.4%
Q2 - 11:39HOUAlston Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)26
88.8%
18
11.2%
Q2 - 11:43MINFoye Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)24
87.8%
18
12.2%
Q2 - 12:0024
18
Q1 - 0:00.0MIN24
86.6%
18
13.4%
Q1 - 0:05.0MINSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
86.6%
18
13.4%
Q1 - 0:06.0HOUMISS McGrady 14' Running Jump Shot24
86.8%
18
13.2%
Q1 - 0:15.0MINJefferson Driving Dunk (10 PTS) (Foye 1 AST)24
87.4%
18
12.6%
Q1 - 0:31.0HOUMcGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Yao 1 AST)24
88.7%
16
11.3%
Q1 - 0:36.0MINFoye Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)21
86.3%
16
13.7%
Q1 - 0:40.0MINJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)21
85.4%
16
14.6%
Q1 - 0:41.0HOUMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot21
85.7%
16
14.3%
Q1 - 0:50.0MINJefferson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)21
86.3%
16
13.7%
Q1 - 0:54.0HOUJefferson STEAL (2 STL)21
85.4%
16
14.6%
Q1 - 1:02HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
86.2%
16
13.8%
Q1 - 1:03MINMISS Jefferson 4' Jump Bank Shot21
86.0%
16
14.0%
Q1 - 1:05MINJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)21
85.4%
16
14.6%
Q1 - 1:06MINMISS Smith Layup21
86.0%
16
14.0%
Q1 - 1:29MINJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)21
85.4%
16
14.6%
Q1 - 1:30HOUMISS Yao 4' Turnaround Jump Shot21
85.7%
16
14.3%
Q1 - 1:48MINJefferson Layup (8 PTS)21
86.2%
16
13.8%
Q1 - 2:04MINSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
87.4%
14
12.6%
Q1 - 2:07HOUMISS Alston 3PT Jump Shot21
87.7%
14
12.3%
Q1 - 2:19HOURockets Rebound21
88.2%
14
11.8%
Q1 - 2:20MINMISS Foye 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
88.0%
14
12.0%
Q1 - 2:43MINSUB: Smith FOR Doleac21
14
Q1 - 2:43HOURockets Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)21
14
Q1 - 2:43HOUAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)21
87.4%
14
12.6%
Q1 - 2:53HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
88.2%
14
11.8%
Q1 - 2:55MINMISS McCants 7' Running Jump Shot21
88.0%
14
12.0%
Q1 - 3:12MINJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)21
87.6%
14
12.4%
Q1 - 3:12HOUMISS Scola Free Throw 2 of 221
87.7%
14
12.3%
Q1 - 3:12HOUScola Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)21
88.2%
14
11.8%
Q1 - 3:12MINSUB: McCants FOR Jaric20
14
Q1 - 3:12MINSUB: Foye FOR Telfair20
14
Q1 - 3:12MINGomes S.FOUL (P1.T2)20
14
Q1 - 3:21HOUScola REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)20
87.5%
14
12.5%
Q1 - 3:22HOUMISS McGrady 19' Jump Shot20
86.8%
14
13.2%
Q1 - 3:43MINJaric Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)20
87.5%
14
12.5%
Q1 - 4:03HOUBattier 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Scola 1 AST)20
85.6%
14
14.4%
Q1 - 4:16HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
83.6%
14
16.4%
Q1 - 4:17MINMISS Jefferson 8' Jump Hook Shot17
83.2%
14
16.8%
Q1 - 4:29HOUTelfair STEAL (2 STL)17
82.4%
14
17.6%
Q1 - 4:40HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
83.5%
14
16.5%
Q1 - 4:41MINMISS Gomes 14' Turnaround Jump Shot17
83.1%
14
16.9%
Q1 - 4:59HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)17
82.3%
14
17.7%
Q1 - 4:59MINDoleac S.FOUL (P1.T1)16
14
Q1 - 4:59HOUYao Layup (4 PTS)16
14
Q1 - 5:00HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
79.9%
14
20.1%
Q1 - 5:01HOUMISS Alston 8' Jump Shot14
78.6%
14
21.4%
Q1 - 5:06HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)14
79.6%
14
20.4%
Q1 - 5:07MINMISS Gomes 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
79.2%
14
20.8%
Q1 - 5:12MINJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
78.1%
14
21.9%
Q1 - 5:17MINMISS Doleac 21' Jump Shot14
79.1%
14
20.9%
Q1 - 5:29MINTIMBERWOLVES Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)14
14
Q1 - 5:39HOUAlston Driving Layup (2 PTS)14
78.1%
14
21.9%
Q1 - 5:44HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)12
77.0%
14
23.0%
Q1 - 5:45MINMISS Jaric 19' Jump Shot12
76.5%
14
23.5%
Q1 - 6:00MINGomes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
75.4%
14
24.6%
Q1 - 6:01HOUJaric BLOCK (1 BLK)12
76.4%
14
23.6%
Q1 - 6:13MINTelfair Driving Layup (2 PTS)12
77.2%
14
22.8%
Q1 - 6:16HOUTelfair STEAL (1 STL)12
78.4%
12
21.6%
Q1 - 6:33MINJaric 19' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)12
79.6%
12
20.4%
Q1 - 6:52HOUScola 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)12
80.5%
10
19.5%
Q1 - 7:01HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
79.7%
10
20.3%
Q1 - 7:02MINMISS Jefferson 16' Jump Shot10
79.3%
10
20.7%
Q1 - 7:21HOUScola Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)10
78.4%
10
21.6%
Q1 - 7:28HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
77.3%
10
22.7%
Q1 - 7:29MINMISS Telfair 8' Pullup Jump Shot8
76.9%
10
23.1%
Q1 - 7:35HOUJefferson STEAL (1 STL)8
76.0%
10
24.0%
Q1 - 7:52MINJefferson Layup (6 PTS) (Jaric 1 AST)8
77.3%
10
22.7%
Q1 - 8:07HOUMcGrady 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)8
78.4%
8
21.6%
Q1 - 8:25MINGomes 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Telfair 1 AST)6
77.3%
8
22.7%
Q1 - 8:30HOUDoleac STEAL (1 STL)6
78.3%
6
21.7%
Q1 - 8:43MINDoleac Layup (2 PTS)6
79.0%
6
21.0%
Q1 - 8:44MINDoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
79.9%
4
20.1%
Q1 - 8:46MINMISS Jefferson 16' Jump Shot6
80.4%
4
19.6%
Q1 - 9:08HOUMcGrady 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)6
79.8%
4
20.2%
Q1 - 9:20MINJefferson 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
78.9%
4
21.1%
Q1 - 9:40HOUScola 3' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)4
79.3%
2
20.7%
Q1 - 9:42HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
78.6%
2
21.4%
Q1 - 9:43HOUMISS Scola 17' Jump Shot2
78.1%
2
21.9%
Q1 - 9:51HOUScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
78.4%
2
21.6%
Q1 - 9:52MINMISS Jefferson 18' Jump Shot2
78.3%
2
21.7%
Q1 - 10:09MINDoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
77.7%
2
22.3%
Q1 - 10:10HOUMISS Scola Layup2
77.8%
2
22.2%
Q1 - 10:16HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
78.1%
2
21.9%
Q1 - 10:17MINMISS Doleac 14' Jump Shot2
77.9%
2
22.1%
Q1 - 10:30MINJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
77.4%
2
22.6%
Q1 - 10:31HOUMISS Scola 21' Jump Shot2
77.5%
2
22.5%
Q1 - 10:43HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
77.6%
2
22.4%
Q1 - 10:44MINMISS Jefferson 14' Jump Shot2
77.4%
2
22.6%
Q1 - 11:09HOUYao Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)2
76.8%
2
23.2%
Q1 - 11:25MINJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
76.2%
2
23.8%
Q1 - 11:25MINJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
76.3%
1
23.7%
Q1 - 11:25HOUScola S.FOUL (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 11:42MINJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
76.0%
0
24.0%
Q1 - 11:43HOUMISS Yao 14' Jump Shot0
76.0%
0
24.0%
Q1 - 12:00MINJump Ball Doleac vs. Yao: Tip to Scola0
75.6%
0
24.4%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventHOUMIN
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.08 54.1%
MIN
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
HOU
16
24
67%
MIN
12
17
71%
Midrange
HOU
11
33
33%
MIN
20
44
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
HOU
8
12.0
19
42%
63%
MIN
5
7.5
16
31%
47%
Free Throws
HOU
14
19
74%
MIN
7
13
54%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. McGrady2659%13.0 / 22
Yao1662%8.0 / 13
C. Landry1365%6.5 / 10
R. Alston1255%6.0 / 11
L. Scola1146%5.5 / 12
B. Wells770%3.5 / 5
S. Battier550%2.5 / 5
A. Brooks225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIN logo Timberwolves
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Jefferson3359%16.5 / 28
R. McCants1554%7.5 / 14
R. Gomes1267%6.0 / 9
C. Smith770%3.5 / 5
S. Telfair643%3.0 / 7
M. Jaric563%2.5 / 4
R. Foye429%2.0 / 7
M. Doleac225%1.0 / 4
C. Brewer250%1.0 / 2
A. Walker0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

HOU
74
+11
-18
85
MIN
76
+10
-16
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.08 54.1%
MIN
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.4
103.7
HOU 100.0 +6.5
MIN 93.5
Pace
90.7
92.1
HOU 93.9 +2.7
MIN 91.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
15.7
HOU 15.3 −0.5
MIN 15.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.2%
48.4%
HOU 51.3%
MIN 51.3%
TO %
14.4%
15.1%
HOU 17.6% −0.3%
MIN 17.9%
ORB %
29.1%
27.5%
HOU 23.8% +3.8%
MIN 20.0%
FTrt
27.6
24.8
HOU 25.0 +8.1
MIN 16.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
53.0%
HOU 65.7% +14.3%
MIN 51.4%
STL %
8.0%
8.1%
HOU 12.0%
MIN 14.1% +2.1%
BLK %
7.8%
6.2%
HOU 4.9%
MIN 8.8% +3.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.2%
50.6%
HOU 54.1% +4.1%
MIN 50.0%
Rim FG%
57.9%
56.5%
HOU 66.7%
MIN 70.6% +3.9%
Mid FG%
40.6%
40.3%
HOU 33.3%
MIN 45.5% +12.2%
3P %
34.2%
35.0%
HOU 42.1% +10.8%
MIN 31.3%
FT %
72.6%
73.6%
HOU 73.7% +19.9%
MIN 53.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.9%
35.8%
HOU 31.6% +9.5%
MIN 22.1%
Mid Att. %
40.6%
45.8%
HOU 43.4% −13.7%
MIN 57.1%
3P Att. %
25.5%
18.5%
HOU 25.0% +4.2%
MIN 20.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsHOUMIN
Possessions9292
Possession Minutes23.524.2
Points9286
Rebounds4240
Assists2319
Steals1113
Blocks35
Turnovers (Team)18 (0)16 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (1)8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (2)32 (1)
Field Goals35-7637-77
At-the-Rim FG16-2412-17
Midrange FG11-3320-44
2-Point FG27-5732-61
3-Point FG8-195-16
Free Throws14-197-13
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 175 · 32
42.8
12
55%
6
8
2
0
2
0
0
6
0-0
-
3-5
60%
2-6
33%
G · 6'8" 225 · 29
42.5
26
59%
6
7
0
1
7
2
1
5
2-2
100%
6-15
40%
4-6
67%
C · 7'6" 310 · 27
36.3
16
62%
5
2
2
0
2
0
2
3
4-6
67%
6-11
55%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 29
33.6
5
50%
6
2
1
1
0
3
0
6
2-2
100%
0-0
-
1-4
25%
F · 6'9" 241 · 28
21.1
11
46%
8
1
0
0
3
1
4
4
1-3
33%
5-11
45%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 248 · 24
26.5
13
65%
7
2
1
0
0
3
3
4
1-1
100%
6-10
60%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 31
19.9
7
70%
3
1
3
1
2
3
0
3
2-3
67%
1-3
33%
1-1
100%
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 25
11.8
0
0%
1
0
2
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 161 · 23
5.7
2
25%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
0-2
0%
F · 6'10" 225 · 25
G · 6'2" 188 · 33
C · 7'2" 260 · 42
#13 · F-G · 6'6" 225 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#3 · G · 6'3" 210 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#2 · G · 6'3" 185 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
92
54%
42
23
11
3
18
0
10
32
14-19
74%
27-57
47%
8-19
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.