Final Win Prob. pScore
1360%101
114
2140%97
113
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo Nuggets
111.810294.6
MIA logo Heat
111.910189.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

HeatNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

HeatNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENMIA
OT1 - 0:00.0DENEnd of 1st OT (10:09 PM EST)114
113
OT1 - 0:01.0DENCamby REBOUND (Off:7 Def:9)114
113
OT1 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot114
113
OT1 - 0:07.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)114
113
OT1 - 0:08.0DENMISS Anthony 21' Jump Shot114
113
OT1 - 0:33.0MIADavis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wright 4 AST)114
113
OT1 - 0:38.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)114
110
OT1 - 0:39.0MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot114
110
OT1 - 0:54.0DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)114
110
OT1 - 0:54.0DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)113
110
OT1 - 0:54.0MIAWright S.FOUL (P3.PN)112
110
OT1 - 1:12DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)112
110
OT1 - 1:13MIAMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot112
110
OT1 - 1:26MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 6 Short 3)112
110
OT1 - 1:26DENCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)112
110
OT1 - 1:26DENCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)111
110
OT1 - 1:26MIAMarion S.FOUL (P1.T1)110
110
OT1 - 1:30DENCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)110
110
OT1 - 1:32DENMISS Iverson 17' Jump Shot110
110
OT1 - 1:39DENCamby REBOUND (Off:7 Def:8)110
110
OT1 - 1:40DENMISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot110
110
OT1 - 1:52DENIverson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)110
110
OT1 - 1:53MIAMISS Marion 10' Jump Shot110
110
OT1 - 2:10MIABlount REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)110
110
OT1 - 2:11DENMISS Anthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot110
110
OT1 - 2:34MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (29 PTS)110
110
OT1 - 2:47DENMartin 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (24 PTS)110
107
OT1 - 3:03MIAMarion Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS)108
107
OT1 - 3:03DENMartin S.FOUL (P2.T1)108
106
OT1 - 3:03MIAMarion Layup (22 PTS) (Davis 4 AST)108
106
OT1 - 3:21DENAnthony 18' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Martin 2 AST)108
104
OT1 - 3:40DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)106
104
OT1 - 3:42MIAMISS Marion Driving Layup106
104
OT1 - 4:05DENAnthony 16' Jump Shot (18 PTS)106
104
OT1 - 4:20MIABlount 19' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Marion 3 AST)104
104
OT1 - 4:39DENCamby Tip Shot (12 PTS)104
102
OT1 - 4:41DENCamby REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8)102
102
OT1 - 4:42DENMISS Anthony 9' Jump Shot102
102
OT1 - 5:00MIAJump Ball Blount vs. Camby: Tip to Martin102
102
OT1 - 5:00Start of 1st OT (9:59 PM EST)102
102
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAEnd of 4th Period (9:57 PM EST)102
102
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound102
102
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 27' 3PT Jump Shot102
102
Q4 - 0:00.0DENSUB: Carter FOR Smith102
102
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 3)102
102
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)102
102
Q4 - 0:01.0DENWright BLOCK (1 BLK)102
102
Q4 - 0:17.0DENSUB: Smith FOR Carter102
102
Q4 - 0:17.0DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)102
102
Q4 - 0:17.0MIABlount 21' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Marion 2 AST)102
102
Q4 - 0:29.0MIAHEAT Rebound102
100
Q4 - 0:30.0MIAMISS Wright Tip Shot102
100
Q4 - 0:31.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)102
100
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAMISS Marion 9' Jump Shot102
100
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:6 Def:12)102
100
Q4 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot102
100
Q4 - 0:56.0MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 4 Short 3)102
100
Q4 - 0:56.0DENSUB: Carter FOR Smith102
100
Q4 - 0:56.0DENSmith P.FOUL (P4.T4)102
100
Q4 - 1:10MIABlount REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)102
100
Q4 - 1:11DENMISS Martin 9' Jump Shot102
100
Q4 - 1:21DENSmith Violation:Kicked Ball102
100
Q4 - 1:35MIAWade 9' Floating Jump Shot (26 PTS)102
100
Q4 - 1:41DENIverson 16' Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS)102
98
Q4 - 1:52DENIverson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)100
98
Q4 - 1:54MIAMISS Wade 16' Fadeaway Jumper100
98
Q4 - 2:06DENSmith P.FOUL (P3.T3)100
98
Q4 - 2:19DENNuggets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)100
98
Q4 - 2:37DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)100
98
Q4 - 2:41DENCamby REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)100
98
Q4 - 2:42MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot100
98
Q4 - 2:57DENWright STEAL (2 STL)100
98
Q4 - 2:59DENCamby REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)100
98
Q4 - 3:01DENMISS Camby Tip Shot100
98
Q4 - 3:02DENCamby REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)100
98
Q4 - 3:03DENMISS Anthony Layup100
98
Q4 - 3:15DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)100
98
Q4 - 3:17MIAMISS Marion Dunk100
98
Q4 - 3:18MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:5 Def:12)100
98
Q4 - 3:19MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot100
98
Q4 - 3:28MIAHEAT Rebound100
98
Q4 - 3:30DENMISS Iverson 17' Jump Shot100
98
Q4 - 3:49MIAMarion 10' Floating Jump Shot (20 PTS)100
98
Q4 - 4:08DENCamby 12' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)100
96
Q4 - 4:28DENCamby REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)98
96
Q4 - 4:29MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 298
96
Q4 - 4:29MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)98
96
Q4 - 4:29DENSmith S.FOUL (P2.T2)98
95
Q4 - 4:39DENSUB: Martin FOR Najera98
95
Q4 - 4:39MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 2)98
95
Q4 - 4:43MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12)98
95
Q4 - 4:45DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot98
95
Q4 - 4:53MIADavis Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)98
95
Q4 - 4:59DENDavis STEAL (1 STL)98
95
Q4 - 5:13DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)98
95
Q4 - 5:14MIAMISS Marion 4' Jump Shot98
95
Q4 - 5:30MIAWright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)98
95
Q4 - 5:31MIAMISS Marion 25' 3PT Jump Shot98
95
Q4 - 5:46DENNajera Tip Shot (2 PTS)98
95
Q4 - 5:47DENNajera REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)96
95
Q4 - 5:49DENMISS Iverson 14' Fadeaway Jumper96
95
Q4 - 6:13MIAMarion Alley Oop Dunk (18 PTS) (Wade 10 AST)96
95
Q4 - 6:16MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)96
93
Q4 - 6:17DENMISS Camby Layup96
93
Q4 - 6:19DENCamby REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)96
93
Q4 - 6:20DENMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot96
93
Q4 - 6:27DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)96
93
Q4 - 6:29MIAMISS Blount 19' Jump Shot96
93
Q4 - 6:52DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Najera 2 AST)96
93
Q4 - 7:12MIABlount 3' Jump Shot (14 PTS)93
93
Q4 - 7:15MIABlount REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)93
91
Q4 - 7:18MIAMISS Davis Driving Layup93
91
Q4 - 7:31DENNuggets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)93
91
Q4 - 7:31DENNuggets Rebound93
91
Q4 - 7:32DENMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
91
Q4 - 7:45DENNuggets Rebound93
91
Q4 - 7:45DENMISS Anthony Free Throw Technical93
91
Q4 - 7:45MIASUB: Marion FOR Banks93
91
Q4 - 7:45DENSUB: Camby FOR Kleiza93
91
Q4 - 7:45Timeout: Official93
91
Q4 - 7:45MIAHEAT T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Blount )93
91
Q4 - 7:55DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)93
91
Q4 - 7:56MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot93
91
Q4 - 8:20DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Iverson 7 AST)93
91
Q4 - 8:29DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)90
91
Q4 - 8:30MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
91
Q4 - 8:35MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)90
91
Q4 - 8:36MIAMISS Davis 21' Jump Shot90
91
Q4 - 8:55DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Iverson 6 AST)90
91
Q4 - 9:06MIADavis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)87
91
Q4 - 9:28DENSUB: Anthony FOR Martin87
88
Q4 - 9:28DENSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)87
88
Q4 - 9:38MIAWade 26' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Banks 4 AST)87
88
Q4 - 9:52DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS)87
85
Q4 - 10:11MIAWright 21' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)84
85
Q4 - 10:32DENKleiza Foul Turnover (P1.T10)84
83
Q4 - 10:32DENKleiza OFF.Foul (P1)84
83
Q4 - 10:54MIADavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)84
83
Q4 - 10:54MIASUB: Wright FOR Marion84
82
Q4 - 10:54MIADavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)84
82
Q4 - 10:54DENSmith S.FOUL (P1.T1)84
81
Q4 - 11:01MIABlount REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)84
81
Q4 - 11:02DENMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
81
Q4 - 11:18MIAWade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)84
81
Q4 - 11:40MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)84
78
Q4 - 11:42DENMISS Martin 21' Jump Shot84
78
Q4 - 12:00Start of 4th Period (9:24 PM EST)84
78
Q3 - 0:00.0DENEnd of 3rd Period (9:21 PM EST)84
78
Q3 - 0:00.0DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
78
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Wright 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
78
Q3 - 0:16.0DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Camby 2 AST)84
78
Q3 - 0:22.0DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)81
78
Q3 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Banks Layup81
78
Q3 - 0:45.0DENMartin 4' Hook Shot (22 PTS) (Iverson 5 AST)81
78
Q3 - 0:51.0MIABlount P.FOUL (P2.T3)79
78
Q3 - 1:01MIABlount 3' Jump Shot (12 PTS)79
78
Q3 - 1:19MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 3 Short 2)79
76
Q3 - 1:23DENMartin 8' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)79
76
Q3 - 1:37DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)77
76
Q3 - 1:39MIAMISS Wright Driving Layup77
76
Q3 - 1:51DENIverson Driving Finger Roll Layup (14 PTS)77
76
Q3 - 2:04MIABanks 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T12)75
76
Q3 - 2:16DENMartin 15' Jump Bank Shot (18 PTS)75
76
Q3 - 2:32DENMartin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)73
76
Q3 - 2:33MIAMISS Blount 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
76
Q3 - 2:49DENKleiza Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)73
76
Q3 - 2:49DENNuggets Rebound72
76
Q3 - 2:49DENMISS Kleiza Free Throw 1 of 272
76
Q3 - 2:49DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)72
76
Q3 - 2:49MIABlount S.FOUL (P1.T2)72
76
Q3 - 2:52DENIverson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
76
Q3 - 2:54MIAMISS Wright 22' Jump Shot72
76
Q3 - 3:21DENIverson Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)72
76
Q3 - 3:21MIASUB: Davis FOR Wade71
76
Q3 - 3:21MIASUB: Banks FOR Williams71
76
Q3 - 3:21DENSUB: Smith FOR Carter71
76
Q3 - 3:21DENSUB: Kleiza FOR Anthony71
76
Q3 - 3:21MIAWade S.FOUL (P3.T1)71
76
Q3 - 3:21DENIverson Reverse Layup (11 PTS)71
76
Q3 - 3:29DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)69
76
Q3 - 3:30MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot69
76
Q3 - 3:47DENNuggets Violation: Delay of game Violation69
76
Q3 - 3:47DENAnthony 9' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)69
76
Q3 - 3:56MIAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)67
76
Q3 - 4:07MIABlount REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)67
73
Q3 - 4:09DENMISS Iverson 18' Jump Shot67
73
Q3 - 4:30MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)67
73
Q3 - 4:38MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)67
71
Q3 - 4:39DENMISS Anthony 19' Jump Shot67
71
Q3 - 4:44DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)67
71
Q3 - 4:48MIAMISS Blount 6' Hook Shot67
71
Q3 - 4:54MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)67
71
Q3 - 4:56DENMISS Iverson 9' Fadeaway Jumper67
71
Q3 - 5:07DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)67
71
Q3 - 5:08MIAMISS Wright 21' Jump Shot67
71
Q3 - 5:28DENMartin 7' Running Hook Shot (16 PTS)67
71
Q3 - 5:50MIABlount Tip Shot (10 PTS)65
71
Q3 - 5:51MIABlount REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)65
69
Q3 - 5:53MIAMISS Marion Driving Layup65
69
Q3 - 6:06MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)65
69
Q3 - 6:12DENMartin Putback Dunk (14 PTS)65
69
Q3 - 6:13DENMartin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)63
69
Q3 - 6:14DENMISS Iverson Driving Layup63
69
Q3 - 6:29DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)63
69
Q3 - 6:30MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
69
Q3 - 6:55DENMarion STEAL (2 STL)63
69
Q3 - 7:07MIAMarion 9' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Wright 3 AST)63
69
Q3 - 7:09MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
67
Q3 - 7:11MIAMISS Wade Layup63
67
Q3 - 7:21MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)63
67
Q3 - 7:22DENMISS Anthony Layup63
67
Q3 - 7:27DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)63
67
Q3 - 7:28DENMISS Anthony 26' 3PT Jump Shot63
67
Q3 - 7:41MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)63
67
Q3 - 7:56DENCamby P.FOUL (P2.T1)63
67
Q3 - 8:07DENMarion STEAL (1 STL)63
67
Q3 - 8:13DENCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
67
Q3 - 8:14MIAMISS Blount 16' Jump Shot63
67
Q3 - 8:35MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)63
67
Q3 - 8:37DENMISS Iverson Reverse Layup63
67
Q3 - 8:42DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
67
Q3 - 8:43MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot63
67
Q3 - 8:57DENWade STEAL (2 STL)63
67
Q3 - 9:13MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)63
67
Q3 - 9:21MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)63
67
Q3 - 9:22DENMISS Anthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
67
Q3 - 9:30DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)63
67
Q3 - 9:33MIAMISS Marion 5' Jump Shot63
67
Q3 - 9:56DENMartin 6' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Camby 1 AST)63
67
Q3 - 10:04DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)61
67
Q3 - 10:06DENMISS Iverson 17' Jump Shot61
67
Q3 - 10:23MIAMarion Layup (14 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)61
67
Q3 - 10:41DENIverson 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS)61
65
Q3 - 10:55MIABlount 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)59
65
Q3 - 11:13DENCarter 9' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)59
63
Q3 - 11:26DENIverson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
63
Q3 - 11:27MIAMISS Wright 20' Jump Shot57
63
Q3 - 11:37MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)57
63
Q3 - 11:38MIAMISS Wright 19' Jump Shot57
63
Q3 - 12:00Start of 3rd Period (8:59 PM EST)57
63
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAEnd of 2nd Period (8:43 PM EST)57
63
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound57
63
Q2 - 0:00.0DENMISS Camby Dunk57
63
Q2 - 0:01.0DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)57
63
Q2 - 0:02.0DENMISS Iverson Driving Layup57
63
Q2 - 0:11.0MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (15 PTS)57
63
Q2 - 0:23.0MIASUB: Wade FOR Wright57
61
Q2 - 0:23.0DENSUB: Kleiza FOR Anthony57
61
Q2 - 0:23.0MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)57
61
Q2 - 0:29.0DENCamby Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Iverson 4 AST)57
61
Q2 - 0:40.0MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)55
61
Q2 - 0:40.0MIASUB: Davis FOR Wade55
60
Q2 - 0:40.0DENAnthony S.FOUL (P2.PN)55
60
Q2 - 0:40.0MIAWright 21' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)55
60
Q2 - 0:52.0DENAnthony 9' Jump Shot (14 PTS)55
58
Q2 - 1:00MIAWright 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)53
58
Q2 - 1:14DENAnthony Reverse Layup (12 PTS)53
56
Q2 - 1:25MIAWade Reverse Layup (13 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)51
56
Q2 - 1:39DENIverson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)51
54
Q2 - 1:39DENIverson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)50
54
Q2 - 1:39MIAWright S.FOUL (P2.PN)49
54
Q2 - 1:42DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)49
54
Q2 - 1:44MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup49
54
Q2 - 1:50MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
54
Q2 - 1:52DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)49
54
Q2 - 1:52DENMISS Anthony Tip Shot49
54
Q2 - 1:54DENMISS Anthony 4' Jump Shot49
54
Q2 - 2:00MIABlount Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)49
54
Q2 - 2:12MIAWright Violation:Defensive Goaltending49
54
Q2 - 2:12DENMartin 9' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Anthony 4 AST)49
54
Q2 - 2:24DENSUB: Camby FOR Najera47
54
Q2 - 2:24DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)47
54
Q2 - 2:33MIAMarion Alley Oop Dunk (12 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)47
54
Q2 - 2:42MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)47
52
Q2 - 2:44DENMISS Anthony Tip Shot47
52
Q2 - 2:45DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
52
Q2 - 2:46DENMISS Najera 4' Jump Shot47
52
Q2 - 2:47DENNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)47
52
Q2 - 2:48DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
52
Q2 - 2:57MIAWade Layup (11 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)47
52
Q2 - 3:14DENMartin Dunk (8 PTS) (Anthony 3 AST)47
50
Q2 - 3:19MIAMarion Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)45
50
Q2 - 3:35MIASUB: Wright FOR Davis45
50
Q2 - 3:35MIASUB: Williams FOR Banks45
50
Q2 - 3:35DENSmith Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T6)45
50
Q2 - 3:50MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)45
50
Q2 - 3:54DENNajera P.FOUL (P1.T4)45
50
Q2 - 4:06DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)45
50
Q2 - 4:06MIAWade S.FOUL (P2.T4)44
50
Q2 - 4:06DENSmith 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)44
50
Q2 - 4:08DENSUB: Smith FOR Carter41
50
Q2 - 4:08DENSUB: Iverson FOR Smith41
50
Q2 - 4:19MIAMarion Tip Shot (10 PTS)41
50
Q2 - 4:21MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)41
48
Q2 - 4:24MIAMISS Marion Layup41
48
Q2 - 4:25MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)41
48
Q2 - 4:27MIAMISS Blount Dunk41
48
Q2 - 4:29MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)41
48
Q2 - 4:30MIAMISS Marion Dunk41
48
Q2 - 4:38MIAHEAT Rebound41
48
Q2 - 4:39MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Bank Shot41
48
Q2 - 4:47MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)41
48
Q2 - 4:48DENMISS Martin 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
48
Q2 - 4:55MIADavis 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)41
48
Q2 - 5:12DENSmith 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Najera 1 AST)41
46
Q2 - 5:28MIABanks Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)38
46
Q2 - 5:28DENCarter S.FOUL (P2.T3)38
45
Q2 - 5:28MIABanks Layup (2 PTS)38
45
Q2 - 5:30DENBanks STEAL (1 STL)38
43
Q2 - 5:36MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)38
43
Q2 - 5:36DENSUB: Martin FOR Kleiza38
42
Q2 - 5:36MIAHEAT Rebound38
42
Q2 - 5:36MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 238
42
Q2 - 5:36DENCarter S.FOUL (P1.T2)38
42
Q2 - 6:01DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)38
42
Q2 - 6:01DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)37
42
Q2 - 6:01MIADavis S.FOUL (P2.T3)36
42
Q2 - 6:18MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)36
42
Q2 - 6:18MIAHEAT Rebound36
42
Q2 - 6:19MIAMISS Blount 15' Jump Shot36
42
Q2 - 6:30MIASUB: Wade FOR Cook36
42
Q2 - 6:30MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)36
42
Q2 - 6:42DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)36
42
Q2 - 6:42DENNuggets Rebound35
42
Q2 - 6:42DENMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 235
42
Q2 - 6:42DENSUB: Anthony FOR Iverson35
42
Q2 - 6:42MIASUB: Blount FOR Barron35
42
Q2 - 6:42MIADavis S.FOUL (P1.T2)35
42
Q2 - 6:47DENCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
42
Q2 - 6:47MIAMISS Marion 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
42
Q2 - 7:10DENKleiza Reverse Layup (5 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)35
42
Q2 - 7:16MIACook Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)33
42
Q2 - 7:37DENSmith Driving Layup (5 PTS)33
42
Q2 - 7:47MIADavis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)31
42
Q2 - 8:05DENSmith 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Iverson 3 AST)31
42
Q2 - 8:16MIAMarion Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Banks 3 AST)28
42
Q2 - 8:38MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
40
Q2 - 8:39DENMISS Carter 3PT Jump Shot28
40
Q2 - 8:41DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
40
Q2 - 8:44DENMISS Smith Driving Layup28
40
Q2 - 8:57MIASUB: Cook FOR Wright28
40
Q2 - 8:57Timeout: Official28
40
Q2 - 8:57DENNuggets Rebound28
40
Q2 - 8:58MIAMISS Banks Layup28
40
Q2 - 9:02MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
40
Q2 - 9:03DENMISS Kleiza 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
40
Q2 - 9:18DENSUB: Carter FOR Camby28
40
Q2 - 9:18DENNuggets Rebound28
40
Q2 - 9:19MIAMISS Wright 16' Jump Shot28
40
Q2 - 9:23MIABanks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
40
Q2 - 9:26DENMISS Iverson 9' Running Jump Shot28
40
Q2 - 9:47MIABarron 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Banks 2 AST)28
40
Q2 - 10:10DENKleiza Driving Dunk (3 PTS)28
38
Q2 - 10:25MIAHEAT Violation: Delay of game Violation26
38
Q2 - 10:26MIAMarion Dunk (6 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)26
38
Q2 - 10:36DENCamby Dunk (6 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)26
36
Q2 - 10:50MIABarron Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)24
36
Q2 - 10:50MIABarron Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)24
35
Q2 - 10:50DENCamby S.FOUL (P1.T1)24
34
Q2 - 11:08MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)24
34
Q2 - 11:09DENMISS Kleiza Free Throw 2 of 224
34
Q2 - 11:09DENKleiza Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)24
34
Q2 - 11:09MIABarron S.FOUL (P2.T1)23
34
Q2 - 11:15MIAWright Dunk (12 PTS) (Banks 1 AST)23
34
Q2 - 11:21MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)23
32
Q2 - 11:22DENMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
32
Q2 - 11:42DENIverson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
32
Q2 - 11:43MIAMISS Banks 3PT Jump Shot23
32
Q2 - 12:00Start of 2nd Period (8:09 PM EST)23
32
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAEnd of 1st Period (8:06 PM EST)23
32
Q1 - 0:00.0MIABarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
32
Q1 - 0:00.0DENMISS Iverson 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
32
Q1 - 0:04.0MIASUB: Banks FOR Wade23
32
Q1 - 0:04.0DENSUB: Smith FOR Martin23
32
Q1 - 0:04.0DENSUB: Najera FOR Anthony23
32
Q1 - 0:04.0MIABarron P.FOUL (P1.T3)23
32
Q1 - 0:24.0MIAWright 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)23
32
Q1 - 0:45.0DENMartin 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)23
29
Q1 - 1:00MIAWade Driving Layup (8 PTS)21
29
Q1 - 1:15DENWright STEAL (1 STL)21
27
Q1 - 1:23DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
27
Q1 - 1:25DENMISS Camby 20' Jump Shot21
27
Q1 - 1:40MIABarron 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)21
27
Q1 - 2:00MIABarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
25
Q1 - 2:02DENMISS Anthony 10' Turnaround Jump Shot21
25
Q1 - 2:19MIASUB: Davis FOR Blount21
25
Q1 - 2:19MIASUB: Barron FOR Marion21
25
Q1 - 2:19DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)21
25
Q1 - 2:27MIAMarion Dunk (4 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)21
25
Q1 - 2:48DENAnthony Slam Dunk (8 PTS)21
23
Q1 - 2:58MIAWright Reverse Layup (7 PTS)19
23
Q1 - 3:10MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)19
21
Q1 - 3:11DENMISS Iverson 16' Turnaround Jump Shot19
21
Q1 - 3:26MIAWade Driving Layup (6 PTS)19
21
Q1 - 3:32MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)19
19
Q1 - 3:34DENMISS Iverson Driving Layup19
19
Q1 - 3:42DENSUB: Kleiza FOR Carter19
19
Q1 - 3:42MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)19
19
Q1 - 4:07DENCamby 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Iverson 2 AST)19
19
Q1 - 4:16DENIverson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
19
Q1 - 4:18MIAMISS Marion Dunk17
19
Q1 - 4:31DENCarter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)17
19
Q1 - 4:34DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
19
Q1 - 4:36MIAMISS Marion Driving Finger Roll Layup17
19
Q1 - 4:47MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
19
Q1 - 4:49DENMISS Anthony 17' Jump Shot17
19
Q1 - 5:00MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)17
19
Q1 - 5:09DENAnthony P.FOUL (P1.T2)17
19
Q1 - 5:18DENWade STEAL (1 STL)17
19
Q1 - 5:38DENNuggets Rebound17
19
Q1 - 5:39MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup17
19
Q1 - 5:55DENMartin 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)17
19
Q1 - 6:12MIAWright 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)15
19
Q1 - 6:25MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)15
16
Q1 - 6:33DENAnthony Dunk (6 PTS) (Iverson 1 AST)15
16
Q1 - 6:38MIAWright Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)13
16
Q1 - 6:43MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
16
Q1 - 6:44DENMISS Carter 15' Jump Shot13
16
Q1 - 6:50DENCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
16
Q1 - 6:51MIAMISS Marion 9' Jump Shot13
16
Q1 - 7:05DENIverson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)13
16
Q1 - 7:05DENIverson Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)12
16
Q1 - 7:05MIAWright S.FOUL (P1.T2)11
16
Q1 - 7:15MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
16
Q1 - 7:23MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
14
Q1 - 7:24DENMISS Camby 9' Jump Shot11
14
Q1 - 7:41MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)11
14
Q1 - 7:41MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)11
13
Q1 - 7:41DENMartin S.FOUL (P1.T1)11
12
Q1 - 7:46MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
12
Q1 - 7:47DENMISS Martin 19' Jump Shot11
12
Q1 - 8:08MIABlount 4' Jump Shot (6 PTS)11
12
Q1 - 8:24DENWilliams STEAL (1 STL)11
10
Q1 - 8:37MIAWilliams Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)11
10
Q1 - 8:55DENAnthony 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
8
Q1 - 9:11MIAMarion Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)9
8
Q1 - 9:23DENAnthony 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
6
Q1 - 9:37MIABlount 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)7
6
Q1 - 10:01DENMartin Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)7
4
Q1 - 10:11MIAWright Reverse Layup (2 PTS)5
4
Q1 - 10:29DENIverson Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)5
2
Q1 - 10:29MIAWade S.FOUL (P1.T1)4
2
Q1 - 10:29DENIverson Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
2
Q1 - 10:33DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
2
Q1 - 10:34MIAMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot2
2
Q1 - 10:37MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
2
Q1 - 10:40DENMISS Iverson 9' Fadeaway Jumper2
2
Q1 - 10:55MIABlount 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
2
Q1 - 11:11MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
0
Q1 - 11:12DENMISS Anthony 21' Jump Shot2
0
Q1 - 11:19DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
0
Q1 - 11:21MIAMISS Blount Tip Shot2
0
Q1 - 11:22MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
0
Q1 - 11:24MIAMISS Marion 7' Jump Bank Shot2
0
Q1 - 11:43DENCamby 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)2
0
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Blount vs. Camby: Tip to Anthony0
0
Q1 - 12:00Start of 1st Period (7:43 PM EST)0
0
ClockTeamEventDENMIA
Score / WinProb
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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.07 53.3%
MIA
1.02 50.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
18
32
56%
MIA
23
42
55%
Midrange
DEN
19
41
46%
MIA
16
39
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
8
12.0
22
36%
55%
MIA
8
12.0
19
42%
63%
Free Throws
DEN
16
20
80%
MIA
11
13
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Smith2882%14.0 / 17
K. Martin2475%12.0 / 16
C. Anthony2244%11.0 / 25
A. Iverson1636%8.0 / 22
M. Camby1255%6.0 / 11
L. Kleiza660%3.0 / 5
A. Carter440%2.0 / 5
E. Najera250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2950%14.5 / 29
S. Marion2344%11.5 / 26
D. Wright1959%9.5 / 16
M. Blount1856%9.0 / 16
R. Davis1071%5.0 / 7
E. Barron6100%3.0 / 3
J. Williams563%2.5 / 4
M. Banks338%1.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
89
+17
-13
106
MIA
91
+18
-10
109
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.07 53.3%
MIA
1.02 50.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.4
100.2
DEN 111.8
MIA 111.9 +0.1
Pace
99.4
90.5
DEN 94.6 +5.2
MIA 89.4
Avg. Poss. Time
13.9
16.3
DEN 15.2 −0.9
MIA 16.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.0%
48.2%
DEN 51.6% +0.6%
MIA 51.0%
TO %
14.4%
15.4%
DEN 12.6%
MIA 11.0% −1.6%
ORB %
25.6%
22.2%
DEN 33.3% +3.5%
MIA 29.8%
FTrt
35.8
30.0
DEN 21.1 +8.1
MIA 13.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.2%
58.5%
DEN 46.7%
MIA 66.0% +19.3%
STL %
9.1%
7.9%
DEN 7.8%
MIA 8.9% +1.1%
BLK %
9.9%
7.1%
DEN 12.3% +10.9%
MIA 1.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.2 and 2.2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.4%
50.6%
DEN 53.3% +2.4%
MIA 50.9%
Rim FG%
60.7%
59.2%
DEN 56.3% +1.5%
MIA 54.8%
Mid FG%
40.4%
38.8%
DEN 46.3% +5.3%
MIA 41.0%
3P %
35.5%
35.8%
DEN 36.4%
MIA 42.1% +5.7%
FT %
75.1%
72.7%
DEN 80.0%
MIA 84.6% +4.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.1%
30.2%
DEN 33.7%
MIA 42.0% +8.3%
Mid Att. %
39.1%
48.1%
DEN 43.2%
MIA 39.0% −4.2%
3P Att. %
22.8%
21.7%
DEN 23.2% +4.2%
MIA 19.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENMIA
Possessions102101
Possession Minutes25.927.1
Points114113
Rebounds4946
Assists2131
Steals89
Blocks101
Turnovers (Team)13 (2)10 (3)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (1)14 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (3)32 (2)
Field Goals45-9547-100
At-the-Rim FG18-3223-42
Midrange FG19-4116-39
2-Point FG37-7339-81
3-Point FG8-228-19
Free Throws16-2011-13
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'0" 165 · 33
50.6
16
36%
6
7
0
0
2
0
0
6
6-6
100%
5-19
26%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 240 · 34
41.9
12
55%
16
2
1
7
2
2
7
9
0-0
-
6-11
55%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 30
41.7
24
75%
6
2
1
1
0
2
3
3
0-0
-
12-15
80%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 240 · 24
41.2
22
44%
11
4
2
1
3
2
2
9
4-5
80%
9-20
45%
0-3
0%
G · 6'1" 190 · 33
27.8
4
40%
4
1
1
0
3
2
1
3
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 22
26.8
28
82%
1
3
1
0
2
4
0
1
2-3
67%
1-2
50%
8-14
57%
F · 6'8" 234 · 23
18.1
6
60%
3
0
0
1
1
1
1
2
2-4
50%
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 32
17.0
2
50%
2
2
2
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 25
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 25
C · 7'0" 240 · 26
G · 6'5" 209 · 23
#12 · G · 5'11" 185 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
114
53%
49
21
8
10
13
0
16
33
16-20
80%
37-73
51%
8-22
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.