Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Tuesday, February 12, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hornets | 60% | 92 | 100 | |
 | 19 | Bulls | 40% | 89 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 21 | Heat | 40% | 97 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30 | Timberwolves | 30% | 91 | 88 |
| 17 | Nets | 70% | 98 | 92 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 3 | Celtics | 70% | 103 | 104 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 5 | Pistons | 65% | 93 | 94 |
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Monday, February 11, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9 | Mavericks | 53% | 94 | 76 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 12 | Raptors | 53% | 93 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Lakers | 72% | 105 | 106 |
 | 24 | Bobcats | 28% | 98 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 10 | Magic | 76% | 104 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 27 | Bucks | 52% | 96 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Sunday, February 10, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Wizards | 25% | 99 | 107 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 40% | 88 | 90 |
| 2 | Celtics | 60% | 91 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Raptors | 71% | 100 | 105 |
| 30 | Timberwolves | 29% | 93 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bobcats | 19% | 87 | 87 |
| 4 | Pistons | 81% | 98 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Mavericks | 61% | 96 | 82 |
| 20 | Nets | 39% | 93 | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lakers | 72% | 105 | 104 |
| 24 | Heat | 28% | 97 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nuggets | 49% | 99 | 113 |
| 15 | Cavaliers | 51% | 100 | 83 |
Saturday, February 9, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Grizzlies | 13% | 91 | 99 |
| 9 | Hornets | 87% | 105 | 112 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Trail Blazers | 42% | 98 | 93 |
| 22 | Pacers | 58% | 101 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Clippers | 34% | 90 | 80 |
| 20 | 76ers | 66% | 95 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Knicks | 42% | 94 | 99 |
| 30 | Bucks | 58% | 96 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hawks | 20% | 87 | 89 |
| 5 | Rockets | 80% | 98 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bulls | 27% | 92 | 87 |
%20--%3e%3csvg%20version='1.1'%20id='Layer_1'%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20xmlns:xlink='http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink'%20x='0px'%20y='0px'%20viewBox='0%200%20400%20400'%20style='enable-background:new%200%200%20400%20400;'%20xml:space='preserve'%3e%3cpath%20d='M376,81.4L341.7,155H204.3L161,247.8h-38.8c0.3-4.6,1.2-9.3,2.7-13.8c3.7-11.2,10.7-20.4,19.5-27c2.3,2.6,4.4,5.5,6.3,8.5%20c0.3,0.5,0.9,0.4,1.1,0c0,0,0,0,0,0l62.6-134.2H376z'/%3e%3cpath%20d='M57.8,276.6c-3.9,7.8-9.5,14.5-16.3,19.6c-5.7-6.6-10.2-14.3-13.1-23.1c-2-5.9-3.1-11.8-3.4-17.7h38.6%20C63.1,262.7,61.2,269.9,57.8,276.6'/%3e%3cpath%20d='M89.1,255.4v64.2c-15.8-0.9-30.7-7.3-42.3-17.9c7.4-5.7,13.4-13.1,17.8-21.7c3.9-7.8,6.1-16.1,6.6-24.6H89.1z'/%3e%3cpath%20d='M60.9,234c1.5,4.5,2.4,9.2,2.7,13.8H25c0.8-15.1,6.7-29.4,16.5-40.7C50.2,213.7,57.1,222.9,60.9,234'/%3e%3cpath%20d='M89.1,183.7v64.2H71.2c-0.3-5.4-1.4-10.9-3.1-16.2c-4.1-12.4-11.7-22.6-21.3-30c6.9-6.4,15.2-11.4,24.7-14.6%20C77.3,185.1,83.2,184,89.1,183.7'/%3e%3cpath%20d='M114.6,247.8H96.7v-64.2c15.8,0.9,30.8,7.2,42.4,17.9c-9.9,7.6-17.3,18-21.4,30.1C115.9,237,114.9,242.4,114.6,247.8'/%3e%3cpath%20d='M139.1,301.8c-6.9,6.3-15.2,11.3-24.6,14.5c-5.9,2-11.9,3.1-17.8,3.4v-64.2h17.8c0.5,8.5,2.7,16.8,6.6,24.6%20C125.5,288.7,131.6,296.1,139.1,301.8'/%3e%3cpath%20d='M161,255.4c-0.8,15.1-6.7,29.5-16.6,40.9c-6.9-5.1-12.5-11.8-16.4-19.7c-3.4-6.7-5.3-13.9-5.8-21.2H161z'/%3e%3c/svg%3e) | 6 | Jazz | 73% | 100 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Kings | 28% | 102 | 102 |
| 8 | Warriors | 72% | 109 | 105 |
Friday, February 8, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Cavaliers | 43% | 93 | 100 |
| 18 | Hawks | 57% | 95 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Clippers | 23% | 90 | 102 |
| 12 | Raptors | 77% | 100 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Nets | 46% | 96 | 104 | |
| 24 | Bobcats | 54% | 97 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lakers | 47% | 105 | 117 |
| 11 | Magic | 53% | 106 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 74% | 96 | 99 |
| 28 | Knicks | 26% | 88 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Trail Blazers | 23% | 87 | 82 |
| 1 | Pistons | 77% | 96 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Celtics | 78% | 99 | 88 |
| 29 | Timberwolves | 22% | 89 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Grizzlies | 17% | 92 | 81 |
| 8 | Mavericks | 83% | 105 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | SuperSonics | 16% | 100 | 99 | |
| 5 | Suns | 84% | 113 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jazz | 54% | 103 | 104 |
| 14 | Kings | 46% | 102 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wizards | 34% | 99 | 100 |
| 13 | Nuggets | 66% | 104 | 111 |
Thursday, February 7, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bulls | 27% | 95 | 114 |
| 13 | Warriors | 73% | 103 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Cavaliers | 33% | 91 | 77 |
| 8 | Rockets | 67% | 97 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Heat | 28% | 89 | 84 |
| 21 | 76ers | 72% | 96 | 101 |
Wednesday, February 6, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Clippers | 17% | 85 | 100 |
| 2 | Celtics | 83% | 98 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pacers | 44% | 101 | 103 |
| 24 | Knicks | 56% | 103 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Heat | 11% | 83 | 95 |
| 1 | Pistons | 89% | 98 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bucks | 11% | 88 | 96 |
| 5 | Mavericks | 89% | 103 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Jazz | 51% | 105 | 118 |
| 14 | Nuggets | 49% | 104 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hornets | 36% | 102 | 132 | |
| 4 | Suns | 64% | 107 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | SuperSonics | 27% | 98 | 105 | |
| 15 | Kings | 73% | 106 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bulls | 39% | 90 | 97 |
| 16 | Trail Blazers | 61% | 93 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nets | 21% | 96 | 84 | |
| 10 | Magic | 79% | 106 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lakers | 57% | 101 | 95 |
| 18 | Hawks | 43% | 99 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Spurs | 57% | 95 | 85 |
| 17 | Wizards | 43% | 93 | 77 |
Tuesday, February 5, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bucks | 43% | 95 | 102 |
| 28 | Grizzlies | 57% | 97 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lakers | 64% | 104 | 105 |
| 21 | Nets | 36% | 99 | 90 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 64% | 100 | 116 |
| 20 | Pacers | 36% | 96 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Celtics | 55% | 93 | 113 |
| 14 | Cavaliers | 45% | 92 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wizards | 49% | 95 | 96 |
| 22 | 76ers | 51% | 96 | 101 |
Monday, February 4, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Hornets | 44% | 100 | 88 | |
| 8 | Jazz | 56% | 102 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 76ers | 40% | 91 | 91 |
| 18 | Hawks | 60% | 94 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Mavericks | 39% | 99 | 107 |
| 10 | Magic | 61% | 102 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Clippers | 45% | 94 | 103 |
| 24 | Knicks | 55% | 96 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Raptors | 68% | 98 | 114 |
| 26 | Heat | 32% | 92 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Rockets | 76% | 99 | 92 |
| 29 | Timberwolves | 24% | 90 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bobcats | 17% | 97 | 104 |
| 1 | Suns | 83% | 110 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Nuggets | 47% | 99 | 105 |
| 16 | Trail Blazers | 53% | 100 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bulls | 56% | 96 | 118 |
| 27 | SuperSonics | 44% | 94 | 108 | |
Sunday, February 3, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mavericks | 37% | 91 | 67 |
| 2 | Pistons | 63% | 95 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Lakers | 60% | 104 | 103 |
| 17 | Wizards | 40% | 101 | 91 |
Saturday, February 2, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Clippers | 22% | 90 | 84 |
| 15 | Cavaliers | 78% | 100 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Nets | 36% | 92 | 92 | |
| 19 | Hawks | 64% | 97 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Magic | 53% | 106 | 121 |
| 18 | Pacers | 47% | 105 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Jazz | 67% | 105 | 110 |
| 26 | Grizzlies | 33% | 99 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bobcats | 23% | 95 | 101 |
| 12 | Nuggets | 77% | 105 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Rockets | 72% | 97 | 91 |
| 30 | Bucks | 28% | 89 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bulls | 35% | 92 | 101 |
| 11 | Kings | 65% | 97 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Knicks | 43% | 98 | 85 |
| 28 | SuperSonics | 57% | 100 | 86 | |
Friday, February 1, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lakers | 45% | 99 | 121 |
| 14 | Raptors | 55% | 101 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Magic | 58% | 99 | 108 |
| 22 | 76ers | 42% | 96 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Jazz | 59% | 103 | 96 |
| 17 | Wizards | 41% | 100 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Rockets | 59% | 101 | 106 |
| 18 | Pacers | 41% | 98 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Nets | 53% | 95 | 94 | |
| 28 | Heat | 47% | 94 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Hornets | 52% | 100 | 103 | |
| 13 | Kings | 48% | 99 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bobcats | 26% | 99 | 96 |
| 9 | Warriors | 74% | 108 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Knicks | 30% | 92 | 88 |
| 16 | Trail Blazers | 70% | 99 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Clippers | 53% | 97 | 83 |
| 29 | Timberwolves | 47% | 96 | 104 |
Thursday, January 31, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 40% | 99 | 84 |
| 2 | Suns | 60% | 102 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Cavaliers | 45% | 96 | 95 |
| 27 | SuperSonics | 55% | 97 | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | 39% | 91 | 90 |
| 5 | Celtics | 61% | 94 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lakers | 32% | 95 | 89 |
| 1 | Pistons | 68% | 101 | 90 |
Wednesday, January 30, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bucks | 34% | 92 | 69 |
| 23 | 76ers | 66% | 97 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Heat | 17% | 93 | 91 |
| 11 | Magic | 83% | 105 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nuggets | 63% | 106 | 106 |
| 26 | Grizzlies | 37% | 101 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Warriors | 29% | 98 | 116 |
| 6 | Hornets | 71% | 106 | 103 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bulls | 59% | 93 | 67 |
| 30 | Timberwolves | 41% | 91 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Knicks | 15% | 95 | 89 |
| 7 | Jazz | 85% | 108 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Cavaliers | 45% | 94 | 84 |
| 17 | Trail Blazers | 55% | 96 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bobcats | 34% | 97 | 91 |
| 14 | Kings | 66% | 102 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Hawks | 41% | 93 | 88 |
| 24 | Clippers | 59% | 96 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wizards | 31% | 94 | 83 |
| 12 | Raptors | 69% | 100 | 122 |