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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 12, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Kings63%10394
29Grizzlies37%99107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 28.2
39.9
36.2
18
49%
5
7
3
2
0
4
1
4
5-5
100%
5-13
6-12
38%
48%
1-3
33%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 29.8
39.5
29.0
18
56%
4
4
1
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
3-8
4-8
38%
45%
4-8
50%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 25.0
38.2
33.3
33
56%
7
2
1
1
0
1
2
5
13-15
87%
7-16
5-9
44%
50%
2-7
29%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 31.8
38.1
35.6
10
50%
13
6
0
1
0
0
4
9
0-0
-
5-10
4-9
50%
50%
0-0
-
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 32.3
23.9
25.9
6
43%
7
0
0
1
1
1
2
5
0-0
-
3-7
3-5
43%
57%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 28.2
22.4
31.3
2
25%
3
2
1
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
4-9
25%
52%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.6
18.1
17.5
5
28%
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-7
2-4
14%
47%
1-2
50%
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.7
11.3
10.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
46%
0-2
0%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 19.8
7.4
8.8
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
52%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 27.1
1.0
1.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Justin Williams
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 23.8
0.2
2.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
54%
0-0
-
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 30.6
2.3
0
0-0
49%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26.1
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 31.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.5
38.8
37.6
21
57%
3
2
1
1
1
1
0
3
6-8
75%
3-8
6-12
38%
49%
3-7
43%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28.0
33.6
34.7
17
81%
10
3
0
1
0
0
0
10
4-8
50%
2-4
4-8
50%
54%
3-3
100%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 22.6
33.4
31.3
14
55%
8
3
0
1
1
5
4
4
4-6
67%
5-10
4-9
50%
47%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 25.6
32.3
21.1
24
63%
13
0
1
0
0
2
2
11
4-7
57%
10-14
4-7
71%
53%
0-2
0%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 20.3
31.0
29.2
11
70%
2
4
2
1
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
5-7
3-7
71%
48%
0-0
-
Juan Carlos Navarro
· 6'3" 170 · 27.7
30.1
29.5
19
63%
6
0
0
1
0
0
2
4
5-5
100%
4-5
2-4
80%
47%
2-8
25%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 21.9
17.0
21.2
0
0%
2
6
1
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.2
12.5
11.3
1
27%
1
0
1
0
2
2
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
0-1
0%
41%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.8
9.2
7.1
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-3
0%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 25.9
2.1
9.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
0-0
-
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 20.1
9.6
0
1-3
48%
Casey Jacobsen
G · 6'6" 215 · 26.9
3.4
0
0-0
45%
Aaron McKie
G · 6'5" 209 · 35.4
Andre Brown
F · 6'9" 245 · 26.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.