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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Thursday
March 6, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Cavaliers44%9396
18Bulls56%95107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 23.2
37.9
40.5
39
60%
3
1
1
2
3
4
0
3
11-12
92%
11-19
9-18
58%
51%
2-8
25%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 25.4
28.2
30.3
4
18%
10
0
1
1
1
0
6
4
0-0
-
2-11
3-7
18%
49%
0-0
-
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 33.5
27.5
31.6
2
25%
10
1
0
1
2
2
2
8
0-0
-
1-4
2-6
25%
43%
0-0
-
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 24.6
25.8
31.0
4
40%
4
3
0
1
2
4
0
4
0-0
-
2-5
3-7
40%
46%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.2
25.0
24.8
15
63%
4
4
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
3-8
2-5
38%
46%
3-4
75%
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 31.0
31.8
26.5
14
51%
7
3
0
0
0
1
1
6
5-6
83%
3-7
3-7
43%
47%
1-4
25%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 32.6
23.4
21.4
5
38%
5
1
0
1
2
1
2
3
3-6
50%
1-4
4-8
25%
46%
0-0
-
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 31.5
22.2
19.3
7
54%
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
44%
2-5
40%
Dwayne Jones
F-C · 6'11" 248 · 24.7
12.0
3.7
1
27%
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
2
1-2
50%
0-1
0-0
0%
52%
0-0
-
Billy Thomas
G · 6'5" 220 · 32.2
3.9
1.5
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
38%
1-1
100%
Kaniel Dickens
F · 6'8" 215 · 29.6
2.3
1.2
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
44%
0-0
-
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 34.9
6.0
0
0-1
39%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 32.8
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 24.3
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 22.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 27.2
41.0
29.6
6
23%
5
7
3
1
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
2-8
4-7
25%
47%
0-4
0%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.9
36.6
35.0
23
50%
8
4
1
1
1
3
5
3
7-11
64%
8-18
7-14
44%
51%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 26.4
36.0
29.9
12
48%
8
1
1
1
1
0
1
7
0-1
0%
6-12
5-10
50%
48%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 23.0
32.4
24.2
13
60%
20
2
0
1
1
1
10
10
3-4
75%
5-9
3-5
56%
50%
0-0
-
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.1
28.5
30.0
12
44%
3
3
1
1
0
1
1
2
3-4
75%
3-9
4-9
33%
43%
1-3
33%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.9
33.0
28.9
23
66%
6
4
0
1
0
0
1
5
1-3
33%
5-11
4-9
45%
47%
4-5
80%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 28.3
18.6
25.7
11
56%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
2-5
3-6
40%
51%
2-4
50%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.2
10.4
6.0
7
93%
2
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
3-4
75%
2-2
1-2
100%
52%
0-0
-
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 22.3
1.7
3.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.2
1.7
2.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.6
16.0
1
2-5
47%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 25.5
6.6
0
0-1
43%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.8
JamesOn Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.2
Demetris Nichols
F · 6'8" 216 · 23.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.