Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Thursday, March 6, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 16 | Bulls | 56% | 95 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 4 | Mavericks | 65% | 96 | 98 |
Wednesday, March 5, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 11 | Magic | 49% | 101 | 122 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 23 | Bobcats | 43% | 103 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 5 | Pistons | 29% | 87 | 78 |
 | 1 | Celtics | 71% | 94 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Cavaliers | 66% | 96 | 119 |
 | 28 | Knicks | 34% | 91 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Raptors | 46% | 95 | 108 |
 | 20 | Heat | 54% | 96 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | SuperSonics | 32% | 96 | 106 | |
 | 25 | Bucks | 68% | 102 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Nets | 57% | 99 | 93 | |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 8 | Hornets | 79% | 102 | 116 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pacers | 20% | 93 | 99 |
| 6 | Rockets | 80% | 104 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Timberwolves | 12% | 93 | 76 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Tuesday, March 4, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Warriors | 49% | 102 | 135 |
| 18 | Hawks | 51% | 103 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Raptors | 35% | 98 | 87 |
| 10 | Magic | 65% | 103 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | SuperSonics | 12% | 86 | 97 | |
| 7 | Pistons | 88% | 101 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bobcats | 52% | 96 | 109 |
| 28 | Timberwolves | 48% | 95 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Grizzlies | 25% | 91 | 97 |
| 19 | Bulls | 75% | 100 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nets | 18% | 87 | 70 | |
| 2 | Spurs | 82% | 98 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 3 | Lakers | 62% | 106 | 117 |
| 15 | Kings | 38% | 102 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Suns | 56% | 103 | 97 |
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Monday, March 3, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Hornets | 66% | 99 | 100 | |
| 27 | Knicks | 34% | 94 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mavericks | 37% | 97 | 110 |
| 6 | Jazz | 63% | 102 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 26 | Clippers | 44% | 91 | 80 |
Sunday, March 2, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bulls | 33% | 91 | 86 |
| 13 | Cavaliers | 67% | 96 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mavericks | 36% | 99 | 104 |
| 3 | Lakers | 64% | 103 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hawks | 17% | 87 | 88 |
| 1 | Celtics | 83% | 99 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 64% | 95 | 93 |
| 22 | Nets | 36% | 91 | 83 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Hornets | 60% | 98 | 84 | |
| 20 | Wizards | 40% | 95 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Raptors | 64% | 99 | 98 |
| 25 | Bobcats | 36% | 94 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bucks | 35% | 101 | 106 |
| 23 | Pacers | 65% | 106 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | SuperSonics | 39% | 96 | 111 | |
| 28 | Timberwolves | 61% | 100 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nuggets | 37% | 96 | 89 |
| 7 | Rockets | 63% | 100 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Trail Blazers | 34% | 99 | 104 |
| 14 | Warriors | 66% | 104 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Heat | 35% | 95 | 109 |
| 15 | Kings | 65% | 100 | 120 |
Saturday, March 1, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Knicks | 16% | 95 | 92 |
| 6 | Magic | 84% | 108 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jazz | 77% | 104 | 113 |
| 29 | Grizzlies | 23% | 95 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | 73% | 100 | 96 |
| 24 | Bucks | 27% | 92 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 76ers | 22% | 96 | 119 |
| 10 | Suns | 78% | 106 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pistons | 76% | 96 | 103 |
| 26 | Clippers | 24% | 87 | 73 |
Friday, February 29, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pacers | 23% | 97 | 122 |
| 8 | Raptors | 77% | 106 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bobcats | 12% | 86 | 100 |
| 2 | Celtics | 88% | 101 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Knicks | 34% | 94 | 93 |
| 18 | Hawks | 66% | 99 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Timberwolves | 21% | 88 | 84 |
| 13 | Cavaliers | 79% | 99 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Wizards | 41% | 94 | 97 |
| 17 | Bulls | 59% | 97 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Jazz | 44% | 99 | 98 |
| 11 | Hornets | 56% | 101 | 110 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Grizzlies | 13% | 87 | 95 |
| 10 | Rockets | 87% | 102 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Kings | 26% | 93 | 106 |
| 5 | Mavericks | 74% | 101 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Clippers | 23% | 95 | 104 |
| 12 | Nuggets | 77% | 104 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 76ers | 36% | 98 | 97 |
| 14 | Warriors | 64% | 103 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lakers | 63% | 100 | 111 |
| 21 | Trail Blazers | 37% | 96 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Heat | 56% | 97 | 103 |
| 30 | SuperSonics | 44% | 95 | 93 | |
Thursday, February 28, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bucks | 39% | 97 | 106 |
| 22 | Nets | 61% | 101 | 120 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mavericks | 36% | 89 | 94 |
| 2 | Spurs | 64% | 94 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Heat | 19% | 94 | 88 |
| 3 | Lakers | 81% | 106 | 106 |
Wednesday, February 27, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Timberwolves | 13% | 89 | 85 |
| 7 | Raptors | 87% | 103 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Magic | 49% | 98 | 89 |
| 15 | 76ers | 51% | 99 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Kings | 39% | 95 | 117 |
| 19 | Hawks | 61% | 99 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bulls | 49% | 99 | 113 |
| 23 | Pacers | 51% | 100 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Cavaliers | 19% | 87 | 87 |
| 2 | Celtics | 81% | 98 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bobcats | 41% | 96 | 89 |
| 26 | Knicks | 59% | 99 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Suns | 35% | 101 | 103 |
| 10 | Hornets | 65% | 106 | 120 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pistons | 47% | 96 | 95 |
| 6 | Jazz | 53% | 97 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nuggets | 79% | 106 | 138 |
| 30 | SuperSonics | 21% | 96 | 96 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Trail Blazers | 44% | 91 | 82 |
| 25 | Clippers | 56% | 93 | 80 |
Tuesday, February 26, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Magic | 65% | 103 | 102 |
| 25 | Nets | 35% | 98 | 92 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Kings | 49% | 97 | 86 |
| 17 | Heat | 51% | 98 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Cavaliers | 60% | 98 | 102 |
| 23 | Bucks | 40% | 95 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Suns | 75% | 106 | 127 |
| 29 | Grizzlies | 25% | 98 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Jazz | 75% | 103 | 100 |
| 27 | Timberwolves | 25% | 94 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Wizards | 21% | 90 | 69 |
| 8 | Rockets | 79% | 101 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Trail Blazers | 21% | 94 | 83 |
| 5 | Lakers | 79% | 104 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | SuperSonics | 17% | 97 | 99 | |
| 14 | Warriors | 83% | 109 | 105 |
Monday, February 25, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Raptors | 59% | 103 | 102 |
| 22 | Pacers | 41% | 100 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Wizards | 28% | 92 | 95 |
| 10 | Hornets | 72% | 100 | 92 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bulls | 21% | 88 | 94 |
| 4 | Mavericks | 79% | 99 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hawks | 18% | 86 | 74 |
| 2 | Spurs | 82% | 97 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pistons | 43% | 96 | 98 |
| 12 | Nuggets | 57% | 98 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 71% | 96 | 104 |
| 23 | Clippers | 29% | 89 | 76 |
Sunday, February 24, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Pistons | 44% | 98 | 116 |
| 8 | Suns | 56% | 100 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Knicks | 18% | 91 | 92 |
| 5 | Raptors | 82% | 103 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Kings | 34% | 100 | 93 |
| 10 | Magic | 66% | 105 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Grizzlies | 19% | 90 | 89 |
| 13 | Cavaliers | 81% | 101 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 69% | 95 | 112 |
| 17 | Trail Blazers | 31% | 89 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mavericks | 75% | 100 | 99 |
| 27 | Timberwolves | 25% | 91 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bulls | 21% | 87 | 97 |
| 7 | Rockets | 79% | 97 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lakers | 79% | 108 | 111 |
| 30 | SuperSonics | 21% | 97 | 91 | |
Saturday, February 23, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bobcats | 29% | 94 | 95 |
| 16 | Wizards | 71% | 101 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pacers | 46% | 100 | 91 |
| 25 | Nets | 54% | 102 | 102 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 76ers | 38% | 91 | 101 |
| 19 | Heat | 62% | 95 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nuggets | 62% | 104 | 109 |
| 24 | Bucks | 38% | 100 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hornets | 27% | 87 | 89 | |
| 2 | Spurs | 73% | 95 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Hawks | 20% | 94 | 94 |
| 8 | Jazz | 80% | 105 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lakers | 72% | 103 | 113 |
| 23 | Clippers | 28% | 96 | 95 |
Friday, February 22, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Kings | 59% | 99 | 116 |
| 25 | Bobcats | 41% | 97 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 76ers | 28% | 94 | 99 |
| 12 | Magic | 72% | 102 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nets | 43% | 100 | 103 | |
| 21 | Pacers | 57% | 102 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Raptors | 72% | 100 | 99 |
| 27 | Knicks | 28% | 93 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Wizards | 33% | 92 | 89 |
| 13 | Cavaliers | 67% | 98 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bucks | 18% | 88 | 100 |
| 8 | Pistons | 82% | 100 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nuggets | 61% | 99 | 121 |
| 20 | Bulls | 39% | 95 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mavericks | 77% | 101 | 98 |
| 29 | Grizzlies | 23% | 91 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Rockets | 34% | 92 | 100 |
| 4 | Hornets | 66% | 97 | 80 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 51% | 103 | 77 |
| 6 | Suns | 49% | 102 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jazz | 68% | 101 | 104 |
| 23 | Clippers | 32% | 95 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Hawks | 30% | 98 | 117 |
| 15 | Warriors | 70% | 105 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Trail Blazers | 61% | 97 | 87 |
| 30 | SuperSonics | 39% | 94 | 99 | |