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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 12, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Knicks46%9591
27Heat54%9688
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 23.8
40.1
34.1
17
51%
4
1
0
1
0
2
0
4
4-4
100%
5-10
4-9
50%
48%
1-5
20%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 28.0
37.6
31.2
23
51%
3
5
3
1
1
1
0
3
7-10
70%
5-12
4-9
42%
46%
2-6
33%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.7
35.6
27.6
19
50%
12
3
1
1
2
2
2
10
0-0
-
8-17
5-11
47%
48%
1-2
50%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 24.9
33.1
33.7
8
55%
8
1
0
1
0
0
2
6
2-3
67%
3-6
5-8
50%
58%
0-0
-
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 20.8
17.9
20.3
2
17%
4
2
0
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-5
3-7
20%
48%
0-1
0%
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 29.0
33.4
26.5
12
55%
2
2
0
1
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
47%
2-4
50%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 26.3
19.2
13.2
4
50%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
46%
0-0
-
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.7
14.1
8.0
4
100%
5
1
0
0
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
53%
0-0
-
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.6
8.9
5.3
2
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
43%
0-0
-
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 27.9
24.4
1
2-5
43%
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 22.2
7.9
0
1-2
49%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 33.3
7.4
0
1-2
39%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 32.3
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 31.1
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 25.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 28.5
40.7
38.4
27
62%
2
5
0
1
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
11-14
4-8
79%
50%
1-7
14%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 29.8
40.4
40.1
15
40%
17
2
1
2
1
1
6
11
1-4
25%
7-16
6-11
44%
57%
0-1
0%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 20.9
40.0
26.9
6
30%
8
1
0
1
0
2
1
7
0-2
0%
0-5
3-6
0%
48%
2-4
50%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 32.3
35.5
23.6
10
30%
12
0
0
0
1
3
3
9
2-6
33%
4-12
4-7
33%
53%
0-2
0%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 32.3
32.5
23.8
15
58%
4
4
3
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
2-6
1-3
33%
48%
3-6
50%
Bobby Jones
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.2
19.6
3.0
5
63%
5
1
0
0
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
50%
1-1
100%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.5
17.4
18.2
7
50%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
1-3
33%
48%
1-1
100%
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.1
14.0
18.0
3
61%
2
0
1
1
0
1
1
1
1-1
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
53%
0-0
-
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 26.3
16.0
1
2-3
50%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.8
14.6
0
2-4
51%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26.6
9.6
0
1-3
48%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 25.6
4.4
0
0-1
50%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 38.1
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 26.1
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 22.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.