Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Wednesday, March 12, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 7 | Magic | 81% | 105 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | SuperSonics | 5% | 84 | 82 | |
 | 1 | Celtics | 95% | 105 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 22 | Nets | 42% | 93 | 104 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Knicks | 46% | 95 | 91 |
 | 27 | Heat | 54% | 96 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 4 | Pistons | 74% | 94 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 24 | Bucks | 29% | 98 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 10 | Hornets | 48% | 91 | 100 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Bobcats | 28% | 93 | 93 |
 | 13 | Mavericks | 72% | 100 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Raptors | 31% | 99 | 106 |
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Tuesday, March 11, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bucks | 32% | 95 | 97 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | SuperSonics | 31% | 99 | 107 | |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 26 | Timberwolves | 46% | 94 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jazz | 60% | 100 | 96 |
 | 18 | Bulls | 40% | 97 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Grizzlies | 16% | 98 | 111 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Raptors | 24% | 96 | 108 |
 | 2 | Lakers | 76% | 105 | 117 |
Monday, March 10, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 70% | 94 | 100 |
| 15 | 76ers | 30% | 87 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hawks | 28% | 96 | 112 |
| 8 | Magic | 72% | 103 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Trail Blazers | 34% | 91 | 80 |
| 13 | Cavaliers | 66% | 96 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Clippers | 45% | 93 | 99 |
| 25 | Heat | 55% | 94 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Nets | 19% | 87 | 73 | |
| 4 | Rockets | 81% | 98 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Knicks | 20% | 90 | 79 |
| 11 | Mavericks | 80% | 101 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nuggets | 35% | 94 | 103 |
| 3 | Spurs | 65% | 99 | 107 |
Sunday, March 9, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | SuperSonics | 18% | 91 | 106 | |
| 14 | Raptors | 82% | 102 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 76ers | 58% | 97 | 119 |
| 25 | Bucks | 42% | 94 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 48% | 99 | 87 |
| 7 | Suns | 52% | 100 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bulls | 27% | 88 | 109 |
| 6 | Pistons | 73% | 96 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 2 | Lakers | 82% | 109 | 113 |
Saturday, March 8, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pacers | 28% | 96 | 95 |
| 13 | Cavaliers | 72% | 104 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bobcats | 39% | 95 | 100 |
| 21 | Wizards | 61% | 99 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Heat | 35% | 93 | 94 |
| 18 | Hawks | 65% | 98 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Warriors | 34% | 104 | 104 |
| 11 | Magic | 66% | 109 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Trail Blazers | 57% | 96 | 120 |
| 27 | Knicks | 43% | 94 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 79% | 100 | 119 |
| 29 | Grizzlies | 21% | 89 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hornets | 30% | 89 | 96 | |
| 4 | Rockets | 70% | 96 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nets | 20% | 90 | 91 | |
| 8 | Mavericks | 80% | 101 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nuggets | 35% | 102 | 105 |
| 5 | Jazz | 65% | 107 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Timberwolves | 40% | 92 | 99 |
| 26 | Clippers | 60% | 95 | 96 |
Friday, March 7, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Wizards | 32% | 92 | 110 |
| 14 | Raptors | 68% | 98 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | SuperSonics | 25% | 91 | 83 | |
| 16 | 76ers | 75% | 99 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hawks | 46% | 96 | 93 |
| 21 | Bobcats | 54% | 98 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Pistons | 75% | 98 | 101 |
| 27 | Knicks | 25% | 89 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Warriors | 59% | 103 | 134 |
| 22 | Heat | 41% | 100 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bulls | 15% | 86 | 93 |
| 1 | Celtics | 85% | 100 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Nets | 25% | 91 | 96 | |
| 7 | Hornets | 75% | 100 | 107 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Trail Blazers | 57% | 97 | 103 |
| 25 | Bucks | 43% | 95 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jazz | 45% | 105 | 126 |
| 10 | Suns | 55% | 107 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Timberwolves | 32% | 95 | 111 |
| 20 | Kings | 68% | 101 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 43% | 96 | 96 |
| 9 | Nuggets | 57% | 98 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Clippers | 12% | 92 | 82 |
| 2 | Lakers | 88% | 106 | 119 |
Thursday, March 6, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Cavaliers | 44% | 93 | 96 |
| 16 | Bulls | 56% | 95 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pacers | 14% | 90 | 97 |
| 3 | Spurs | 86% | 104 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rockets | 35% | 91 | 113 |
| 4 | Mavericks | 65% | 96 | 98 |
Wednesday, March 5, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Magic | 49% | 101 | 122 |
| 19 | Wizards | 51% | 102 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Warriors | 57% | 105 | 109 |
| 23 | Bobcats | 43% | 103 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pistons | 29% | 87 | 78 |
| 1 | Celtics | 71% | 94 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Cavaliers | 66% | 96 | 119 |
| 28 | Knicks | 34% | 91 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Raptors | 46% | 95 | 108 |
| 20 | Heat | 54% | 96 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | SuperSonics | 32% | 96 | 106 | |
| 25 | Bucks | 68% | 102 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Nets | 57% | 99 | 93 | |
| 29 | Grizzlies | 43% | 96 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Hawks | 21% | 91 | 101 |
| 8 | Hornets | 79% | 102 | 116 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pacers | 20% | 93 | 99 |
| 6 | Rockets | 80% | 104 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Suns | 37% | 106 | 113 |
| 10 | Nuggets | 63% | 110 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Timberwolves | 12% | 93 | 76 |
| 7 | Jazz | 88% | 108 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Kings | 49% | 95 | 109 |
| 26 | Clippers | 51% | 96 | 116 |
Tuesday, March 4, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Warriors | 49% | 102 | 135 |
| 18 | Hawks | 51% | 103 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Raptors | 35% | 98 | 87 |
| 10 | Magic | 65% | 103 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | SuperSonics | 12% | 86 | 97 | |
| 7 | Pistons | 88% | 101 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bobcats | 52% | 96 | 109 |
| 28 | Timberwolves | 48% | 95 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Grizzlies | 25% | 91 | 97 |
| 19 | Bulls | 75% | 100 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nets | 18% | 87 | 70 | |
| 2 | Spurs | 82% | 98 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lakers | 62% | 106 | 117 |
| 15 | Kings | 38% | 102 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Suns | 56% | 103 | 97 |
| 17 | Trail Blazers | 44% | 101 | 92 |
Monday, March 3, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Hornets | 66% | 99 | 100 | |
| 27 | Knicks | 34% | 94 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mavericks | 37% | 97 | 110 |
| 6 | Jazz | 63% | 102 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 76ers | 56% | 93 | 106 |
| 26 | Clippers | 44% | 91 | 80 |
Sunday, March 2, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bulls | 33% | 91 | 86 |
| 13 | Cavaliers | 67% | 96 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mavericks | 36% | 99 | 104 |
| 3 | Lakers | 64% | 103 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hawks | 17% | 87 | 88 |
| 1 | Celtics | 83% | 99 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 64% | 95 | 93 |
| 22 | Nets | 36% | 91 | 83 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Hornets | 60% | 98 | 84 | |
| 20 | Wizards | 40% | 95 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Raptors | 64% | 99 | 98 |
| 25 | Bobcats | 36% | 94 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bucks | 35% | 101 | 106 |
| 23 | Pacers | 65% | 106 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | SuperSonics | 39% | 96 | 111 | |
| 28 | Timberwolves | 61% | 100 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nuggets | 37% | 96 | 89 |
| 7 | Rockets | 63% | 100 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Trail Blazers | 34% | 99 | 104 |
| 14 | Warriors | 66% | 104 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Heat | 35% | 95 | 109 |
| 15 | Kings | 65% | 100 | 120 |
Saturday, March 1, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Knicks | 16% | 95 | 92 |
| 6 | Magic | 84% | 108 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jazz | 77% | 104 | 113 |
| 29 | Grizzlies | 23% | 95 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | 73% | 100 | 96 |
| 24 | Bucks | 27% | 92 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 76ers | 22% | 96 | 119 |
| 10 | Suns | 78% | 106 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pistons | 76% | 96 | 103 |
| 26 | Clippers | 24% | 87 | 73 |
Friday, February 29, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pacers | 23% | 97 | 122 |
| 8 | Raptors | 77% | 106 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bobcats | 12% | 86 | 100 |
| 2 | Celtics | 88% | 101 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Knicks | 34% | 94 | 93 |
| 18 | Hawks | 66% | 99 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Timberwolves | 21% | 88 | 84 |
| 13 | Cavaliers | 79% | 99 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Wizards | 41% | 94 | 97 |
| 17 | Bulls | 59% | 97 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Jazz | 44% | 99 | 98 |
| 11 | Hornets | 56% | 101 | 110 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Grizzlies | 13% | 87 | 95 |
| 10 | Rockets | 87% | 102 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Kings | 26% | 93 | 106 |
| 5 | Mavericks | 74% | 101 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Clippers | 23% | 95 | 104 |
| 12 | Nuggets | 77% | 104 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 76ers | 36% | 98 | 97 |
| 14 | Warriors | 64% | 103 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lakers | 63% | 100 | 111 |
| 21 | Trail Blazers | 37% | 96 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Heat | 56% | 97 | 103 |
| 30 | SuperSonics | 44% | 95 | 93 | |
Thursday, February 28, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bucks | 39% | 97 | 106 |
| 22 | Nets | 61% | 101 | 120 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mavericks | 36% | 89 | 94 |
| 2 | Spurs | 64% | 94 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Heat | 19% | 94 | 88 |
| 3 | Lakers | 81% | 106 | 106 |