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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 16, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1476ers56%96109
22Bobcats44%95115
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.2
36.0
38.4
24
57%
6
3
4
2
0
2
4
2
0-0
-
6-11
5-10
55%
51%
4-10
40%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.7
35.5
24.0
27
60%
1
7
1
1
0
1
1
0
3-3
100%
9-17
4-9
53%
48%
2-4
50%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.1
24.0
37.3
4
40%
2
8
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
8-15
40%
51%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 27.9
15.6
34.5
4
50%
7
0
0
1
0
0
5
2
0-0
-
2-4
4-7
50%
54%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 27.9
12.7
15.4
0
0%
4
0
0
1
0
0
2
2
0-2
0%
0-2
2-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 19.8
35.3
28.4
18
70%
4
5
2
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
5-8
5-9
63%
55%
2-4
50%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 21.5
28.0
23.9
15
61%
7
2
1
1
0
2
2
5
3-3
100%
6-11
4-8
55%
47%
0-0
-
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 22.1
27.3
10.5
5
26%
9
0
0
0
0
0
4
5
1-4
25%
2-8
1-3
25%
51%
0-0
-
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 24.0
12.0
13.4
6
75%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
49%
2-3
67%
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 24.4
6.7
3.4
2
25%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
0-1
25%
48%
0-0
-
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.4
5.0
2.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 35.3
1.9
5.0
4
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
44%
0-0
-
Herbert Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23.5
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 31.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 27.2
44.8
38.4
29
66%
7
2
1
1
3
2
2
5
8-9
89%
6-11
5-10
55%
47%
3-7
43%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 27.6
43.2
34.4
19
68%
8
0
0
1
0
1
3
5
0-0
-
5-9
3-6
56%
43%
3-5
60%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 23.8
34.4
36.8
18
60%
2
12
1
1
0
2
0
2
6-7
86%
6-9
5-11
67%
44%
0-3
0%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 25.5
30.7
31.7
24
81%
9
2
0
1
4
2
0
9
2-2
100%
11-14
5-10
79%
51%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.8
25.0
28.9
5
36%
2
4
2
1
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
2-5
3-6
40%
50%
0-1
0%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 30.6
22.4
26.1
12
64%
5
4
0
1
3
2
3
2
2-3
67%
5-8
4-9
63%
51%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 31.9
19.8
15.6
4
40%
1
8
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-4
50%
42%
0-1
0%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 23.5
19.8
10.7
4
82%
1
2
0
0
1
1
1
0
0-1
0%
2-2
1-2
100%
50%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.7
10.3
1
1-3
50%
Jermareo Davidson
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.4
6.3
0
1-2
47%
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 33.7
4.7
0
0-1
43%
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 34.2
3.4
0
0-1
48%
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 24.0
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 23.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.