Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Wednesday, April 16, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 22 | Bobcats | 44% | 95 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 10 | Magic | 65% | 102 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Pistons | 58% | 90 | 84 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Knicks | 34% | 98 | 123 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nets | 18% | 88 | 94 | |
 | 7 | Celtics | 82% | 100 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 29 | Heat | 38% | 93 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Bucks | 48% | 99 | 101 |
 | 26 | Timberwolves | 52% | 100 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 11 | Raptors | 54% | 97 | 97 |
 | 17 | Bulls | 46% | 95 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Hornets | 35% | 94 | 98 | |
 | 5 | Mavericks | 65% | 99 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | SuperSonics | 15% | 98 | 126 | |
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Tuesday, April 15, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Magic | 51% | 102 | 121 |
| 14 | Hawks | 49% | 101 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bobcats | 41% | 96 | 108 |
| 19 | Nets | 59% | 99 | 112 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Timberwolves | 15% | 86 | 103 |
| 6 | Pistons | 85% | 99 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Clippers | 15% | 90 | 92 |
| 3 | Hornets | 85% | 103 | 114 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Grizzlies | 24% | 94 | 91 |
| 17 | Trail Blazers | 76% | 103 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 1 | Lakers | 89% | 111 | 124 |
Monday, April 14, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Heat | 12% | 87 | 75 |
| 11 | Raptors | 88% | 102 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Cavaliers | 39% | 91 | 91 |
| 16 | 76ers | 61% | 94 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pacers | 34% | 100 | 110 |
| 15 | Wizards | 66% | 105 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Celtics | 75% | 98 | 99 |
| 26 | Knicks | 25% | 89 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bulls | 51% | 97 | 151 |
| 25 | Bucks | 49% | 96 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Rockets | 26% | 93 | 96 |
| 2 | Jazz | 74% | 101 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Warriors | 36% | 108 | 116 |
| 5 | Suns | 64% | 112 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Spurs | 57% | 94 | 101 |
| 23 | Kings | 43% | 92 | 98 |
Sunday, April 13, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Heat | 15% | 85 | 76 |
| 14 | Cavaliers | 85% | 99 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Spurs | 32% | 95 | 85 |
| 1 | Lakers | 68% | 100 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Raptors | 36% | 90 | 84 |
| 6 | Pistons | 64% | 95 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Magic | 57% | 99 | 104 |
| 18 | Bulls | 43% | 97 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Rockets | 44% | 99 | 94 |
| 8 | Nuggets | 56% | 101 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mavericks | 78% | 101 | 95 |
| 30 | SuperSonics | 22% | 91 | 99 | |
Saturday, April 12, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 76ers | 38% | 94 | 93 |
| 15 | Wizards | 62% | 98 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 58% | 96 | 99 |
| 16 | Hawks | 42% | 93 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bobcats | 41% | 99 | 107 |
| 19 | Pacers | 59% | 102 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Timberwolves | 48% | 99 | 114 |
| 28 | Grizzlies | 52% | 100 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nets | 47% | 98 | 111 | |
| 24 | Bucks | 53% | 99 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | 35% | 104 | 97 |
| 3 | Jazz | 65% | 109 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Hornets | 66% | 101 | 91 | |
| 23 | Kings | 34% | 96 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Mavericks | 62% | 96 | 105 |
| 20 | Trail Blazers | 38% | 92 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Clippers | 19% | 98 | 116 |
| 9 | Warriors | 81% | 109 | 122 |
Friday, April 11, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nets | 25% | 93 | 85 | |
| 12 | Raptors | 75% | 102 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pacers | 35% | 97 | 85 |
| 16 | 76ers | 65% | 102 | 76 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Timberwolves | 18% | 94 | 102 |
| 11 | Magic | 82% | 106 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Cavaliers | 51% | 94 | 95 |
| 18 | Bulls | 49% | 93 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bucks | 11% | 86 | 86 |
| 1 | Celtics | 89% | 102 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hawks | 59% | 99 | 116 |
| 25 | Knicks | 41% | 96 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Grizzlies | 47% | 96 | 96 |
| 29 | Heat | 53% | 97 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wizards | 32% | 91 | 74 |
| 7 | Pistons | 68% | 97 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Suns | 42% | 99 | 90 |
| 13 | Rockets | 58% | 101 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | SuperSonics | 9% | 84 | 74 | |
| 4 | Spurs | 91% | 101 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Trail Blazers | 51% | 99 | 86 |
| 23 | Kings | 49% | 98 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Hornets | 38% | 99 | 104 | |
| 2 | Lakers | 62% | 103 | 107 |
Thursday, April 10, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | 45% | 109 | 114 |
| 12 | Warriors | 55% | 111 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Jazz | 44% | 98 | 94 |
| 5 | Mavericks | 56% | 100 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lakers | 78% | 107 | 106 |
| 26 | Clippers | 22% | 97 | 78 |
Wednesday, April 9, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bucks | 17% | 92 | 93 |
| 10 | Raptors | 83% | 104 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pistons | 44% | 89 | 94 |
| 15 | 76ers | 56% | 90 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 56% | 95 | 95 |
| 16 | Wizards | 44% | 93 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bulls | 25% | 94 | 83 |
| 9 | Magic | 75% | 103 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Nets | 28% | 92 | 83 | |
| 14 | Cavaliers | 72% | 99 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bobcats | 51% | 97 | 107 |
| 26 | Knicks | 49% | 96 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hornets | 71% | 99 | 122 | |
| 25 | Timberwolves | 29% | 92 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | SuperSonics | 10% | 85 | 80 | |
| 12 | Rockets | 90% | 102 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Suns | 30% | 94 | 96 |
| 4 | Spurs | 70% | 101 | 79 |
Tuesday, April 8, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Timberwolves | 34% | 94 | 119 |
| 21 | Bobcats | 66% | 99 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hawks | 48% | 102 | 98 |
| 19 | Pacers | 52% | 103 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bulls | 69% | 95 | 88 |
| 30 | Heat | 31% | 89 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Knicks | 16% | 85 | 98 |
| 9 | Pistons | 84% | 98 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 77% | 99 | 107 |
| 24 | Bucks | 23% | 90 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Suns | 73% | 110 | 127 |
| 28 | Grizzlies | 27% | 102 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Jazz | 39% | 99 | 77 |
| 4 | Hornets | 61% | 102 | 66 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | SuperSonics | 8% | 88 | 83 | |
| 1 | Mavericks | 92% | 107 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lakers | 66% | 104 | 103 |
| 20 | Trail Blazers | 34% | 98 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | 71% | 106 | 117 |
| 27 | Clippers | 29% | 99 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Kings | 25% | 100 | 132 |
| 13 | Warriors | 75% | 109 | 140 |
Sunday, April 6, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pistons | 81% | 94 | 91 |
| 29 | Heat | 19% | 83 | 75 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mavericks | 49% | 102 | 105 |
| 8 | Suns | 51% | 103 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Magic | 65% | 103 | 90 |
| 27 | Knicks | 35% | 98 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bucks | 36% | 101 | 97 |
| 19 | Pacers | 64% | 105 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Spurs | 64% | 92 | 72 |
| 22 | Trail Blazers | 36% | 88 | 65 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Grizzlies | 40% | 97 | 113 |
| 25 | Timberwolves | 60% | 100 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Warriors | 29% | 100 | 96 |
| 4 | Hornets | 71% | 107 | 108 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lakers | 70% | 107 | 114 |
| 20 | Kings | 30% | 101 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | 76% | 108 | 147 |
| 30 | SuperSonics | 24% | 99 | 151 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Rockets | 71% | 96 | 105 |
| 26 | Clippers | 29% | 89 | 79 |
Saturday, April 5, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Magic | 46% | 97 | 101 |
| 13 | Cavaliers | 54% | 98 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hawks | 35% | 93 | 92 |
| 15 | 76ers | 65% | 98 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 74% | 97 | 101 |
| 20 | Bobcats | 26% | 89 | 78 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Raptors | 57% | 99 | 90 |
| 23 | Nets | 43% | 97 | 99 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wizards | 38% | 95 | 99 |
| 18 | Bulls | 62% | 99 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Kings | 26% | 101 | 118 |
| 6 | Nuggets | 74% | 109 | 115 |
Friday, April 4, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bobcats | 29% | 93 | 105 |
| 11 | Raptors | 71% | 100 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 76ers | 45% | 95 | 109 |
| 16 | Hawks | 55% | 97 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Heat | 20% | 89 | 95 |
| 17 | Wizards | 80% | 100 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Nets | 21% | 86 | 87 | |
| 9 | Pistons | 79% | 97 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Warriors | 66% | 108 | 117 |
| 28 | Grizzlies | 34% | 102 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Knicks | 14% | 90 | 110 |
| 5 | Hornets | 86% | 104 | 118 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pacers | 48% | 103 | 105 |
| 24 | Bucks | 52% | 104 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 44% | 95 | 64 |
| 8 | Jazz | 56% | 97 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Timberwolves | 17% | 97 | 88 |
| 6 | Suns | 83% | 109 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | 38% | 98 | 108 |
| 2 | Lakers | 62% | 102 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Rockets | 77% | 100 | 79 |
| 30 | SuperSonics | 23% | 90 | 66 | |
Thursday, April 3, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bulls | 39% | 92 | 101 |
| 13 | Cavaliers | 61% | 95 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Clippers | 25% | 94 | 98 |
| 18 | Kings | 75% | 103 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Rockets | 65% | 94 | 95 |
| 21 | Trail Blazers | 35% | 89 | 86 |