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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 16, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Wizards35%9783
10Magic65%102103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.5
37.2
17.2
8
37%
5
4
0
0
0
2
1
4
0-2
0%
4-7
1-3
57%
45%
0-3
0%
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 33.1
20.0
28.0
2
50%
1
4
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
49%
0-1
0%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 30.2
19.7
26.7
10
71%
4
1
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
5-7
4-9
71%
48%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 27.0
13.3
21.2
3
30%
2
2
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
44%
1-3
33%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 28.4
8.7
23.2
6
60%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
3-5
4-7
60%
53%
0-0
-
Oleksiy Pecherov
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 22.4
39.0
6.1
10
39%
10
3
1
0
0
1
5
5
2-4
50%
1-7
1-1
14%
49%
2-4
50%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 21.7
34.9
22.0
20
70%
11
4
0
1
1
3
4
7
2-3
67%
9-13
4-7
69%
49%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 22.9
34.7
13.5
14
50%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
6-12
2-4
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 27.6
32.5
24.3
10
46%
4
1
1
1
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
3-6
2-4
50%
48%
1-4
25%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.8
32.1
1
5-11
48%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 28.1
18.0
1
2-5
48%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 26.3
16.0
1
2-4
47%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 30.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 28.7
32.6
16.3
3
25%
4
11
2
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
48%
1-4
25%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 29.4
18.4
29.2
9
56%
1
3
2
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
52%
1-4
25%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 28.7
17.0
31.5
15
69%
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
1
2-2
100%
2-6
3-6
33%
51%
3-4
75%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 29.1
15.7
31.2
11
69%
4
2
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
4-6
4-9
67%
49%
1-2
50%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 22.4
12.0
30.8
6
56%
4
0
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-3
0%
3-4
6-9
75%
59%
0-0
-
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 24.2
27.9
3.1
12
49%
11
2
1
0
1
1
5
6
2-3
67%
5-11
0-1
45%
54%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 27.9
27.6
18.5
10
56%
2
4
0
1
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
48%
2-5
40%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 23.8
24.5
8.5
18
64%
4
3
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-6
1-2
50%
48%
4-8
50%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 27.9
20.1
22.1
9
46%
3
4
1
1
0
0
0
3
3-4
75%
3-7
3-6
43%
49%
0-1
0%
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 31.6
18.5
9.4
2
20%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
44%
0-2
0%
James Augustine
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.1
17.6
5.3
8
69%
5
0
0
0
0
1
3
2
2-4
50%
3-4
1-1
75%
53%
0-0
-
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 33.1
8.2
15.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
51%
0-0
-
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.2
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 26.2
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 27.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.