Final Win Prob. pScore
1535%97
83
1065%102
103
ORTG#PossPace
WAS logo Wizards
98.88483.2
ORL logo Magic
121.28585.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicWizardsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicWizardsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventWASORL
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL83
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0WASMason Jr. 15' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)83
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:11.0ORLRedick 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Arroyo 11 AST)81
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:31.0WASMcGuire Layup (8 PTS) (Mason Jr. 1 AST)81
0%
100
100%
Q4 - 0:39.0ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)79
0%
100
100%
Q4 - 0:39.0ORLBogans Tip Shot (10 PTS)79
0%
100
100%
Q4 - 0:39.0ORLMISS Bogans Layup79
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:43.0ORLAugustine REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)79
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:44.0ORLMISS Bogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:06WASYoung Foul Turnover (P1.T13)79
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:06WASYoung OFF.Foul (P2)79
98
Q4 - 1:24ORLRedick 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Bogans 4 AST)79
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:41WASBlatche Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)79
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:53ORLAugustine Layup (8 PTS) (Bogans 3 AST)79
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:55WASWizards Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)79
93
Q4 - 2:17WASMcGuire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)79
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:17WASMcGuire Dunk (6 PTS)79
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:18WASMISS Pecherov Layup77
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:35WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)77
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:36ORLMISS Gortat 9' Jump Hook Shot77
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:54WASBlatche 20' Running Jump Shot (20 PTS)77
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:58WASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 3:00ORLMISS Bogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 3:10WASPecherov Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)75
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 3:10WASPecherov Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)74
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 3:10ORLGortat S.FOUL (P1.T3)73
93
Q4 - 3:10WASPecherov REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)73
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 3:10WASMISS Young 19' Jump Shot73
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 3:29ORLGortat Driving Dunk (12 PTS) (Arroyo 10 AST)73
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 3:35WASYoung 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS)73
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 3:59ORLGortat Layup (10 PTS) (Arroyo 9 AST)71
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 4:08ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)71
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 4:09WASMISS Pecherov 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 4:25WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)71
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 4:26ORLMISS Arroyo Driving Layup71
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 4:48ORLAugustine REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)71
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 4:49WASMISS Pecherov Free Throw 2 of 271
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 4:49WASWizards Rebound71
89
Q4 - 4:49WASMISS Pecherov Free Throw 1 of 271
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 4:49ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)71
89
Q4 - 4:49ORLAugustine S.FOUL (P2.T2)71
89
Q4 - 4:49WASPecherov REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)71
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 4:51WASMISS Pecherov Layup71
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 4:54WASPecherov REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)71
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 4:55WASMISS McGuire Driving Layup71
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 5:11ORLAugustine Layup (6 PTS)71
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 5:12ORLAugustine REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)71
0.3%
87
99.7%
Q4 - 5:14ORLMISS Gortat Layup71
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q4 - 5:18ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)71
0.3%
87
99.7%
Q4 - 5:20ORLMISS Redick 21' Jump Shot71
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q4 - 5:32WASMcGuire Dunk (4 PTS) (Blatche 4 AST)71
0.3%
87
99.7%
Q4 - 5:49ORLRedick 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Gortat 2 AST)69
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 6:06WASMason Jr. 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)69
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q4 - 6:13WASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q4 - 6:15ORLMISS Bogans 22' Jump Shot67
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q4 - 6:25ORLMAGIC Rebound67
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 6:26WASMISS McGuire Free Throw 2 of 267
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 6:26ORLSUB: Arroyo FOR Dooling67
85
Q4 - 6:26WASWizards Rebound67
85
Q4 - 6:26WASMISS McGuire Free Throw 1 of 267
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 6:26ORLBogans S.FOUL (P1.T1)67
85
Q4 - 6:48ORLRedick 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Dooling 4 AST)67
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q4 - 6:56WASBlatche P.FOUL (P4.T3)67
82
Q4 - 7:08ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)67
1.0%
82
99.0%
Q4 - 7:10WASMISS Young 13' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot67
1.0%
82
99.0%
Q4 - 7:32ORLRedick 22' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Dooling 3 AST)67
1.3%
82
98.7%
Q4 - 7:49WASPecherov 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Blatche 3 AST)67
1.6%
80
98.4%
Q4 - 7:57WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)64
1.0%
80
99.0%
Q4 - 7:59ORLMISS Dooling Driving Reverse Layup64
0.9%
80
99.1%
Q4 - 8:20WASYoung 19' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)64
1.0%
80
99.0%
Q4 - 8:38ORLAugustine Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)62
0.8%
80
99.2%
Q4 - 8:38ORLAugustine Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)62
0.8%
79
99.2%
Q4 - 8:3862
78
Q4 - 8:38WASBlatche S.FOUL (P3.T2)62
78
Q4 - 8:42ORLAugustine REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
1.0%
78
99.0%
Q4 - 8:44WASMISS Blatche Layup62
1.1%
78
98.9%
Q4 - 8:58ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)62
1.3%
78
98.7%
Q4 - 8:58ORLGortat Tip Shot (8 PTS)62
1.3%
78
98.7%
Q4 - 9:01ORLMISS Dooling 20' Jump Shot62
2.6%
76
97.4%
Q4 - 9:21WASBlatche Layup (18 PTS) (McGuire 4 AST)62
2.2%
76
97.8%
Q4 - 9:39ORLGortat Layup (6 PTS) (Redick 3 AST)60
1.7%
76
98.3%
Q4 - 9:51ORLSUB: Redick FOR Arroyo60
74
Q4 - 9:51WASBlatche Traveling Turnover (P2.T11)60
2.1%
74
97.9%
Q4 - 10:16ORLBogans Layup (8 PTS) (Gortat 1 AST)60
3.2%
74
96.8%
Q4 - 10:19ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)60
4.0%
72
96.0%
Q4 - 10:22WASGortat BLOCK (1 BLK)60
4.2%
72
95.8%
Q4 - 10:26ORLAugustine Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)60
4.9%
72
95.1%
Q4 - 10:30WASDooling STEAL (1 STL)60
4.0%
72
96.0%
Q4 - 10:49ORLDooling 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Arroyo 8 AST)60
4.9%
72
95.1%
Q4 - 10:56WASYoung P.FOUL (P1.T1)60
70
Q4 - 11:13ORLDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
6.9%
70
93.1%
Q4 - 11:15WASMISS Blatche 10' Running Hook Shot60
7.3%
70
92.7%
Q4 - 11:36ORLMAGIC Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)60
8.2%
70
91.8%
Q4 - 12:0060
70
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL60
6.8%
70
93.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMAGIC Rebound60
6.8%
70
93.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)60
6.8%
70
93.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Gortat Tip Shot60
7.7%
70
92.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Arroyo 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
7.7%
70
92.3%
Q3 - 0:25.0WASWizards Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)60
7.5%
70
92.5%
Q3 - 0:25.0WASPecherov REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)60
8.9%
70
91.1%
Q3 - 0:25.0WASMISS Young 9' Running Jump Shot60
7.9%
70
92.1%
Q3 - 0:49.0ORLGortat Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)60
8.8%
70
91.2%
Q3 - 0:49.0WASBlatche S.FOUL (P2.T3)60
69
Q3 - 0:49.0ORLGortat Layup (3 PTS) (Bogans 2 AST)60
69
Q3 - 1:06ORLMAGIC Rebound60
13.4%
67
86.6%
Q3 - 1:07WASMISS Mason Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
14.0%
67
86.0%
Q3 - 1:24WASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)60
15.6%
67
84.4%
Q3 - 1:25ORLMISS Dooling 27' 3PT Jump Shot60
14.9%
67
85.1%
Q3 - 1:51WASPecherov 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T8)60
13.4%
67
86.6%
Q3 - 2:16ORLArroyo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)60
16.2%
67
83.8%
Q3 - 2:32WASMason Jr. Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)60
22.0%
64
78.0%
Q3 - 2:32WASWizards Rebound59
64
Q3 - 2:32WASMISS Mason Jr. Free Throw 1 of 259
21.6%
64
78.4%
Q3 - 2:32ORLSUB: Dooling FOR Redick59
64
Q3 - 2:32WASWizards Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)59
64
Q3 - 2:32ORLArroyo P.FOUL (P2.PN)59
64
Q3 - 2:46ORLAugustine Driving Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Arroyo 7 AST)59
21.9%
64
78.1%
Q3 - 3:05WASMason Jr. 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Young 1 AST)59
25.3%
62
74.7%
Q3 - 3:28ORLRedick 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bogans 1 AST)56
19.3%
62
80.7%
Q3 - 3:37WASArroyo STEAL (2 STL)56
25.3%
59
74.7%
Q3 - 3:42WASMcGuire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)56
29.1%
59
70.9%
Q3 - 3:43ORLMISS Gortat 9' Fadeaway Jumper56
27.9%
59
72.1%
Q3 - 3:47ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)56
25.3%
59
74.7%
Q3 - 3:48ORLMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
27.9%
59
72.1%
Q3 - 4:07WASYoung Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)56
25.3%
59
74.7%
Q3 - 4:07WASYoung Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)55
24.8%
59
75.2%
Q3 - 4:07ORLAugustine S.FOUL (P1.PN)54
59
Q3 - 4:14ORLRedick P.FOUL (P2.T4)54
59
Q3 - 4:25WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)54
22.7%
59
77.3%
Q3 - 4:28ORLMISS Augustine Free Throw 2 of 254
22.2%
59
77.8%
Q3 - 4:28ORLMAGIC Rebound54
59
Q3 - 4:28ORLMISS Augustine Free Throw 1 of 254
20.5%
59
79.5%
Q3 - 4:28WASPecherov S.FOUL (P1.T2)54
59
Q3 - 4:35ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)54
19.3%
59
80.7%
Q3 - 4:36WASMISS Mason Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
20.3%
59
79.7%
Q3 - 4:53ORLBogans Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)54
22.6%
59
77.4%
Q3 - 5:01ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
19.6%
59
80.4%
Q3 - 5:02WASMISS Pecherov 12' Turnaround Jump Shot54
20.5%
59
79.5%
Q3 - 5:23WASPecherov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)54
22.7%
59
77.3%
Q3 - 5:25ORLMISS Gortat Free Throw 2 of 254
22.3%
59
77.7%
Q3 - 5:25ORLGortat Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)54
20.6%
59
79.4%
Q3 - 5:25WASMason Jr. S.FOUL (P1.T1)54
58
Q3 - 5:25ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)54
22.3%
58
77.7%
Q3 - 5:26ORLMISS Augustine Layup54
24.7%
58
75.3%
Q3 - 5:27ORLAugustine REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)54
22.3%
58
77.7%
Q3 - 5:29ORLMISS Bogans 26' 3PT Jump Shot54
24.7%
58
75.3%
Q3 - 5:36ORLSUB: Augustine FOR Garrity54
58
Q3 - 5:36ORLSUB: Bogans FOR Evans54
58
Q3 - 5:36ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)54
58
Q3 - 5:36WASBlatche Violation:Kicked Ball54
58
Q3 - 5:43ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
22.3%
58
77.7%
Q3 - 5:44WASMISS Mason Jr. 26' 3PT Jump Shot54
23.3%
58
76.7%
Q3 - 6:02ORLEvans Layup (9 PTS) (Redick 2 AST)54
25.8%
58
74.2%
Q3 - 6:07ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)54
28.7%
56
71.3%
Q3 - 6:08ORLMISS Arroyo 26' 3PT Jump Shot54
31.3%
56
68.7%
Q3 - 6:15ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
28.7%
56
71.3%
Q3 - 6:16WASMISS McGuire 20' Fadeaway Jumper54
29.8%
56
70.2%
Q3 - 6:44ORLEvans 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)54
32.4%
56
67.6%
Q3 - 7:04WASBlatche Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)54
39.0%
53
61.0%
Q3 - 7:04WASSUB: Young FOR Daniels53
53
Q3 - 7:04WASSUB: Mason Jr. FOR Stevenson53
53
Q3 - 7:04ORLRedick S.FOUL (P1.T3)53
53
Q3 - 7:04WASBlatche Layup (15 PTS) (Stevenson 2 AST)53
53
Q3 - 7:08ORLRedick Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)51
32.1%
53
67.9%
Q3 - 7:13ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
28.7%
53
71.3%
Q3 - 7:14ORLMISS Garrity 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
31.0%
53
69.0%
Q3 - 7:23WASEvans STEAL (2 STL)51
28.7%
53
71.3%
Q3 - 7:40ORLRedick 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Arroyo 6 AST)51
32.1%
53
67.9%
Q3 - 7:49WASArroyo STEAL (1 STL)51
35.4%
51
64.6%
Q3 - 7:56ORLArroyo P.FOUL (P1.T2)51
51
Q3 - 8:04WASMcGuire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
38.9%
51
61.1%
Q3 - 8:05ORLMISS Redick 17' Jump Shot51
37.7%
51
62.3%
Q3 - 8:31WASPecherov 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Stevenson 1 AST)51
35.1%
51
64.9%
Q3 - 8:45WASSUB: Pecherov FOR Songaila48
51
Q3 - 8:45WASSUB: Blatche FOR Haywood48
51
Q3 - 8:45ORLEvans P.FOUL (P1.T1)48
51
Q3 - 8:48WASStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
28.8%
51
71.2%
Q3 - 8:49ORLMISS Evans 26' 3PT Jump Shot48
27.8%
51
72.2%
Q3 - 8:59ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
25.6%
51
74.4%
Q3 - 9:00WASMISS Haywood 9' Running Hook Shot48
26.5%
51
73.5%
Q3 - 9:22ORLEvans Dunk (4 PTS) (Arroyo 5 AST)48
28.7%
51
71.3%
Q3 - 9:36WASSongaila 9' Jump Hook Shot (10 PTS)48
31.8%
49
68.2%
Q3 - 9:44WASSongaila REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)46
28.7%
49
71.3%
Q3 - 9:45ORLMISS Redick 27' 3PT Jump Shot46
27.8%
49
72.2%
Q3 - 9:57ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
25.7%
49
74.3%
Q3 - 9:58WASMISS Stevenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
26.6%
49
73.4%
Q3 - 10:13ORLGarrity Layup (2 PTS) (Arroyo 4 AST)46
28.7%
49
71.3%
Q3 - 10:36WASHaywood 12' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS)46
31.6%
47
68.4%
Q3 - 10:49WASSongaila REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
28.7%
47
71.3%
Q3 - 10:51ORLMISS Gortat 14' Jump Shot44
27.8%
47
72.2%
Q3 - 11:09WASStevenson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (McGuire 3 AST)44
25.8%
47
74.2%
Q3 - 11:20WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
21.0%
47
79.0%
Q3 - 11:22ORLMISS Garrity 26' 3PT Jump Shot41
20.3%
47
79.7%
Q3 - 11:28WASSongaila Violation:Kicked Ball41
47
Q3 - 11:40WASSongaila Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)41
18.7%
47
81.3%
Q3 - 12:0041
47
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL41
21.0%
47
79.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMAGIC Rebound41
18.7%
47
81.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Dooling 20' Running Jump Shot41
20.3%
47
79.7%
Q2 - 0:03.0WASBlatche Layup (13 PTS) (Daniels 4 AST)41
19.4%
47
80.6%
Q2 - 0:10.0ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)39
16.9%
47
83.1%
Q2 - 0:10.0WASDaniels S.FOUL (P1.PN)39
46
Q2 - 0:10.0ORLLewis 12' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS)39
46
Q2 - 0:29.0WASBlatche 14' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Songaila 1 AST)39
21.5%
44
78.5%
Q2 - 0:41.0WASWizards Rebound37
18.9%
44
81.1%
Q2 - 0:42.0ORLMISS Redick 10' Running Jump Shot37
18.4%
44
81.6%
Q2 - 0:58.0WASSongaila P.FOUL (P2.T4)37
44
Q2 - 1:19ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
17.6%
44
82.4%
Q2 - 1:20WASMISS Stevenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
18.1%
44
81.9%
Q2 - 1:29WASDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
19.1%
44
80.9%
Q2 - 1:30ORLMISS Garrity 18' Jump Shot37
18.6%
44
81.4%
Q2 - 1:49ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
17.6%
44
82.4%
Q2 - 1:51WASMISS Songaila 22' Jump Shot37
18.1%
44
81.9%
Q2 - 2:04WASPecherov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)37
19.5%
44
80.5%
Q2 - 2:06ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)37
17.5%
44
82.5%
Q2 - 2:06ORLMISS Gortat Putback Layup37
18.9%
44
81.1%
Q2 - 2:09ORLMISS Redick 27' 3PT Jump Shot37
18.9%
44
81.1%
Q2 - 2:28WASGortat STEAL (1 STL)37
17.5%
44
82.5%
Q2 - 2:3937
44
Q2 - 2:39ORLGortat Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)37
19.5%
44
80.5%
Q2 - 3:00WASDaniels 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)37
17.5%
44
82.5%
Q2 - 3:07WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)35
16.1%
44
83.9%
Q2 - 3:08ORLMISS Dooling Driving Layup35
15.5%
44
84.5%
Q2 - 3:16ORLMAGIC Rebound35
14.2%
44
85.8%
Q2 - 3:17ORLMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
15.5%
44
84.5%
Q2 - 3:35ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
14.2%
44
85.8%
Q2 - 3:36WASMISS Stevenson 11' Fadeaway Jumper35
14.7%
44
85.3%
Q2 - 3:51ORLDooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)35
16.0%
44
84.0%
Q2 - 3:51ORLSUB: Gortat FOR Foyle35
43
Q2 - 3:51ORLDooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)35
16.3%
43
83.7%
Q2 - 3:51WASSongaila S.FOUL (P1.T3)35
42
Q2 - 4:03ORLFoyle REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)35
17.7%
42
82.3%
Q2 - 4:04ORLMISS Lewis 17' Jump Shot35
19.1%
42
80.9%
Q2 - 4:31WASBlatche 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS)35
17.7%
42
82.3%
Q2 - 4:53WASPecherov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
16.1%
42
83.9%
Q2 - 4:55ORLMISS Lewis Layup33
15.6%
42
84.4%
Q2 - 5:09ORLSUB: Redick FOR Bogans33
42
Q2 - 5:09ORLSUB: Lewis FOR Turkoglu33
42
Q2 - 5:09WASSUB: Blatche FOR Mason Jr.33
42
Q2 - 5:09WASSUB: Stevenson FOR Young33
42
Q2 - 5:09ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)33
42
Q2 - 5:17WASSongaila 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Daniels 3 AST)33
14.9%
42
85.1%
Q2 - 5:37ORLBogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dooling 2 AST)31
13.4%
42
86.6%
Q2 - 5:55WASSongaila 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Daniels 2 AST)31
16.4%
39
83.6%
Q2 - 6:16ORLBogans 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)29
15.3%
39
84.7%
Q2 - 6:24ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
18.3%
36
81.7%
Q2 - 6:26WASMISS Young 15' Jump Shot29
18.9%
36
81.1%
Q2 - 6:46ORLTurkoglu Driving Layup (11 PTS)29
20.4%
36
79.6%
Q2 - 7:06WASSongaila Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)29
22.1%
34
77.9%
Q2 - 7:29ORLDooling 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS)29
24.2%
34
75.8%
Q2 - 7:47WASYoung Driving Dunk (8 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)29
26.3%
32
73.7%
Q2 - 7:55WASPecherov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
24.2%
32
75.8%
Q2 - 7:56ORLMISS Turkoglu 4' Jump Bank Shot27
23.6%
32
76.4%
Q2 - 8:14WASYoung Driving Layup (6 PTS)27
22.4%
32
77.6%
Q2 - 8:22ORLDooling P.FOUL (P1.T1)25
32
Q2 - 8:35WASWizards Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)25
32
Q2 - 8:36ORLDooling 20' Running Jump Shot (3 PTS)25
20.5%
32
79.5%
Q2 - 8:43ORLDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
22.4%
30
77.6%
Q2 - 8:44WASMISS Mason Jr. 23' Jump Shot25
23.0%
30
77.0%
Q2 - 9:07ORLTurkoglu Driving Dunk (9 PTS)25
24.3%
30
75.7%
Q2 - 9:22WASYoung 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)25
26.3%
28
73.7%
Q2 - 9:37WASSongaila REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
24.3%
28
75.7%
Q2 - 9:38ORLMISS Dooling Free Throw 2 of 223
24.0%
28
76.0%
Q2 - 9:38WASSUB: Pecherov FOR Blatche23
28
Q2 - 9:38WASSUB: Daniels FOR McGuire23
28
Q2 - 9:38ORLDooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
22.6%
28
77.4%
Q2 - 9:38WASMcGuire S.FOUL (P3.T2)23
27
Q2 - 9:59WASSongaila Layup (4 PTS) (Blatche 2 AST)23
24.3%
27
75.7%
Q2 - 10:03WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)21
22.6%
27
77.4%
Q2 - 10:05ORLMISS Garrity Layup21
22.1%
27
77.9%
Q2 - 10:25WASBlatche L.B.FOUL (P1.T1)21
27
Q2 - 10:25ORLMAGIC Rebound21
20.8%
27
79.2%
Q2 - 10:25WASMISS Young 16' Fadeaway Jumper21
21.3%
27
78.7%
Q2 - 10:41WASSongaila REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
22.6%
27
77.4%
Q2 - 10:44ORLMISS Turkoglu Driving Reverse Layup21
22.0%
27
78.0%
Q2 - 10:48ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
20.8%
27
79.2%
Q2 - 10:52ORLMISS Foyle Layup21
22.0%
27
78.0%
Q2 - 11:06ORLDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
21.1%
27
78.9%
Q2 - 11:07WASMISS Blatche 7' Driving Bank Shot21
21.6%
27
78.4%
Q2 - 11:26ORLTurkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)21
22.9%
27
77.1%
Q2 - 11:43WASSongaila 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Blatche 1 AST)21
26.6%
24
73.4%
Q2 - 12:0019
24
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL19
24.7%
24
75.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMAGIC Rebound19
22.8%
24
77.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Evans 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
24.1%
24
75.9%
Q1 - 0:07.0WASBlatche Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)19
23.1%
24
76.9%
Q1 - 0:07.0WASSUB: McGuire FOR Pecherov18
24
Q1 - 0:07.0WASWizards Rebound18
24
Q1 - 0:07.0WASMISS Blatche Free Throw 1 of 218
22.7%
24
77.3%
Q1 - 0:07.0ORLSUB: Garrity FOR Lewis18
24
Q1 - 0:07.0ORLHoward S.FOUL (P1.T1)18
24
Q1 - 0:08.0WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)18
22.7%
24
77.3%
Q1 - 0:10.0WASMISS Pecherov 13' Jump Shot18
21.8%
24
78.2%
Q1 - 0:29.0WASPecherov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
22.7%
24
77.3%
Q1 - 0:31.0ORLMISS Evans 7' Turnaround Jump Shot18
22.3%
24
77.7%
Q1 - 0:49.0WASBlatche 15' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)18
21.4%
24
78.6%
Q1 - 1:03ORLLewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Evans 3 AST)16
19.8%
24
80.2%
Q1 - 1:15WASSUB: Songaila FOR McGuire16
21
Q1 - 1:15ORLLewis Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)16
23.5%
21
76.5%
Q1 - 1:15WASWizards T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Pecherov )16
20
Q1 - 1:28WASBlatche 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Pecherov 3 AST)16
25.2%
20
74.8%
Q1 - 1:47ORLLewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)14
22.9%
20
77.1%
Q1 - 2:05WASYoung 14' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)14
27.1%
17
72.9%
Q1 - 2:18WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)12
25.0%
17
75.0%
Q1 - 2:20ORLMISS Evans 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
24.6%
17
75.4%
Q1 - 2:33WASBlatche 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (McGuire 2 AST)12
23.6%
17
76.4%
Q1 - 2:47ORLLewis 10' Jump Hook Shot (5 PTS)10
21.7%
17
78.3%
Q1 - 2:52ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
23.6%
15
76.4%
Q1 - 2:53ORLMISS Arroyo 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
24.5%
15
75.5%
Q1 - 3:11ORLSUB: Bogans FOR Turkoglu10
15
Q1 - 3:11ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)10
15
Q1 - 3:19WASPecherov 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
23.4%
15
76.6%
Q1 - 3:27WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)8
21.8%
15
78.2%
Q1 - 3:29WASMISS McGuire 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
20.8%
15
79.2%
Q1 - 3:43ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)8
21.8%
15
78.2%
Q1 - 3:49ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)8
20.3%
15
79.7%
Q1 - 3:50WASMISS Young 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
20.8%
15
79.2%
Q1 - 4:04WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)8
22.8%
15
77.2%
Q1 - 4:05WASMISS Mason Jr. 19' Jump Shot8
21.8%
15
78.2%
Q1 - 4:29ORLHoward Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Evans 2 AST)8
23.0%
15
77.0%
Q1 - 4:37ORLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
24.4%
13
75.6%
Q1 - 4:38WASMISS McGuire 44' 3PT Jump Shot8
24.8%
13
75.2%
Q1 - 4:41WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
25.9%
13
74.1%
Q1 - 4:43WASLewis BLOCK (1 BLK)8
24.9%
13
75.1%
Q1 - 5:05ORLTurkoglu Driving Layup (4 PTS)8
26.3%
13
73.7%
Q1 - 5:15ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
27.7%
11
72.3%
Q1 - 5:16WASMISS Mason Jr. 20' Jump Shot8
28.2%
11
71.8%
Q1 - 5:32ORLLewis 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)8
29.5%
11
70.5%
Q1 - 5:52WASMason Jr. 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
32.5%
8
67.5%
Q1 - 5:58WASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
31.1%
8
68.9%
Q1 - 6:00WASMISS McGuire 10' Jump Shot6
29.9%
8
70.1%
Q1 - 6:16WASWizards Rebound6
30.9%
8
69.1%
Q1 - 6:16ORLMISS Lewis 21' Jump Shot6
30.4%
8
69.6%
Q1 - 6:27WASMcGuire Dunk (2 PTS) (Pecherov 2 AST)6
29.4%
8
70.6%
Q1 - 6:36WASSUB: Blatche FOR Haywood4
8
Q1 - 6:36WASSUB: Mason Jr. FOR Daniels4
8
Q1 - 6:36ORLHoward 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T2)4
28.1%
8
71.9%
Q1 - 6:46ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
26.8%
8
73.2%
Q1 - 6:47WASMISS Pecherov 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
27.2%
8
72.8%
Q1 - 7:02WASMcGuire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
28.2%
8
71.8%
Q1 - 7:05ORLMISS Howard 8' Jump Hook Shot4
27.8%
8
72.2%
Q1 - 7:17WASHaywood 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Pecherov 1 AST)4
27.0%
8
73.0%
Q1 - 7:37WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)2
26.1%
8
73.9%
Q1 - 7:39ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
25.8%
8
74.2%
Q1 - 7:56ORLMAGIC Rebound2
25.2%
8
74.8%
Q1 - 7:57WASMISS Pecherov 13' Jump Shot2
25.6%
8
74.4%
Q1 - 7:59WASPecherov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
26.5%
8
73.5%
Q1 - 8:01WASMISS McGuire 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
25.6%
8
74.4%
Q1 - 8:23WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
26.8%
8
73.2%
Q1 - 8:24ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 12
26.7%
8
73.3%
Q1 - 8:24WASMcGuire S.FOUL (P2.T3)2
8
Q1 - 8:24ORLHoward Layup (4 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)2
8
Q1 - 8:31ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
28.0%
6
72.0%
Q1 - 8:32WASMISS Young 18' Jump Shot2
28.4%
6
71.6%
Q1 - 8:46WASSUB: Pecherov FOR Stevenson2
6
Q1 - 8:46WASSUB: Young FOR Songaila2
6
Q1 - 8:46WASWizards Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)2
6
Q1 - 8:47ORLHoward Slam Dunk (2 PTS)2
29.4%
6
70.6%
Q1 - 8:49ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)2
30.5%
4
69.5%
Q1 - 8:51ORLMISS Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
31.3%
4
68.7%
Q1 - 9:11WASHaywood 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (McGuire 1 AST)2
31.0%
4
69.0%
Q1 - 9:19WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
30.1%
4
69.9%
Q1 - 9:20ORLMISS Arroyo Driving Layup0
29.9%
4
70.1%
Q1 - 9:27ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
29.5%
4
70.5%
Q1 - 9:29WASMISS Daniels 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
29.8%
4
70.2%
Q1 - 9:39ORLHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
30.5%
4
69.5%
Q1 - 9:50ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
30.0%
4
70.0%
Q1 - 9:51WASMISS Haywood 9' Jump Hook Shot0
30.3%
4
69.7%
Q1 - 10:07ORLTurkoglu Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)0
31.4%
4
68.6%
Q1 - 10:20WASMcGuire P.FOUL (P1.T2)0
2
Q1 - 10:26ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
32.4%
2
67.6%
Q1 - 10:28WASMISS Stevenson 22' Jump Shot0
32.6%
2
67.4%
Q1 - 10:33ORLLewis Violation:Kicked Ball0
2
Q1 - 10:47WASMcGuire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
33.4%
2
66.6%
Q1 - 10:48ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 20
33.4%
2
66.6%
Q1 - 10:48ORLMAGIC Rebound0
2
Q1 - 10:48ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 20
33.1%
2
66.9%
Q1 - 10:48WASHaywood S.FOUL (P1.T1)0
2
Q1 - 10:55ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
33.1%
2
66.9%
Q1 - 10:56WASMISS Songaila 21' Jump Shot0
33.3%
2
66.7%
Q1 - 11:20ORLEvans Dunk (2 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)0
34.1%
2
65.9%
Q1 - 11:24WASEvans STEAL (1 STL)0
34.4%
0
65.6%
Q1 - 11:44WASStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
34.9%
0
65.1%
Q1 - 11:46ORLMISS Lewis 17' Jump Shot0
34.9%
0
65.1%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Howard vs. Haywood: Tip to Arroyo0
35.1%
0
64.9%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventWASORL
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS
1.00 50.0%
ORL
1.04 52.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
WAS
10
16
63%
ORL
20
34
59%
Midrange
WAS
22
44
50%
ORL
9
24
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
WAS
4
6.0
16
25%
38%
ORL
12
18.0
30
40%
60%
Free Throws
WAS
7
13
54%
ORL
9
16
56%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
WAS logo Wizards
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Blatche2071%10.0 / 14
N. Young1450%7.0 / 14
D. Songaila1071%5.0 / 7
O. Pecherov1038%5.0 / 13
R. Mason Jr.1045%5.0 / 11
D. McGuire836%4.0 / 11
B. Haywood660%3.0 / 5
D. Stevenson330%1.5 / 5
A. Daniels250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Redick1864%9.0 / 14
R. Lewis1575%7.5 / 10
M. Gortat1250%6.0 / 12
H. Turkoglu1169%5.5 / 8
K. Bogans1056%5.0 / 9
M. Evans956%4.5 / 8
K. Dooling945%4.5 / 10
J. Augustine867%4.0 / 6
D. Howard660%3.0 / 5
C. Arroyo325%1.5 / 6
P. Garrity220%1.0 / 5
A. Foyle0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

WAS
72
+11
-12
83
ORL
78
+20
-7
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS
1.00 50.0%
ORL
1.04 52.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.3
111.2
WAS 98.8
ORL 121.2 +22.4
Pace
90.4
93.5
WAS 83.2
ORL 85.8 +2.5
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.1
WAS 17.3
ORL 16.8 −0.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.9%
53.7%
WAS 50.0%
ORL 53.4% +3.4%
TO %
13.8%
14.7%
WAS 13.7%
ORL 7.8% −5.9%
ORB %
28.9%
23.4%
WAS 28.9%
ORL 34.8% +5.9%
FTrt
29.7
35.5
WAS 17.1
ORL 18.2 +1.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.8%
55.8%
WAS 55.6%
ORL 70.7% +15.1%
STL %
8.4%
6.8%
WAS 4.8%
ORL 7.1% +2.3%
BLK %
8.2%
6.2%
WAS 1.7%
ORL 3.3% +1.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.1%
55.9%
WAS 50.0%
ORL 52.0% +2.0%
Rim FG%
59.0%
61.5%
WAS 62.5% +3.7%
ORL 58.8%
Mid FG%
38.4%
40.8%
WAS 50.0% +12.5%
ORL 37.5%
3P %
35.6%
38.6%
WAS 25.0%
ORL 40.0% +15.0%
FT %
78.2%
72.1%
WAS 53.8%
ORL 56.3% +2.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.3%
35.5%
WAS 21.1%
ORL 38.6% +17.6%
Mid Att. %
42.6%
32.3%
WAS 57.9%
ORL 27.3% −30.6%
3P Att. %
24.1%
32.2%
WAS 21.1%
ORL 34.1% +13.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.29 and 2.29.
Game TotalsWASORL
Possessions8485
Possession Minutes24.223.8
Points83103
Rebounds4143
Assists2029
Steals46
Blocks12
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)7 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (0)16 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (2)27 (4)
Field Goals36-7641-88
At-the-Rim FG10-1620-34
Midrange FG22-449-24
2-Point FG32-6029-58
3-Point FG4-1612-30
Free Throws7-139-16
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 235 · 22
37.2
8
36%
5
4
0
0
2
3
1
4
0-2
0%
4-7
57%
0-3
0%
G · 6'4" 205 · 33
20.0
2
50%
1
4
1
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 248 · 30
19.7
10
71%
4
1
0
0
2
2
0
4
0-0
-
5-7
71%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 218 · 27
13.3
3
30%
2
2
1
0
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-3
33%
C · 7'0" 263 · 28
8.7
6
60%
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 22
39.0
10
38%
10
3
1
0
1
1
5
5
2-4
50%
1-7
14%
2-4
50%
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 22
34.9
20
71%
11
4
0
1
3
4
4
7
2-3
67%
9-13
69%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 23
34.7
14
50%
0
1
0
0
1
2
0
0
2-2
100%
6-12
50%
0-1
0%
G · 6'5" 205 · 28
32.5
10
45%
4
1
1
0
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
3-6
50%
1-4
25%
F · 6'9" 235 · 32
F · 6'7" 228 · 28
G · 6'4" 215 · 26
#36 · C · 6'10" 260 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
83
50%
41
20
4
1
12
0
11
30
7-13
54%
32-60
53%
4-16
25%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.