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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 16, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Hawks62%9799
29Heat38%93113
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 21.8
37.9
33.1
11
43%
5
1
2
1
1
2
0
5
1-2
50%
5-12
5-11
42%
48%
0-0
-
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 22.4
31.7
31.3
20
59%
7
2
2
1
1
2
0
7
6-9
67%
7-12
5-11
58%
49%
0-1
0%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 21.9
31.6
29.4
8
45%
12
2
0
1
2
1
5
7
2-2
100%
3-8
5-9
38%
52%
0-0
-
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 26.8
28.8
32.4
5
42%
2
5
2
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
5-10
33%
49%
1-3
33%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 29.9
27.5
26.5
17
51%
4
5
0
1
0
0
0
4
4-4
100%
5-11
3-6
45%
46%
1-4
25%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 24.2
28.4
16.9
14
92%
2
1
0
1
0
3
1
1
4-6
67%
5-5
2-4
100%
47%
0-0
-
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 24.8
27.8
31.9
10
54%
6
3
1
1
1
1
2
4
4-5
80%
3-7
4-7
43%
57%
0-0
-
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.5
18.8
17.1
14
61%
5
0
0
0
0
2
1
4
1-1
100%
5-8
2-4
63%
45%
1-3
33%
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 23.2
2.8
10.6
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
46%
0-0
-
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.8
2.4
4.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Jeremy Richardson
G-F · 6'7" 195 · 24.1
2.4
3.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Mario West
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.8
3.2
0
0-1
48%
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 29.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.0
37.0
28.7
16
52%
9
4
0
1
0
2
0
9
0-1
0%
5-8
2-5
63%
45%
2-7
29%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 28.6
36.7
36.9
15
66%
7
9
1
1
0
1
0
7
3-3
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
48%
2-5
40%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 32.4
32.3
26.9
16
67%
6
2
2
1
1
1
4
2
0-0
-
2-6
4-8
33%
51%
4-6
67%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.6
26.2
33.8
11
51%
1
6
1
1
0
0
0
1
4-4
100%
2-5
3-7
40%
45%
1-4
25%
Stephane Lasme
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.3
21.3
19.5
12
71%
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-1
0%
6-8
2-5
75%
48%
0-0
-
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26.7
23.5
22.6
13
45%
6
4
1
1
0
0
2
4
1-1
100%
6-11
4-9
55%
46%
0-3
0%
Kasib Powell
F · 6'7" 215 · 27.1
22.2
27.7
6
33%
1
0
0
1
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
47%
0-4
0%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 32.4
21.8
12.5
17
94%
1
5
2
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
5-8
63%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 25.7
14.0
20.1
3
31%
2
0
0
0
3
0
1
1
1-2
50%
1-4
1-3
25%
50%
0-0
-
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.2
4.9
4.9
4
60%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
2-3
67%
1-2
1-1
50%
52%
0-0
-
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 26.4
6.7
0
1-1
49%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 22.4
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.9
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 26.2
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 29.9
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 38.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.