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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 16, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Grizzlies11%97111
6Nuggets89%113120
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 22.1
38.1
25.5
22
48%
2
2
1
1
1
2
0
2
3-4
75%
5-14
3-7
36%
47%
3-7
43%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.7
27.3
31.3
12
37%
7
6
0
1
2
5
1
6
3-3
100%
3-10
6-12
30%
48%
1-5
20%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 25.8
26.4
36.0
19
64%
5
1
0
1
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
7-12
6-12
58%
50%
1-2
50%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 20.5
23.1
31.5
12
55%
3
6
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-7
4-9
43%
44%
2-4
50%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.4
15.1
16.3
0
0%
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-0
-
Juan Carlos Navarro
· 6'3" 170 · 27.8
34.8
26.8
16
40%
4
7
2
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
1-5
2-5
20%
45%
4-14
29%
Andre Brown
F · 6'9" 245 · 26.9
32.9
19.7
19
62%
13
1
1
0
1
1
2
11
3-3
100%
8-14
3-5
57%
47%
0-0
-
Casey Jacobsen
G · 6'6" 215 · 27.1
21.5
15.0
8
58%
5
7
0
0
0
0
2
3
0-2
0%
4-5
1-1
80%
46%
0-1
0%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.0
20.8
16.6
3
50%
5
1
0
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
1-3
33%
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 20.3
8.4
0
1-3
44%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 22.8
8.1
0
1-3
44%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 26.1
7.1
0
1-2
50%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28.2
Aaron McKie
G · 6'5" 209 · 35.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 30.3
23.5
26.9
11
56%
10
5
2
1
2
3
0
10
4-4
100%
2-6
5-8
33%
55%
1-2
50%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 34.1
23.4
31.7
4
40%
8
1
1
1
4
0
1
7
0-0
-
2-5
3-7
40%
49%
0-0
-
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.9
21.3
30.9
17
74%
6
4
1
1
0
4
1
5
7-8
88%
2-4
8-14
50%
54%
2-4
50%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 32.9
19.6
38.7
21
77%
2
2
0
2
0
0
0
2
4-6
67%
7-10
6-13
70%
50%
1-1
100%
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.8
13.4
24.9
4
100%
2
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
51%
0-0
-
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 33.7
34.9
4.4
11
31%
3
5
2
0
0
2
0
3
0-2
0%
4-10
0-1
40%
48%
1-7
14%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 23.3
30.2
22.9
12
47%
5
2
0
1
0
1
0
5
6-6
100%
3-7
3-5
43%
57%
0-3
0%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.8
21.8
22.7
12
64%
4
1
0
1
2
1
0
4
2-3
67%
5-6
2-3
83%
56%
0-2
0%
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 25.6
17.6
6.1
4
33%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
0-1
40%
52%
0-1
0%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 22.6
15.2
22.7
13
66%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
3-3
3-5
100%
55%
2-6
33%
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 26.5
9.5
4.3
6
60%
6
0
0
0
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
3-5
1-1
60%
60%
0-0
-
Bobby Jones
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.3
9.5
4.3
5
39%
4
0
0
0
0
0
3
1
1-1
100%
2-6
0-1
33%
53%
0-0
-
Taurean Green
G · 6'0" 177 · 21.4
Nene Hilario
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 25.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.