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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 16, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Clippers18%8775
13Rockets82%9993
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 29.1
40.8
33.6
18
51%
12
1
0
1
3
2
3
9
8-8
100%
5-14
6-13
36%
48%
0-0
-
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 32.6
37.1
33.2
6
38%
4
1
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-8
4-9
38%
43%
0-0
-
Smush Parker
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.9
29.1
25.6
9
56%
2
2
1
1
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
45%
1-3
33%
Al Thornton
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.4
28.6
35.4
2
13%
5
2
0
1
1
2
0
5
0-0
-
1-7
5-12
14%
43%
0-1
0%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.2
19.9
18.1
10
56%
10
1
0
0
0
0
7
3
0-0
-
5-9
2-4
56%
44%
0-0
-
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 28.4
35.9
23.5
22
54%
6
2
1
1
0
4
0
6
4-5
80%
6-15
3-7
40%
45%
2-3
67%
Nick Fazekas
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.8
18.8
15.1
4
41%
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
3
2-2
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 32.4
16.4
17.9
2
33%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-4
33%
40%
0-0
-
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 27.0
8.4
12.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
40%
0-0
-
Dan Dickau
G · 6'0" 180 · 29.6
2.5
11.5
2
114%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-0
-
Marcus Williams
G · 6'7" 207 · 21.4
2.5
4.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
39%
0-0
-
Sam Cassell
G · 6'3" 185 · 38.4
21.1
0
3-7
43%
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 31.1
13.6
0
1-3
44%
Ruben Patterson
F · 6'5" 223 · 32.7
12.3
1
2-4
50%
Aaron Williams
C-F · 6'9" 235 · 36.5
3.7
0
0-1
46%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 22.6
Paul Davis
C · 6'11" 270 · 23.7
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 29.6
33.4
29.1
8
40%
6
1
0
1
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
53%
2-6
33%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 28.9
32.8
36.0
7
27%
2
11
1
1
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
2-6
8-16
33%
49%
0-5
0%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 28.0
31.6
32.2
22
70%
10
4
0
1
0
1
4
6
2-4
50%
10-14
6-10
71%
55%
0-0
-
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 35.1
30.5
20.4
15
54%
5
3
1
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
46%
3-8
38%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 41.8
19.9
19.1
8
68%
9
1
1
0
3
0
2
7
2-2
100%
3-5
1-3
60%
55%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 24.8
22.5
21.8
6
44%
5
2
3
1
0
0
1
4
0-2
0%
3-6
2-3
50%
57%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 23.3
17.5
15.9
8
45%
1
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
3-6
2-3
50%
50%
0-2
0%
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.4
15.2
18.6
2
13%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-6
2-4
17%
52%
0-2
0%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.8
15.1
12.8
9
64%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
54%
3-5
60%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 24.6
10.3
17.3
4
50%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
59%
0-0
-
Mike Harris
F · 6'6" 242 · 24.8
10.1
11.4
4
40%
4
1
0
0
0
1
4
0
0-0
-
2-5
2-3
40%
51%
0-0
-
Loren Woods
C · 7'2" 260 · 29.8
1.1
3.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 24.9
25.1
1
3-6
53%
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 31.5
16.5
1
3-5
50%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 32.8
13.2
0
2-3
48%
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 27.6
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 31.1
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.