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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 16, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Nets18%8894
7Celtics82%100105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 27.8
43.5
37.5
24
72%
2
6
1
1
0
2
0
2
3-4
75%
9-12
6-12
75%
45%
1-3
33%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.7
30.7
20.3
13
48%
12
2
1
0
0
3
1
11
5-6
83%
4-11
3-7
36%
45%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.1
24.0
30.0
8
59%
0
7
1
1
0
3
0
0
3-4
75%
1-3
3-7
33%
47%
1-2
50%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 31.2
23.9
38.2
9
90%
0
3
0
1
0
4
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
5-12
0%
44%
3-4
75%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 26.2
18.6
23.5
6
50%
7
1
1
1
2
0
1
6
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
46%
0-0
-
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.4
24.0
12.1
4
34%
6
5
1
0
0
0
1
5
1-2
50%
0-2
1-2
0%
39%
1-3
33%
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 24.2
18.3
10.0
9
64%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
36%
1-2
50%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 28.4
18.2
19.4
8
71%
4
0
2
0
1
0
0
4
6-6
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
45%
0-0
-
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21.6
16.5
4.4
2
21%
3
1
0
0
0
2
1
2
2-4
50%
0-3
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 27.8
15.9
23.2
11
51%
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
4-4
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
42%
1-4
25%
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 29.1
6.4
9.5
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 39.8
9.5
0
0-1
42%
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 32.5
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 23.4
19.9
23.9
3
52%
1
3
0
0
1
2
0
1
1-2
50%
1-2
3-4
50%
61%
0-0
-
Sam Cassell
G · 6'3" 185 · 38.4
18.9
22.7
9
64%
0
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-6
4-8
50%
49%
1-1
100%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 32.7
17.5
18.7
3
38%
3
1
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
52%
1-2
50%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 30.5
17.0
26.5
7
60%
2
0
3
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
52%
1-2
50%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 31.9
13.9
17.3
8
50%
4
1
2
1
3
0
0
4
0-0
-
4-8
4-8
50%
55%
0-0
-
Leon Powe
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.2
34.1
18.4
27
62%
11
1
0
0
0
2
5
6
9-13
69%
9-16
3-6
56%
57%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 26.3
32.5
19.0
18
72%
5
3
1
1
1
1
0
5
8-8
100%
5-8
3-5
63%
52%
0-1
0%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.1
29.1
11.1
7
44%
6
3
0
0
0
1
2
4
1-2
50%
0-3
0-1
0%
43%
2-4
50%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 22.3
17.8
22.7
8
39%
5
1
0
1
0
3
1
4
2-3
67%
3-9
3-6
33%
54%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 29.9
16.5
23.4
10
56%
2
1
4
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
47%
2-4
50%
Gabe Pruitt
G · 6'4" 170 · 22.0
12.6
6.2
5
42%
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
51%
1-1
100%
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 38.5
10.3
12.2
0
0%
4
1
0
0
1
0
3
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
46%
0-0
-
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 22.1
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 31.3
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 33.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.