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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 16, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30SuperSonics15%98126
12Warriors85%112121
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 19.5
42.6
35.7
42
76%
13
6
1
1
2
5
3
10
5-6
83%
17-23
8-17
74%
46%
1-2
50%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.6
38.6
34.1
27
74%
10
2
2
1
0
3
2
8
11-14
79%
8-12
5-12
67%
45%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 28.8
37.0
36.0
17
54%
3
12
0
1
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
5-13
6-13
38%
46%
2-2
100%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 27.5
32.5
33.3
16
62%
13
0
1
1
2
1
6
7
0-0
-
8-13
5-10
62%
50%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 22.2
23.5
28.2
8
44%
5
3
3
1
1
0
0
5
0-0
-
4-9
4-10
44%
46%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 28.3
25.6
22.9
10
56%
3
5
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
3-8
67%
44%
2-6
33%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 32.1
23.8
13.6
4
29%
7
2
0
0
0
0
0
7
0-0
-
2-7
2-4
29%
45%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.2
16.4
20.0
2
25%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
44%
0-0
-
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.6
7.5
0
2-3
53%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 33.8
4.9
0
1-1
45%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 34.9
4.4
0
0-1
47%
Ronald Dupree
F · 6'7" 209 · 27.2
4.4
0
1-1
44%
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.9
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 22.4
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 21.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.0
40.1
29.8
20
62%
17
0
1
1
3
2
10
7
4-7
57%
8-13
5-8
62%
63%
0-0
-
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 29.0
38.9
29.3
21
48%
6
7
2
2
0
4
2
4
0-0
-
3-10
5-11
30%
50%
5-12
42%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.5
34.1
40.1
24
67%
6
6
1
2
0
4
2
4
2-2
100%
11-17
9-17
65%
55%
0-0
-
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 30.0
26.4
33.5
11
36%
0
3
0
1
1
1
0
0
4-5
80%
2-6
4-8
33%
47%
1-7
14%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 28.2
17.4
28.1
2
20%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
3-7
33%
50%
0-2
0%
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 33.0
20.2
12.2
7
50%
6
2
1
0
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
47%
1-5
20%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 22.1
18.7
7.7
17
85%
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
49%
5-6
83%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 26.2
18.3
22.9
11
55%
3
1
0
1
2
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
53%
3-7
43%
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.3
14.8
21.9
6
44%
4
1
0
1
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
2-4
3-5
50%
51%
0-2
0%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 28.1
6.9
4.4
2
20%
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
53%
0-3
0%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.0
4.3
5.6
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Kosta Perovic
C · 7'2" 240 · 23.2
8.3
0
1-2
56%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 20.5
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 21.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.