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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 16, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Raptors54%9797
17Bulls46%95107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 27.8
21.7
21.3
5
63%
6
0
1
1
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
53%
1-2
50%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 25.1
18.3
24.6
18
87%
0
3
4
1
0
2
0
0
3-3
100%
6-8
4-9
75%
48%
1-1
100%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 24.1
15.2
35.5
8
45%
6
2
0
1
1
2
2
4
2-2
100%
3-7
7-14
43%
51%
0-1
0%
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 32.8
15.2
29.2
6
50%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
51%
0-0
-
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 31.9
15.1
32.3
2
50%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
6-12
50%
54%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.5
29.7
23.7
7
32%
0
8
3
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-9
3-5
22%
55%
1-2
50%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.2
28.3
4.9
14
55%
7
0
1
0
2
3
3
4
4-6
67%
5-10
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.5
22.8
3.6
7
35%
5
1
0
0
0
0
1
4
1-2
50%
3-9
0-1
33%
48%
0-0
-
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 22.5
20.7
20.4
13
55%
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
4-7
2-5
57%
45%
1-4
25%
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.8
19.7
4.4
1
6%
6
4
0
0
0
3
3
3
1-2
50%
0-7
1-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 25.6
19.6
21.9
10
71%
2
0
1
1
0
2
2
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
44%
2-4
50%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 27.2
13.6
18.3
6
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
49%
0-0
-
Jorge Garbajosa
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.3
Maceo Baston
F · 6'10" 230 · 31.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.7
36.0
23.1
26
75%
4
1
2
1
0
1
2
2
8-10
80%
9-12
3-7
75%
45%
0-1
0%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.4
35.0
13.9
19
56%
22
2
0
0
0
2
5
17
9-9
100%
5-13
2-4
38%
52%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 27.3
23.7
22.0
4
29%
1
6
2
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
46%
0-4
0%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.0
18.2
30.1
6
38%
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-8
6-11
38%
50%
0-0
-
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.2
16.1
20.3
2
17%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
42%
0-2
0%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 23.1
30.1
27.0
12
73%
9
3
1
1
4
0
5
4
4-5
80%
4-6
3-7
67%
49%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.0
29.1
26.9
16
69%
3
3
2
1
0
3
1
2
6-6
100%
5-8
2-5
63%
46%
0-1
0%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 25.6
24.3
23.7
8
62%
2
6
1
1
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
44%
1-2
50%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 28.4
12.0
20.3
10
63%
3
1
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
5-6
3-5
83%
48%
0-2
0%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.0
9.9
23.7
2
50%
2
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
3-6
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Demetris Nichols
F · 6'8" 216 · 23.6
4.5
3.3
2
33%
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
47%
0-2
0%
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.3
0.9
4.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-2
0%
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
JamesOn Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.3
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 22.4
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 26.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.