FinalWin Prob.pScore
1333%95
90
1167%101
105
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
101.18984.4
ATL logo ATL
120.78792.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAATL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA90
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAHeat Rebound90
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAMISS Cook 18' Fadeaway Jumper90
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:30.0ATLPachulia 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)90
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIAArroyo Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)90
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0MIARandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)87
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:50.0ATLMorris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)87
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:50.0ATLMISS Morris Tip Shot87
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:52.0ATLMISS Teague 2' Driving Layup87
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:02ATLHAWKS Rebound87
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:02ATLMISS Crawford 18' Jump Shot87
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:27MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)87
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:52ATLHorford 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (16 PTS)87
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:10MIAAnthony 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Cook 2 AST)87
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:32ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)85
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:32ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)85
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:32ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)85
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:35MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:44MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)85
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:46ATLMISS Smith 2' Driving Layup85
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:15MIAO'Neal Driving Dunk (12 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)85
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:36ATLHorford 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Smith 7 AST)83
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 3:53MIAO'Neal Putback Dunk (10 PTS)83
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 3:54MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)81
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 3:55MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 4:04ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)81
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 4:20MIAO'Neal 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)81
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 4:26MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)79
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 4:28ATLMISS Bibby 20' Jump Shot79
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 4:51ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)79
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 4:52MIAMISS Cook 29' 3PT Jump Shot79
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 5:19ATLJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Smith 6 AST)79
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 5:23ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)79
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 5:25ATLMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q4 - 5:43ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)79
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 5:44MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 5:55ATLWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Smith 5 AST)79
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q4 - 6:10MIABeasley Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T14)79
1.5%
91
98.5%
Q4 - 6:19MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
2.1%
91
97.9%
Q4 - 6:21ATLMISS Johnson 15' Fadeaway Jumper79
1.9%
91
98.1%
Q4 - 6:44MIAWade 18' Fadeaway Jumper (15 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)79
1.5%
91
98.5%
Q4 - 6:56MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)77
1.1%
91
98.9%
Q4 - 6:58ATLMISS Horford 16' Jump Shot77
1.0%
91
99.0%
Q4 - 7:22MIABeasley 2' Layup (21 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)77
1.2%
91
98.8%
Q4 - 7:38ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)75
0.9%
91
99.1%
Q4 - 7:38ATLWilliams Tip Shot (11 PTS)75
0.9%
91
99.1%
Q4 - 7:40ATLMISS Smith 2' Driving Layup75
1.4%
89
98.6%
Q4 - 8:00MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)75
1.1%
89
98.9%
Q4 - 8:00MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)74
1.1%
89
98.9%
Q4 - 8:14ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)73
1.2%
89
98.8%
Q4 - 8:14ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)73
1.3%
88
98.7%
Q4 - 8:14ATLHAWKS Rebound73
1.6%
87
98.4%
Q4 - 8:14MIAMISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot73
1.7%
87
98.3%
Q4 - 8:30ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)73
2.0%
87
98.0%
Q4 - 8:30ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)73
2.1%
86
97.9%
Q4 - 8:33MIASmith STEAL (2 STL)73
2.6%
85
97.4%
Q4 - 8:54MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)73
3.2%
85
96.8%
Q4 - 8:55ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 273
3.1%
85
96.9%
Q4 - 8:55ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 273
2.7%
85
97.3%
Q4 - 9:08MIABeasley Foul Turnover (P3.T12)73
3.2%
85
96.8%
Q4 - 9:24ATLCrawford Foul Turnover (P2.T7)73
4.0%
85
96.0%
Q4 - 9:30ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
3.2%
85
96.8%
Q4 - 9:31MIAMISS Anthony Putback Layup73
3.4%
85
96.6%
Q4 - 9:33MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)73
3.9%
85
96.1%
Q4 - 9:34MIAMISS Arroyo 17' Jump Shot73
3.4%
85
96.6%
Q4 - 9:48ATLWilliams Foul Turnover (P1.T6)73
3.9%
85
96.1%
Q4 - 10:08MIASmith STEAL (1 STL)73
3.6%
85
96.4%
Q4 - 10:17ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)73
4.5%
85
95.5%
Q4 - 10:17ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)73
4.7%
84
95.3%
Q4 - 10:22ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
5.6%
83
94.4%
Q4 - 10:24MIAMISS Arroyo 18' Fadeaway Jumper73
5.9%
83
94.1%
Q4 - 10:48ATLWilliams 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS)73
6.9%
83
93.1%
Q4 - 10:56ATLHAWKS Rebound73
8.4%
81
91.6%
Q4 - 10:56ATLMISS Crawford 2' Driving Layup73
9.8%
81
90.2%
Q4 - 11:09MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)73
9.2%
81
90.8%
Q4 - 11:09MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 272
8.7%
81
91.3%
Q4 - 11:30ATLSmith Dunk (4 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)72
9.1%
81
90.9%
Q4 - 11:50MIAAnthony Foul Turnover (P1.T10)72
11.1%
79
88.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA72
13.3%
79
86.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound72
13.3%
79
86.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
11.7%
79
88.3%
Q3 - 0:05.0ATLCrawford Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)72
13.9%
79
86.1%
Q3 - 0:05.0ATLCrawford Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)72
14.2%
78
85.8%
Q3 - 0:06.0MIAArroyo 2' Running Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)72
16.8%
77
83.2%
Q3 - 0:09.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)70
13.9%
77
86.1%
Q3 - 0:13.0ATLMISS Johnson 4' Jump Shot70
13.3%
77
86.7%
Q3 - 0:28.0ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
11.8%
77
88.2%
Q3 - 0:32.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 270
12.1%
77
87.9%
Q3 - 0:32.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)70
13.7%
77
86.3%
Q3 - 0:39.0MIARandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)69
11.6%
77
88.4%
Q3 - 0:41.0ATLMISS Crawford Free Throw 1 of 169
11.4%
77
88.6%
Q3 - 0:51.0MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)69
14.1%
75
85.9%
Q3 - 0:56.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)66
9.7%
75
90.3%
Q3 - 0:58.0ATLMISS Crawford 16' Jump Shot66
9.2%
75
90.8%
Q3 - 1:12ATLHAWKS Rebound66
8.5%
75
91.5%
Q3 - 1:14MIAMISS Chalmers 21' Jump Shot66
9.0%
75
91.0%
Q3 - 1:33ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)66
10.1%
75
89.9%
Q3 - 1:33ATLMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 266
10.3%
74
89.7%
Q3 - 1:44ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)66
10.2%
74
89.8%
Q3 - 1:45MIAMISS Randolph 2' Layup66
10.7%
74
89.3%
Q3 - 2:06ATLSmith Foul Turnover (P3.T5)66
12.5%
74
87.5%
Q3 - 2:11MIACrawford STEAL (2 STL)66
10.5%
74
89.5%
Q3 - 2:25MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)66
12.4%
74
87.6%
Q3 - 2:26ATLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
11.8%
74
88.2%
Q3 - 2:42ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)66
10.5%
74
89.5%
Q3 - 2:44MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot66
11.1%
74
88.9%
Q3 - 3:05ATLJohnson 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (27 PTS)66
12.9%
74
87.1%
Q3 - 3:23MIACook 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)66
14.9%
72
85.1%
Q3 - 3:45ATLJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)63
11.0%
72
89.0%
Q3 - 3:49ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)63
14.9%
69
85.1%
Q3 - 3:50ATLMISS Smith 3' Driving Layup63
16.7%
69
83.3%
Q3 - 4:07MIAWade 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)63
15.1%
69
84.9%
Q3 - 4:26MIACook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
11.5%
69
88.5%
Q3 - 4:27ATLMISS Crawford Free Throw 2 of 260
11.2%
69
88.8%
Q3 - 4:27ATLCrawford Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)60
10.0%
69
90.0%
Q3 - 4:37ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)60
11.2%
68
88.8%
Q3 - 4:38MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
11.8%
68
88.2%
Q3 - 4:50MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
13.3%
68
86.7%
Q3 - 4:51ATLMISS Crawford 3PT Jump Shot60
12.6%
68
87.4%
Q3 - 5:13ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)60
11.5%
68
88.5%
Q3 - 5:14MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot60
12.1%
68
87.9%
Q3 - 5:29ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)60
13.6%
68
86.4%
Q3 - 5:29ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)60
14.0%
67
86.0%
Q3 - 5:40MIABeasley 2' Driving Layup (17 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)60
15.4%
66
84.6%
Q3 - 5:58ATLHorford 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)58
13.5%
66
86.5%
Q3 - 6:13MIAO'Neal 13' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)58
15.7%
64
84.3%
Q3 - 6:42MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
13.9%
64
86.1%
Q3 - 6:43ATLMISS Johnson 2' Layup56
13.2%
64
86.8%
Q3 - 6:47ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)56
11.8%
64
88.2%
Q3 - 6:50MIAHorford BLOCK (1 BLK)56
12.4%
64
87.6%
Q3 - 7:13ATLJohnson 1' Reverse Layup (22 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)56
14.2%
64
85.8%
Q3 - 7:17ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)56
16.0%
62
84.0%
Q3 - 7:18MIAMISS Wade 2' Running Layup56
16.7%
62
83.3%
Q3 - 7:24MIACook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
18.4%
62
81.6%
Q3 - 7:27ATLMISS Williams 2' Layup56
17.7%
62
82.3%
Q3 - 7:45MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)56
16.0%
62
84.0%
Q3 - 7:45MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)55
15.6%
62
84.4%
Q3 - 8:01MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)54
14.4%
62
85.6%
Q3 - 8:02ATLMISS Horford 17' Jump Shot54
13.8%
62
86.2%
Q3 - 8:18MIACook Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)54
12.5%
62
87.5%
Q3 - 8:26MIAWade 3' Driving Layup (6 PTS)53
10.9%
62
89.1%
Q3 - 8:31MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
9.6%
62
90.4%
Q3 - 8:33ATLMISS Smith 3' Driving Layup51
9.2%
62
90.8%
Q3 - 8:58MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)51
8.3%
62
91.7%
Q3 - 9:07MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)48
6.5%
62
93.5%
Q3 - 9:09ATLMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot48
6.2%
62
93.8%
Q3 - 9:25MIABeasley Foul Turnover (P2.T8)48
5.6%
62
94.4%
Q3 - 9:42ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)48
6.5%
62
93.5%
Q3 - 9:42ATLJohnson Putback Dunk (20 PTS)48
6.5%
62
93.5%
Q3 - 9:46ATLMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot48
8.2%
60
91.8%
Q3 - 10:10ATLHAWKS Rebound48
7.8%
60
92.2%
Q3 - 10:10MIAMISS Beasley Putback Layup48
8.1%
60
91.9%
Q3 - 10:12MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)48
8.9%
60
91.1%
Q3 - 10:13MIAMISS Beasley 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
8.1%
60
91.9%
Q3 - 10:26MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
8.9%
60
91.1%
Q3 - 10:27ATLMISS Smith 4' Driving Jump Shot48
8.5%
60
91.5%
Q3 - 10:55MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)48
7.7%
60
92.3%
Q3 - 11:02MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)45
6.3%
60
93.7%
Q3 - 11:03ATLMISS Bibby 19' Jump Shot45
6.0%
60
94.0%
Q3 - 11:20MIAO'Neal 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)45
5.4%
60
94.6%
Q3 - 11:41MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)43
4.8%
60
95.2%
Q3 - 11:43ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
4.6%
60
95.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL43
4.2%
60
95.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLHAWKS Rebound43
4.2%
60
95.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Smith 27' 3PT Jump Shot43
4.6%
60
95.4%
Q2 - 0:04.0MIAArroyo 16' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)43
4.6%
60
95.4%
Q2 - 0:14.0ATLBibby 2' Running Layup (9 PTS) (Crawford 3 AST)41
3.9%
60
96.1%
Q2 - 0:17.0ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
4.6%
58
95.4%
Q2 - 0:19.0MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
4.7%
58
95.3%
Q2 - 0:31.0ATLCrawford 7' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)41
5.1%
58
94.9%
Q2 - 0:39.0MIAO'Neal Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)41
5.9%
56
94.1%
Q2 - 0:47.0ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)39
5.1%
56
94.9%
Q2 - 0:55.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)39
6.7%
53
93.3%
Q2 - 0:56.0ATLMISS Crawford 19' Jump Shot39
7.2%
53
92.8%
Q2 - 1:07ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)39
7.0%
53
93.0%
Q2 - 1:08MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot39
7.1%
53
92.9%
Q2 - 1:19MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
7.6%
53
92.4%
Q2 - 1:21ATLMISS Bibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot39
7.4%
53
92.6%
Q2 - 1:25ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)39
6.9%
53
93.1%
Q2 - 1:27ATLMISS Smith 2' Layup39
7.4%
53
92.6%
Q2 - 1:41ATLHAWKS Rebound39
6.9%
53
93.1%
Q2 - 1:42MIAMISS Beasley 17' Jump Shot39
7.1%
53
92.9%
Q2 - 1:57ATLBibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)39
7.6%
53
92.4%
Q2 - 1:57ATLBibby Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)39
7.8%
52
92.2%
Q2 - 2:06ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)39
8.9%
51
91.1%
Q2 - 2:07ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
9.7%
51
90.3%
Q2 - 2:11ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
8.9%
51
91.1%
Q2 - 2:13MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
9.2%
51
90.8%
Q2 - 2:29ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)39
10.0%
51
90.0%
Q2 - 2:29ATLHorford Putback Dunk (6 PTS)39
10.0%
51
90.0%
Q2 - 2:31ATLMISS Smith 1' Running Layup39
12.2%
49
87.8%
Q2 - 2:35MIASmith STEAL (1 STL)39
11.2%
49
88.8%
Q2 - 2:46ATLSmith Dunk (11 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)39
12.6%
49
87.4%
Q2 - 2:50MIAJohnson STEAL (1 STL)39
14.0%
47
86.0%
Q2 - 3:06ATLSmith 3' Running Layup (9 PTS)39
16.0%
47
84.0%
Q2 - 3:10ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)39
17.4%
45
82.6%
Q2 - 3:11MIASmith BLOCK (2 BLK)39
18.1%
45
81.9%
Q2 - 3:12MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)39
19.7%
45
80.3%
Q2 - 3:14MIAMISS Beasley 2' Driving Layup39
18.1%
45
81.9%
Q2 - 3:30ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)39
19.7%
45
80.3%
Q2 - 3:41MIAChalmers 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)39
17.4%
45
82.6%
Q2 - 3:55ATLJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Crawford 2 AST)37
16.0%
45
84.0%
Q2 - 4:14MIABeasley Dunk (13 PTS)37
19.4%
42
80.6%
Q2 - 4:39ATLJohnson 5' Running Jump Shot (15 PTS)35
17.8%
42
82.2%
Q2 - 5:10ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
19.8%
40
80.2%
Q2 - 5:12MIAMISS Arroyo 19' Jump Shot35
20.3%
40
79.7%
Q2 - 5:24MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)35
21.7%
40
78.3%
Q2 - 5:26ATLMISS Horford 17' Jump Shot35
21.1%
40
78.9%
Q2 - 5:37ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)35
19.8%
40
80.2%
Q2 - 5:38MIAMISS O'Neal 18' Jump Shot35
20.3%
40
79.7%
Q2 - 5:56ATLSmith Alley Oop Dunk (7 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)35
21.7%
40
78.3%
Q2 - 6:00MIACrawford STEAL (1 STL)35
23.8%
38
76.2%
Q2 - 6:16ATLSmith 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)35
26.3%
38
73.7%
Q2 - 6:27ATLJohnson Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)35
28.2%
36
71.8%
Q2 - 6:40ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)35
30.6%
35
69.4%
Q2 - 6:41MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Shot35
31.5%
35
68.5%
Q2 - 7:02ATLJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)35
33.0%
35
67.0%
Q2 - 7:17MIARandolph Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)35
38.2%
32
61.8%
Q2 - 7:33ATLCrawford Foul Turnover (P1.T3)35
41.0%
32
59.0%
Q2 - 7:47MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)35
38.2%
32
61.8%
Q2 - 7:50MIACook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
33.1%
32
66.9%
Q2 - 7:53MIASmith BLOCK (1 BLK)32
31.3%
32
68.7%
Q2 - 8:04MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
32.8%
32
67.2%
Q2 - 8:05ATLMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot32
32.0%
32
68.0%
Q2 - 8:12ATLHAWKS Rebound32
30.3%
32
69.7%
Q2 - 8:13ATLMISS Williams 2' Driving Layup32
32.0%
32
68.0%
Q2 - 8:33MIAArroyo 14' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)32
30.4%
32
69.6%
Q2 - 8:39ATLPachulia Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)30
28.1%
32
71.9%
Q2 - 8:40ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
25.9%
32
74.1%
Q2 - 8:42MIAWilliams BLOCK (1 BLK)30
26.6%
32
73.4%
Q2 - 8:47MIAHeat Rebound30
28.1%
32
71.9%
Q2 - 8:47MIAPachulia BLOCK (1 BLK)30
26.6%
32
73.4%
Q2 - 8:59MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
28.1%
32
71.9%
Q2 - 9:00ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
25.9%
32
74.1%
Q2 - 9:00ATLMISS Evans Tip Shot30
27.4%
32
72.6%
Q2 - 9:02ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
25.7%
32
74.3%
Q2 - 9:02ATLMISS Pachulia Tip Shot30
27.2%
32
72.8%
Q2 - 9:04ATLMISS Smith 12' Jump Shot30
27.2%
32
72.8%
Q2 - 9:24MIARandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
25.7%
32
74.3%
Q2 - 9:24MIARandolph Tip Shot (2 PTS)30
25.7%
32
74.3%
Q2 - 9:25MIAMISS Anthony 1' Layup28
22.5%
32
77.5%
Q2 - 9:48ATLSmith 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Crawford 1 AST)28
23.9%
32
76.1%
Q2 - 10:08MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)28
25.8%
30
74.2%
Q2 - 10:15MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
22.2%
30
77.8%
Q2 - 10:17ATLMISS Williams 15' Jump Shot25
21.6%
30
78.4%
Q2 - 10:32MIACook Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T3)25
20.3%
30
79.7%
Q2 - 10:47ATLWilliams 18' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)25
22.2%
30
77.8%
Q2 - 11:14MIACook 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)25
24.0%
28
76.0%
Q2 - 11:31ATLWilliams 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Evans 2 AST)23
22.3%
28
77.7%
Q2 - 11:43ATLHAWKS Rebound23
24.0%
26
76.0%
Q2 - 11:43ATLMISS Williams Putback Layup23
25.4%
26
74.6%
Q2 - 11:44ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)23
24.0%
26
76.0%
Q2 - 11:45ATLMISS Crawford 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
25.4%
26
74.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA23
24.0%
26
76.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
26.0%
26
74.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Johnson 28' 3PT Jump Shot23
25.4%
26
74.6%
Q1 - 0:06.0MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
24.2%
26
75.8%
Q1 - 0:06.0MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
23.7%
26
76.3%
Q1 - 0:27.0MIAHeat Rebound21
22.1%
26
77.9%
Q1 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
21.2%
26
78.8%
Q1 - 0:33.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
22.1%
26
77.9%
Q1 - 0:34.0ATLMISS Crawford 6' Driving Jump Shot21
21.7%
26
78.3%
Q1 - 0:49.0MIAWade Driving Dunk (4 PTS)21
20.8%
26
79.2%
Q1 - 1:03ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)19
19.1%
26
80.9%
Q1 - 1:15ATLHAWKS Rebound19
22.7%
23
77.3%
Q1 - 1:17MIAMISS Beasley 5' Jump Shot19
23.1%
23
76.9%
Q1 - 1:31MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
23.9%
23
76.1%
Q1 - 1:32MIAMISS Beasley 18' Jump Shot19
23.1%
23
76.9%
Q1 - 1:56ATLPachulia 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)19
23.9%
23
76.1%
Q1 - 2:14MIAWade 16' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)19
26.3%
21
73.7%
Q1 - 2:27MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
24.2%
21
75.8%
Q1 - 2:29ATLMISS Johnson 16' Turnaround Jump Shot17
23.8%
21
76.2%
Q1 - 2:45ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
22.8%
21
77.2%
Q1 - 2:47MIAMISS Wade 17' Fadeaway Jumper17
23.2%
21
76.8%
Q1 - 3:07ATLCrawford 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)17
24.3%
21
75.7%
Q1 - 3:12ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
27.8%
18
72.2%
Q1 - 3:13MIAMISS Wade 3' Driving Layup17
28.4%
18
71.6%
Q1 - 3:25ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)17
29.7%
18
70.3%
Q1 - 3:25ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)17
30.1%
17
69.9%
Q1 - 3:39ATLHAWKS Rebound17
31.7%
16
68.3%
Q1 - 3:40ATLMISS Bibby 21' Jump Shot17
33.1%
16
66.9%
Q1 - 3:56ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)17
31.7%
16
68.3%
Q1 - 3:58MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 2 of 217
32.0%
16
68.0%
Q1 - 3:58MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)17
33.3%
16
66.7%
Q1 - 4:11ATLHorford 16' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)16
31.3%
16
68.7%
Q1 - 4:40MIABeasley Dunk (10 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)16
33.2%
14
66.8%
Q1 - 4:54ATLSmith 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)14
31.3%
14
68.7%
Q1 - 5:01ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)14
29.3%
14
70.7%
Q1 - 5:05MIAMISS O'Neal Putback Layup14
29.9%
14
70.1%
Q1 - 5:07MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
31.3%
14
68.7%
Q1 - 5:08MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot14
29.9%
14
70.1%
Q1 - 5:13MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
31.3%
14
68.7%
Q1 - 5:16ATLMISS Williams 7' Jump Shot14
30.7%
14
69.3%
Q1 - 5:31MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)14
29.3%
14
70.7%
Q1 - 5:43MIAHeat Rebound14
31.3%
14
68.7%
Q1 - 5:45ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 214
31.0%
14
69.0%
Q1 - 5:45ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 214
30.0%
14
70.0%
Q1 - 6:03MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)14
29.0%
14
71.0%
Q1 - 6:21ATLJohnson 4' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)11
25.7%
14
74.3%
Q1 - 6:29ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)11
27.3%
12
72.7%
Q1 - 6:30ATLMISS Bibby 27' 3PT Jump Shot11
28.6%
12
71.4%
Q1 - 6:36ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
27.3%
12
72.7%
Q1 - 6:37MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
27.9%
12
72.1%
Q1 - 6:53ATLBibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)11
29.1%
12
70.9%
Q1 - 7:04ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
32.3%
9
67.7%
Q1 - 7:06MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot11
32.9%
9
67.1%
Q1 - 7:12MIAHeat Rebound11
34.3%
9
65.7%
Q1 - 7:12MIASmith BLOCK (1 BLK)11
32.9%
9
67.1%
Q1 - 7:33ATLJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)11
34.3%
9
65.7%
Q1 - 7:46MIARichardson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)11
38.0%
6
62.0%
Q1 - 7:55MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
34.3%
6
65.7%
Q1 - 7:59ATLMISS Smith 6' Running Hook Shot8
33.7%
6
66.3%
Q1 - 8:18MIABeasley 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)8
32.2%
6
67.8%
Q1 - 8:42ATLJohnson 4' Driving Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
30.4%
6
69.6%
Q1 - 8:46ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
32.2%
4
67.8%
Q1 - 8:49ATLMISS Horford 7' Hook Shot6
33.4%
4
66.6%
Q1 - 9:04MIABeasley Putback Layup (6 PTS)6
32.2%
4
67.8%
Q1 - 9:05MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
30.4%
4
69.6%
Q1 - 9:07MIAMISS O'Neal 15' Jump Shot4
29.3%
4
70.7%
Q1 - 9:31ATLBibby 2' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)4
30.4%
4
69.6%
Q1 - 9:35MIABibby STEAL (1 STL)4
32.2%
2
67.8%
Q1 - 9:44MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
33.9%
2
66.1%
Q1 - 9:46ATLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
33.3%
2
66.7%
Q1 - 9:52ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
32.2%
2
67.8%
Q1 - 9:53MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot4
32.7%
2
67.3%
Q1 - 10:17ATLHorford 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)4
33.5%
2
66.5%
Q1 - 10:39MIABeasley 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)4
35.1%
0
64.9%
Q1 - 10:45MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
33.6%
0
66.4%
Q1 - 10:49ATLMISS Williams Putback Slam Dunk2
33.0%
0
67.0%
Q1 - 10:49ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
31.7%
0
68.3%
Q1 - 10:49ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot2
33.0%
0
67.0%
Q1 - 11:06ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
31.2%
0
68.8%
Q1 - 11:07MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 22
31.4%
0
68.6%
Q1 - 11:07MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 22
32.3%
0
67.7%
Q1 - 11:19MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
32.6%
0
67.4%
Q1 - 11:22ATLMISS Bibby 18' Fadeaway Jumper2
32.2%
0
67.8%
Q1 - 11:41MIABeasley 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)2
31.2%
0
68.8%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Smith vs. O'Neal: Tip to Chalmers0
29.8%
0
70.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.00 50.0%
ATL
1.03 51.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
14
27
52%
ATL
20
38
53%
Midrange
MIA
12
31
39%
ATL
10
31
32%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
9
13.5
21
43%
64%
ATL
8
12.0
20
40%
60%
Free Throws
MIA
11
16
69%
ATL
21
28
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Beasley2158%10.5 / 18
D. Wade1539%7.5 / 19
J. O'Neal1250%6.0 / 12
D. Cook945%4.5 / 10
C. Arroyo964%4.5 / 7
M. Chalmers850%4.0 / 8
Q. Richardson6100%3.0 / 3
J. Anthony550%2.5 / 5
J. Jones3150%1.5 / 1
S. Randolph233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Johnson3068%15.0 / 22
J. Smith1647%8.0 / 17
A. Horford1667%8.0 / 12
M. Williams1450%7.0 / 14
J. Crawford1042%5.0 / 12
M. Bibby941%4.5 / 11
Z. Pachulia660%3.0 / 5
J. Smith450%2.0 / 4
M. Evans0-0.0 / 1
J. Teague0-0.0 / 1
R. Morris0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
75
+14
-14
89
ATL
79
+21
-8
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.00 50.0%
ATL
1.03 51.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.7
112.2
MIA 101.1
ATL 120.7 +19.6
Pace
89.6
89.9
MIA 84.4
ATL 92.1 +7.7
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
16.2
MIA 17.1
ATL 15.6 +1.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.6%
50.6%
MIA 50.0% +2.8%
ATL 47.2%
TO %
13.6%
12.7%
MIA 14.8%
ATL 7.3% +7.5%
ORB %
26.0%
28.3%
MIA 24.3%
ATL 31.3% +7.0%
FTrt
29.6
28.1
MIA 20.3
ATL 31.5 +11.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.9%
56.2%
MIA 45.7%
ATL 60.5% +14.8%
STL %
8.1%
8.0%
MIA 3.4%
ATL 8.0% +4.6%
BLK %
9.4%
7.9%
MIA 11.6% +1.3%
ATL 10.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.1%
53.3%
MIA 50.0%
ATL 51.5% +1.5%
Rim FG%
62.0%
60.8%
MIA 51.9%
ATL 52.6% +0.7%
Mid FG%
40.8%
40.6%
MIA 38.7% +6.4%
ATL 32.3%
3P %
34.6%
36.0%
MIA 42.9% +2.9%
ATL 40.0%
FT %
75.2%
75.9%
MIA 68.8%
ATL 75.0% +6.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.8%
35.5%
MIA 34.2%
ATL 42.7% +8.5%
Mid Att. %
48.3%
43.1%
MIA 39.2%
ATL 34.8% +4.4%
3P Att. %
21.9%
21.4%
MIA 26.6% +4.1%
ATL 22.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAATL
Possessions8987
Possession Minutes25.322.7
Points90105
Rebounds4243
Assists1623
Steals37
Blocks86
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)8 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (5)15 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (1)28 (5)
Field Goals35-7938-89
At-the-Rim FG14-2720-38
Midrange FG12-3110-31
2-Point FG26-5830-69
3-Point FG9-218-20
Free Throws11-1621-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 28
37.5
15
39%
6
5
0
2
4
2
0
6
1-2
50%
4-13
31%
2-5
40%
F · 6'9" 235 · 21
32.7
21
58%
9
0
0
1
4
5
3
6
5-6
83%
8-14
57%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 255 · 31
30.4
12
50%
7
1
0
0
0
6
2
5
0-2
0%
6-11
55%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 24
28.9
8
50%
3
4
1
0
1
3
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
33%
2-5
40%
F · 6'6" 228 · 30
20.7
6
100%
4
1
0
0
1
3
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-3
67%
G · 6'5" 210 · 23
26.9
9
45%
5
2
1
1
1
2
1
4
1-1
100%
1-4
25%
2-6
33%
G · 6'2" 200 · 30
19.1
9
64%
4
2
1
0
1
3
1
3
1-1
100%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 245 · 27
17.6
5
50%
1
1
0
3
1
1
1
0
3-4
75%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 236 · 26
15.3
2
33%
3
0
0
1
1
3
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29
10.9
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 24
C · 6'11" 265 · 31
#9 · F-G · 6'7" 225 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#11 · G · 6'2" 175 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#40 · F · 6'8" 235 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
90
50%
42
16
3
8
14
0
9
33
11-16
69%
26-58
45%
9-21
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.