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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 18, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Heat32%9590
11Hawks68%101105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 27.8
37.5
39.1
15
40%
6
5
0
2
2
4
0
6
1-2
50%
4-13
8-16
31%
49%
2-5
40%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.9
32.7
26.7
21
60%
9
0
0
1
1
4
3
6
5-6
83%
8-14
5-10
57%
46%
0-1
0%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 31.1
30.4
33.7
12
51%
7
1
0
0
0
0
2
5
0-2
0%
6-11
5-11
55%
46%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.5
28.9
26.0
8
50%
3
4
1
2
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
47%
2-5
40%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 29.6
20.7
22.3
6
100%
4
1
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
42%
2-3
67%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.6
26.9
21.2
9
43%
5
2
1
0
1
1
1
4
1-1
100%
1-4
1-3
25%
37%
2-6
33%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 30.3
19.1
19.9
9
60%
4
2
1
0
0
1
1
3
1-1
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
45%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 27.3
17.6
15.5
5
53%
1
1
0
0
3
1
1
0
3-4
75%
1-3
1-2
33%
47%
0-0
-
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 26.0
15.3
1.6
2
33%
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
0-0
33%
45%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29.1
10.9
1.6
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
1-1
100%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 24.0
8.2
0
1-2
47%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.5
2.6
0
0-0
44%
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 27.2
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.1
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 28.4
38.4
37.5
30
67%
2
3
1
1
0
0
1
1
3-3
100%
6-10
7-14
60%
48%
5-11
45%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 24.0
35.4
35.7
16
43%
14
7
2
1
2
4
4
10
4-6
67%
6-15
6-12
40%
52%
0-1
0%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 23.4
33.2
26.9
14
51%
4
0
0
1
1
1
3
1
3-4
75%
4-11
3-6
36%
48%
1-1
100%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 31.5
32.5
32.8
9
41%
1
4
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-6
2-5
33%
47%
1-4
25%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.5
31.1
32.7
16
68%
12
2
0
1
1
0
4
8
4-4
100%
6-10
5-9
60%
53%
0-0
-
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.7
28.3
26.1
10
41%
3
3
2
1
0
2
0
3
3-5
60%
2-7
3-6
29%
46%
1-3
33%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.8
17.6
15.4
6
63%
3
1
0
0
1
1
1
2
2-4
50%
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
0-0
-
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 34.3
10.1
7.3
4
50%
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.0
9.1
12.0
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 21.4
2.5
8.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 23.9
1.8
2.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 31.0
0.8
0
0-0
42%
Othello Hunter
· 6'8" 225 · 23.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.