Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Wednesday, November 18, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16 | Pistons | 19% | 87 | 81 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Heat | 33% | 95 | 90 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Knicks | 35% | 102 | 110 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Thunder | 17% | 88 | 94 |
 | 2 | Magic | 83% | 100 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18 | Bobcats | 48% | 91 | 84 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 1 | Celtics | 89% | 110 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nets | 23% | 91 | 85 | |
 | 21 | Bucks | 77% | 100 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 30 | Timberwolves | 31% | 96 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Raptors | 35% | 100 | 91 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 8 | Mavericks | 61% | 99 | 99 |
Tuesday, November 17, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pistons | 25% | 91 | 93 |
 | 4 | Lakers | 75% | 100 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Warriors | 18% | 99 | 108 |
| 2 | Cavaliers | 82% | 112 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Thunder | 38% | 89 | 100 |
| 16 | Heat | 62% | 93 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pacers | 60% | 98 | 91 |
| 29 | Nets | 40% | 95 | 83 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Clippers | 41% | 96 | 102 |
| 26 | Hornets | 59% | 99 | 110 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 9 | Rockets | 61% | 108 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Raptors | 26% | 100 | 112 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18 | Bulls | 56% | 98 | 101 |
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Monday, November 16, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Mavericks | 58% | 100 | 115 |
| 22 | Bucks | 42% | 97 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bobcats | 24% | 87 | 91 |
| 6 | Magic | 76% | 96 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Trail Blazers | 51% | 100 | 95 |
| 11 | Hawks | 49% | 99 | 99 |
Sunday, November 15, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Raptors | 44% | 109 | 100 |
| 12 | Suns | 56% | 111 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Mavericks | 58% | 96 | 95 |
| 15 | Pistons | 42% | 93 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Clippers | 38% | 91 | 101 |
| 21 | Thunder | 62% | 95 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Rockets | 37% | 95 | 101 |
| 6 | Lakers | 63% | 100 | 91 |
Saturday, November 14, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Thunder | 22% | 88 | 101 |
| 4 | Spurs | 78% | 98 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Warriors | 34% | 104 | 125 |
| 21 | Bucks | 66% | 110 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Timberwolves | 30% | 98 | 87 |
| 28 | Grizzlies | 70% | 105 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 76ers | 31% | 92 | 88 |
| 17 | Bulls | 69% | 99 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nets | 17% | 87 | 80 | |
| 13 | Heat | 83% | 100 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Jazz | 20% | 92 | 103 |
| 2 | Cavaliers | 80% | 103 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pistons | 41% | 94 | 106 |
| 15 | Wizards | 59% | 97 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 71% | 100 | 104 |
| 22 | Pacers | 29% | 93 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Trail Blazers | 55% | 91 | 80 |
| 18 | Bobcats | 45% | 89 | 74 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hornets | 22% | 94 | 98 | |
| 11 | Hawks | 78% | 104 | 121 |
Friday, November 13, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Raptors | 62% | 104 | 104 |
| 27 | Clippers | 38% | 100 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nets | 14% | 89 | 72 | |
| 5 | Magic | 86% | 103 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Jazz | 53% | 99 | 112 |
| 20 | 76ers | 47% | 98 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Warriors | 46% | 110 | 121 |
| 25 | Knicks | 54% | 111 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hawks | 24% | 92 | 97 |
| 1 | Celtics | 76% | 102 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mavericks | 83% | 105 | 89 |
| 30 | Timberwolves | 17% | 92 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Trail Blazers | 55% | 97 | 86 |
| 15 | Hornets | 45% | 95 | 78 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Rockets | 66% | 102 | 100 |
| 26 | Kings | 34% | 97 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lakers | 33% | 99 | 79 |
| 3 | Nuggets | 67% | 105 | 105 |
Thursday, November 12, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Suns | 32% | 101 | 102 |
| 8 | Lakers | 68% | 107 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | 54% | 95 | 111 |
| 14 | Heat | 46% | 93 | 104 |
Wednesday, November 11, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Thunder | 46% | 94 | 83 |
| 28 | Clippers | 54% | 95 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hornets | 33% | 103 | 104 | |
| 8 | Suns | 67% | 109 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mavericks | 47% | 98 | 83 |
| 11 | Spurs | 53% | 99 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Grizzlies | 22% | 96 | 79 |
| 10 | Rockets | 78% | 106 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | 51% | 97 | 102 |
| 5 | Magic | 49% | 96 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Trail Blazers | 72% | 103 | 107 |
| 30 | Timberwolves | 28% | 95 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nuggets | 59% | 102 | 102 |
| 24 | Bucks | 41% | 98 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hawks | 59% | 106 | 114 |
| 25 | Knicks | 41% | 104 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 76ers | 56% | 98 | 82 |
| 29 | Nets | 44% | 96 | 79 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bobcats | 36% | 86 | 75 |
| 17 | Pistons | 64% | 91 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Jazz | 26% | 91 | 86 |
| 1 | Celtics | 74% | 100 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bulls | 30% | 96 | 89 |
| 12 | Raptors | 70% | 103 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Warriors | 41% | 108 | 94 |
| 22 | Pacers | 59% | 111 | 108 |
Tuesday, November 10, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Rockets | 33% | 94 | 103 |
| 3 | Mavericks | 67% | 100 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Magic | 55% | 94 | 93 |
| 15 | Bobcats | 45% | 92 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wizards | 38% | 97 | 76 |
| 13 | Heat | 62% | 101 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nuggets | 58% | 101 | 90 |
| 19 | Bulls | 42% | 98 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Trail Blazers | 68% | 105 | 93 |
| 26 | Grizzlies | 32% | 99 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Thunder | 52% | 95 | 98 |
| 27 | Kings | 48% | 94 | 101 |
Monday, November 9, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hornets | 48% | 97 | 112 | |
| 25 | Clippers | 52% | 98 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Timberwolves | 36% | 104 | 105 |
| 24 | Warriors | 64% | 109 | 146 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Raptors | 43% | 98 | 124 |
| 15 | Spurs | 57% | 100 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Jazz | 64% | 106 | 95 |
| 26 | Knicks | 36% | 101 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Suns | 52% | 106 | 119 |
| 19 | 76ers | 48% | 105 | 115 |
Sunday, November 8, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Timberwolves | 17% | 91 | 93 |
| 7 | Trail Blazers | 83% | 104 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 76ers | 41% | 95 | 81 |
| 19 | Pistons | 59% | 98 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Suns | 49% | 107 | 102 |
| 17 | Wizards | 51% | 108 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Magic | 71% | 99 | 74 |
| 26 | Thunder | 29% | 92 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Warriors | 54% | 107 | 107 |
| 29 | Kings | 46% | 106 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hornets | 29% | 93 | 88 | |
| 5 | Lakers | 71% | 100 | 104 |
Saturday, November 7, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Grizzlies | 35% | 100 | 110 |
| 22 | Clippers | 65% | 105 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Kings | 16% | 94 | 104 |
| 8 | Jazz | 84% | 107 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Knicks | 38% | 98 | 87 |
| 25 | Bucks | 62% | 102 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Raptors | 24% | 96 | 101 |
| 5 | Mavericks | 76% | 105 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bobcats | 39% | 89 | 90 |
| 19 | Bulls | 61% | 93 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 82% | 99 | 86 |
| 28 | Nets | 18% | 87 | 76 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | 52% | 104 | 100 |
| 14 | Hawks | 48% | 103 | 125 |
Friday, November 6, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Clippers | 39% | 104 | 118 |
| 21 | Warriors | 61% | 108 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hawks | 49% | 96 | 83 |
| 19 | Bobcats | 51% | 97 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wizards | 54% | 103 | 86 |
| 23 | Pacers | 46% | 102 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pistons | 22% | 92 | 103 |
| 4 | Magic | 78% | 102 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nets | 32% | 96 | 94 | |
| 17 | 76ers | 68% | 102 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Suns | 18% | 93 | 110 |
| 1 | Celtics | 82% | 105 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | 51% | 100 | 88 |
| 12 | Heat | 49% | 99 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bucks | 46% | 97 | 87 |
| 28 | Timberwolves | 54% | 99 | 72 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Raptors | 39% | 100 | 107 |
| 11 | Hornets | 61% | 103 | 90 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | 70% | 104 | 100 |
| 22 | Knicks | 30% | 97 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Thunder | 26% | 87 | 94 |
| 10 | Rockets | 74% | 96 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Grizzlies | 15% | 95 | 98 |
| 3 | Lakers | 85% | 109 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Spurs | 37% | 94 | 84 |
| 8 | Trail Blazers | 63% | 99 | 96 |
Thursday, November 5, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bulls | 17% | 88 | 86 |
| 2 | Cavaliers | 83% | 101 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Spurs | 46% | 99 | 99 |
| 9 | Jazz | 54% | 100 | 113 |