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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 18, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Thunder17%8894
2Magic83%100108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.0
26.6
33.0
10
39%
2
3
3
1
0
2
1
1
4-4
100%
3-9
5-11
33%
42%
0-2
0%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 21.1
26.0
39.2
12
40%
3
1
1
1
0
5
0
3
4-7
57%
4-8
8-16
50%
47%
0-4
0%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.2
25.8
30.0
11
42%
5
2
0
1
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
4-9
4-8
44%
45%
1-4
25%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.5
23.9
32.5
2
25%
7
1
0
1
1
2
1
6
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
45%
0-1
0%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 26.3
11.5
28.3
2
20%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
4-10
20%
47%
0-0
-
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 20.2
30.9
17.1
24
76%
3
3
1
1
0
1
0
3
4-4
100%
1-7
2-4
14%
42%
6-7
86%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 20.2
23.3
3.4
6
69%
9
0
1
0
1
1
0
9
2-3
67%
2-3
0-1
67%
45%
0-0
-
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 36.9
18.6
13.9
2
33%
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
41%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 29.1
17.6
22.1
2
20%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
52%
0-0
-
Kyle Weaver
G · 6'6" 201 · 23.7
14.8
5.8
11
80%
2
4
2
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-3
0-1
100%
47%
1-3
33%
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.2
13.2
2.5
8
80%
4
0
2
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
4-5
0-1
80%
45%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 31.6
8.1
14.5
4
60%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-3
67%
1-2
2-3
50%
50%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 24.2
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 34.0
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 20.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 30.3
33.1
21.8
17
50%
10
9
2
1
0
1
1
9
1-2
50%
5-10
2-4
50%
49%
2-6
33%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 27.8
31.0
30.9
14
63%
2
2
1
1
0
2
1
1
4-7
57%
2-5
2-4
40%
50%
2-3
67%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 34.0
28.5
15.8
4
41%
4
5
0
1
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
1-3
33%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 32.8
27.1
29.9
18
61%
6
0
1
1
2
1
0
6
4-4
100%
4-8
4-8
50%
47%
2-5
40%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.9
17.6
33.3
11
63%
10
0
0
1
1
2
3
7
1-4
25%
5-7
5-9
71%
59%
0-0
-
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 25.8
24.0
12.0
10
69%
4
0
1
0
2
1
0
4
4-5
80%
3-5
1-3
60%
55%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25.4
20.9
18.6
9
113%
3
3
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
3-4
75%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 21.5
19.9
14.0
12
51%
4
2
0
0
0
0
2
2
2-2
100%
2-5
1-3
40%
47%
2-6
33%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 35.1
19.5
2.2
9
64%
1
4
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
0-0
75%
43%
1-3
33%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 29.7
12.0
25.4
2
50%
3
0
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
51%
0-1
0%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 24.6
6.3
15.3
2
25%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
3-5
25%
52%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 27.8
31.2
1
4-8
50%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 34.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.