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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 18, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Warriors11%9495
1Celtics89%110109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.1
40.4
39.7
18
41%
4
4
3
2
0
2
2
2
2-2
100%
8-20
8-17
40%
47%
0-1
0%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.7
35.4
28.6
13
55%
0
7
4
1
0
6
0
0
4-4
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
43%
1-4
25%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 30.0
32.1
26.0
23
68%
8
3
0
1
1
2
2
6
6-9
67%
7-10
4-9
70%
46%
1-3
33%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 34.0
28.9
20.7
6
50%
5
0
1
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
53%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 29.0
28.5
24.5
9
56%
5
3
1
1
0
5
0
5
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
43%
1-3
33%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.1
27.4
30.0
4
40%
3
2
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
2-5
100%
46%
0-3
0%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 20.3
24.2
21.4
11
43%
8
0
0
1
0
4
3
5
3-4
75%
4-11
4-8
36%
44%
0-0
-
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 33.2
23.1
16.3
11
92%
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
42%
3-3
100%
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.9
15.1
0
2-4
46%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.6
14.1
1
1-3
44%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.6
6.8
0
1-1
56%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 26.8
5.4
0
1-1
47%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.1
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.2
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 31.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 23.7
36.6
32.4
18
65%
7
12
2
2
0
4
1
6
1-4
25%
7-10
5-10
70%
53%
1-2
50%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 32.1
34.6
34.2
19
69%
4
2
1
1
1
2
0
4
3-4
75%
5-8
5-9
63%
51%
2-4
50%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 33.5
31.4
29.5
12
50%
6
4
1
1
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
6-12
7-12
50%
54%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 25.0
31.1
27.9
15
65%
7
3
0
0
2
4
3
4
5-8
63%
5-8
5-8
63%
60%
0-0
-
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 34.3
29.6
35.0
15
66%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
3-3
100%
6-8
4-8
75%
53%
0-2
0%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 28.9
18.0
19.4
4
100%
3
0
1
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
2-2
3-6
100%
51%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.5
16.7
15.4
11
55%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
1-3
20%
47%
3-5
60%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 35.2
16.1
20.2
8
50%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
50%
2-6
33%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 26.1
14.8
15.4
4
43%
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
4-6
67%
0-2
2-4
0%
50%
0-0
-
J.R. Giddens
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.8
6.9
2.2
1
57%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
0-0
-
51%
0-0
-
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.7
2.2
5.5
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
43%
0-0
-
Lester Hudson
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.3
2.2
2.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
0-0
0%
51%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 27.9
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 23.9
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.