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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 18, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Raptors35%10091
14Jazz65%105104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 30.7
38.9
33.1
11
41%
6
4
0
1
0
3
1
5
2-3
67%
3-8
3-7
38%
46%
1-4
25%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 25.7
37.3
34.3
32
55%
17
0
0
1
0
2
7
10
6-9
67%
13-24
7-15
54%
49%
0-1
0%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 24.1
35.9
31.7
10
43%
11
1
1
0
1
4
2
9
3-4
75%
2-5
4-9
40%
46%
1-5
20%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.1
33.0
30.7
13
42%
3
2
1
1
0
2
2
1
3-3
100%
2-6
4-7
33%
53%
2-8
25%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 20.3
14.7
19.0
2
20%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
47%
0-1
0%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 23.7
31.1
23.3
19
62%
4
1
0
1
0
0
2
2
3-3
100%
5-10
2-4
50%
46%
2-4
50%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 22.6
22.8
17.1
2
50%
5
0
1
0
3
0
2
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
56%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.1
20.8
21.3
2
17%
2
5
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
47%
0-1
0%
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 23.4
5.5
14.3
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.5
5.8
0
1-2
50%
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.4
4.6
0
1-1
50%
Pops Mensah-Bonsu
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.2
4.3
0
1-1
45%
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 25.8
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 28.0
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 29.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.4
43.0
18.4
20
58%
6
9
1
1
0
3
0
6
3-3
100%
7-13
3-5
54%
53%
1-3
33%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 28.0
38.8
35.8
22
49%
18
2
0
1
0
0
7
11
4-8
50%
9-19
7-14
47%
53%
0-0
-
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 23.1
25.7
29.3
4
40%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 24.7
23.5
35.0
8
42%
2
3
1
2
0
0
0
2
0-1
0%
4-7
5-9
57%
55%
0-2
0%
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 22.9
19.0
5.7
3
39%
5
2
1
0
0
0
1
4
1-2
50%
1-3
1-1
33%
56%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.7
32.3
32.4
20
67%
7
1
3
1
2
2
2
5
6-9
67%
4-9
4-7
44%
51%
2-2
100%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 24.8
27.9
26.3
10
63%
6
0
0
1
0
3
2
4
0-0
-
5-8
4-7
63%
54%
0-0
-
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.4
23.4
26.1
15
55%
4
6
1
1
1
2
1
3
5-6
83%
5-8
4-8
63%
49%
0-3
0%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 20.7
6.3
2.6
2
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
54%
0-0
-
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 30.5
28.0
1
4-8
50%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 28.7
6.7
0
0-1
48%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.4
4.0
0
0-1
45%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.7
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 33.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.