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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 18, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Knicks35%102110
20Pacers65%107103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 27.2
33.2
28.0
6
44%
3
8
1
1
0
2
0
3
3-4
75%
0-2
1-3
0%
42%
1-3
33%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 26.6
31.5
30.2
17
54%
8
4
3
1
1
2
0
8
3-6
50%
7-13
6-12
54%
54%
0-0
-
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 22.5
25.4
28.9
18
65%
5
1
0
1
1
2
1
4
2-2
100%
5-8
4-8
63%
47%
2-5
40%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.3
16.9
29.5
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
46%
0-2
0%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.7
12.4
24.6
4
69%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
4-8
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 30.8
35.6
26.9
22
63%
10
7
3
1
1
2
2
8
7-8
88%
3-9
2-6
33%
43%
3-5
60%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.8
30.4
27.5
26
79%
5
0
1
1
0
2
0
5
6-8
75%
4-7
4-9
57%
49%
4-6
67%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 28.0
27.6
13.8
5
58%
2
2
2
0
1
2
1
1
3-3
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 25.5
12.2
14.2
2
25%
1
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 27.0
11.7
7.7
10
66%
4
0
0
0
0
3
3
1
4-8
50%
3-4
1-3
75%
53%
0-0
-
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 22.3
3.1
8.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
47%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 24.4
4.5
0
1-1
47%
Marcus Landry
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.0
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 34.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 28.9
35.8
33.9
25
71%
6
3
2
1
2
5
0
6
5-6
83%
7-12
5-10
58%
48%
2-3
67%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 26.6
33.7
37.9
33
80%
7
3
0
1
0
3
2
5
4-6
67%
7-10
5-11
70%
49%
5-8
63%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 26.7
33.2
25.2
6
39%
7
5
0
1
0
5
2
5
4-6
67%
1-4
4-9
25%
48%
0-1
0%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 22.9
32.3
29.8
14
61%
12
2
0
1
2
1
4
8
6-8
75%
4-8
6-11
50%
53%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24.4
26.3
31.8
3
17%
5
4
1
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
47%
1-7
14%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 30.4
30.1
27.2
4
23%
1
2
4
1
0
3
0
1
4-4
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
47%
0-5
0%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 24.0
20.6
15.5
14
54%
5
3
0
0
1
1
3
2
4-7
57%
5-10
3-6
50%
50%
0-0
-
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.3
15.7
13.8
2
53%
2
0
0
0
2
1
1
1
0-2
0%
1-1
2-3
100%
55%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.0
12.3
14.9
2
25%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 22.7
5.0
0
1-1
52%
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.1
3.2
0
0-1
45%
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.7
3.1
0
0-0
44%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 29.5
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 32.8
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 29.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.