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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 20, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Grizzlies34%96102
1876ers66%10297
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.3
40.9
36.1
33
69%
10
1
2
1
2
2
3
7
3-4
75%
12-19
6-12
63%
50%
2-3
67%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 28.3
38.0
31.4
21
52%
11
1
3
1
0
2
6
5
3-3
100%
9-18
6-13
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 24.8
34.8
34.0
19
77%
8
2
1
1
1
2
3
5
7-10
70%
6-8
5-9
75%
54%
0-0
-
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.0
34.2
36.9
12
47%
0
3
1
1
0
3
0
0
1-2
50%
4-8
5-11
50%
48%
1-4
25%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 22.1
24.4
20.8
4
26%
4
6
1
1
0
3
1
3
2-4
50%
1-5
2-4
20%
46%
0-1
0%
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.0
18.7
21.8
5
43%
4
5
1
1
0
6
0
4
1-2
50%
2-4
2-5
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 24.5
18.1
13.3
4
67%
3
3
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
46%
0-1
0%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.3
17.2
19.4
0
0%
4
1
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
46%
0-0
-
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 22.8
8.9
7.7
4
67%
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
52%
0-0
-
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 31.7
4.9
17.5
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
42%
0-0
-
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 28.1
5.9
0
1-1
56%
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 24.5
2.4
0
0-1
52%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.7
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 30.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.8
43.4
39.2
15
38%
5
9
1
2
0
3
2
3
4-6
67%
4-13
6-12
31%
52%
1-4
25%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.1
39.7
33.1
31
89%
2
5
6
1
0
4
0
2
3-3
100%
8-9
4-9
89%
48%
4-7
57%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 30.7
37.8
33.1
22
64%
6
0
4
1
4
3
1
5
6-7
86%
8-14
6-12
57%
50%
0-0
-
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.4
28.3
37.0
5
43%
3
3
0
2
0
2
2
1
1-2
50%
2-4
6-11
50%
53%
0-1
0%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 29.5
20.8
19.9
4
67%
5
2
0
0
0
2
3
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
52%
0-0
-
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 25.6
22.1
20.7
7
70%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
49%
1-3
33%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 23.7
17.1
9.7
5
63%
3
1
2
0
2
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
49%
1-1
100%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.3
13.3
16.9
3
30%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
2-4
0%
48%
1-1
100%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 28.8
8.7
9.1
3
38%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
48%
1-3
33%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 19.4
4.5
3.4
2
18%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-1
0%
1-4
0-1
25%
48%
0-1
0%
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 30.1
4.3
2.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 27.9
7.1
0
0-1
43%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 22.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.