FinalWin Prob.pScore
1441%98
113
1359%101
120
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
116.59798.2
TOR logo TOR
123.79795.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIATOR
Q4 - 0:00.0TOR113
0%
120
100%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAChalmers Driving Layup (30 PTS)113
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 0:21.0TORJack Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)111
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 0:21.0TORJack Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)111
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0TORJack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)111
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot111
0.2%
118
99.8%
Q4 - 0:32.0TORTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)111
0.4%
118
99.6%
Q4 - 0:32.0TORTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)111
0.5%
117
99.5%
Q4 - 0:34.0MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (28 PTS)111
0.8%
116
99.2%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIARandolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)108
0.4%
116
99.6%
Q4 - 0:41.0TORMISS Bargnani Free Throw 2 of 2108
0.3%
116
99.7%
Q4 - 0:41.0TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)108
0.2%
116
99.8%
Q4 - 0:42.0MIAChalmers 5' Running Jump Shot (25 PTS)108
0.4%
115
99.6%
Q4 - 0:44.0TORBosh Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T20)106
0.2%
115
99.8%
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 3 of 3 (23 PTS)106
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 3 (22 PTS)105
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 3 (21 PTS)104
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 0:51.0TORJack 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Turkoglu 8 AST)103
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 1:12TORJack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)103
0.3%
112
99.7%
Q4 - 1:13MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot103
0.4%
112
99.6%
Q4 - 1:18TORBosh 16' Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Calderon 10 AST)103
0.8%
112
99.2%
Q4 - 1:39TORTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)103
1.9%
110
98.1%
Q4 - 1:39MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot103
2.2%
110
97.8%
Q4 - 1:48TORJack 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Bargnani 2 AST)103
3.6%
110
96.4%
Q4 - 2:05MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)103
8.5%
107
91.5%
Q4 - 2:05MIAHeat Rebound103
15.3%
107
84.7%
Q4 - 2:05MIAMISS Chalmers 29' 3PT Jump Shot103
10.2%
107
89.8%
Q4 - 2:07MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)103
15.4%
107
84.6%
Q4 - 2:08MIABosh BLOCK (4 BLK)103
10.2%
107
89.8%
Q4 - 2:29TORTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)103
15.6%
107
84.4%
Q4 - 2:29TORTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)103
16.6%
106
83.4%
Q4 - 2:49MIABeasley 19' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)103
19.8%
105
80.2%
Q4 - 3:13TORBargnani 26' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Turkoglu 7 AST)101
16.9%
105
83.1%
Q4 - 3:27MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)101
30.4%
102
69.6%
Q4 - 3:27MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)100
28.5%
102
71.5%
Q4 - 3:34TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)99
26.3%
102
73.7%
Q4 - 3:34TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)99
27.5%
101
72.5%
Q4 - 3:44MIAJones 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)99
33.3%
100
66.7%
Q4 - 3:52MIAJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)97
25.9%
100
74.1%
Q4 - 3:53TORMISS Turkoglu 10' Floating Jump Shot97
23.5%
100
76.5%
Q4 - 4:13MIAWade Driving Layup (30 PTS)97
18.5%
100
81.5%
Q4 - 4:27TORBargnani Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T19)95
13.6%
100
86.4%
Q4 - 4:44MIAJones Foul Turnover (P1.T10)95
9.3%
100
90.7%
Q4 - 4:57TORBosh Tip Shot (25 PTS)95
13.5%
100
86.5%
Q4 - 4:59TORBosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)95
18.3%
98
81.7%
Q4 - 5:00TORMISS Bosh Driving Layup95
23.1%
98
76.9%
Q4 - 5:23MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)95
21.1%
98
78.9%
Q4 - 5:30TORTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T18)92
12.1%
98
87.9%
Q4 - 5:43TORTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)92
8.8%
98
91.2%
Q4 - 5:44MIAMISS Beasley Driving Layup92
9.7%
98
90.3%
Q4 - 6:10TORTurkoglu 26' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (15 PTS)92
14.2%
98
85.8%
Q4 - 6:34MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)92
22.8%
95
77.2%
Q4 - 6:47MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)89
14.1%
95
85.9%
Q4 - 6:48TORMISS Jack 3PT Jump Shot89
12.9%
95
87.1%
Q4 - 6:59MIAHeat Turnover: Backcourt (T#9)89
10.6%
95
89.4%
Q4 - 7:17TORJack 8' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)89
15.7%
95
84.3%
Q4 - 7:39TORTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)89
19.3%
93
80.7%
Q4 - 7:41MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot89
20.7%
93
79.3%
Q4 - 7:53TORJohnson Traveling Turnover (P2.T17)89
24.4%
93
75.6%
Q4 - 8:12MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (28 PTS)89
21.0%
93
79.0%
Q4 - 8:25MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)87
16.9%
93
83.1%
Q4 - 8:26MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
14.6%
93
85.4%
Q4 - 8:47TORBargnani Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)87
16.9%
93
83.1%
Q4 - 8:47TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)87
17.4%
92
82.6%
Q4 - 8:58TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)87
20.9%
91
79.1%
Q4 - 9:00MIABargnani BLOCK (2 BLK)87
22.2%
91
77.8%
Q4 - 9:01MIARandolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)87
26.7%
91
73.3%
Q4 - 9:02MIAMISS Anthony Layup87
23.6%
91
76.4%
Q4 - 9:04MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)87
26.6%
91
73.4%
Q4 - 9:05MIAMISS Cook 14' Running Jump Shot87
23.6%
91
76.4%
Q4 - 9:30MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)87
26.6%
91
73.4%
Q4 - 9:30TORMISS Calderon 20' Jump Shot87
25.2%
91
74.8%
Q4 - 9:50TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)87
22.2%
91
77.8%
Q4 - 9:50MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 187
22.8%
91
77.2%
Q4 - 10:04TORJack Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)85
19.3%
91
80.7%
Q4 - 10:04TORJack Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)85
19.7%
90
80.3%
Q4 - 10:12TORBosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)85
22.9%
89
77.1%
Q4 - 10:13MIAMISS Randolph Layup85
24.2%
89
75.8%
Q4 - 10:14MIARandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)85
27.2%
89
72.8%
Q4 - 10:16MIABosh BLOCK (3 BLK)85
24.2%
89
75.8%
Q4 - 10:31MIARandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
27.2%
89
72.8%
Q4 - 10:32TORMISS DeRozan Tip Shot85
25.9%
89
74.1%
Q4 - 10:34TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)85
22.9%
89
77.1%
Q4 - 10:36TORMISS Jack 12' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot85
25.8%
89
74.2%
Q4 - 10:56TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)85
22.9%
89
77.1%
Q4 - 10:57MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
24.2%
89
75.8%
Q4 - 11:14MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)85
27.8%
89
72.2%
Q4 - 11:15TORMISS Jack 21' Pullup Jump Shot85
26.5%
89
73.5%
Q4 - 11:30MIAArroyo 15' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)85
23.8%
89
76.2%
Q4 - 11:52MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)83
20.0%
89
80.0%
Q4 - 11:53TORMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 283
19.6%
89
80.4%
Q4 - 11:53TORMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 283
17.3%
89
82.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA83
16.9%
89
83.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound83
20.0%
89
80.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Randolph 20' Jump Shot83
17.8%
89
82.2%
Q3 - 0:05.0TORTurkoglu Foul Turnover (P3.T16)83
20.7%
89
79.3%
Q3 - 0:24.0MIAWade 20' Pullup Jump Shot (26 PTS)83
17.8%
89
82.2%
Q3 - 0:33.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
14.8%
89
85.2%
Q3 - 0:34.0TORMISS Turkoglu 20' Pullup Jump Shot81
14.1%
89
85.9%
Q3 - 0:51.0MIAChalmers Driving Layup (14 PTS)81
12.6%
89
87.4%
Q3 - 1:02TORTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)79
10.9%
89
89.1%
Q3 - 1:02TORTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)79
11.2%
88
88.8%
Q3 - 1:16MIABeasley 14' Fadeaway Jumper (19 PTS)79
13.1%
87
86.9%
Q3 - 1:20MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)77
10.8%
87
89.2%
Q3 - 1:21MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot77
9.7%
87
90.3%
Q3 - 1:29MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)77
10.8%
87
89.2%
Q3 - 1:30TORMISS Jack 18' Jump Shot77
10.3%
87
89.7%
Q3 - 1:52MIABeasley 20' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)77
9.2%
87
90.8%
Q3 - 2:01MIAJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)75
8.3%
87
91.7%
Q3 - 2:02MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot75
7.3%
87
92.7%
Q3 - 2:15TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)75
8.2%
87
91.8%
Q3 - 2:15TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)75
8.5%
86
91.5%
Q3 - 2:33MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)75
9.7%
85
90.3%
Q3 - 2:33MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)74
9.4%
85
90.6%
Q3 - 2:48MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)73
8.2%
85
91.8%
Q3 - 2:49TORMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 273
8.0%
85
92.0%
Q3 - 2:49TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)73
7.1%
85
92.9%
Q3 - 3:04TORBosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)73
8.8%
84
91.2%
Q3 - 3:05TORMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot73
10.0%
84
90.0%
Q3 - 3:12TORRAPTORS Rebound73
8.8%
84
91.2%
Q3 - 3:13TORMISS Belinelli 23' Jump Shot73
10.0%
84
90.0%
Q3 - 3:24MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)73
8.8%
84
91.2%
Q3 - 3:38MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
6.4%
84
93.6%
Q3 - 3:39TORMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 270
6.2%
84
93.8%
Q3 - 3:39TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)70
5.5%
84
94.5%
Q3 - 3:57MIABeasley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)70
6.3%
83
93.7%
Q3 - 4:08MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)67
4.9%
83
95.1%
Q3 - 4:09TORMISS Weems 22' Jump Shot67
4.6%
83
95.4%
Q3 - 4:23MIAO'Neal Putback Dunk (15 PTS)67
4.0%
83
96.0%
Q3 - 4:25MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)65
3.5%
83
96.5%
Q3 - 4:26MIAMISS Beasley 12' Jump Shot65
3.1%
83
96.9%
Q3 - 4:28MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)65
3.5%
83
96.5%
Q3 - 4:29MIAMISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot65
3.1%
83
96.9%
Q3 - 4:36TORDeRozan Foul Turnover (P4.T15)65
3.5%
83
96.5%
Q3 - 4:59MIAWade 3' Driving Slam Dunk (19 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)65
2.9%
83
97.1%
Q3 - 5:25TORWeems 15' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Calderon 9 AST)63
2.8%
83
97.2%
Q3 - 5:39TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)63
3.2%
81
96.8%
Q3 - 5:40TORMISS Bargnani 22' Jump Shot63
3.6%
81
96.4%
Q3 - 5:51MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)63
3.2%
81
96.8%
Q3 - 5:51MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)62
3.1%
81
96.9%
Q3 - 6:10TORBargnani 16' Step Back Jump Shot (18 PTS)61
3.1%
81
96.9%
Q3 - 6:31MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)61
3.5%
79
96.5%
Q3 - 6:44MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)58
2.6%
79
97.4%
Q3 - 6:45TORMISS Weems 15' Pullup Jump Shot58
2.5%
79
97.5%
Q3 - 7:05MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)58
2.5%
79
97.5%
Q3 - 7:05MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 257
2.5%
79
97.5%
Q3 - 7:05TORBargnani Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)57
2.6%
79
97.4%
Q3 - 7:11TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)57
2.2%
79
97.8%
Q3 - 7:11MIAMISS Beasley Layup57
2.3%
79
97.7%
Q3 - 7:13MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)57
2.6%
79
97.4%
Q3 - 7:15MIADeRozan BLOCK (1 BLK)57
2.3%
79
97.7%
Q3 - 7:27TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)57
2.6%
79
97.4%
Q3 - 7:41MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)57
3.4%
76
96.6%
Q3 - 7:48MIAJones Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)54
2.5%
76
97.5%
Q3 - 8:01TORCalderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)53
2.4%
76
97.6%
Q3 - 8:14TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)53
3.1%
73
96.9%
Q3 - 8:15MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup53
3.3%
73
96.7%
Q3 - 8:22MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)53
3.6%
73
96.4%
Q3 - 8:23TORMISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
3.5%
73
96.5%
Q3 - 8:40TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)53
3.1%
73
96.9%
Q3 - 8:41MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot53
3.3%
73
96.7%
Q3 - 9:08TORBosh Tip Shot (19 PTS)53
3.9%
73
96.1%
Q3 - 9:10TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)53
4.4%
71
95.6%
Q3 - 9:12TORMISS Turkoglu 11' Running Jump Shot53
4.9%
71
95.1%
Q3 - 9:32MIABeasley 2' Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)53
4.4%
71
95.6%
Q3 - 9:43TORTurkoglu Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)51
3.8%
71
96.2%
Q3 - 9:49TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)51
3.3%
71
96.7%
Q3 - 9:50MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot51
3.5%
71
96.5%
Q3 - 10:09TORBargnani Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T12)51
4.2%
71
95.8%
Q3 - 10:23MIAJones 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)51
3.6%
71
96.4%
Q3 - 10:32MIAHeat Rebound49
3.2%
71
96.8%
Q3 - 10:32MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
2.9%
71
97.1%
Q3 - 10:49TORDeRozan 4' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)49
3.1%
71
96.9%
Q3 - 10:55TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
3.6%
69
96.4%
Q3 - 10:57MIAMISS Wade 8' Turnaround Jump Shot49
3.8%
69
96.2%
Q3 - 11:11MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)49
4.5%
69
95.5%
Q3 - 11:13TORMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
4.3%
69
95.7%
Q3 - 11:27TORMISS Calderon Free Throw Technical49
3.9%
69
96.1%
Q3 - 11:40TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)49
3.9%
69
96.1%
Q3 - 11:41MIAMISS Wade 18' Fadeaway Jumper49
4.1%
69
95.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA49
4.5%
69
95.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORTurkoglu 31' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Calderon 8 AST)49
4.5%
69
95.5%
Q2 - 0:02.0TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)49
6.5%
66
93.5%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 249
6.5%
66
93.5%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)49
7.1%
66
92.9%
Q2 - 0:05.0TORBargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Turkoglu 5 AST)48
6.3%
66
93.7%
Q2 - 0:27.0MIAWade Driving Layup (17 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)48
8.2%
63
91.8%
Q2 - 0:30.0TORTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)46
7.1%
63
92.9%
Q2 - 0:38.0TORTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)46
6.4%
63
93.6%
Q2 - 0:39.0MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot46
6.6%
63
93.4%
Q2 - 0:56.0TORCalderon Driving Layup (2 PTS)46
7.0%
63
93.0%
Q2 - 1:04TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)46
8.6%
61
91.4%
Q2 - 1:05MIABosh BLOCK (2 BLK)46
8.8%
61
91.2%
Q2 - 1:20TORBosh 17' Fadeaway Jumper (17 PTS)46
9.4%
61
90.6%
Q2 - 1:35MIAO'Neal Reverse Layup (10 PTS)46
10.9%
59
89.1%
Q2 - 1:37MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)44
9.3%
59
90.7%
Q2 - 1:38MIAMISS Beasley Alley Oop Dunk44
8.8%
59
91.2%
Q2 - 1:43MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
9.3%
59
90.7%
Q2 - 1:44TORMISS Bargnani 8' Turnaround Hook Shot44
9.1%
59
90.9%
Q2 - 2:06MIAO'Neal 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)44
8.7%
59
91.3%
Q2 - 2:21TORJohnson Foul Turnover (P1.T10)42
7.8%
59
92.2%
Q2 - 2:29TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
6.9%
59
93.1%
Q2 - 2:30MIAMISS Beasley 10' Floating Jump Shot42
7.1%
59
92.9%
Q2 - 2:47TORJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)42
7.8%
59
92.2%
Q2 - 3:04MIABeasley Driving Dunk (10 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)42
10.1%
56
89.9%
Q2 - 3:25TORBargnani 6' Turnaround Fadeaway (10 PTS) (Belinelli 3 AST)40
9.2%
56
90.8%
Q2 - 3:28TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
10.1%
54
89.9%
Q2 - 3:30MIABargnani BLOCK (1 BLK)40
10.5%
54
89.5%
Q2 - 3:31MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)40
11.5%
54
88.5%
Q2 - 3:32MIAMISS Beasley Jump Hook Shot40
10.5%
54
89.5%
Q2 - 3:51TORJack 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Calderon 7 AST)40
11.5%
54
88.5%
Q2 - 3:57TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
14.0%
51
86.0%
Q2 - 4:00MIAMISS Wade 7' Running Jump Shot40
14.6%
51
85.4%
Q2 - 4:12MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
16.1%
51
83.9%
Q2 - 4:13TORMISS Belinelli Free Throw 1 of 140
15.9%
51
84.1%
Q2 - 4:29MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)40
17.7%
49
82.3%
Q2 - 4:58TORJack Running Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Calderon 6 AST)37
14.5%
49
85.5%
Q2 - 5:02MIAJack STEAL (1 STL)37
16.6%
47
83.4%
Q2 - 5:19TORBargnani Reverse Dunk (8 PTS)37
18.2%
47
81.8%
Q2 - 5:21TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)37
20.1%
45
79.9%
Q2 - 5:22TORMISS Bargnani Layup37
21.4%
45
78.6%
Q2 - 5:23TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)37
20.1%
45
79.9%
Q2 - 5:24TORMISS Belinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
21.4%
45
78.6%
Q2 - 5:32TORJack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
20.1%
45
79.9%
Q2 - 5:33MIAMISS Wade 16' Pullup Jump Shot37
20.7%
45
79.3%
Q2 - 5:52TORBargnani 18' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jack 3 AST)37
22.0%
45
78.0%
Q2 - 6:14MIAWade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Beasley 2 AST)37
24.3%
43
75.7%
Q2 - 6:33TORCalderon Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)34
20.6%
43
79.4%
Q2 - 6:45TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)34
18.5%
43
81.5%
Q2 - 6:46MIAMISS O'Neal Driving Layup34
19.1%
43
80.9%
Q2 - 7:09TORJohnson Layup (6 PTS) (Belinelli 2 AST)34
20.8%
43
79.2%
Q2 - 7:18TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
22.6%
41
77.4%
Q2 - 7:19MIAMISS Cook 3PT Jump Shot34
23.3%
41
76.7%
Q2 - 7:28MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
24.8%
41
75.2%
Q2 - 7:30TORMISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
24.1%
41
75.9%
Q2 - 7:38TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
22.6%
41
77.4%
Q2 - 7:39MIAMISS Beasley 16' Jump Shot34
23.2%
41
76.8%
Q2 - 7:57TORJohnson Layup (4 PTS) (Belinelli 1 AST)34
24.8%
41
75.2%
Q2 - 8:11MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)34
27.1%
39
72.9%
Q2 - 8:11MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)33
26.7%
39
73.3%
Q2 - 8:28TORBosh 8' Jump Hook Shot (15 PTS) (Calderon 5 AST)32
25.0%
39
75.0%
Q2 - 8:44MIABeasley Driving Slam Dunk (6 PTS)32
27.1%
37
72.9%
Q2 - 8:59TORBosh 14' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS)30
25.0%
37
75.0%
Q2 - 9:21MIAAnthony Foul Turnover (P2.T7)30
27.1%
35
72.9%
Q2 - 9:31TORBelinelli 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 4 AST)30
29.4%
35
70.6%
Q2 - 9:43MIAArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)30
31.5%
33
68.5%
Q2 - 9:43MIAArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)29
31.2%
33
68.8%
Q2 - 9:59TORTurkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jack 2 AST)28
29.4%
33
70.6%
Q2 - 10:13MIACook 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)28
34.0%
30
66.0%
Q2 - 10:27TORBosh 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)26
31.9%
30
68.1%
Q2 - 10:41MIACook Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)26
33.9%
28
66.1%
Q2 - 10:41MIACook Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
33.7%
28
66.3%
Q2 - 11:03TORMensah-Bonsu Layup (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)24
31.9%
28
68.1%
Q2 - 11:15TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)24
34.1%
26
65.9%
Q2 - 11:16MIAMISS Anthony 10' Turnaround Hook Shot24
34.8%
26
65.2%
Q2 - 11:29MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
36.5%
26
63.5%
Q2 - 11:30TORMISS Bosh 8' Jump Hook Shot24
35.8%
26
64.2%
Q2 - 11:43MIABeasley Foul Turnover (P2.T6)24
34.1%
26
65.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA24
36.5%
26
63.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound24
36.5%
26
63.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Cook 44' 3PT Running Bank Shot24
34.8%
26
65.2%
Q1 - 0:02.0TORTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)24
36.0%
26
64.0%
Q1 - 0:02.0TORTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)24
36.4%
25
63.6%
Q1 - 0:05.0TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
38.9%
24
61.1%
Q1 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
39.4%
24
60.6%
Q1 - 0:26.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
40.7%
24
59.3%
Q1 - 0:27.0TORMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot24
40.2%
24
59.8%
Q1 - 0:36.0TORMensah-Bonsu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
38.8%
24
61.2%
Q1 - 0:36.0MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
39.4%
24
60.6%
Q1 - 0:42.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
40.8%
24
59.2%
Q1 - 0:44.0TORMISS Belinelli 19' Jump Shot24
40.2%
24
59.8%
Q1 - 1:01MIAWade Driving Finger Roll Layup (12 PTS)24
39.0%
24
61.0%
Q1 - 1:12TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)22
36.0%
24
64.0%
Q1 - 1:12TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)22
36.4%
23
63.6%
Q1 - 1:29MIAAnthony 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T5)22
38.9%
22
61.1%
Q1 - 1:48TORMensah-Bonsu 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T8)22
40.5%
22
59.5%
Q1 - 2:11MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)22
38.9%
22
61.1%
Q1 - 2:11MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)21
38.5%
22
61.5%
Q1 - 2:29TORBosh 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jack 1 AST)20
36.4%
22
63.6%
Q1 - 2:38TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
38.9%
20
61.1%
Q1 - 2:41MIABosh BLOCK (1 BLK)20
39.5%
20
60.5%
Q1 - 2:54MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
40.8%
20
59.2%
Q1 - 2:54MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 220
39.2%
20
60.8%
Q1 - 2:54MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 220
40.9%
20
59.1%
Q1 - 3:05TORDeRozan Traveling Turnover (P3.T7)20
40.9%
20
59.1%
Q1 - 3:18MIABeasley Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)20
38.7%
20
61.3%
Q1 - 3:35TORDeRozan Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)20
40.9%
20
59.1%
Q1 - 3:40MIACalderon STEAL (1 STL)20
38.7%
20
61.3%
Q1 - 3:55TORWeems Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Calderon 4 AST)20
40.9%
20
59.1%
Q1 - 4:10MIAWade 1' Reverse Dunk (8 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)20
42.6%
18
57.4%
Q1 - 4:21MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
40.6%
18
59.4%
Q1 - 4:22TORMISS Calderon 14' Pullup Jump Shot18
39.9%
18
60.1%
Q1 - 4:33MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)18
38.3%
18
61.7%
Q1 - 4:33MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)17
37.9%
18
62.1%
Q1 - 4:46TORCalderon Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)16
36.4%
18
63.6%
Q1 - 5:06MIAO'Neal 1' Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)16
34.2%
18
65.8%
Q1 - 5:22TORJohnson Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Calderon 3 AST)14
32.5%
18
67.5%
Q1 - 5:40TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
34.2%
16
65.8%
Q1 - 5:40MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 114
34.5%
16
65.5%
Q1 - 5:54TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)12
32.5%
16
67.5%
Q1 - 6:03MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)12
36.1%
13
63.9%
Q1 - 6:14TORBosh Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)12
38.2%
13
61.8%
Q1 - 6:32MIAChalmers 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
36.1%
13
63.9%
Q1 - 6:43TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)10
34.3%
13
65.7%
Q1 - 6:43TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)10
34.8%
12
65.2%
Q1 - 7:01MIABeasley Tip Shot (4 PTS)10
36.0%
11
64.0%
Q1 - 7:03MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
34.2%
11
65.8%
Q1 - 7:03MIAMISS Chalmers 16' Jump Shot8
32.9%
11
67.1%
Q1 - 7:07MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
34.2%
11
65.8%
Q1 - 7:08TORMISS Turkoglu Tip Shot8
33.6%
11
66.4%
Q1 - 7:10TORTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
32.3%
11
67.7%
Q1 - 7:12TORMISS Calderon Driving Layup8
33.6%
11
66.4%
Q1 - 7:16TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
32.3%
11
67.7%
Q1 - 7:17MIAMISS O'Neal 4' Jump Shot8
32.9%
11
67.1%
Q1 - 7:41TORTurkoglu 17' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Bargnani 1 AST)8
34.2%
11
65.8%
Q1 - 7:55TORRAPTORS Rebound8
36.0%
9
64.0%
Q1 - 7:55MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot8
36.6%
9
63.4%
Q1 - 8:10TORBargnani 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
37.9%
9
62.1%
Q1 - 8:14TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
39.9%
7
60.1%
Q1 - 8:15TORMISS Calderon 17' Pullup Jump Shot8
41.3%
7
58.7%
Q1 - 8:24MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
39.9%
7
60.1%
Q1 - 8:24MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
39.5%
7
60.5%
Q1 - 8:41TORBosh 8' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)6
37.9%
7
62.1%
Q1 - 8:54TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
39.9%
5
60.1%
Q1 - 8:56MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
40.5%
5
59.5%
Q1 - 9:04TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)6
42.0%
5
58.0%
Q1 - 9:12MIAO'Neal 11' Turnaround Fadeaway (4 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)6
46.0%
2
54.0%
Q1 - 9:30TORBargnani Foul Turnover (P1.T3)4
43.9%
2
56.1%
Q1 - 9:48MIAO'Neal 3' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)4
42.0%
2
58.0%
Q1 - 9:50MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
40.0%
2
60.0%
Q1 - 9:52MIAMISS O'Neal 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup2
38.7%
2
61.3%
Q1 - 9:59TORDeRozan Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)2
40.0%
2
60.0%
Q1 - 10:14TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
38.0%
2
62.0%
Q1 - 10:15MIAMISS O'Neal 15' Jump Shot2
38.6%
2
61.4%
Q1 - 10:31MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
39.9%
2
60.1%
Q1 - 10:32TORMISS Bosh 7' Jump Hook Shot2
39.3%
2
60.7%
Q1 - 10:45MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
38.0%
2
62.0%
Q1 - 10:45MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
37.6%
2
62.4%
Q1 - 10:50MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
36.4%
2
63.6%
Q1 - 10:51TORMISS DeRozan 3PT Jump Shot0
35.8%
2
64.2%
Q1 - 11:00MIADeRozan STEAL (1 STL)0
34.5%
2
65.5%
Q1 - 11:08TORCalderon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
36.3%
2
63.7%
Q1 - 11:21TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
34.8%
2
65.2%
Q1 - 11:23MIAMISS Beasley 21' Jump Shot0
35.2%
2
64.8%
Q1 - 11:39TORBargnani 18' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)0
36.3%
2
63.7%
Q1 - 12:00TORJump Ball Bosh vs. O'Neal: Tip to Bargnani0
37.9%
0
62.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.05 52.3%
TOR
1.38 69.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
18
33
55%
TOR
15
20
75%
Midrange
MIA
14
33
42%
TOR
17
36
47%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
23
30%
46%
TOR
9
13.5
15
60%
90%
Free Throws
MIA
28
34
82%
TOR
29
36
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3054%15.0 / 28
M. Chalmers3079%15.0 / 19
M. Beasley2153%10.5 / 20
J. O'Neal1765%8.5 / 13
J. Jones531%2.5 / 8
C. Arroyo4100%2.0 / 2
D. Cook433%2.0 / 6
J. Anthony233%1.0 / 3
S. Randolph0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Bosh2976%14.5 / 19
A. Bargnani2475%12.0 / 16
H. Turkoglu1973%9.5 / 13
J. Jack1777%8.5 / 11
A. Johnson990%4.5 / 5
D. DeRozan770%3.5 / 5
J. Calderon542%2.5 / 6
M. Belinelli440%2.0 / 5
S. Weems450%2.0 / 4
P. Mensah-Bonsu2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
88
+19
-9
107
TOR
77
+10
-20
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.05 52.3%
TOR
1.38 69.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.7
111.0
MIA 116.5
TOR 123.7 +7.2
Pace
89.6
93.3
MIA 98.2 +2.3
TOR 95.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
15.3
MIA 14.7 +0.4
TOR 15.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.6%
52.1%
MIA 47.8%
TOR 64.1% +16.3%
TO %
13.6%
13.8%
MIA 9.6% +9.1%
TOR 18.7%
ORB %
26.0%
24.8%
MIA 30.6% +4.1%
TOR 26.5%
FTrt
29.6
31.9
MIA 38.2
TOR 50.7 +12.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.9%
56.4%
MIA 56.4%
TOR 68.3% +11.9%
STL %
8.1%
6.1%
MIA 7.2% +4.1%
TOR 3.1%
BLK %
9.4%
7.4%
MIA 1.8%
TOR 10.6% +8.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.1%
54.9%
MIA 52.3%
TOR 69.0% +16.7%
Rim FG%
62.0%
61.6%
MIA 54.5%
TOR 75.0% +20.5%
Mid FG%
40.8%
42.9%
MIA 42.4%
TOR 47.2% +4.8%
3P %
34.6%
37.1%
MIA 30.4%
TOR 60.0% +29.6%
FT %
75.2%
76.4%
MIA 82.4% +1.8%
TOR 80.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.8%
35.0%
MIA 37.1% +8.9%
TOR 28.2%
Mid Att. %
48.3%
43.9%
MIA 37.1% +13.6%
TOR 50.7%
3P Att. %
21.9%
21.1%
MIA 25.8% +4.7%
TOR 21.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIATOR
Possessions9797
Possession Minutes23.724.3
Points113120
Rebounds4043
Assists2228
Steals73
Blocks17
Turnovers (Team)9 (2)20 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (4)9 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (0)34 (1)
Field Goals39-8941-71
At-the-Rim FG18-3315-20
Midrange FG14-3317-36
2-Point FG32-6632-56
3-Point FG7-239-15
Free Throws28-3429-36
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 28
41.7
30
54%
5
8
2
0
0
2
0
5
9-10
90%
9-19
47%
1-5
20%
F · 6'9" 235 · 21
39.3
21
53%
12
2
1
0
2
6
6
6
4-4
100%
7-17
41%
1-1
100%
G · 6'2" 190 · 24
37.7
30
79%
1
3
3
0
2
2
0
1
7-9
78%
4-6
67%
5-9
56%
F · 6'8" 218 · 29
33.9
5
31%
4
4
0
0
1
4
2
2
1-3
33%
2-2
100%
0-5
0%
C · 6'11" 255 · 31
33.1
17
65%
4
3
1
1
2
5
3
1
3-3
100%
7-12
58%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 245 · 27
14.9
2
33%
7
0
0
0
2
3
2
5
0-1
0%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 200 · 30
13.4
4
100%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 23
12.8
4
33%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
F · 6'10" 236 · 26
8.2
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
0-4
0%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 24
5.0
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 265 · 32
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 27
#40 · F · 6'8" 235 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#11 · G · 6'2" 175 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#5 · F · 6'6" 228 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
113
52%
40
22
7
1
9
0
15
25
28-34
82%
32-66
48%
7-23
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.