FinalWin Prob.pScore
942%100
103
1058%102
105
ORTG#PossPace
HOU logo HOU
112.09297.8
ATL logo ATL
120.78782.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventHOUATL
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL103
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0HOUJohnson STEAL (2 STL)103
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)103
2.1%
105
97.9%
Q4 - 0:00.0ATLSmith Putback Dunk (9 PTS)103
2.1%
105
97.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0HOULandry Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)103
42.4%
103
57.6%
Q4 - 0:05.0HOULandry Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)102
32.8%
103
67.2%
Q4 - 0:09.0HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)101
18.2%
103
81.8%
Q4 - 0:10.0ATLMISS Bibby 27' 3PT Jump Shot101
12.9%
103
87.1%
Q4 - 0:30.0HOULowry Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)101
10.5%
103
89.5%
Q4 - 0:34.0ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)98
2.2%
103
97.8%
Q4 - 0:34.0ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 1 of 298
2.6%
102
97.4%
Q4 - 0:34.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)98
2.0%
102
98.0%
Q4 - 0:36.0HOUMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot98
2.5%
102
97.5%
Q4 - 0:46.0ATLJohnson Traveling Turnover (P4.T15)98
7.5%
102
92.5%
Q4 - 1:06HOULowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)98
5.6%
102
94.4%
Q4 - 1:06HOULowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)97
5.0%
102
95.0%
Q4 - 1:06HOURockets Rebound96
3.3%
102
96.7%
Q4 - 1:09ATLMISS Horford 9' Jump Shot96
2.9%
102
97.1%
Q4 - 1:30HOUAriza Dunk (16 PTS) (Lowry 7 AST)96
2.7%
102
97.3%
Q4 - 1:34ATLJump Ball Horford vs. Landry: Tip to Lowry94
1.9%
102
98.1%
Q4 - 1:54HOULowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)94
1.4%
102
98.6%
Q4 - 1:54HOULowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)93
1.2%
102
98.8%
Q4 - 2:07ATLCrawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Johnson 9 AST)92
0.9%
102
99.1%
Q4 - 2:33HOUScola 3' Layup (17 PTS) (Brooks 2 AST)92
2.0%
99
98.0%
Q4 - 2:56ATLHorford Running Dunk (16 PTS) (Johnson 8 AST)90
2.1%
99
97.9%
Q4 - 3:00HOUCrawford STEAL (3 STL)90
3.0%
97
97.0%
Q4 - 3:11ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)90
5.0%
97
95.0%
Q4 - 3:11ATLWilliams Putback Dunk (29 PTS)90
5.0%
97
95.0%
Q4 - 3:14ATLMISS Johnson 18' Fadeaway Jumper90
9.9%
95
90.1%
Q4 - 3:41HOUBrooks 3' Driving Layup (15 PTS)90
10.3%
95
89.7%
Q4 - 3:55ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)88
7.3%
95
92.7%
Q4 - 3:55ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)88
7.7%
94
92.3%
Q4 - 4:11HOUAriza Traveling Turnover (P3.T11)88
9.9%
93
90.1%
Q4 - 4:35ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)88
14.0%
93
86.0%
Q4 - 4:35ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)88
15.1%
92
84.9%
Q4 - 4:45HOUCrawford STEAL (2 STL)88
18.9%
91
81.1%
Q4 - 5:08ATLCrawford 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Johnson 7 AST)88
28.5%
91
71.5%
Q4 - 5:15ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)88
43.5%
88
56.5%
Q4 - 5:16HOUMISS Brooks 15' Jump Shot88
46.2%
88
53.8%
Q4 - 5:32ATLHorford Putback Layup (12 PTS)88
52.4%
88
47.6%
Q4 - 5:33ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)88
60.3%
86
39.7%
Q4 - 5:34ATLMISS Bibby 4' Driving Jump Shot88
66.1%
86
33.9%
Q4 - 5:43ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)88
60.3%
86
39.7%
Q4 - 5:45HOUMISS Battier 2' Driving Layup88
62.9%
86
37.1%
Q4 - 6:13ATLWilliams 3' Driving Layup (27 PTS)88
66.1%
86
33.9%
Q4 - 6:24ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)88
72.2%
84
27.8%
Q4 - 6:25HOUMISS Ariza 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
74.1%
84
25.9%
Q4 - 6:49ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)88
78.3%
84
21.7%
Q4 - 6:49ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)88
79.1%
83
20.9%
Q4 - 7:07HOUBrooks 1' Driving Layup (13 PTS)88
80.2%
82
19.8%
Q4 - 7:29ATLCrawford Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)86
76.0%
82
24.0%
Q4 - 7:29ATLMISS Crawford Free Throw 1 of 286
76.6%
81
23.4%
Q4 - 7:53HOULandry Dunk (16 PTS) (Andersen 2 AST)86
75.6%
81
24.4%
Q4 - 8:06HOUAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)84
68.5%
81
31.5%
Q4 - 8:10HOUMISS Lowry 7' Running Jump Shot84
64.7%
81
35.3%
Q4 - 8:28ATLHorford 4' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Crawford 2 AST)84
68.6%
81
31.4%
Q4 - 8:47HOUBudinger 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lowry 6 AST)84
74.1%
79
25.9%
Q4 - 9:00HOULowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)81
62.9%
79
37.1%
Q4 - 9:02ATLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
59.9%
79
40.1%
Q4 - 9:27HOULandry Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)81
56.0%
79
44.0%
Q4 - 9:27HOULandry Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)80
54.8%
79
45.2%
Q4 - 9:27HOULandry REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)79
49.9%
79
50.1%
Q4 - 9:28HOUSmith BLOCK (4 BLK)79
45.8%
79
54.2%
Q4 - 9:29HOULandry REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)79
49.9%
79
50.1%
Q4 - 9:32HOUSmith BLOCK (3 BLK)79
45.8%
79
54.2%
Q4 - 9:33HOULandry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)79
49.9%
79
50.1%
Q4 - 9:35HOUHorford BLOCK (2 BLK)79
45.8%
79
54.2%
Q4 - 9:54ATLHorford Foul Turnover (P1.T13)79
49.9%
79
50.1%
Q4 - 10:10HOUAndersen 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Lowry 5 AST)79
43.6%
79
56.4%
Q4 - 10:24ATLHorford 3' Hook Shot (8 PTS)77
38.3%
79
61.7%
Q4 - 10:44HOUBattier 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lowry 4 AST)77
43.7%
77
56.3%
Q4 - 10:56HOULandry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)74
33.1%
77
66.9%
Q4 - 10:58ATLMISS Crawford 29' 3PT Jump Shot74
31.6%
77
68.4%
Q4 - 11:05ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)74
29.1%
77
70.9%
Q4 - 11:06ATLMISS Williams 6' Jump Shot74
32.1%
77
67.9%
Q4 - 11:30HOUAndersen 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)74
29.0%
77
71.0%
Q4 - 11:44HOULandry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)72
24.7%
77
75.3%
Q4 - 11:46ATLMISS Johnson 14' Fadeaway Jumper72
23.5%
77
76.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOU72
21.0%
77
79.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOURockets Rebound72
24.7%
77
75.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Brooks 9' Running Jump Shot72
22.1%
77
77.9%
Q3 - 0:03.0ATLCrawford Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)72
25.3%
77
74.7%
Q3 - 0:05.0ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
22.0%
77
78.0%
Q3 - 0:06.0HOUPachulia BLOCK (3 BLK)72
23.0%
77
77.0%
Q3 - 0:30.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)72
25.3%
77
74.7%
Q3 - 0:30.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)72
25.9%
76
74.1%
Q3 - 0:37.0HOUBrooks 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS)72
29.7%
75
70.3%
Q3 - 0:44.0HOUBrooks REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)70
25.3%
75
74.7%
Q3 - 0:45.0ATLMISS Crawford 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
24.2%
75
75.8%
Q3 - 0:49.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)70
21.9%
75
78.1%
Q3 - 0:51.0ATLMISS Johnson 16' Fadeaway Jumper70
24.2%
75
75.8%
Q3 - 1:08ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)70
22.3%
75
77.7%
Q3 - 1:09HOUMISS Lowry Free Throw 2 of 270
22.7%
75
77.3%
Q3 - 1:09HOUMISS Lowry Free Throw 1 of 270
25.1%
75
74.9%
Q3 - 1:17ATLPachulia Foul Turnover (P3.T11)70
25.6%
75
74.4%
Q3 - 1:29HOULowry 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Landry 1 AST)70
22.3%
75
77.7%
Q3 - 1:32HOULandry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)67
16.0%
75
84.0%
Q3 - 1:34HOUMISS Ariza 2' Layup67
14.4%
75
85.6%
Q3 - 1:51ATLWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Crawford 1 AST)67
16.0%
75
84.0%
Q3 - 1:57HOUCrawford STEAL (1 STL)67
22.3%
72
77.7%
Q3 - 2:01ATLJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)67
26.2%
72
73.8%
Q3 - 2:10HOULandry 7' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS) (Lowry 3 AST)67
22.7%
72
77.3%
Q3 - 2:31ATLJohnson 18' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS)65
19.5%
72
80.5%
Q3 - 2:52HOULandry 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Ariza 2 AST)65
22.7%
70
77.3%
Q3 - 3:02HOUScola REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)63
20.4%
70
79.6%
Q3 - 3:04HOUMISS Landry 10' Fadeaway Jumper63
18.3%
70
81.7%
Q3 - 3:19ATLCrawford 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS)63
20.4%
70
79.6%
Q3 - 3:31ATLHAWKS Rebound63
23.2%
68
76.8%
Q3 - 3:32HOUMISS Lowry 3' Running Layup63
24.3%
68
75.7%
Q3 - 3:38HOULandry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
26.8%
68
73.2%
Q3 - 3:40ATLMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
25.7%
68
74.3%
Q3 - 3:56ATLHAWKS Rebound63
23.2%
68
76.8%
Q3 - 3:56HOUMISS Scola 9' Turnaround Jump Shot63
24.3%
68
75.7%
Q3 - 4:07ATLWilliams Running Dunk (22 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)63
27.4%
68
72.6%
Q3 - 4:11HOURockets Rebound63
30.4%
66
69.6%
Q3 - 4:11HOUCrawford BLOCK (1 BLK)63
31.7%
66
68.3%
Q3 - 4:11HOUBibby STEAL (1 STL)63
30.4%
66
69.6%
Q3 - 4:14HOUBrooks REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)63
34.8%
66
65.2%
Q3 - 4:15HOUPachulia BLOCK (2 BLK)63
31.7%
66
68.3%
Q3 - 4:39ATLPachulia Foul Turnover (P2.T9)63
34.8%
66
65.2%
Q3 - 4:52HOULowry Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)63
30.4%
66
69.6%
Q3 - 5:06HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)63
34.6%
66
65.4%
Q3 - 5:08ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 263
34.0%
66
66.0%
Q3 - 5:08ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 263
31.9%
66
68.1%
Q3 - 5:08ATLHAWKS Rebound63
30.4%
66
69.6%
Q3 - 5:09HOUMISS Brooks 26' 3PT Jump Shot63
31.7%
66
68.3%
Q3 - 5:23HOUScola REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)63
34.6%
66
65.4%
Q3 - 5:24ATLMISS Horford 17' Jump Shot63
33.3%
66
66.7%
Q3 - 5:45HOUScola 15' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Lowry 2 AST)63
30.4%
66
69.6%
Q3 - 5:52HOULowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
27.4%
66
72.6%
Q3 - 5:54HOUMISS Ariza 15' Jump Shot61
24.9%
66
75.1%
Q3 - 6:19ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)61
27.8%
66
72.2%
Q3 - 6:19ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)61
28.8%
65
71.2%
Q3 - 6:32ATLHAWKS Rebound61
30.8%
64
69.2%
Q3 - 6:34ATLMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot61
33.5%
64
66.5%
Q3 - 6:42HOUScola 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS)61
30.8%
64
69.2%
Q3 - 6:54HOURockets Rebound59
27.8%
64
72.2%
Q3 - 6:54HOUMISS Ariza 20' Jump Shot59
25.3%
64
74.7%
Q3 - 7:07ATLSmith Foul Turnover (P3.T8)59
28.0%
64
72.0%
Q3 - 7:16HOURockets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)59
24.8%
64
75.2%
Q3 - 7:16HOUScola REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)59
28.0%
64
72.0%
Q3 - 7:17HOUMISS Brooks 3' Driving Layup59
25.7%
64
74.3%
Q3 - 7:40ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)59
28.0%
64
72.0%
Q3 - 7:40ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)59
28.7%
63
71.3%
Q3 - 7:55HOUScola Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)59
31.0%
62
69.0%
Q3 - 7:55HOUScola Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)58
30.2%
62
69.8%
Q3 - 7:55HOUScola REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)57
28.0%
62
72.0%
Q3 - 7:57HOUMISS Hayes 3' Driving Layup57
25.7%
62
74.3%
Q3 - 8:14ATLBibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)57
28.1%
62
71.9%
Q3 - 8:28ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)57
34.4%
59
65.6%
Q3 - 8:29HOUMISS Brooks 6' Jump Shot57
35.5%
59
64.5%
Q3 - 8:38ATLJohnson 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS)57
38.1%
59
61.9%
Q3 - 8:59HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)57
41.5%
57
58.5%
Q3 - 8:59HOUAriza Tip Shot (14 PTS)57
41.5%
57
58.5%
Q3 - 9:01HOUMISS Hayes Putback Layup55
35.7%
57
64.3%
Q3 - 9:03HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:5 Def:0)55
38.1%
57
61.9%
Q3 - 9:05HOUMISS Battier 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
35.7%
57
64.3%
Q3 - 9:29HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
38.1%
57
61.9%
Q3 - 9:31ATLMISS Johnson 2' Driving Layup55
37.0%
57
63.0%
Q3 - 9:44ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)55
34.6%
57
65.4%
Q3 - 9:45ATLMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot55
37.0%
57
63.0%
Q3 - 10:08ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)55
34.7%
57
65.3%
Q3 - 10:10HOUMISS Scola 6' Jump Shot55
35.7%
57
64.3%
Q3 - 10:20HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)55
38.1%
57
61.9%
Q3 - 10:25HOUMISS Ariza 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
35.7%
57
64.3%
Q3 - 10:44ATLJohnson 6' Driving Jump Shot (9 PTS)55
38.1%
57
61.9%
Q3 - 11:04HOUScola Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)55
41.4%
55
58.6%
Q3 - 11:04HOUScola Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)54
40.6%
55
59.4%
Q3 - 11:12HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)53
38.2%
55
61.8%
Q3 - 11:13HOUMISS Battier 26' 3PT Jump Shot53
35.9%
55
64.1%
Q3 - 11:16HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)53
38.2%
55
61.8%
Q3 - 11:18HOUMISS Scola 2' Running Layup53
35.9%
55
64.1%
Q3 - 11:24HOUBrooks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)53
38.2%
55
61.8%
Q3 - 11:25ATLMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot53
37.2%
55
62.8%
Q3 - 11:47HOUBrooks 16' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS)53
34.8%
55
65.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL51
31.9%
55
68.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUBrooks 14' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)51
28.8%
55
71.2%
Q2 - 0:13.0ATLWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)49
26.4%
55
73.6%
Q2 - 0:33.0HOUAriza 3' Layup (12 PTS) (Brooks 1 AST)49
32.6%
52
67.4%
Q2 - 0:37.0HOUScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
29.1%
52
70.9%
Q2 - 0:39.0ATLMISS Williams 4' Running Jump Shot47
28.4%
52
71.6%
Q2 - 0:46.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
26.9%
52
73.1%
Q2 - 0:48.0HOUMISS Ariza 26' 3PT Jump Shot47
27.6%
52
72.4%
Q2 - 1:06HOURockets Rebound47
29.3%
52
70.7%
Q2 - 1:07ATLMISS Bibby 20' Jump Shot47
28.7%
52
71.3%
Q2 - 1:23HOUBrooks 5' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)47
27.3%
52
72.7%
Q2 - 1:42ATLCrawford 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)45
24.1%
52
75.9%
Q2 - 2:01ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
29.7%
49
70.3%
Q2 - 2:04HOUMISS Ariza 18' Turnaround Jump Shot45
30.5%
49
69.5%
Q2 - 2:12HOURockets Rebound45
32.6%
49
67.4%
Q2 - 2:12HOUHorford BLOCK (1 BLK)45
30.5%
49
69.5%
Q2 - 2:28ATLCrawford 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)45
32.6%
49
67.4%
Q2 - 2:53HOUAriza 1' Reverse Layup (10 PTS)45
35.3%
47
64.7%
Q2 - 3:11ATLWilliams 2' Running Layup (17 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)43
33.0%
47
67.0%
Q2 - 3:15ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
35.3%
45
64.7%
Q2 - 3:16HOUMISS Lowry 2' Running Layup43
36.3%
45
63.7%
Q2 - 3:25ATLJohnson 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)43
38.7%
45
61.3%
Q2 - 3:34HOULowry 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)43
41.2%
43
58.8%
Q2 - 3:56ATLSmith Foul Turnover (P2.T7)41
38.7%
43
61.3%
Q2 - 3:59ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)41
35.2%
43
64.8%
Q2 - 4:01HOUSmith BLOCK (2 BLK)41
36.3%
43
63.7%
Q2 - 4:08HOULowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
38.4%
43
61.6%
Q2 - 4:09ATLMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot41
37.5%
43
62.5%
Q2 - 4:34HOULandry 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Lowry 1 AST)41
35.3%
43
64.7%
Q2 - 4:46ATLBibby 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)39
32.9%
43
67.1%
Q2 - 5:00HOULandry Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)39
35.3%
41
64.7%
Q2 - 5:00HOULandry Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)38
34.8%
41
65.2%
Q2 - 5:17ATLWilliams 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS)37
33.0%
41
67.0%
Q2 - 5:24ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)37
35.7%
39
64.3%
Q2 - 5:25HOUMISS Andersen 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
36.5%
39
63.5%
Q2 - 5:51ATLJohnson 4' Driving Layup (5 PTS)37
38.4%
39
61.6%
Q2 - 6:07ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)37
41.0%
37
59.0%
Q2 - 6:09HOUMISS Andersen 5' Turnaround Jump Shot37
42.0%
37
58.0%
Q2 - 6:27ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)37
44.3%
37
55.7%
Q2 - 6:27ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 237
45.0%
36
55.0%
Q2 - 6:36HOUAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)37
43.9%
36
56.1%
Q2 - 6:36HOUAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)36
43.1%
36
56.9%
Q2 - 6:48ATLPachulia 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T6)35
41.5%
36
58.5%
Q2 - 7:03ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)35
38.4%
36
61.6%
Q2 - 7:05ATLMISS Crawford 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
40.4%
36
59.6%
Q2 - 7:15ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)35
38.4%
36
61.6%
Q2 - 7:17HOUPachulia BLOCK (1 BLK)35
39.3%
36
60.7%
Q2 - 7:42ATLSmith 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Teague 2 AST)35
41.3%
36
58.7%
Q2 - 8:06HOULandry 3' Running Layup (4 PTS) (Budinger 1 AST)35
43.7%
34
56.3%
Q2 - 8:11HOUAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
41.1%
34
58.9%
Q2 - 8:12ATLMISS Johnson 1' Driving Layup33
40.2%
34
59.8%
Q2 - 8:30HOUBattier 4' Driving Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)33
38.4%
34
61.6%
Q2 - 8:37HOURockets Rebound31
35.9%
34
64.1%
Q2 - 8:37HOUSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)31
34.1%
34
65.9%
Q2 - 8:55ATLCrawford Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)31
35.9%
34
64.1%
Q2 - 8:55ATLCrawford Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)31
36.2%
33
63.8%
Q2 - 9:03ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
38.1%
32
61.9%
Q2 - 9:06HOUMISS Andersen 15' Turnaround Jump Shot31
39.0%
32
61.0%
Q2 - 9:23ATLJohnson 2' Driving Layup (3 PTS)31
40.9%
32
59.1%
Q2 - 9:40ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
43.3%
30
56.7%
Q2 - 9:42HOUMISS Andersen 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
44.2%
30
55.8%
Q2 - 10:04HOUAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
46.0%
30
54.0%
Q2 - 10:05ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot31
45.2%
30
54.8%
Q2 - 10:21HOULowry 7' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)31
43.2%
30
56.8%
Q2 - 10:28HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)29
40.9%
30
59.1%
Q2 - 10:29ATLMISS Crawford 27' 3PT Jump Shot29
40.1%
30
59.9%
Q2 - 10:36ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)29
38.2%
30
61.8%
Q2 - 10:37HOUMISS Landry 18' Jump Shot29
39.0%
30
61.0%
Q2 - 10:53ATLCrawford 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)29
40.9%
30
59.1%
Q2 - 11:11HOUBudinger 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)29
43.2%
28
56.8%
Q2 - 11:29HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
38.3%
28
61.7%
Q2 - 11:31ATLMISS Johnson 16' Fadeaway Jumper26
37.6%
28
62.4%
Q2 - 11:48HOULandry Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)26
35.8%
28
64.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU26
38.4%
28
61.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLHAWKS Rebound26
35.8%
28
64.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Crawford 43' 3PT Jump Shot26
37.6%
28
62.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)26
36.1%
28
63.9%
Q1 - 0:02.0HOUMISS Ariza 3PT Jump Shot26
36.6%
28
63.4%
Q1 - 0:19.0HOUBudinger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
37.9%
28
62.1%
Q1 - 0:20.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
36.1%
28
63.9%
Q1 - 0:20.0ATLMISS Pachulia Tip Shot26
37.3%
28
62.7%
Q1 - 0:21.0ATLMISS Smith 4' Jump Shot26
37.3%
28
62.7%
Q1 - 0:36.0HOULandry Putback Dunk (2 PTS)26
36.1%
28
63.9%
Q1 - 0:36.0HOULandry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
33.4%
28
66.6%
Q1 - 0:37.0HOUMISS Budinger 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
32.2%
28
67.8%
Q1 - 0:49.0ATLCrawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)24
33.4%
28
66.6%
Q1 - 1:14HOUScola 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS)24
38.6%
25
61.4%
Q1 - 1:23ATLWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)22
35.7%
25
64.3%
Q1 - 1:31HOUAriza 27' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Scola 2 AST)22
34.2%
25
65.8%
Q1 - 1:47HOUScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
29.4%
25
70.6%
Q1 - 1:49ATLMISS Crawford 10' Jump Shot19
29.0%
25
71.0%
Q1 - 2:04ATLHAWKS Rebound19
28.2%
25
71.8%
Q1 - 2:04HOUMISS Hayes 2' Reverse Layup19
28.7%
25
71.3%
Q1 - 2:12ATLWilliams 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)19
29.9%
25
70.1%
Q1 - 2:29HOUAriza 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Scola 1 AST)19
32.2%
23
67.8%
Q1 - 2:33ATLSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)16
27.9%
23
72.1%
Q1 - 2:35ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)16
26.4%
23
73.6%
Q1 - 2:36HOUMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
26.9%
23
73.1%
Q1 - 3:01ATLWilliams 16' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)16
28.3%
23
71.7%
Q1 - 3:20HOUAriza Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)16
30.1%
21
69.9%
Q1 - 3:41ATLWilliams Running Dunk (9 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)16
32.1%
21
67.9%
Q1 - 3:44HOUJohnson STEAL (1 STL)16
34.1%
19
65.9%
Q1 - 4:02ATLWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)16
36.2%
19
63.8%
Q1 - 4:18ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)16
40.3%
16
59.7%
Q1 - 4:21HOUMISS Scola 8' Turnaround Jump Shot16
41.0%
16
59.0%
Q1 - 4:32HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
42.6%
16
57.4%
Q1 - 4:34ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)16
40.3%
16
59.7%
Q1 - 4:34ATLMISS Williams Tip Shot16
41.9%
16
58.1%
Q1 - 4:35ATLMISS Johnson 3' Driving Jump Shot16
41.9%
16
58.1%
Q1 - 4:40ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)16
40.3%
16
59.7%
Q1 - 4:42HOUSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)16
41.0%
16
59.0%
Q1 - 4:56ATLSmith Putback Layup (5 PTS)16
42.6%
16
57.4%
Q1 - 4:58ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)16
44.7%
14
55.3%
Q1 - 4:59ATLMISS Horford 11' Turnaround Jump Shot16
46.3%
14
53.7%
Q1 - 5:23HOUAriza Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)16
44.4%
14
55.6%
Q1 - 5:40HOUScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
46.7%
14
53.3%
Q1 - 5:43ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 216
46.4%
14
53.6%
Q1 - 5:43ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)16
44.9%
14
55.1%
Q1 - 5:43ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)16
46.5%
13
53.5%
Q1 - 5:44ATLMISS Johnson 2' Layup16
48.2%
13
51.8%
Q1 - 5:49ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
46.5%
13
53.5%
Q1 - 5:51ATLMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
48.2%
13
51.8%
Q1 - 6:04HOUBrooks 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)16
46.3%
13
53.7%
Q1 - 6:13ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)13
42.2%
13
57.8%
Q1 - 6:13ATLWilliams Tip Shot (4 PTS)13
42.2%
13
57.8%
Q1 - 6:15ATLMISS Smith Putback Layup13
45.7%
11
54.3%
Q1 - 6:17ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
44.2%
11
55.8%
Q1 - 6:18ATLMISS Smith 2' Layup13
45.7%
11
54.3%
Q1 - 6:44HOUScola 2' Running Layup (5 PTS)13
44.2%
11
55.8%
Q1 - 6:49ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)11
42.2%
11
57.8%
Q1 - 6:56ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
40.1%
11
59.9%
Q1 - 6:57HOUMISS Scola 16' Jump Shot11
40.7%
11
59.3%
Q1 - 7:18ATLHorford 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
42.1%
11
57.9%
Q1 - 7:36HOUScola Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)11
44.0%
9
56.0%
Q1 - 7:51ATLHorford 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS)11
46.2%
9
53.8%
Q1 - 8:08HOUHayes Putback Layup (6 PTS)11
48.1%
7
51.9%
Q1 - 8:09HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)9
46.0%
7
54.0%
Q1 - 8:11HOUMISS Battier 9' Running Jump Shot9
44.6%
7
55.4%
Q1 - 8:27ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)9
46.0%
7
54.0%
Q1 - 8:27ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 29
46.6%
6
53.4%
Q1 - 8:27ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
46.0%
6
54.0%
Q1 - 8:29ATLMISS Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
47.4%
6
52.6%
Q1 - 8:45ATLHAWKS Rebound9
46.0%
6
54.0%
Q1 - 8:46HOUMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
46.6%
6
53.4%
Q1 - 8:51HOUScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
48.1%
6
51.9%
Q1 - 8:52ATLMISS Johnson 2' Driving Layup9
47.4%
6
52.6%
Q1 - 9:16HOUAriza Dunk (2 PTS)9
46.1%
6
53.9%
Q1 - 9:19ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)7
44.0%
6
56.0%
Q1 - 9:33HOUScola Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)7
42.2%
6
57.8%
Q1 - 9:33HOUMISS Scola Free Throw 1 of 26
41.7%
6
58.3%
Q1 - 9:36ATLBibby Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
42.1%
6
57.9%
Q1 - 9:39ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
40.2%
6
59.8%
Q1 - 9:41HOUMISS Brooks 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
40.8%
6
59.2%
Q1 - 9:53ATLWilliams Dunk (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)6
42.1%
6
57.9%
Q1 - 10:07HOUHayes Putback Layup (4 PTS)6
43.6%
4
56.4%
Q1 - 10:09HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)4
42.0%
4
58.0%
Q1 - 10:10HOUMISS Ariza 5' Running Jump Shot4
40.6%
4
59.4%
Q1 - 10:37ATLBibby 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)4
42.0%
4
58.0%
Q1 - 10:52HOUScola 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)4
43.7%
2
56.3%
Q1 - 11:00HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
42.0%
2
58.0%
Q1 - 11:03ATLMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot2
41.1%
2
58.9%
Q1 - 11:20HOUHayes Putback Layup (2 PTS)2
40.0%
2
60.0%
Q1 - 11:22HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
38.3%
2
61.7%
Q1 - 11:24HOUMISS Scola 19' Jump Shot0
37.2%
2
62.8%
Q1 - 11:32HOUBrooks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
38.3%
2
61.7%
Q1 - 11:33HOUMISS Battier 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
37.2%
2
62.8%
Q1 - 11:54ATLSmith Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)0
38.3%
2
61.7%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Smith vs. Scola: Tip to Horford0
40.0%
0
60.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
0.98 49.0%
ATL
1.13 56.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
HOU
23
44
52%
ATL
18
30
60%
Midrange
HOU
9
26
35%
ATL
13
28
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
HOU
7
10.5
22
32%
48%
ATL
8
12.0
20
40%
60%
Free Throws
HOU
18
21
86%
ATL
19
26
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Landry1856%9.0 / 16
L. Scola1757%8.5 / 15
T. Ariza1644%8.0 / 18
A. Brooks1547%7.5 / 16
K. Lowry1458%7.0 / 12
C. Hayes650%3.0 / 6
C. Budinger6100%3.0 / 3
D. Andersen643%3.0 / 7
S. Battier531%2.5 / 8
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Williams2976%14.5 / 19
J. Crawford2170%10.5 / 15
J. Johnson1943%9.5 / 22
A. Horford1771%8.5 / 12
J. Smith945%4.5 / 10
M. Bibby739%3.5 / 9
J. Smith250%1.0 / 2
Z. Pachulia125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

HOU
80
+25
-12
105
ATL
72
+17
-15
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
0.98 49.0%
ATL
1.13 56.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.6
112.2
HOU 112.0
ATL 120.7 +8.7
Pace
94.1
89.9
HOU 97.8 +15.7
ATL 82.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
16.2
HOU 14.7 +2.8
ATL 17.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.4%
50.6%
HOU 46.2%
ATL 55.1% +8.9%
TO %
14.5%
12.7%
HOU 11.4% +3.0%
ATL 14.4%
ORB %
27.0%
28.3%
HOU 45.5% +5.0%
ATL 40.5%
FTrt
29.2
28.1
HOU 22.8
ATL 33.3 +10.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.9%
56.2%
HOU 46.2%
ATL 53.8% +7.6%
STL %
7.5%
8.0%
HOU 7.6% +0.7%
ATL 6.9%
BLK %
5.8%
7.9%
HOU 0.0%
ATL 15.7% +15.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.5%
53.3%
HOU 49.0%
ATL 56.5% +7.5%
Rim FG%
55.7%
60.8%
HOU 52.3%
ATL 60.0% +7.7%
Mid FG%
40.4%
40.6%
HOU 34.6%
ATL 46.4% +11.8%
3P %
35.1%
36.0%
HOU 31.8%
ATL 40.0% +8.2%
FT %
77.3%
75.9%
HOU 85.7% +12.6%
ATL 73.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.3%
35.5%
HOU 47.8% +9.4%
ATL 38.5%
Mid Att. %
36.2%
43.1%
HOU 28.3% +7.6%
ATL 35.9%
3P Att. %
26.5%
21.4%
HOU 23.9%
ATL 25.6% +1.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsHOUATL
Possessions9287
Possession Minutes22.625.4
Points103105
Rebounds4239
Assists1821
Steals76
Blocks011
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)20 (5)15 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)22 (2)24 (5)
Field Goals39-9239-78
At-the-Rim FG23-4418-30
Midrange FG9-2613-28
2-Point FG32-7031-58
3-Point FG7-228-20
Free Throws18-2119-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'8" 215 · 24
37.5
16
44%
8
2
1
0
3
1
2
6
0-0
-
5-10
50%
2-8
25%
C · 6'9" 241 · 30
34.7
17
57%
10
2
2
0
3
2
4
6
5-6
83%
6-12
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 31
31.8
5
31%
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-5
20%
G · 6'0" 161 · 25
31.8
15
47%
4
2
0
0
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
6-13
46%
1-3
33%
F · 6'6" 240 · 26
17.0
6
50%
5
0
0
0
0
4
5
0
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 248 · 26
31.0
18
56%
8
1
1
0
2
3
5
3
6-6
100%
6-14
43%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 196 · 24
28.0
14
58%
3
7
2
0
2
2
1
2
5-7
71%
3-8
38%
1-1
100%
F · 6'7" 209 · 21
14.9
6
100%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-3
67%
· 6'11" 247 · 29
13.3
6
43%
3
2
0
0
0
5
1
2
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
0-2
0%
G · 6'4" 210 · 23
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 29
#15 · · 6'8" 268 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#11 · C · 7'6" 310 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#3 · G-F · 6'8" 225 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
103
49%
42
18
7
0
12
0
20
22
18-21
86%
32-70
46%
7-22
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.