FinalWin Prob.pScore
1841%97
95
1659%100
115
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo TOR
99.096100.5
MIA logo MIA
119.89692.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA95
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)95
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAMISS Anthony Tip Shot95
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)95
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:39.0TORBanks Layup (9 PTS) (Weems 3 AST)95
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:43.0MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)93
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)93
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 1:00TORMISS Mensah-Bonsu Free Throw 2 of 293
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 1:00TORMISS Mensah-Bonsu Free Throw 1 of 293
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 1:12MIAAnthony Tip Shot (9 PTS)93
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)93
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 1:14MIAMISS Beasley 8' Running Jump Shot93
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 1:27TORBanks Driving Reverse Layup (7 PTS)93
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 1:31TORWeems REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)91
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 1:32MIAMISS Anthony Dunk91
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 1:47TORBanks 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)91
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 2:11MIADiawara Dunk (2 PTS) (Chalmers 8 AST)88
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 2:16TORChalmers STEAL (2 STL)88
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 2:29TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)88
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 2:30MIAMISS Beasley 14' Jump Shot88
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 2:55TORNesterovic 4' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Mensah-Bonsu 1 AST)88
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 3:10TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)86
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 3:11MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 286
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 3:11MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)86
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 3:21MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)86
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:22TORCook BLOCK (1 BLK)86
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:44MIABeasley 20' Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Wright 3 AST)86
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 4:06MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)86
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:07TORWright BLOCK (1 BLK)86
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:15TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)86
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:16MIAMISS Beasley 16' Jump Shot86
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:24TORWeems Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)86
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:25TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)86
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:26MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:50TORMensah-Bonsu Layup (2 PTS) (Weems 2 AST)86
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 5:04TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)84
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 5:05MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 5:15TORCook STEAL (1 STL)84
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 5:31MIACook Driving Layup (5 PTS)84
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 5:40MIACook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)84
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 5:41TORMISS DeRozan 15' Jump Shot84
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 5:56MIAWright 9' Running Jump Shot (16 PTS)84
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:10MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)84
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 6:11TORMISS Nesterovic 21' Jump Shot84
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 6:26MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)84
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 6:49TORBanks 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)84
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 6:57TORMensah-Bonsu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 6:58MIAMISS Haslem 15' Fadeaway Jumper82
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 7:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)82
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 7:10TORMISS DeRozan 20' Jump Shot82
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 7:25MIACook Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)82
0.4%
102
99.6%
Q4 - 7:42TORNesterovic Layup (2 PTS) (Weems 1 AST)82
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 8:02MIAWright Putback Dunk (14 PTS)80
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 8:03MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)80
0.5%
100
99.5%
Q4 - 8:04MIAMISS Beasley 19' Jump Shot80
0.5%
100
99.5%
Q4 - 8:26TORDeRozan 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)80
0.4%
100
99.6%
Q4 - 8:42MIAWright 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Chalmers 7 AST)78
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 9:00TORWeems Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)78
0.6%
97
99.4%
Q4 - 9:08TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
1.0%
97
99.0%
Q4 - 9:09MIAMISS Beasley 5' Running Hook Shot78
1.0%
97
99.0%
Q4 - 9:28TORBargnani Reverse Layup (14 PTS)78
0.8%
97
99.2%
Q4 - 9:46MIAWright Dunk (9 PTS)76
0.6%
97
99.4%
Q4 - 9:50TORWright STEAL (1 STL)76
0.8%
95
99.2%
Q4 - 10:02MIABeasley 20' Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)76
1.3%
95
98.7%
Q4 - 10:14TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)76
1.6%
93
98.4%
Q4 - 10:14TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)75
1.5%
93
98.5%
Q4 - 10:24MIABeasley 17' Jump Shot (24 PTS)74
1.3%
93
98.7%
Q4 - 10:40TORJack Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P4.T8)74
1.6%
91
98.4%
Q4 - 10:44TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)74
2.0%
91
98.0%
Q4 - 10:45MIAMISS Wright Reverse Layup74
1.9%
91
98.1%
Q4 - 10:46MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)74
1.6%
91
98.4%
Q4 - 10:47MIAMISS Wright Layup74
1.9%
91
98.1%
Q4 - 11:06MIAHEAT Rebound74
2.0%
91
98.0%
Q4 - 11:07TORMISS Bosh 17' Turnaround Jump Shot74
2.1%
91
97.9%
Q4 - 11:20TORWeems REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
2.4%
91
97.6%
Q4 - 11:21MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot74
2.3%
91
97.7%
Q4 - 11:41MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)74
1.9%
91
98.1%
Q4 - 11:42TORMISS Turkoglu Driving Layup74
2.1%
91
97.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0TOR74
2.4%
91
97.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0TORRaptors Rebound74
2.4%
91
97.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0TORMISS Turkoglu 68' 3PT Jump Shot74
2.1%
91
97.9%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAWright 8' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)74
2.8%
91
97.2%
Q3 - 0:16.0TORWeems 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)74
3.4%
89
96.6%
Q3 - 0:30.0MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)72
2.8%
89
97.2%
Q3 - 0:30.0MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)72
2.9%
88
97.1%
Q3 - 0:36.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
3.4%
87
96.6%
Q3 - 0:37.0TORMISS Turkoglu 20' Fadeaway Jumper72
3.6%
87
96.4%
Q3 - 0:49.0TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)72
4.1%
87
95.9%
Q3 - 0:52.0MIAMISS Wade Layup72
3.9%
87
96.1%
Q3 - 1:11TORBelinelli Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)72
3.8%
87
96.2%
Q3 - 1:11TORBelinelli Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)71
3.6%
87
96.4%
Q3 - 1:14MIAHaslem Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)70
3.1%
87
96.9%
Q3 - 1:28MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)70
2.6%
87
97.4%
Q3 - 1:29TORMISS Bargnani 18' Jump Shot70
2.7%
87
97.3%
Q3 - 1:45MIAChalmers 16' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)70
3.0%
87
97.0%
Q3 - 2:14TORWeems 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bargnani 2 AST)70
4.2%
85
95.8%
Q3 - 2:35MIAAnthony Tip Shot (4 PTS)68
3.5%
85
96.5%
Q3 - 2:36MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)68
4.1%
83
95.9%
Q3 - 2:37MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup68
4.7%
83
95.3%
Q3 - 2:45MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)68
4.1%
83
95.9%
Q3 - 2:46TORMISS Belinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
4.4%
83
95.6%
Q3 - 2:58MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (19 PTS)68
4.9%
83
95.1%
Q3 - 3:30TORJohnson Layup (4 PTS) (Bosh 4 AST)68
6.5%
81
93.5%
Q3 - 3:40MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P4.T9)66
5.5%
81
94.5%
Q3 - 3:45MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
4.6%
81
95.4%
Q3 - 3:46TORMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot66
4.9%
81
95.1%
Q3 - 4:01MIAWade Reverse Layup (17 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)66
6.0%
81
94.0%
Q3 - 4:19TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)66
6.8%
79
93.2%
Q3 - 4:19TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)65
6.6%
79
93.4%
Q3 - 4:26TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)64
6.0%
79
94.0%
Q3 - 4:27MIAMISS Arroyo 19' Jump Shot64
5.6%
79
94.4%
Q3 - 4:36MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
4.9%
79
95.1%
Q3 - 4:37TORMISS Belinelli 19' Jump Shot64
5.2%
79
94.8%
Q3 - 4:52MIAArroyo 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS)64
5.9%
79
94.1%
Q3 - 5:14TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)64
7.3%
77
92.7%
Q3 - 5:14TORMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 263
7.1%
77
92.9%
Q3 - 5:25TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)63
7.4%
77
92.6%
Q3 - 5:26MIAMISS O'Neal 18' Jump Shot63
7.0%
77
93.0%
Q3 - 5:46MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
6.2%
77
93.8%
Q3 - 5:47TORMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
6.5%
77
93.5%
Q3 - 6:04MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)63
8.0%
77
92.0%
Q3 - 6:28MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)63
10.5%
74
89.5%
Q3 - 6:29TORMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 263
10.7%
74
89.3%
Q3 - 6:29TORMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 263
11.7%
74
88.3%
Q3 - 6:44MIAArroyo 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS)63
12.3%
74
87.7%
Q3 - 7:00TORTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)63
13.9%
72
86.1%
Q3 - 7:00TORTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)62
13.6%
72
86.4%
Q3 - 7:12MIAArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)61
12.9%
72
87.1%
Q3 - 7:12MIAArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)61
13.2%
71
86.8%
Q3 - 7:15TORArroyo STEAL (1 STL)61
14.6%
70
85.4%
Q3 - 7:31MIABeasley Driving Layup (22 PTS)61
16.8%
70
83.2%
Q3 - 7:39MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)61
18.9%
68
81.1%
Q3 - 7:40TORMISS Bargnani 8' Turnaround Jump Shot61
19.7%
68
80.3%
Q3 - 7:57TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
21.6%
68
78.4%
Q3 - 7:58MIAMISS Diawara 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
20.7%
68
79.3%
Q3 - 8:06MIAHEAT Rebound61
19.2%
68
80.8%
Q3 - 8:07MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot61
21.0%
68
79.0%
Q3 - 8:11MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
19.2%
68
80.8%
Q3 - 8:12TORMISS Turkoglu 16' Jump Shot61
19.9%
68
80.1%
Q3 - 8:20TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
21.8%
68
78.2%
Q3 - 8:21MIAMISS Beasley 18' Jump Shot61
21.0%
68
79.0%
Q3 - 8:36TORBosh 19' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Bargnani 1 AST)61
19.1%
68
80.9%
Q3 - 8:41TORRaptors Rebound59
17.1%
68
82.9%
Q3 - 8:42TORO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)59
15.5%
68
84.5%
Q3 - 8:55MIAO'Neal 6' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)59
17.1%
68
82.9%
Q3 - 9:05MIADiawara REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
19.6%
66
80.4%
Q3 - 9:06TORMISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
20.3%
66
79.7%
Q3 - 9:24MIAO'Neal 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)59
22.0%
66
78.0%
Q3 - 9:36TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)59
24.6%
64
75.4%
Q3 - 9:51MIAArroyo Free Throw 3 of 3 (6 PTS)56
19.6%
64
80.4%
Q3 - 9:51MIAMISS Arroyo Free Throw 2 of 356
19.9%
63
80.1%
Q3 - 9:51MIAArroyo Free Throw 1 of 3 (5 PTS)56
18.1%
63
81.9%
Q3 - 10:05TORBosh 16' Jump Shot (18 PTS)56
22.4%
62
77.6%
Q3 - 10:21TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)54
20.0%
62
80.0%
Q3 - 10:22MIAMISS Diawara 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
19.3%
62
80.7%
Q3 - 10:43TORBosh 5' Jump Hook Shot (16 PTS)54
17.8%
62
82.2%
Q3 - 10:59MIABeasley 19' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Diawara 2 AST)52
15.8%
62
84.2%
Q3 - 11:23TORBosh 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS)52
18.2%
60
81.8%
Q3 - 11:39TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)50
16.3%
60
83.7%
Q3 - 11:41MIAMISS O'Neal 15' Turnaround Jump Shot50
15.7%
60
84.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0TOR50
14.4%
60
85.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)50
16.3%
60
83.7%
Q2 - 0:20.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
15.4%
60
84.6%
Q2 - 0:21.0TORMISS Turkoglu 16' Jump Shot50
15.8%
60
84.2%
Q2 - 0:50.0MIAO'Neal Dunk (6 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)50
16.7%
60
83.3%
Q2 - 1:07TORJack Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)50
19.6%
58
80.4%
Q2 - 1:07TORJack Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)49
19.3%
58
80.7%
Q2 - 1:16MIAWade Driving Dunk (12 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)48
17.1%
58
82.9%
Q2 - 1:28TORTurkoglu Free Throw 3 of 3 (10 PTS)48
19.6%
56
80.4%
Q2 - 1:28TORMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 2 of 347
19.2%
56
80.8%
Q2 - 1:28TORMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 1 of 347
20.9%
56
79.1%
Q2 - 1:41MIAWade Driving Layup (10 PTS)47
19.0%
56
81.0%
Q2 - 1:49MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)47
21.7%
54
78.3%
Q2 - 1:50TORMISS Bargnani 13' Jump Shot47
22.2%
54
77.8%
Q2 - 2:06TORWeems REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
24.0%
54
76.0%
Q2 - 2:07MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot47
23.2%
54
76.8%
Q2 - 2:30TORTurkoglu 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS)47
21.6%
54
78.4%
Q2 - 2:36TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)45
19.6%
54
80.4%
Q2 - 2:37MIAMISS O'Neal 11' Jump Shot45
18.9%
54
81.1%
Q2 - 2:58TORWeems 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)45
17.6%
54
82.4%
Q2 - 3:15MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)43
16.4%
54
83.6%
Q2 - 3:15MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)43
16.7%
53
83.3%
Q2 - 3:17MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
17.8%
52
82.2%
Q2 - 3:18TORMISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
18.5%
52
81.5%
Q2 - 3:33MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)43
20.1%
52
79.9%
Q2 - 3:37MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
17.8%
52
82.2%
Q2 - 3:39TORMISS Bosh Driving Layup43
18.5%
52
81.5%
Q2 - 3:55MIABeasley Alley Oop Dunk (16 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)43
20.1%
52
79.9%
Q2 - 3:59MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)43
21.8%
50
78.2%
Q2 - 4:00TORBeasley BLOCK (1 BLK)43
22.6%
50
77.4%
Q2 - 4:09TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
24.5%
50
75.5%
Q2 - 4:10MIAMISS O'Neal Layup43
23.8%
50
76.2%
Q2 - 4:16MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
22.1%
50
77.9%
Q2 - 4:17TORO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)43
22.8%
50
77.2%
Q2 - 4:40MIAChalmers Driving Layup (4 PTS)43
24.5%
50
75.5%
Q2 - 4:44TORChalmers STEAL (1 STL)43
26.6%
48
73.4%
Q2 - 5:00MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)43
29.3%
48
70.7%
Q2 - 5:00MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)43
29.8%
47
70.2%
Q2 - 5:00MIAHEAT Rebound43
31.7%
46
68.3%
Q2 - 5:01MIAMISS O'Neal 18' Jump Shot43
33.9%
46
66.1%
Q2 - 5:08MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
32.1%
46
67.9%
Q2 - 5:09TORMISS DeRozan Layup43
32.9%
46
67.1%
Q2 - 5:10TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)43
34.7%
46
65.3%
Q2 - 5:13TORMISS Mensah-Bonsu Alley Oop Dunk43
32.9%
46
67.1%
Q2 - 5:19TORJack REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
34.7%
46
65.3%
Q2 - 5:20MIAMISS Beasley Driving Layup43
33.9%
46
66.1%
Q2 - 5:34TORBosh 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Turkoglu 4 AST)43
32.1%
46
67.9%
Q2 - 5:54MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)41
29.5%
46
70.5%
Q2 - 5:56MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)41
34.7%
43
65.3%
Q2 - 5:58TORMISS Jack Driving Layup41
35.5%
43
64.5%
Q2 - 6:02TORJack REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
37.7%
43
62.3%
Q2 - 6:03TORMISS Belinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
35.5%
43
64.5%
Q2 - 6:13TORTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
37.7%
43
62.3%
Q2 - 6:15MIAMISS Beasley 18' Jump Shot41
36.7%
43
63.3%
Q2 - 6:35TORTurkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)41
34.6%
43
65.4%
Q2 - 6:50MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)38
29.9%
43
70.1%
Q2 - 6:50MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)38
30.3%
42
69.7%
Q2 - 6:59TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)38
32.0%
41
68.0%
Q2 - 6:59TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)37
31.6%
41
68.4%
Q2 - 7:13MIABeasley Putback Layup (12 PTS)36
29.9%
41
70.1%
Q2 - 7:14MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)36
32.3%
39
67.7%
Q2 - 7:15MIAMISS Wright 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
34.1%
39
65.9%
Q2 - 7:23MIACook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)36
32.2%
39
67.8%
Q2 - 7:24MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
34.1%
39
65.9%
Q2 - 7:39TORTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)36
32.2%
39
67.8%
Q2 - 7:39TORTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)35
31.8%
39
68.2%
Q2 - 7:47MIABeasley 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)34
29.9%
39
70.1%
Q2 - 8:06TORBosh Layup (8 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)34
32.4%
37
67.6%
Q2 - 8:27MIABeasley 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)32
30.1%
37
69.9%
Q2 - 8:47TORBargnani Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)32
32.4%
35
67.6%
Q2 - 8:47TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)31
32.1%
35
67.9%
Q2 - 9:05MIABeasley Tip Shot (6 PTS)30
30.1%
35
69.9%
Q2 - 9:06MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
32.3%
33
67.7%
Q2 - 9:08MIAMISS Wright Driving Layup30
34.0%
33
66.0%
Q2 - 9:25MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
32.3%
33
67.7%
Q2 - 9:26TORMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
33.1%
33
66.9%
Q2 - 9:43MIACook 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)30
34.8%
33
65.2%
Q2 - 10:07TORBelinelli Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)30
39.6%
30
60.4%
Q2 - 10:07TORBelinelli Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)29
39.2%
30
60.8%
Q2 - 10:24MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)28
37.4%
30
62.6%
Q2 - 10:24MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)28
37.8%
29
62.2%
Q2 - 10:24TORBelinelli Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)28
39.6%
28
60.4%
Q2 - 10:24TORBelinelli Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)27
39.2%
28
60.8%
Q2 - 10:26MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)26
37.4%
28
62.6%
Q2 - 10:39TORJohnson Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T5)26
34.7%
28
65.3%
Q2 - 10:39TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
37.4%
28
62.6%
Q2 - 10:40TORMISS Belinelli Reverse Layup26
35.5%
28
64.5%
Q2 - 11:03MIAWright 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
37.3%
28
62.7%
Q2 - 11:32TORBosh 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T4)26
39.6%
26
60.4%
Q2 - 11:45MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)26
42.2%
26
57.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0TOR26
44.6%
24
55.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0TORRaptors Rebound26
47.3%
24
52.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0TORMISS Belinelli 66' 3PT Jump Shot26
45.4%
24
54.6%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)26
46.4%
24
53.6%
Q1 - 0:23.0TORTurkoglu 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
49.4%
22
50.6%
Q1 - 0:35.0TORBanks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
46.5%
22
53.5%
Q1 - 0:36.0MIAMISS Cook 21' Jump Shot24
45.9%
22
54.1%
Q1 - 1:01TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)24
44.4%
22
55.6%
Q1 - 1:01TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)23
44.0%
22
56.0%
Q1 - 1:01TORRaptors Rebound22
41.4%
22
58.6%
Q1 - 1:01TORMISS Belinelli 20' Jump Shot22
40.3%
22
59.7%
Q1 - 1:14TORBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
41.4%
22
58.6%
Q1 - 1:17MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup22
40.9%
22
59.1%
Q1 - 1:30MIAHEAT Rebound22
39.8%
22
60.2%
Q1 - 1:31MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup22
40.9%
22
59.1%
Q1 - 1:38MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
39.8%
22
60.2%
Q1 - 1:39TORMISS Banks 14' Jump Shot22
40.3%
22
59.7%
Q1 - 2:03MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)22
41.7%
22
58.3%
Q1 - 2:27TORBargnani 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)22
44.3%
20
55.7%
Q1 - 2:41TORRaptors Rebound20
41.6%
20
58.4%
Q1 - 2:41MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot20
41.1%
20
58.9%
Q1 - 2:58TORJohnson 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Belinelli 1 AST)20
39.8%
20
60.2%
Q1 - 3:18MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)18
37.4%
20
62.6%
Q1 - 3:18MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)18
38.1%
19
61.9%
Q1 - 3:18MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
39.5%
18
60.5%
Q1 - 3:19MIAMISS Wade 4' Jump Shot18
41.1%
18
58.9%
Q1 - 3:36TORBargnani Driving Layup (8 PTS)18
39.5%
18
60.5%
Q1 - 3:41TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
37.4%
18
62.6%
Q1 - 3:42TORMISS Belinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
35.9%
18
64.1%
Q1 - 4:06MIADiawara Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)16
37.2%
18
62.8%
Q1 - 4:14MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
35.0%
18
65.0%
Q1 - 4:15TORMISS Weems 11' Running Jump Shot16
35.7%
18
64.3%
Q1 - 4:24TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
37.2%
18
62.8%
Q1 - 4:25MIAMISS Diawara Layup16
36.5%
18
63.5%
Q1 - 4:27MIADiawara REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
35.0%
18
65.0%
Q1 - 4:27MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot16
36.5%
18
63.5%
Q1 - 4:46TORBargnani 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)16
35.0%
18
65.0%
Q1 - 5:09MIAWade Driving Dunk (6 PTS)14
33.3%
18
66.7%
Q1 - 5:24TORBosh 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
35.0%
16
65.0%
Q1 - 5:33TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
33.3%
16
66.7%
Q1 - 5:34MIAMISS Diawara 18' Jump Shot12
32.6%
16
67.4%
Q1 - 5:45MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
31.2%
16
68.8%
Q1 - 5:46TORMISS Jack 18' Jump Shot12
31.8%
16
68.2%
Q1 - 6:01MIADiawara Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)12
33.2%
16
66.8%
Q1 - 6:14MIABeasley Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)12
31.3%
16
68.7%
Q1 - 6:14TORDeRozan Driving Layup (2 PTS)12
33.1%
15
66.9%
Q1 - 6:29MIAO'Neal Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)10
31.3%
15
68.7%
Q1 - 6:43TORJack Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T3)10
33.1%
13
66.9%
Q1 - 6:56MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)10
35.1%
13
64.9%
Q1 - 7:14MIADiawara REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
33.1%
13
66.9%
Q1 - 7:15TORMISS Bargnani 18' Jump Shot10
33.7%
13
66.3%
Q1 - 7:23TORJack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
35.1%
13
64.9%
Q1 - 7:24MIAMISS Wade Tip Shot10
34.4%
13
65.6%
Q1 - 7:26MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
33.1%
13
66.9%
Q1 - 7:27MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup10
34.4%
13
65.6%
Q1 - 7:40TORBeasley STEAL (1 STL)10
33.1%
13
66.9%
Q1 - 7:43TORTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
35.1%
13
64.9%
Q1 - 7:44MIAMISS Arroyo 17' Jump Shot10
34.4%
13
65.6%
Q1 - 7:54MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
33.1%
13
66.9%
Q1 - 7:55TORMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot10
33.7%
13
66.3%
Q1 - 8:09MIAArroyo 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)10
35.0%
13
65.0%
Q1 - 8:29TORBargnani 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)10
36.9%
11
63.1%
Q1 - 8:44MIAArroyo 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)8
35.0%
11
65.0%
Q1 - 9:01TORBosh Layup (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)8
37.2%
9
62.8%
Q1 - 9:18MIABeasley Layup (3 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)6
35.3%
9
64.7%
Q1 - 9:24TORO'Neal STEAL (1 STL)6
37.2%
7
62.8%
Q1 - 9:37MIAO'Neal 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Diawara 1 AST)6
39.0%
7
61.0%
Q1 - 9:52MIABeasley Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)6
41.0%
5
59.0%
Q1 - 10:02TORJack Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)6
42.4%
4
57.6%
Q1 - 10:02TORJack Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
42.2%
4
57.8%
Q1 - 10:08MIAWade 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
40.8%
4
59.2%
Q1 - 10:29TORJack 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
42.5%
2
57.5%
Q1 - 10:42MIAO'Neal Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)2
40.9%
2
59.1%
Q1 - 10:52MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
38.9%
2
61.1%
Q1 - 10:54TORMISS Bargnani 21' Jump Shot2
39.5%
2
60.5%
Q1 - 11:14MIAWade 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)2
40.4%
2
59.6%
Q1 - 11:19MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
42.1%
0
57.9%
Q1 - 11:20TORMISS DeRozan Layup2
42.5%
0
57.5%
Q1 - 11:25MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
43.7%
0
56.3%
Q1 - 11:42TORBargnani 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jack 1 AST)2
42.1%
0
57.9%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Bosh: Tip to Jack0
40.4%
0
59.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.03 51.6%
MIA
1.15 57.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
13
24
54%
MIA
20
36
56%
Midrange
TOR
18
38
47%
MIA
23
42
55%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
2
3.0
11
18%
27%
MIA
3
4.5
11
27%
41%
Free Throws
TOR
27
34
79%
MIA
20
22
91%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Bosh2878%14.0 / 18
A. Bargnani1450%7.0 / 14
H. Turkoglu1243%6.0 / 14
M. Banks990%4.5 / 5
J. Jack660%3.0 / 5
S. Weems660%3.0 / 5
M. Belinelli630%3.0 / 10
D. DeRozan422%2.0 / 9
A. Johnson467%2.0 / 3
R. Nesterovic467%2.0 / 3
P. Mensah-Bonsu233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Beasley2867%14.0 / 21
D. Wade1948%9.5 / 20
D. Wright1673%8.0 / 11
C. Arroyo1275%6.0 / 8
J. O'Neal1050%5.0 / 10
J. Anthony964%4.5 / 7
U. Haslem880%4.0 / 5
M. Chalmers643%3.0 / 7
D. Cook563%2.5 / 4
Y. Diawara220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
83
+8
-13
91
MIA
85
+15
-11
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.03 51.6%
MIA
1.15 57.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.0
106.7
TOR 99.0 +20.8
MIA 119.8
Pace
93.3
89.6
TOR 100.5 +8.1
MIA 92.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.3
16.5
TOR 14.3 +1.3
MIA 15.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.1%
49.6%
TOR 46.6%
MIA 53.4% +6.8%
TO %
13.8%
13.6%
TOR 12.9%
MIA 10.8% +2.1%
ORB %
24.8%
26.0%
TOR 10.8%
MIA 30.0% +19.2%
FTrt
31.9
29.6
TOR 46.6 +21.9
MIA 24.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.4%
51.9%
TOR 48.5%
MIA 58.7% +10.2%
STL %
6.1%
8.1%
TOR 6.3%
MIA 7.3% +1.0%
BLK %
7.4%
9.4%
TOR 9.0% +0.9%
MIA 8.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.9%
52.1%
TOR 51.6%
MIA 57.5% +5.9%
Rim FG%
61.6%
62.0%
TOR 54.2%
MIA 55.6% +1.4%
Mid FG%
42.9%
40.8%
TOR 47.4%
MIA 54.8% +7.4%
3P %
37.1%
34.6%
TOR 18.2%
MIA 27.3% +9.1%
FT %
76.4%
75.2%
TOR 79.4%
MIA 90.9% +11.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.0%
29.8%
TOR 32.9%
MIA 40.4% +7.6%
Mid Att. %
43.9%
48.3%
TOR 52.1%
MIA 47.2% +4.9%
3P Att. %
21.1%
21.9%
TOR 15.1% +2.7%
MIA 12.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsTORMIA
Possessions9696
Possession Minutes22.924.9
Points95115
Rebounds3245
Assists1627
Steals67
Blocks75
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)11 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (4)12 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (1)33 (1)
Field Goals33-7346-89
At-the-Rim FG13-2420-36
Midrange FG18-3823-42
2-Point FG31-6243-78
3-Point FG2-113-11
Free Throws27-3420-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 200 · 26
31.7
6
60%
3
1
1
0
5
1
1
2
4-4
100%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 245 · 24
31.2
14
50%
7
2
1
3
0
0
1
6
2-2
100%
6-11
55%
0-2
0%
F · 6'11" 235 · 26
31.1
28
78%
2
4
0
1
2
2
0
2
10-11
91%
9-13
69%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 220 · 31
30.9
12
43%
2
4
0
0
1
3
0
2
5-7
71%
2-7
29%
1-4
25%
G · 6'6" 220 · 20
27.7
4
22%
7
0
2
0
0
3
1
6
0-0
-
2-9
22%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 23
24.7
6
60%
3
3
1
1
4
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 23
15.7
4
67%
3
0
0
1
1
1
1
2
0-2
0%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 205 · 28
14.6
9
90%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
75%
1-1
100%
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 24
14.4
6
30%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
6-6
100%
0-3
0%
0-4
0%
F · 6'9" 235 · 26
10.0
2
33%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 255 · 34
8.0
4
67%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 26
#13 · C · 7'0" 250 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#8 · G · 6'3" 200 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#30 · C-F · 6'8" 245 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
52%
32
16
6
7
13
0
4
28
27-34
79%
31-62
50%
2-11
18%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.