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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 15, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Lakers76%10196
25Bulls24%9287
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 30.1
45.0
33.5
9
30%
5
4
1
1
0
0
0
5
2-2
100%
2-7
3-7
29%
46%
1-7
14%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 29.4
39.4
37.1
10
51%
16
2
0
1
2
2
4
12
4-4
100%
3-8
6-11
38%
56%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 31.3
39.1
35.3
42
64%
2
3
3
2
0
8
0
2
11-15
73%
14-21
8-16
67%
51%
1-5
20%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 22.1
25.2
29.1
11
53%
3
2
0
0
1
2
1
2
1-1
100%
5-10
6-10
50%
57%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 35.4
24.3
27.3
0
0%
0
5
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 30.1
31.4
26.7
9
48%
8
3
1
1
1
0
1
7
1-1
100%
4-6
2-5
67%
52%
0-3
0%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 24.0
19.9
19.7
9
113%
1
0
1
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
47%
1-1
100%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.0
15.7
16.9
6
44%
2
3
2
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-3
2-3
33%
48%
1-3
33%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 25.8
6.4
0
0-1
40%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 26.9
4.1
0
1-1
46%
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 25.4
2.8
0
0-1
40%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.0
2.1
0
0-1
48%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.7
38.5
36.3
21
53%
6
1
1
1
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
9-18
6-13
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 24.8
36.7
33.3
11
31%
20
2
2
1
6
3
14
6
3-4
75%
4-16
4-8
25%
52%
0-0
-
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 33.7
36.0
22.4
15
59%
8
6
2
0
2
2
2
6
3-4
75%
6-9
3-6
67%
47%
0-2
0%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.2
33.3
35.1
21
44%
4
6
0
1
0
2
0
4
3-4
75%
9-22
7-15
41%
48%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 30.0
28.6
33.8
2
20%
4
0
2
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
3-7
50%
47%
0-3
0%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 28.9
31.3
21.1
11
50%
0
3
2
1
3
2
0
0
0-0
-
4-9
2-4
44%
43%
1-2
50%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.5
23.3
25.2
6
44%
6
1
0
1
2
0
3
3
2-4
50%
2-5
4-8
40%
48%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.1
7.2
9.5
0
0%
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
40%
0-1
0%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.8
5.0
12.0
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.3
5.5
0
1-2
44%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 25.0
5.1
0
1-1
47%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 39.0
5.0
0
0-1
34%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 34.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.