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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 15, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Kings24%9488
10Trail Blazers76%10395
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 23.4
40.1
33.3
18
60%
9
2
0
1
1
4
1
8
4-7
57%
7-12
5-11
58%
50%
0-0
-
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 20.2
32.9
34.5
19
82%
7
3
2
1
1
1
0
7
5-6
83%
7-8
6-13
88%
48%
0-1
0%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 21.6
27.8
25.5
4
29%
2
2
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-7
3-7
29%
49%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 30.0
17.0
21.7
5
36%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
45%
1-3
33%
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 21.8
14.4
24.6
6
29%
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-1
0%
3-8
2-5
38%
47%
0-2
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.4
31.4
27.2
17
55%
1
5
2
1
0
0
1
0
1-1
100%
5-10
3-6
50%
50%
2-5
40%
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.4
25.0
6.1
8
82%
5
1
0
0
0
1
2
3
1-2
50%
2-3
0-1
67%
44%
1-1
100%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.5
18.8
20.3
9
77%
3
0
0
1
0
1
3
0
2-2
100%
2-3
2-5
67%
50%
1-2
50%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 32.4
15.1
12.1
0
0%
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 22.7
9.5
11.0
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 23.5
8.2
18.1
2
23%
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-3
67%
0-2
2-4
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 25.7
4.2
0
1-1
45%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 26.9
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 28.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 25.4
43.8
38.5
25
54%
5
10
0
1
0
5
2
3
4-7
57%
9-17
7-14
53%
51%
1-3
33%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 24.4
41.3
38.2
25
54%
9
5
0
1
0
1
5
4
5-5
100%
10-21
8-15
48%
52%
0-0
-
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 30.2
30.6
32.1
5
64%
10
0
1
1
2
3
4
6
1-2
50%
2-3
2-4
67%
58%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 33.7
28.8
27.6
4
20%
3
3
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-8
4-8
25%
50%
0-2
0%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 23.0
22.6
28.3
9
57%
4
2
0
1
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
1-3
2-5
33%
47%
2-4
50%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 29.8
24.5
34.2
5
63%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
46%
1-3
33%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.3
24.3
13.0
14
67%
2
2
0
0
1
1
0
2
8-10
80%
3-5
2-4
60%
49%
0-1
0%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 36.9
18.2
13.7
6
100%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
49%
0-0
-
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.7
6.0
5.1
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
54%
0-0
-
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 24.7
6.8
0
0-1
50%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 21.9
6.3
0
1-2
59%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 25.2
5.2
0
1-2
48%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 21.3
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 22.6
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 21.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.