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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 16, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Grizzlies28%9897
11Hawks72%106110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 24.9
34.0
33.1
14
80%
8
3
1
1
0
2
4
4
2-4
50%
6-7
5-8
86%
55%
0-0
-
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.1
32.4
35.2
15
50%
1
4
2
1
1
2
0
1
1-2
50%
4-10
5-10
40%
48%
2-4
50%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 22.2
31.5
30.8
12
75%
2
5
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
6-8
3-6
75%
46%
0-0
-
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 28.4
30.7
36.4
10
51%
10
1
3
1
0
2
0
10
2-2
100%
4-9
7-15
44%
47%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.3
30.2
38.6
11
46%
3
1
1
1
1
3
1
2
2-2
100%
3-8
7-14
38%
48%
1-3
33%
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 24.5
22.9
18.1
20
64%
3
0
1
1
0
4
2
1
6-6
100%
7-13
3-6
54%
46%
0-0
-
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 31.8
18.9
13.3
4
50%
3
5
3
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
41%
0-0
-
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.4
13.4
4.0
2
53%
4
1
0
0
1
2
1
3
2-2
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 28.1
10.0
3.5
3
19%
6
0
0
0
0
1
4
2
1-2
50%
1-7
0-1
14%
55%
0-0
-
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 22.8
8.4
15.8
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
52%
0-0
-
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.0
7.6
4.3
4
106%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
0-1
100%
41%
0-0
-
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 24.6
3.3
0
0-1
49%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.7
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 31.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.5
32.1
26.4
15
49%
10
2
1
1
0
1
3
7
1-1
100%
7-15
4-8
47%
55%
0-0
-
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 24.0
30.5
27.7
14
50%
7
1
2
1
4
1
4
3
2-2
100%
6-13
6-11
46%
52%
0-0
-
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 28.5
28.6
30.7
26
73%
8
3
2
1
0
2
2
6
4-4
100%
8-12
6-11
67%
50%
2-4
50%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 31.6
22.6
22.8
5
42%
0
2
1
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
47%
1-3
33%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 23.5
17.1
19.4
4
40%
5
3
1
1
1
2
3
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.7
34.3
30.3
12
44%
1
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-4
50%
5-11
4-8
45%
48%
0-1
0%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.1
24.6
27.2
13
81%
2
5
2
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
53%
3-6
50%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 21.5
17.0
19.8
4
33%
1
6
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
49%
0-1
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.8
16.9
18.5
4
69%
2
1
1
1
2
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
2-5
50%
50%
0-0
-
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 24.0
8.6
5.7
7
48%
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
1
1-3
33%
3-6
1-2
50%
52%
0-0
-
Othello Hunter
· 6'8" 225 · 23.6
7.8
6.0
6
61%
4
0
0
0
0
1
4
0
2-2
100%
2-4
1-1
50%
53%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 31.0
3.0
0
0-0
40%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 34.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.