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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 16, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Raptors14%9499
4Magic86%108118
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.1
33.0
31.9
13
42%
3
5
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-1
0%
5-14
3-6
36%
47%
1-1
100%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 30.7
32.8
32.0
14
64%
4
4
1
1
0
1
1
3
9-9
100%
1-5
3-6
20%
44%
1-2
50%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 25.7
30.6
33.3
20
67%
6
3
0
1
0
0
1
5
6-9
67%
7-11
7-15
64%
48%
0-0
-
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 24.1
30.1
31.8
12
50%
2
1
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
6-10
4-9
60%
45%
0-2
0%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 20.4
17.2
24.1
4
40%
3
2
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
3-7
40%
43%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 23.7
23.3
14.7
6
33%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-6
1-3
0%
44%
2-3
67%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 28.1
14.9
11.2
4
25%
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
1-2
33%
45%
0-2
0%
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 23.4
14.4
21.3
8
50%
1
1
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-8
3-7
50%
44%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 22.6
14.1
17.0
5
73%
3
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
1-1
100%
2-3
2-3
67%
55%
0-0
-
Pops Mensah-Bonsu
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.3
11.2
7.4
4
67%
5
0
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
43%
0-0
-
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 25.9
10.3
7.4
7
70%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
44%
1-2
50%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.5
8.1
6.9
2
33%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
49%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.2
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.5
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 29.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 24.0
34.5
40.2
18
86%
14
0
0
1
8
2
2
12
6-8
75%
6-7
6-10
86%
62%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 30.4
32.1
30.3
21
81%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
3-5
60%
52%
5-8
63%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 32.9
28.8
30.0
12
51%
6
7
3
1
1
2
0
6
3-4
75%
3-7
5-10
43%
50%
1-3
33%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 34.1
23.2
24.3
13
108%
1
7
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
49%
3-4
75%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 27.9
17.2
23.2
2
20%
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
52%
0-3
0%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 29.8
30.5
19.6
20
85%
6
3
0
1
1
2
1
5
4-4
100%
5-6
2-3
83%
55%
2-4
50%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 35.2
24.8
21.0
13
66%
2
4
0
1
0
3
1
1
2-2
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
46%
1-3
33%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25.5
19.6
20.7
7
55%
0
4
0
0
0
2
0
0
2-3
67%
1-3
1-3
33%
48%
1-2
50%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 21.6
10.5
17.6
5
63%
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
51%
1-3
33%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 25.8
9.5
6.6
2
33%
7
1
0
0
0
0
3
4
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
60%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 24.6
9.3
3.2
5
64%
1
1
0
0
3
0
1
0
1-2
50%
2-3
1-1
67%
53%
0-0
-
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 34.8
0.2
0
0-0
33%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 27.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.