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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 16, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Jazz67%101108
28Nets33%9692
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.5
35.6
38.7
20
68%
4
14
0
1
0
2
1
3
4-6
67%
5-10
6-12
50%
53%
2-2
100%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 28.1
35.1
36.7
26
76%
10
2
1
1
0
1
1
9
6-7
86%
10-14
8-15
71%
54%
0-0
-
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 24.7
29.0
34.4
9
77%
3
2
2
2
2
1
1
2
1-2
50%
4-5
5-8
80%
55%
0-0
-
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 30.6
25.4
29.1
8
45%
6
3
0
1
1
1
1
5
2-2
100%
3-5
3-7
60%
49%
0-3
0%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 23.2
20.1
33.1
10
105%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
4-4
100%
3-3
3-6
100%
52%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.8
24.3
11.6
4
42%
5
3
1
0
0
1
2
3
4-4
100%
0-3
1-3
0%
51%
0-0
-
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 24.8
22.3
25.4
13
52%
6
1
1
1
0
2
2
4
1-1
100%
6-12
4-7
50%
55%
0-0
-
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 23.0
13.2
5.9
6
52%
5
1
0
0
1
1
1
4
2-4
50%
2-4
1-1
50%
55%
0-0
-
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.5
12.4
8.7
5
51%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
2-3
1-3
67%
47%
0-1
0%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 28.8
11.4
8.3
7
88%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
48%
1-1
100%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.7
9.4
15.8
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
51%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.5
1.8
3.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 20.8
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 33.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 21.7
38.4
37.9
23
57%
10
3
0
1
0
1
5
5
5-5
100%
9-18
8-15
50%
51%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 24.2
38.0
36.5
15
55%
3
1
0
2
1
2
1
2
3-4
75%
6-9
4-9
67%
47%
0-3
0%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.8
33.3
34.7
9
33%
1
6
1
2
0
1
0
1
7-11
64%
1-7
5-10
14%
48%
0-2
0%
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 30.8
32.3
22.5
8
57%
3
1
1
0
0
0
3
0
0-0
-
4-7
2-5
57%
46%
0-0
-
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 25.1
27.9
25.3
6
47%
11
0
1
1
0
0
4
7
0-1
0%
3-6
3-6
50%
53%
0-0
-
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 33.4
23.4
21.1
7
35%
2
5
0
1
1
4
0
2
0-0
-
2-7
2-6
29%
41%
1-3
33%
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 22.5
20.2
16.3
17
67%
2
2
1
0
0
1
0
2
5-6
83%
6-10
2-5
60%
43%
0-0
-
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.4
15.3
11.6
4
34%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-2
0%
2-3
1-2
67%
52%
0-2
0%
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 29.5
9.4
12.2
3
38%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
1-3
33%
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.3
1.8
4.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 29.6
4.9
0
0-1
44%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 33.8
4.8
0
1-1
47%
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 22.9
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 28.4
Jianlian Yi
F · 7'0" 250 · 22.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.