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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 16, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Pistons28%9387
13Hornets72%10195
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 23.7
39.9
34.0
26
46%
3
5
2
1
0
6
3
0
4-5
80%
11-26
7-15
42%
44%
0-0
-
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 35.3
36.6
26.1
6
50%
7
2
3
1
0
1
3
4
0-0
-
3-6
2-3
50%
44%
0-0
-
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 35.3
28.2
26.3
13
63%
2
2
0
1
0
2
2
0
3-3
100%
5-8
2-4
63%
43%
0-1
0%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 22.8
27.3
34.3
6
100%
3
2
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-3
3-7
100%
51%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 26.8
15.8
19.9
3
26%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
1-5
3-5
20%
54%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 25.3
32.1
27.5
18
60%
8
2
1
1
0
1
1
7
1-2
50%
4-7
5-9
57%
50%
3-7
43%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 21.5
25.2
15.9
9
51%
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
51%
2-5
40%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.9
23.4
12.3
4
34%
2
9
2
0
0
4
0
2
2-2
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
46%
0-1
0%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 27.3
11.4
4.7
2
100%
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
50%
0-0
-
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 31.8
32.2
1
6-12
46%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 27.8
15.3
0
2-3
51%
DaJuan Summers
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.9
6.1
0
1-1
45%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.7
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 29.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 29.3
45.1
32.4
32
70%
12
1
2
1
0
6
5
7
2-2
100%
15-22
6-12
68%
49%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.6
43.0
37.5
16
69%
4
12
1
2
1
4
0
4
6-6
100%
5-9
6-12
56%
53%
0-0
-
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 32.5
32.9
31.3
11
56%
4
3
0
1
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
46%
3-7
43%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 27.2
29.0
24.9
15
83%
8
1
0
1
0
1
3
5
5-7
71%
5-6
4-6
83%
55%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 31.0
24.3
18.8
13
66%
1
0
1
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
44%
3-8
38%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 31.8
21.9
15.6
4
40%
8
0
1
1
0
1
2
6
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
53%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 32.9
18.6
24.7
2
26%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-2
0%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 22.5
15.8
19.1
2
15%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-2
0%
1-3
3-5
33%
48%
0-3
0%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.3
9.3
17.2
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 25.1
9.6
0
1-2
52%
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.6
7.0
0
1-2
51%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 32.3
3.6
0
0-1
45%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.3
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 25.2
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 34.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.