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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 16, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Wizards55%104109
26Kings45%103112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 33.5
41.1
37.9
30
59%
8
0
0
1
0
1
4
4
8-8
100%
11-16
6-12
69%
50%
0-6
0%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 29.8
39.4
37.9
16
40%
7
1
2
2
0
2
2
5
2-2
100%
7-17
5-11
41%
49%
0-2
0%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 27.9
38.5
34.7
33
60%
6
6
2
1
0
4
2
4
10-12
83%
7-16
5-11
44%
48%
3-6
50%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 30.1
35.5
37.0
9
57%
14
2
0
1
2
0
6
8
1-2
50%
4-7
4-8
57%
54%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 28.7
21.1
19.2
2
26%
1
1
1
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 23.3
18.3
17.5
4
40%
4
0
1
1
2
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
50%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 33.5
15.1
16.3
8
50%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
4-8
2-4
50%
46%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.2
13.1
7.3
2
100%
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
45%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 24.5
12.3
17.4
5
36%
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
48%
1-4
25%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 26.2
5.7
7.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 34.7
2.7
0
0-0
59%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 21.9
2.7
0
0-1
51%
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.0
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 34.5
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 20.2
40.3
33.4
26
58%
6
6
0
1
2
4
1
5
8-10
80%
9-17
6-13
53%
50%
0-1
0%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.5
37.5
19.8
22
55%
5
3
1
1
1
1
1
4
8-9
89%
4-8
2-5
50%
52%
2-8
25%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 23.4
36.2
36.1
17
67%
13
0
0
1
2
0
6
7
3-4
75%
7-11
6-12
64%
51%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 30.0
27.4
19.5
20
65%
6
2
1
0
0
0
1
5
1-1
100%
5-8
2-4
63%
47%
3-7
43%
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 21.8
20.6
19.5
8
58%
3
0
0
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
49%
0-2
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.4
30.5
29.1
7
31%
4
3
1
1
0
0
1
3
3-5
60%
2-8
4-7
25%
51%
0-1
0%
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.4
27.2
15.4
8
50%
6
2
0
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
4-5
1-2
80%
46%
0-3
0%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 21.6
8.1
26.6
2
100%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
4-8
100%
51%
0-0
-
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 32.4
6.1
14.0
0
0%
1
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 23.5
5.0
13.3
2
35%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 22.7
1.1
10.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 25.7
3.1
0
1-1
47%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 28.0
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 26.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.